736
FXUS63 KFGF 290819
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
319 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW THRU
THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT TUE APR 29 2025
..SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER CENTRAL ND AT 08Z. NORTH WIND 5 TO 15 KTS
OVER THE FCST AREA....FEW GUSTS 20 KTS BEMIDJI-PARK RAPIDS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY AT 18Z AND THEN
EASTERN FCST AREA BY 00Z. AS IT DOES WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
5-15 KTS THIS AFTN IN E ND...WITH 10-20 KTS SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT.
CLEAR SKY MOST OF THE DAY, WITH VERY DRY AIRMASS PER BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS EXPECT LITTLE TO NO CU.
HIGH CLOUDS THOUGH WILL INCREASE EASTWARD AHEAD OF NEXT SHORT
WAVE WHICH WILL MOVE THRU SOUTHERN CANADA FROM SOUTHERN ALBERTA
THRU SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN TONIGHT AND INTO MANITOBA WEDNESDAY.
MOISTURE WITH THIS WAVE LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING IS
LIMITED IN OUR AREA AND MORE NORTH OF THE BORDER WITH POPS MORE
IN THE SLIGHT CHC RANGE AND QPF ZERO TO 0.02 INCH NORTHEAST ND
THRU 18Z WED.
WE WILL SEE A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WED AFTN/EVE AS A SECOND
SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE DAKOTAS 00Z-06Z THU. AHEAD OF IT IS
AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH INCREASING MOISTURE AS IT MOVES
EAST INTO WEST CENTRAL MN WED EVENING WHERE POPS INCREASE TO
LIKELY.
BIT COOLER ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST
THRU THE AREA. COLD AIR ALOFT WITH 500 MB TROUGH OVER THE AREA
WILL LEAD TO DAYTIME SCATTERED SHOWERS.
THEN A BIG WARM UP STARTS FRIDAY AND PEAKS ON SUNDAY AS UPPER
RIDGE BUILDS WELL NORTH INTO CENTRAL CANADA AND MOVES OVERHEAD
SUNDAY. HIGHS SUNDAY FORECAST TO REACH 80 DEGREES IN MANY AREAS,
WARMEST OF THE YEAR SO FAR.
EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL SEE THE RIDGE BREAKDOWN SOME BUT HOW MUCH
IT BREAKS DOWN, HOW MUCH MOISTURE IS SPREAD NORTH AHEAD OF AN
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES REMAINS TO BE SEEN.
NBM DATA USED THRU THE 0-7 DAY FCST PERIOD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CDT MON APR 28 2025
SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT, WITH VFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR EACH SITE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. LINGERING
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BJI THROUGH 9Z AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SHIFTS EASTWARD. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT
AND SWITCH FROM THE NORTH TOWARD THE SOUTH 19-22Z. SKIES REMAIN SKC
TO FEW THROUGHOUT TOMORROW AHEAD OF ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM
THE WEST BRINGING MORE PRECIPITATION POST TAF PERIOD.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...RIDDLE
AVIATION...SPENDER
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