766
FXUS65 KBYZ 030659
AFDBYZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1259 AM MDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE MONDAY.
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BEGINNING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE LATEST
HIRES MODELS ARE SHOWING A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPING NORTH AND EAST
OF BILLINGS BEFORE SUNRISE. PRECIPITATION TOTALS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE HIGH, WITH UP TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH FORECAST.
OTHERWISE, BREEZY WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL ACCOMPANY THE
FRONT THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS GUSTING IN THE TEENS AND 20S
(GREATEST IN SOUTHEASTERN MONTANA) MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH
OF THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A BIT TODAY, WITH HIGHS
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 60S TO LOW 70SF.
OTHERWISE, RIDGING WILL DOMINATE THE FORECAST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL BRING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S SUNDAY AND 80S TO NEAR
90F ON MONDAY. THE LATEST PROBABILITY FOR A HIGH TEMPERATURE OF AT
LEAST 90F ON MONDAY IS 25-50% (GREATEST IN THE RIVER VALLEYS
SOUTH AND EAST OF BILLINGS). A FEW CLIMATE SITES MAY APPROACH
THEIR SINGLE DAY RECORD HIGHS, SO STAY TUNED!
ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO DROP THROUGH ON TUESDAY, BRINGING
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO 70S AND LOW 80SF FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
GIVEN THE WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE COMING WEEK, EXPECT STRONG
AFTERNOON MIXING TO PRODUCE BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS AT
TIMES DURING THE WARMEST PART OF EACH AFTERNOON.
THE COMBINATION OF WARM, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BRING
PERIODS OF ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
WILL NEED TO USE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT GRASS FIRES UNTIL
A COOLER AND WETTER WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS.
MATOS/ARCHER
AVIATION
06Z UPDATE...
A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING.
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE (20% CHANCE) NORTH AND EAST OF KBIL,
INCLUDING KMLS AND KBHK. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE (10%) FOR AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 06 AND 12Z NEAR KBHK. MAIN CONCERN
WILL BE GUSTY WINDS 25-35KTS. BREEZY NW WIND GUSTS 20-30 KTS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS SE MT THROUGH THE DAY FOLLOWING THE FRONT.
TS/ARCHER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
TDY SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 068 044/074 048/085 052/080 049/078 047/076 050/081
0/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
LVM 071 039/081 046/084 049/080 046/079 045/078 046/079
0/B 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/N
HDN 069 040/075 042/087 048/080 045/079 045/077 047/083
0/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
MLS 068 040/074 046/084 051/077 047/076 047/074 049/080
2/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
4BQ 070 043/076 047/087 054/079 050/078 048/077 051/083
1/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
BHK 067 036/073 042/085 050/078 045/076 043/074 047/081
2/W 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
SHR 069 040/075 044/087 048/080 046/078 045/078 046/082
0/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
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