056
FXUS63 KFGF 242023
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
323 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MAINLY SOUTH OF
US-2, SOME MAY SEE THE FIRST SNOWFLAKES OF THE SEASON
OVERNIGHT.
- SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S AND 50S WILL BE COMMON
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 323 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..SYNOPSIS
BEHIND A SWEEPING COLD FRONT SKIES ARE BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
WITH DRY AIR ADVECTING IN, WHILE TEMPERATURES HAVE RETURNED TO
SEASONAL VALUES WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S TONIGHT. THE
OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK RESULTS IN PERSISTENT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AS THE REGION RIDES IN A BAROCLINIC ZONE
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. THIS ALSO FAVORS NO SIGNIFICANT
FLUCTUATION FROM THESE NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES, THOUGH
TRENDING SLIGHTLY WARMER FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SHOWS INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR A HYBRID-TYPE,
PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE AND ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR PERIODS OF RAIN FOR AREAS SOUTH
OF US-2, WHILE MORE MODERATE CONFIDENCE EXISTS FOR THE EXTENT
OF MOISTURE INTO THE NORTHERN ZONES AS WELL AS ANY ACCUMULATION
OF SNOW OCCURRING OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL LARGELY BE DEPENDING ON
FORCING AND HAVING SUFFICIENT RATES TO ACCUMULATING MORE THAN A
DUSTING ON ELEVATED OR GRASSY SURFACES. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA
FOR SEEING SNOW IS WEST OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT,
THOUGH MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS SUPPORT AREAS WITH HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION RATES REMAINING AS RAIN OR A MIX.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
SHOWERS HAVE PUSHED EAST OF THE TERMINALS, WHILE SOME MVFR
CEILINGS LINGER FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS AROUND KBJI AND KTVF.
OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH WINDS CONTINUING TO
DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WESTERLY GUSTS AROUND 25 KTS
WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 30 KTS AT KDVL AND KGFK THROUGH 20Z,
TRANSITIONING TO GUSTS UNDER 15 KTS AFTER 00Z.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ZANKER
AVIATION...ZANKER
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