015
FXUS65 KBYZ 151845
AFDBYZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1245 PM MDT THU OCT 15 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WINDY CONDITIONS OVER THE PLAINS OF EASTERN MONTANA TODAY.
- WINDY CONDITIONS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY FOR THE FOOTHILLS SOUTH
AND WEST OF BILLINGS. GUSTS 35 TO 50 MPH EXPECTED.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT, CREATING
SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS FOR TODAY. AS HIGHER PRESSURES FILL IN,
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY ACROSS
EASTERN MT. THERE IS STILL ABOUT A 60-80% CHANCE FOR GUSTS TO 50
MPH ALONG THE MT/DAKOTAS BORDER. THROUGH SATURDAY, HIGHER HEIGHTS
AND RIDGING WILL MOVE IN, CREATING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S. WITH A TIGHTER
GRADIENT ALOFT AND MILD 700 MB WINDS, BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE IN
PLACE FOR AREAS SOUTH OF BILLINGS TO THE WY BORDER INCLUDING THE
FORT SMITH AREA. THE LIVINGSTON/BIG TIMBER CORRIDOR WILL ALSO BE
WINDY LATE FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A DRY
BACKDOOR FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT, COOLING TEMPERATURES BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE, IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MILD MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AS WESTERLY FLOW TRANSITIONS SOUTHWESTERLY. DEPENDING ON THE TRACK
OF THE LOW OFF THE WEST COAST MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, THE REGION
COULD GET INTO A PATTERN OF DAILY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENTLY THERE ARE LOW CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
ACROSS SOUTH- CENTRAL MT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME, SO WATCH THE FORECAST TO SEE HOW THIS
SYSTEM PROGRESSES. TS
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. STRONG
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO GUST INTO THE 20S KTS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY ALONG THE
DAKOTAS BORDER. WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY FRIDAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS
GUSTING INTO THE 20S KTS. TORGERSON
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED THU
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 030/063 046/072 043/061 038/067 042/066 043/060 043/062
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/B 11/B 12/W
LVM 028/069 039/072 038/061 036/069 041/066 039/060 038/060
00/U 00/N 00/U 00/U 01/B 21/B 12/W
HDN 025/065 032/074 039/064 036/068 038/068 040/063 040/065
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/B 22/W
MLS 026/061 035/071 044/060 040/067 042/067 043/062 044/064
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/B 12/W
4BQ 027/061 040/074 045/061 041/069 045/070 046/064 046/066
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/U 12/W
BHK 023/057 039/075 043/062 036/067 041/070 043/066 042/067
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 01/U 12/W
SHR 025/064 035/076 040/062 035/068 040/069 041/064 041/065
00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/U 22/W
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
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