530
FNUS73 KOAX 122054
FWSOAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LANCASTER EMA SPOT...LINCOLN LANCASTER EMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
354 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM CDT
FRIDAY...
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN STEADY OR DECREASE BY JUST
A FEW MPH THROUGH 7 PM. RH WILL REMAIN VERY LOW, IN THE 16 TO 22
PERCENT RANGE THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.
AFTER SUNSET THROUGH 10 PM: THE FREQUENCY OF WIND GUSTS
DECREASES, BUT STILL MAY HAVE OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 38 MPH.
SUSTAINED WIND WILL ALSO DECREASE SLIGHTLY, TO THE 18 TO 25 MPH
RANGE. WIND DIRECTION WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WESTERLY DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD.
10 PM TO 4 AM: A STRONG FRONT WILL BRING A SHARP WIND SHIFT OUT OF
THE NORTH NORTHWEST. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS LANCASTER
COUNTY FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BETWEEN 10 PM AND 11 PM, BUT THIS
TIMING COULD VARY BY UP TO AN HOUR. WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE
SHARPLY TO 40-50 MPH AS THE FRONT PASSES, AND WILL CONTINUE TO
GUST OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT 35 TO 48 MPH THROUGH AROUND 4 AM.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURING THIS TIME WILL BE IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT
RANGE.
AFTER 4 AM FRIDAY: RH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 50% BY LATE
MORNING, DECREASING BACK TO NEAR 20% BY LATE AFTERNOON. NORTHWEST
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS, WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH BY NOON. WINDS CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN
THE AFTERNOON, GRADUALLY TURNING OUT OF THE WEST AT LESS THAN 10
MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
--------
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 52 MPH GUSTS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 48 MPH GUSTS BETWEEN 10 PM AND 4 AM THURSDAY
NIGHT. 22 MPH ON FRIDAY.
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 16% ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 18 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
WIND (30 FT) (MPH)..BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 29 TO 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 26 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 36 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 37 TO 38 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (114200 KNOT-FT).
GFDI................59.
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19 21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 67
RH..............23 22
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..24 23
20 FT WIND GUST.32 32
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.18 17
EYE LVL WND GST.24 24
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW
SURFACE WND SPD.30 29
SURFACE WND GST.40 40
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.38 37
GFDI............59 59
SDSPL KT-FT/1000148 114
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 12 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
GUSTS UP TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 32 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 28 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
GUSTS UP TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 32 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
GUSTS UP TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 32 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 22 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (19600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
GFDI................52 DECREASING TO 18.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........31 38 61 69 78 70 52 41 43 43 35 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66 66 65 63 62 60 58 53 50 48 45 43
RH..............24 24 24 25 26 28 34 39 36 34 35 38
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..22 20 22 22 21 21 19 18 17 17 17 16
20 FT WIND GUST.33 31 31 33 31 32 35 33 30 30 28 26
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.16 15 16 16 16 16 14 13 13 13 13 12
EYE LVL WND GST.25 23 23 25 23 24 26 25 23 23 21 19
SURFACE WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
SURFACE WND SPD.28 25 28 28 26 26 24 23 21 21 21 20
SURFACE WND GST.41 39 39 41 39 40 44 41 38 38 35 32
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.3 1.2 0.9 1.2 2.2 2.7 2.5 2.3 1.8 1.6 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 29 29 29 26 29 25 25 26 25 24 22
GFDI............56 47 51 52 44 43 39 29 25 25 19 16
SDSPL KT-FT/100069 32 20 20 28 37 49 56 51 43 33 26
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN
THE MORNING.
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 8 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH IN
THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (45000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
GFDI................8.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 34 30 31 31 30 33 39 32 31 48 46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40 38 36 38 40 42 44 47 50 51 52 53
RH..............41 44 45 42 42 39 36 31 28 28 26 25
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..14 11 11 11 11 11 9 8 8 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.23 18 16 17 16 16 14 12 11 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
EYE LVL WND SPD.11 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4
EYE LVL WND GST.17 13 12 13 12 12 10 9 8 8 8 7
SURFACE WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
SURFACE WND SPD.18 14 14 14 14 14 11 10 10 9 8 8
SURFACE WND GST.29 22 20 21 20 20 17 15 14 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 15 22 22 21 18 16 13 12 10 8
GFDI............11 6 5 6 6 7 6 5 6 5 5 5
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 21 27 35 43 45 45 43 44 43 40 31
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA BURKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605545.0/OAX
.DELDT 03/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ABURKI@LANCASTER.NE.GOV
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