073
FXUS63 KFGF 122327
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
627 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED WEAK SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
- COOLER OVER THE NEXT WEAK WITH PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWERS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT FRI JUN 12 2026
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER LOW ACROSS CENTRAL CANADA WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT
LEAST THE NEXT WEEK. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT LEADING TO
HIGHER CONFIDENCE WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE MAIN
UNCERTAINTY WILL BE THE INDIVIDUAL SHORTWAVES ROUNDING THE MAIN
UPPER LOW THAT WILL LEAD TO SHOWER CHANCES ACROSS OUR REGION.
ALL IN ALL ANTICIPATE PERIOD SHOWER CHANCES AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. IMPACTS SHOULD BE MINIMAL GIVEN LACK OF
INSTABILITY. THERE COULD BE A FEW SNEAKY MARGINAL SEVERE DAYS
(ESPECIALLY FOR HAIL GIVEN THE LOWER FREEZING LEVELS) IF
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FROM CROPS PROVIDES ADDITIONAL BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME MID LEVEL CUMULUS ACROSS THE AREA. A
FEW SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH PRODUCED SOME LIGHT RAIN EARLIER, BUT
AT THIS POINT LOOK TO REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE TAF SITES.
MVFR CEILINGS START TO COME DOWN LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING AS COOLER AIR SAGS IN FROM CANADA. SHOWERS LOOK
SCATTERED ENOUGH TO NOT INCLUDE AT THIS POINT. SOME OF THE TAF
SITES SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, BUT THE MN
AIRPORTS COULD STAY MVFR FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. WINDS THAT ARE
GUSTING ABOVE 30 KTS IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY SHOULD DECREASE IN
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. NORTHWEST WINDS PICKING UP AGAIN DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW WITH GUSTS UP TO THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE AGAIN.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...TG
AVIATION...JR
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