376
FXUS63 KFGF 032350
AFDFGF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
550 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT SNOW THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. WARM TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO IMPACTFUL WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 550 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
GETTING SOME FOG REPORTED AROUND CANDO AND LANGDON WITH
VISIBILITY DOWN TO 1/4 MILE AT TIMES. WEB CAMS IN THE AREA LOOK
CLOUDY/FOGGY, BUT NOT ALL COMPLETELY SOCKED IN WITH LOW
VISIBILITY. JUDGING BY OBS IN NORTH CENTRAL ND, THINK VIS SHOULD
COME UP A BIT AS THE CENTER OF THE SURFACE LOW MOVES WEST AND
SNOW STARTS FALLING. FOR NOW ONLY ADDED PATCHY FOG MENTION IN
THE GRIDS BUT WILL KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR SUSTAINED DENSE FOG.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 233 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
..SYNOPSIS
RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN US IS KEEPING THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN
NORTHWEST FLOW, WITH WEAK WAVES PROPAGATING THROUGH. ONE SUCH WAVE
PASSED THROUGH THIS MORNING, PROVIDING LIGHT SNOW. YET ANOTHER
WAVE WILL TRACK THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH OUR AREA UNDER A WEAK WAA
REGIME. THIS WILL DRIVE LIGHT SNOW, BUT ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
LIMITED, ONLY UP TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT, UNDER 15 MPH, SO BLOWING SNOW IS NOT A CONCERN.
RIDGING TO OUR WEST ONLY CONTINUES TO BUILD WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES LOCALLY START TO RISE, AS A SURGE OF WARMER AIR ADVECTS
EAST. HIGHS ON THURSDAY WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING AREA WIDE, WITH THE
NBM SHOWING A TIGHT CLUSTERING OF TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 30S TO
LOW 40S AREA WIDE. THIS WARM UP DOES GET INTERRUPTED BY A COLD
FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY, BUT ITS SHORT LIVED.
WINDS WILL PICK UP THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE BUBBLE OF CAA WORKS
THROUGH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. HOWEVER, THE WARM TEMPERATURES
AHEAD OF THESE STRONGER WINDS SHOULD AID THE EXISTING SNOWPACK
IN CRUSTING OVER. THEREFORE, BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW CONCERNS
SHOULD BE MITIGATED.
AS THE MAIN RIDGE AXIS OVER THE WEST COAST TRANSLATES EASTWARD THIS
WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AGAIN, WITH THIS GENERAL WARMING
TREND LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE SIGNS THAT THIS
MAY BE THE START OF A LARGER SHIFT IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN.
WITH TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN US AND RIDGING THROUGH THE
PLAINS STATES, ENSEMBLES ARE HINTING AT SOUTHWEST FLOW
DEVELOPING, WHICH COULD OPEN THE DOOR FOR MORE SYSTEM(S) NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 550 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026
SOME FOG MOVING INTO THE REGION NORTH OF KDVL, BUT AT THIS POINT
THINK THAT IT WILL STAY NORTH OF THE TAF SITES. CONTINUED
PREVIOUS SHIFT'S MENTION OF 3-5SM WITH LIGHT SNOW AS THE BRIEF
ROUND OF PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH. SITES WILL DECLINE TO
MVFR OR EVEN IFR IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WITH KDVL AND KGFK
ALREADY THERE. SOME IMPROVEMENT AT A FEW OF THE TAF SITES
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD, BUT OTHERWISE MOST OF TOMORROW
LOOKS TO BE MVFR. WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND FROM THE SOUTH BACK TO
THE WEST THEN SOUTHWEST, MOSTLY WITH SPEEDS BELOW 12 KTS.
FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
UPDATE...JR
DISCUSSION...RAFFERTY
AVIATION...JR
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