254
FXUS65 KBYZ 050942
AFDBYZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
242 AM MST THU FEB 5 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY AND VERY WARM WITH PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
WESTERN FOOTHILLS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- INCREASED GRASS FIRE CONCERNS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY WESTERN AND CENTRAL ZONES.
- PATTERN CHANGE TO COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS.
DISCUSSION
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
STRONG RIDGING AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL BRING WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA TODAY, WITH BREEZY
CONDITIONS ALONG THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S CAN BE
EXPECTED. A WEAK FRONT DROPPING IN FROM THE NORTH ARRIVES LATE IN
THE DAY, WHICH MAY AID IN COMPRESSIONAL WARMING.
HERE ARE THE FORECAST HIGHS AND DAILY RECORDS FOR TODAY, FEB 5TH.
SITE FORECAST RECORD
BILLINGS 69 65 (1963)
LIVINGSTON 63 60 (1963)
MILES CITY 64 56 (1963)
SHERIDAN 71 61 (1947)
BAKER 60 50 (2024)
LOW STRATUS/FOG MAY MOVE INTO NORTHEASTERN AREAS TONIGHT BEHIND
THE FRONT, CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A
BIT COOLER FOR FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S OVER
THE AREA AND WEAKER WINDS. STRONG RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND BRINGING HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S, COOLEST NEAR THE DAKOTAS BORDER.
WITH REGARDS TO FIRE WEATHER, THE COMBINATION OF PERSISTENT DRY,
OCCASIONALLY BREEZY AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL BRING AN
ELEVATED RISK FOR GRASS FIRES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE GREATEST
RISK WILL BE OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL ZONES WHERE TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WARMEST AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY LOWEST. BE CAREFUL NOT TO
CAUSE A SPARK!
MONDAY SIGNALS THE START OF A PATTERN CHANGE AS ENSEMBLES PROG AN
UPPER TROUGH TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION, SETTING THE STAGE FOR
A COOLER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN. CURRENTLY, LOW TO MODERATE
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION ARE FORECAST (30-60%; HIGHEST OVER THE
MOUNTAINS). THERE REMAINS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARDS TO HOW
COOL THE TEMPERATURES MAY BE, AS WELL AS PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 30S AND 40S BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK. STP
AVIATION
BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 25-35 KNOTS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS TODAY, IMPACTING
KLVM-K6S0-KHWQ. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER SE MT TONIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING, INCLUDING K1S3-KMLS-KBHK. MATOS
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
TDY FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED
-------------------------------------------------------
BIL 069 035/061 039/066 039/063 042/054 030/044 027/044
0/U 00/U 00/B 00/E 14/R 32/S 22/S
LVM 064 036/063 038/059 038/057 039/048 024/041 024/039
0/N 00/U 00/B 00/N 36/O 43/S 32/S
HDN 071 031/063 035/066 033/065 037/057 029/046 025/044
0/U 00/U 00/B 00/E 14/R 43/O 33/O
MLS 064 029/054 032/059 034/062 035/051 027/041 023/039
0/U 00/U 00/B 00/B 02/R 21/E 22/S
4BQ 067 031/060 035/061 036/064 034/055 028/042 023/040
0/U 00/U 00/B 00/B 02/R 22/S 33/S
BHK 060 027/048 030/055 032/058 031/049 024/039 020/037
0/U 00/B 00/B 00/B 02/O 22/S 23/S
SHR 071 034/063 034/062 031/062 032/054 024/040 019/039
0/U 00/U 00/B 00/B 03/R 44/S 43/S
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MT...NONE.
WY...NONE.
WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
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