089  
FXUS65 KBYZ 060644  
AFDBYZ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT  
1244 AM MDT THU AUG 6 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- HOT AND DRY INTO THE WEEKEND. OCCASIONAL BREEZY WINDS WILL CAUSE  
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY TODAY.  
 
- WILDFIRE SMOKE CONCENTRATIONS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA  
TODAY. FOR THE LATEST AIR QUALITY, VISIT AIRNOW.GOV.  
 
- WARM BUT SLIGHTLY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS NEXT WEEK, WITH AN  
OCCASIONAL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...  
 
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS A RIDGE OF  
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES DURING  
THIS TIME WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO 90S, WITH POTENTIALLY A FEW  
100 DEGREE READINGS OVER THE PLAINS ON SATURDAY (MEDIUM CHANCE).  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO BE LOW, MAKING IT A DRY HEAT.  
WHILE NO PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST DURING THIS TIME, THERE WILL BE  
A DRY COLD FRONT PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING THAT BRINGS  
BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS AROUND 15 TO 30 MPH TO THE AREA.  
THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS, HOT TEMPERATURES, AND LOW HUMIDITY  
WILL CAUSE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN MONTANA INTO WESTERN SOUTH  
DAKOTA AND NORTH DAKOTA. WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER ACROSS THE AREA  
FRIDAY, THOUGH STILL BREEZY OUT OF THE WEST AROUND PARK, SWEET  
GRASS AND WHEATLAND COUNTIES IN MONTANA. SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY,  
BREEZY NORTHWEST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SPREAD BACK ACROSS  
THE AREA WITH GUSTS AROUND 10 TO 30 MPH, STRONGEST OVER SOUTH-  
CENTRAL MONTANA. ONCE AGAIN, THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH HOT  
TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF  
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. TAKE CARE TO NOT CAUSE A SPARK  
TODAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.  
 
WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES  
GENERALLY IN THE 80S AND 90S. WHILE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL  
CONTINUE INTO MONDAY, THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION INCREASES  
TUESDAY INTO THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS BETTER ATMOSPHERIC  
MOISTURE COMBINE WITH A FEW PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROUNDING THE  
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT. DURING THIS TIME, THE HIGHER  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LIMIT THE RISK OF FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS, HOWEVER, THE RISK OF LIGHTNING STARTS MAY INCREASE  
SHOULD THE MORE FAVORABLE THUNDERSTORM PATTERN DEVELOP.  
 
OTHERWISE, HAZY SKIES WITH PERIODS OF SURFACE SMOKE WILL CONTINUE  
LATE THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK. FOR TODAY, THE COLD FRONT WILL  
BRING A PERIOD OF HIGHER SURFACE SMOKE CONCENTRATIONS TO THE AREA  
THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. FOR THE LATEST AIR QUALITY INFORMATION,  
VISIT AIRNOW.GOV. LA  
   
AVIATION
 
 
SMOKE WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT FOR AVIATION INTERESTS OVER THE NEXT  
36 HOURS. EXPECT INCREASED SMOKE ACCUMULATIONS AS WESTERLY WINDS  
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON (GUSTING TO 25KTS AT TIMES). SURFACE  
VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO AROUND 5-6SM AT TIMES, INCLUDING KBIL AND  
KSHR TERMINALS (POSSIBLY KLVM). SLANT RANGE VISIBILITY WILL  
DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AS WELL, IMPACTING MOUNTAIN/PASS  
VISIBILITY AS WELL. OUTSIDE OF THE SMOKE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL  
PREVAIL. CHAMBERS  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS
 
 
TDY FRI SAT SUN MON TUE WED  
-------------------------------------------------------  
BIL 094 060/095 062/098 066/095 064/090 065/090 065/089  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/B  
LVM 092 053/096 057/096 058/094 055/091 056/090 056/089  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/U 10/U 11/U 11/U  
HDN 095 056/096 058/099 062/096 059/092 061/091 061/091  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/U 00/U 11/U 12/T  
MLS 094 058/092 060/095 064/094 061/087 063/089 063/088  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/B 00/B 12/T 22/T  
4BQ 094 060/095 061/096 067/095 063/089 065/089 064/088  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/B 11/B 33/T 33/T  
BHK 094 054/090 056/093 060/093 056/086 057/087 057/086  
0/K 00/K 00/U 01/B 11/B 24/T 32/T  
SHR 094 055/096 058/097 061/095 059/090 059/090 059/088  
0/K 00/K 00/U 00/U 00/U 12/T 13/T  
 

 
   
BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
MT...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM  
MDT THIS EVENING FOR ZONES 132-133.  
WY...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
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