030
FXUS63 KFGF 201940
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
240 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THURSDAY.
- WINDY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH CHANCES FOR LIGHT RAIN.
- COOLER, SEASONABLE CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 239 PM CDT MON OCT 19 2026
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD RIDGING PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK
BEFORE TROUGHING OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BEGINS TO
MOVE ASHORE BY THURSDAY MORNING. SOME DIFFERENCES REMAIN AMONG
CLUSTERS REGARDING TO THE SPEED OF THE TROUGH EJECTION INTO THE
PLAINS WITH SOME AS EARLY FRIDAY. REGARDLESS, RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE FRIDAY AND LINGER INTO SATURDAY. THE QUICK MOVING
SHORTWAVE WILL HAVE LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH AND ALMOST ALL
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS KEEP RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND A QUARTER INCH OR
LESS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN THE
UNUSUAL WARMTH AND INSTABILITY.
OTHER NOTABLE FEATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE STRONG WINDS
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, INITIALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AND TURNING TO
THE WEST SATURDAY AFTER A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MOST LIKELY RANGE FOR TOP WIND GUSTS ARE 35-45
MPH BOTH DAYS, THOUGH THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR ISOLATED
GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BEFORE A MORE TYPICAL
NORTHWEST UPPER LEVEL FLOW RETURNS BRINGS HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 40S BY SUNDAY/MONDAY.
OVERALL, ENJOY A FEW MORE DAYS OF DRY WEATHER AND 60S TO 70S
FOR HIGHS THIS WEEK AS THEY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FLEETING IN
THE COMING WEEKS WITH SEASONAL NORMALS DROPPING INTO THE 40S BY
THE END OF THE MONTH FOR HIGHS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT ALL TAF SITES.
WINDS CONTINUE OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AT 10-15 KNOTS
WITH SOME GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS DURING PEAK MIXING. WINDS BEGIN
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING, THEN SHIFT TO THE NORTH DURING THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK COLD
FRONT THAT BRINGS SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ZANKER
AVIATION...ZANKER
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