723
FXUS63 KFGF 071127
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
627 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH
AT LEAST SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..SYNOPSIS
UPPER PATTERN FEATURES A PACIFIC JET NOSING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS OUT OF THE CANADIAN ROCKIES. AT THE SURFACE, A WEAK AND
DRY FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EVENING. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME SPRINKLES, BUT OVERALL LACK OF
MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURE CHANGE BEHIND THE FRONT WILL PREVENT
MOST RAIN FROM REACHING THE GROUND.
POST FRONTAL AIR MASS TOMORROW WILL BE NOTICED MOSTLY BY AN
INCREASE IN NORTHWEST WINDS, GUSTING 25-35 MPH, PERHAPS NEARING
40 MPH IN NORTHWEST MN DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALSO IN NORTHWEST
MN, SOME RAIN SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP LEE OF LAKE OF THE WOODS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOWER RH VALUES IN SOUTHEAST ND WILL ALLOW
FOR NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, HOWEVER RELATIVELY
HIGHER MOISTURE FUEL STATUS WILL NEGATE ANY DEDICATED MESSAGING
OF FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.
INTO LATE WEEK, UPPER PATTERN STAYS RATHER ZONAL WITH SOME
GUIDANCE SUGGESTING UPPER RIDGING INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS BY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
AND AN OVERALL DRY FORECAST.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT WED OCT 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TODAY. MAINLY PATCHES OF MID CLOUDS AND CIRRUS.
THOUGH SOME CU MAY FORM IN THE AFTERNOON NORTHEAST ND AND
NORTHWEST MN AROUND 6000 FT AGL. GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING TODAY
ALL AREAS, WITH GUSTS FROM THE NORTHWEST 25-28 KTS MOST AREAS,
THOUGH SLIGHTLY LESS IN THE FORESTS AROUND KBJI. WINDS TO
DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS EVENING AND HOLD UNDER 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...CJ
AVIATION...RIDDLE
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