678
FXUS63 KFGF 211934
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
234 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THURSDAY.
- WINDY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS.
- COOLER, SEASONABLE CONDITIONS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
..SYNOPSIS
A BROAD RIDGING PATTERN PERSISTS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK BEFORE
TROUGHING OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST BEGINS TO MOVE
ASHORE BY THURSDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 70S ARE IN
STORE THROUGH FRIDAY WITH RECORD WARM OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES IN
THE 50S LIKELY FRIDAY. THERE IS NOW HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT A
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY
NIGHT. THIS AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT BEHIND IT SUPPORT A
WINDY AND MUCH COOLER (ALBEIT SEASONABLE) PATTERN CHANGE WITH
LIMITED RAINFALL CHANCES. A STRAY THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED
OUT FRIDAY GIVEN THE UNUSUAL WARMTH AND INSTABILITY.
THE MOST NOTABLE IMPACT THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE ELEVATED
WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, INITIALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH AND
TURNING TO THE WEST SATURDAY AFTER A STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE MOST LIKELY RANGE FOR TOP WIND GUSTS
IS 35-45 MPH BOTH DAYS, THOUGH THERE IS MODERATE CONFIDENCE FOR
A FEW GUSTS TO 50 MPH SATURDAY IN THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN. ANY
EXPOSED SOILS PRESENT A RISK FOR PATCHY BLOWING DUST DURING THE
WINDIEST PERIODS. AFTER TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE SEASONAL
AVERAGES FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS, A MORE TYPICAL NORTHWEST UPPER
LEVEL FLOW RETURNS HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE 40S AND 50S STARTING
SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. A MOSTLY ZONAL
FLOW DOES NOT FAVOR ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OR
TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL, ENJOY THESE LAST FEW DAYS OF DRY WEATHER AND 60S TO
70S FOR HIGHS, AS THEY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FLEETING IN THE
COMING WEEKS WITH SEASONAL NORMALS DROPPING INTO THE 30S AND 40S
FOR HIGHS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
A NORTH TO NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON UP TO 10 KTS. WINDS LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, EXCEPT TURNING
SOUTHEAST 5-8 KTS TONIGHT IN DEVILS LAKE AREA. SE WINDS
INCREASE TO 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS BY 18Z THURSDAY.
SKIES REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH THE CYCLE, EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF FOG AT KBJI FROM 08Z-13Z.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ZANKER
AVIATION...ZANKER
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page