653
FXUS63 KGID 012331
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
531 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WIND CHILL VALUES NEAR ZERO TONIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING.
- SOME SNOWMELT EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
(EAST) TO MID 40S (WEST).
- ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD AIR RETURNS WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
NEAR TO BELOW ZERO POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING.
- WARMER, NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 224 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
TODAY AND TUESDAY...
SKIES ARE CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A
DEPARTING DISTURBANCE. TEMPERATURES ARE SITTING IN THE 20S
(CENTRAL/EAST) TO LOW 30S (WEST). ANY LINGERING FLURRIES SHOULD EXIT
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. CLEAR SKIES
AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS, COLDEST WHERE THE SNOWPACK IS THE
DEEPEST. WIND CHILL VALUES TUESDAY MORNING WILL HOVER AROUND ZERO,
DROPPING BELOW ZERO IN PERIODS OF WIND.
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW STRENGTHENS OVER THE AREA ON TUESDAY, BRINGING A
WELCOME WARMUP TO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING
ACROSS THE AREA (MID 30S TO MID 40S), ALLOWING FOR AT LEAST SOME
MELTING OF SNOW/ICE. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL
BE ACROSS FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE THERE IS THE
LEAST SNOW ON THE GROUND. THESE AREAS COULD MAKE A RUN AT
TEMPERATURES NEAR 50 DEGREES GIVEN FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE WINDS.
OVERALL A RELATIVELY PLEASANT DAY IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY,
ESPECIALLY WHEN COMPARED TO THE PAST FEW DAYS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...
THE NEXT DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY, BRINGING
ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR TO THE AREA. THE NBM CURRENTLY KEEPS THE
FORECAST AREA DRY (POPS < 10%) WITH THIS DISTURBANCE AND
FRONTAL PASSAGE. POPS MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED WEDNESDAY
MORNING, WITH HREF MEMBERS SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED
LIGHT PRECIPITATION, AND 12Z ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOWING A 20-30%
CHANCE FOR 0.01" OF PRECIPITATION. IF PRECIPITATION DOES OCCUR,
IT WOULD LIKELY BE A LIGHT WINTRY MIX.
BREEZY-GUSTY WINDS MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON WEDNESDAY, WITH
NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 25-30MPH. WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGHS ONLY IN
THE LOW 30S RESULTS IN A CHILLY FEELING DAY ACROSS THE AREA
(APPARENT TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS TO LOW 20S). WINDS BECOME LIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA.
TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY MORNING WILL DROP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS. AREAS WITH THE HIGHEST LINGERING SNOWPACK (HIGHWAY 81
AND EAST) MAY SEE TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO AROUND SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. THANKFULLY, LIGHT WINDS KEEP WIND CHILL VALUES
"ONLY" IN THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO. SOUTHERLY WINDS
STRENGTHEN AFTER SUNRISE, GUSTING 20-30MPH. HIGHS ON THURSDAY
RANGE FROM THE MID 20S ALONG/EAST OF HIGHWAY 81 TO THE UPPER 30S
WEST OF HIGHWAY 183.
FRIDAY ONWARDS...
TEMPERATURES CLIMB BACK TOWARDS NORMAL ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY UNDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S ARE
EXPECTED, WARMEST ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THE NEXT
DISTURBANCE AND SHOT OF COLD AIR ARRIVES SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY,
THOUGH THIS LOOKS TO BE A QUICK COOLDOWN BEFORE TEMPERATURES CLIMB
BACK TOWARDS/ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK. THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THOUGH IT'S POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY'S
SYSTEM BRINGS SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 527 PM CST MON DEC 1 2025
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL
MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST GENERALLY BETWEEN 5 TO 10 KNOTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DAVIS
AVIATION...SCHULDT
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