782
FXUS63 KGID 290554
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1254 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 90S.
- COOLER AND BREEZY WEATHER BEHIND A COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY.
- OFF AND ON PRECIPITATION (20-45%) CHANCES TUESDAY THROUGH THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 347 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON ARE CURRENTLY SITTING IN THE 60S.
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 35-45MPH COMBINED WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES IN THE TEENS ARE RESULTING IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10PM. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS, BUT STEADILY DECREASE AFTER SUNSET. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SUNDAY...
ALOFT RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES/PLAINS ON SUNDAY, RESULTING IN
ANOTHER WARM DAY ACROSS THE AREA. HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE 70S AND 80S
ACROSS THE AREA. A PUSH OF WESTERLY WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WILL ALLOW WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA TO CLIMB INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 80S. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN ON SATURDAY, WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY BELOW 20MPH. THE LIGHTER WINDS WILL ALSO KEEP FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS LOWER DESPITE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 20% ALONG
AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. STILL, AN AREA OF ELEVATED TO NEAR-
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS REMAINS POSSIBLE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE GUSTS REACH
20MPH.
MONDAY...
THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE MOVES OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE WESTERN ROCKIES. HIGHS SOAR INTO
THE 80S TO LOW 90S, WARMEST ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ON MONDAY WILL BE
SIMILAR TO SUNDAY, BELOW 20% ALONG/WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. LIGHT
WINDS (GUSTS GENERALLY BELOW 20MPH) KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
LOWER. ENJOY THIS WARMTH WHILE YOU CAN, AS NOTICEABLY COOLER
WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
TUESDAY ONWARDS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY MORNING, BRINGING MUCH COOLER (SEASONABLE) TEMPERATURES TO
THE AREA. NORTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 30-40MPH ARE FAVORED BEHIND THE
FRONT, CONTINUING THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. ANYTHING THAT
DOES FALL ON TUESDAY LOOKS TO REMAIN QUITE LIGHT, WITH THE ECMWF AND
GFS ENSEMBLES INDICATING A LESS THAN 10% CHANCE FOR 0.10" OR MORE.
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE AREA AND PERSISTS THROUGH THE
END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MODEL SPREAD WITHIN THIS SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW RESULTS IN BROAD, CONTINUED POPS THROUGHOUT THE LATTER HALF OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS MODEL SPREAD BRINGS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO
HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION THE AREA WILL ACTUALLY SEE, BUT OVERALL
ACCUMULATIONS DO NOT LOOK TO BE MUCH AT THIS TIME. THE GFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLES INDICATE A 50-70% CHANCE FOR 0.10" THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
AND A LESS THAN 20% CHANCE FOR 0.5", WITH THE OVERALL HIGHEST
CHANCES ACROSS EAST/SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA. SOME OF THIS
COULD FALL AS A RAIN/SNOW MIX DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BUT ANY
WINTER IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOOKS
TO MOVE THROUGH THE PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY, WITH THE BEST POP
CHANCES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE FOR A
FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE IT WEAKENS AND SHIFTS E. THIS PERIOD WON'T
BE NEARLY AS WINDY AS THE PAST FEW. WINDS WILL START OFF BREEZY
OUT OF THE S, BEFORE WEAKENING AND GRADUALLY VEERING THROUGH THE
DAYTIME HOURS. WINDS WILL GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE SUNDAY EVENING.
EXPECT SOME OFF AND ON MID TO HIGH CLOUDS, BUT NOT MUCH BELOW
10-15K FEET. CONFIDENCE: HIGH.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 347 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2026
SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING 35-45MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MID EVENING HOURS. WINDS STEADILY DECREASE AFTER
SUNSET, THOUGH GUSTS OF 25-30MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN BELOW 20% THROUGH
SUNSET, CLIMBING ABOVE 25% AROUND 10PM. THE BREEZY-GUSTY WINDS
AND LOW HUMIDITY KEEP A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH 10PM. HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE 60%
OVERNIGHT, WITH GUSTS FALLING BELOW 20MPH BY SUNRISE ON SUNDAY.
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL RESULT
IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FALLING BELOW 20% ALONG
AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 281. HIGHER DEWPOINTS ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL KEEP RH VALUES HIGHER/ABOVE CONCERN
DESPITE THE WARM TEMPERATURES. WINDS ALSO LOOK TO REMAIN LIGHT,
WITH GUSTS GENERALLY BELOW 20MPH. STILL, PERIODS OF ELEVATED TO
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA SUNDAY/MONDAY WHERE GUSTS REACH 20-25MPH
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DAVIS
AVIATION...THIES
FIRE WEATHER...DAVIS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page