239
FNUS75 KCYS 012245
FWSCYS
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOWRY PEAK FIRE...CASPER INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
445 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2020
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UN-REPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (307) 772-2227, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
QUIET WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS DRY AIR ALOFT PERSISTS. MIN RH VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THOUGH INTO THE UPPER
TEENS. SURFACE WINDS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON. SHOULD EXPECT A TURN TO MORE
SOUTHERLY AROUND 04Z/10 PM MDT WITH WINDS AROUND 5-10 MPH. WINDS
RETURN TO A MORE DOMINANT SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND SUNRISE THURSDAY.
NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TONIGHT AND BETTER CHANCE ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE FURTHER EAST TOWARD THE WY/NE BORDER THOUGH A
STRAY SHOWER MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH ERRATIC GUSTS NEAR ANY THAT
DEVELOP.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (115800 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............65 63 60 57 54 52 51 50 49 49 48 47
RH..............20 21 24 27 28 28 28 28 28 28 29 30
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 10 8 7 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.16
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 24 23 22 21 21 23 26 29 29 29
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1000119 119 119 119 119 119 116 116 116 116 116 116
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
INCREASING TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (156000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (245500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 1 1 0 1 1 2 5 9 12 10 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............47 50 55 58 62 65 69 70 49 70 73 73
RH..............31 31 30 29 25 23 20 20 42 21 18 18
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 13 9
20 FT WIND GUST. 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.7 11 11 11 11 11 11
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 26 26 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 25 24
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDSPL KT-FT/1000156 156 156 156 156 156 246 246 246 246 246 246
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 14
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (108100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
(27500 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........6 6 6 6 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............70 68 66 62 58 57 55 54 53 53 53 51
RH..............20 22 24 28 32 33 34 34 33 33 33 36
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 23 22 20 18 17 16 15 14 14 13 13
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/1000108 108 108 108 108 108 28 28 28 28 28 28
FORECASTER...MOKRY
REQUESTED BY...CASEY CHEESEBROUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2008731.2/CYS
.DELDT 07/01/20
.EMAIL WYCPC@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page