228  
FNUS73 KOAX 161335  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BADGER LAKE KOENIG...IOWA DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
835 AM CDT WED APR 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS ARE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS MORNING AND WILL VEER MORE TO  
THE SOUTH LATER THIS MORNING, WITH GUSTS GENERALLY 20 TO 25 MPH  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. COULD SEE A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS TO 35 MPH.  
TEMPERATURE WILL TOP OUT AROUND 76 THIS AFTERNOON WITH HUMIDITY  
FALLING TO AROUND 24 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL SHOULD BECOME  
EXCELLENT THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN DOESN'T ARRIVE UNTIL  
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, AND IS LOW ONLY AROUND A 20 PERCENT CHANCE,  
WITH THE BETTER CHANCE FARTHER SOUTH.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: 35 MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 23 PERCENT  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................8.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 30 28 18 7 4 2 9 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 56 61 66 69 72 74 76 76  
RH..............44 37 32 28 27 26 24 24 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 20 20 19 19 20 20 20 19  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11 11  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 15 15 14 14 15 15 15 14  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.14 15 16 16 18 18 19 19 18  
SURFACE WND GST.21 25 25 24 24 25 25 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.4 3.5 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.9 5.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 24 24 24 24 23 23 22  
GFDI............3 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 11  
SDSPL KT-FT/100026 37 52 68 81 93 101 99 82  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (58800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (6900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................7.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........9 12 17 19 47 31 46 28 56 64 56 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
TEMP............76 74 70 65 63 62 60 58 57 57 56 56  
RH..............25 27 32 40 44 48 55 62 67 69 73 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 16 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.14 13 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13  
SURFACE WND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
SURFACE WND GST.23 22 20 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 15 17 18 18 20 18 18 18 17 16  
GFDI............10 8 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100059 36 23 14 9 7 9 11 11 10 10 7  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
19 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (59500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 36 65 59 60 55 58 64 62 55 49 47  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC  
TEMP............56 55 57 61 66 70 73 76 78 79 79 78  
RH..............82 87 86 80 70 61 55 48 43 42 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 12 12 12 11 11 12 12 10 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 19 19 18 18 18 17 16 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SW  
EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 9 8 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 11 11  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE S S S S S S S S S SW  
SURFACE WND SPD.14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 15 15 13 9  
SURFACE WND GST.22 22 23 24 24 23 22 22 21 20 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.3 4.0 4.4 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 20 21 23 21 21 20 18 16 15 14  
GFDI............2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 5 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 8 17 30 42 48 51 53 57 60 58 47  
 
 
FORECASTER...NWS OMAHA/VALLEY  
REQUESTED BY...LIAM BELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2510656.0/OAX  
.DELDT 04/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LIAM.BELL@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
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