948
FXUS63 KFGF 311128
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
528 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO CONTINUE
THROUGH AROUND 9AM THIS MORNING.
- A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDDAY TODAY
THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1-3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED, ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. OCCASIONAL WHITEOUT
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 452 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..SYNOPSIS
SOUTH WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE THIS MORNING, BRINGING WARMER
AIR AND MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. PRESSURE GRADIENTS, AHEAD OF A
CLIPPER, SUPPORT GUSTY SOUTH WINDS STARTING BY MID MORNING. LIGHT
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THESE WINDS, THUS BRINGING THE
POTENTIAL FOR VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS, AS WELL AS LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1-3 INCHES. HEADING INTO TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING, COLDER AIR
WILL FOLLOW THE CLIPPER, WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW LIKELY THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF SUNDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA ON
MONDAY, WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING ALONG H5 NORTHWEST FLOW LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
..HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING
WARMER AIR IS MOVING INTO THE AREA THIS MORNING, HOWEVER, SOUTH
WINDS ARE ON THE INCREASE, THUS KEEPING WIND CHILLS IN THE RANGE OF
20 BELOW TO 30 BELOW FOR MANY AREAS. IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED BY MID
MORNING AS TEMPS CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE TEENS AND 20S BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED AS WARM AIR ADVECTION BRINGS
MOISTURE INTO NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. THE CLIPPER
SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS WILL BE MOVING RAPIDLY OFF TO THE
SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. INITIALLY,
SOUTH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE UPWARDS OF 25-30
MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH. THESE WINDS, COMBINED WITH FALLING
SNOW, WILL CONTRIBUTE TO OCCASIONAL WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND SHARPLY
REDUCED VISIBILITY. A SLIGHT LULL IN ACTIVITY IS INDICATED BY
SEVERAL CAMS OVERNIGHT, WITH CONSENSUS ON ADDITIONAL SNOW FORMING ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE CLIPPER AS LAPSE RATES SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW
BANDS. WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST, BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO BE QUITE THE INTENSITY OF THE ANTECEDENT SOUTHERLIES. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 15-25 MPH ARE POSSIBLE, WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. IT IS
WORTH NOTING, HOWEVER, THAT TEMPS WILL BE FALLING DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD, THUS KEEPING THE RISK OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW RATHER
ELEVATED. TRAVEL IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
MID MORNING SUNDAY.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 528 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THIS MORNING THROUGH AROUND
MIDDAY. LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL FILL INTO THE AREA
LATE THIS MORNING, ALONG WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS GUSTING
UPWARDS OF 30 KNOTS. WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE COULD REACH UP
TO 50 KNOTS OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST, THUS KEEPING A LLWS
RISK THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOW SPREADS FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST STARTING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, THEN
PERSISTS THROUGH MID MORNING SUNDAY. A LULL IN SNOW ACTIVITY IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS, HOWEVER, IT WILL
LIKELY BE RATHER BRIEF. REDUCED VISIBILITY IS LIKELY, ESPECIALLY
DURING PERIODS OF HEAVIER SNOW, WITH VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS TO
1SM OR POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY LOWER AT TIMES.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR NDZ007-
008-015-016-026>030-054.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR
NDZ008-016-027-030-039-053.
MN...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MNZ001-
002-004-005-007-008-013>015-022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR
MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015-022-027-029-030.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...LYNCH
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