560  
FXUS63 KFGF 200753  
AFDFGF  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND  
253 AM CDT SAT JUL 20 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- DAILY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
SEVERE WEATHER UNLIKELY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 253 AM CDT SAT JUL 20 2024  
   
..SYNOPSIS
 
 
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY NICELY SHOWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH  
OVER THE INTERSECTION OF MINNESOTA, SOUTH DAKOTA, AND NORTH DAKOTA.  
SATELLITE SHOWS SOME CLOUDS OVER THE FA, BUT MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN  
RED RIVER VALLEY AND MN LAKES COUNTRY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW.  
NORTHWEST FLOW IS HERE TO STAY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST  
PERIOD, FLATTENING TO MORE WESTERLY TO END THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE IN THE 80S THROUGH THE WORK WEEK, POSSIBLY WARMING INTO THE  
LOW 90S AS THE UL RIDGE GETS COMPRESSED BEFORE FLATTENING.  
   
..DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES
 
 
WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW, SHORTWAVES ARE INCREASINGLY COMMON IN THE  
MID LEVELS. THESE SHORTWAVES WILL BRING NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF  
PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH MID-WEEK, WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES SOMEWHERE IN THE FA EVERY DAY BETWEEN NOW AND THEN. WITH  
MOST OF THESE, MOISTURE IS LACKING TO EVEN GET A QUARTER OF AN INCH.  
HOWEVER, MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING, WSUP PROBABILITIES ARE 20 -  
30% AROUND THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER FOR GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO A  
QUARTER INCH OF PRECIPITATION. WITH THESE PRECIPITATION CHANCES,  
SEVERE CHANCES ARE VERY LOW (LESS THAN 5%) WITH ANY OF THESE WEAK  
SYSTEMS THAT TRANSIT THE AREA.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT FRI JUL 19 2024  
 
THERE COULD BE SOME SPOTTY FOG AROUND SUNRISE ON SATURDAY, BUT  
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO MENTION IT AT ANY OF THE TAF  
SITES. EXPECT LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT,  
WITH SPOTTY SHOWERS AND STORMS AGAIN. WITH THE HIGH THIN VEIL OF  
SMOKE, IT MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER TO POP CUMULUS AND INITIATE  
ANY STORMS. MENTIONED VCTS AT ALL SITES EXCEPT KFAR FOR NOW FOR  
MID AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING.  
 

 
   
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
ND...NONE.  
MN...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...AH  
AVIATION...GODON  
 
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