355
FXUS63 KFGF 091215
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
715 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY, WITH
MUCH COOLER WEATHER SUNDAY ONWARD. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 345 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2026
..SYNOPSIS
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES TODAY INTO FRIDAY, WITH H5 ZONAL FLOW
DEVELOPING LATER IN THE DAY. AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST HEADING INTO EARLY SATURDAY, SERVING TO SUPPORT SOUTHWEST
FLOW INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS LATER IN THE WEEKEND. STRONG WARM AIR
ADVECTION TAKES SHAPE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD
FRONT. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB WELL INTO THE 80S IN
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL RED RIVER VALLEY, AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. FURTHER NORTH, WIDESPREAD
MID TO UPPER 70S ARE EXPECTED. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15-25 MPH
ARE LIKELY FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. THERE WILL BE
A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST, THEN NORTH LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY
AS MUCH COOLER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION. HIGHS ON SUNDAY (IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S) WILL LIKELY OCCUR VERY EARLY IN THE DAY, WITH
TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN CHANCES ENTER THE FORECAST
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE COLD FRONT.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 712 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. SOME CHANCE FOR IFR
CEILINGS TO DEVELOP IN WARM ADVECTION ZONE OVER PARTS OF NORTH
CENTRAL MN AFTER 06Z SAT. MAIN ISSUE TODAY WILL BE INCREASING
SSE WINDS, GUSTS 25-28 KTS ANTICIPATED AT MOST TAF SITES AND
OTHER LOCATIONS AS WELL. 30KT GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATE
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL REMAIN UP THRU THE NIGHT WITH LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AS WINDS AT 2-3K FT AGL WILL
INCREASE TO 35-40 KTS.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...LYNCH
AVIATION...RIDDLE
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