617  
FNUS73 KOAX 111254  
FWSOAX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LHSF LITTLE SIOUX C RX BURN UNIT...IOWA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
754 AM CDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT A WARM AND DRY DAY WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. TEMPERATURE AT  
IGNITION WILL BE AROUND 60 DEGREES AND TOP OUT AT 84 THIS  
AFTERNOON WITH RH FALLING FROM THE UPPER 30S TO 24 PERCENT. WIND  
WILL BE LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY TO START AND GRADUALLY BECOME  
SOUTHERLY, WITH SPEEDS AROUND 8 TO 12 MPH AND GUSTS AROUND 20-22  
MPH BY 3-4 PM. GIVEN THE SUNSHINE AND INCREASING WINDS, EXPECT  
GOOD MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSAL. RH SHOULD RECOVER TO AROUND 50  
PERCENT OVERNIGHT, THOUGH IT LOOKS EVEN WINDIER, WITH SOUTH TO  
SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING AROUND 25-30 MPH THROUGH ABOUT SUNRISE.  
 
TUESDAY WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER, WITH SLIGHTLY LOWER RH  
AND STRONGER WINDS FOLLOWING A WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTHWESTERLY TO  
NORTHWESTERLY BY AROUND 9-10 AM. EXPECT GUSTS OF 30-35 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RH OF 21 PERCENT.  
 
STRONGEST POSSIBLE 30 FT WIND SPEEDS ON DAY OF BURN: GUSTS TO 28  
MPH  
 
LOWEST POSSIBLE RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON DAY OF BURN: 19 PERCENT  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (30 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (111000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........17 7 11 7 25 26 22 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............60 64 67 71 77 79 81 84  
RH..............39 38 33 30 26 26 25 24  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 14 14 16 17 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 6 6 7 8  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 9 9 10 11 12 13 13  
30 FT WND DIR...SE SE SE SE S S S S  
30 FT WND SPD...8 8 8 9 10 10 11 13  
30 FT WND GST...13 15 15 17 18 20 21 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.2 5.6 6.7 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 15 17 18 18  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100016 21 30 44 71 98 111 91  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 19  
MPH.  
WIND (30 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
31 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
25 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (58100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
GFDI................0.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........49 39 26 28 15 48  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............83 79 72 70 68 64  
RH..............24 28 35 36 36 41  
20 FT WIND......S 11 S 11 S 13 S 16 S 13 S 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 19 22 25 21 20  
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 8 S 8 S 10 S 12 S 10 S 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.14 14 17 19 16 15  
30 FT WIND......S 14 S 14 S 16 S 20 S 16 S 16  
30 FT WND GST...23 24 28 31 26 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....7100 500 600 500 600 700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 S 15 S 20 S 23 S 23 S 23  
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0  
SDSPL KT-FT/100058 16 10 10 13 14  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 14  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (30 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO  
23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17 TO  
20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (107200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (140900  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GFDI................1.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........64 66 76 52 35 8  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............63 65 72 77 80 80  
RH..............45 47 40 32 26 23  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 10 NW 13 NW 16 NW 18 NW 18  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 19 18 23 26 26  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 8 SW 8 NW 10 NW 12 NW 13 NW 13  
EYE LVL WND GST.13 14 14 17 20 20  
30 FT WIND......SW 13 SW 13 NW 16 NW 20 NW 23 NW 23  
30 FT WND GST...22 24 23 29 33 33  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 900 2000 4500 6200 7300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 16 NW 20 NW 23 NW 28 NW 30  
GFDI............0 0 0 1 1 1  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 12 38 107 170 190  
 
 
FORECASTER...CA  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF SEAGO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613318.0/OAX  
.DELDT 05/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFREY.SEAGO@DNR.IOWA.GOV  
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