399
FXUS63 KGID 230731
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
231 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY TODAY WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH POSSIBLE.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS OR WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY (MAINLY
IN THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE AREA).
- MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
THE MAIN STORY TODAY IS THE WIND. SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO GUST 35-45 MPH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.
THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE AREA HAS THE HIGHEST CHANCE TO SEE
PEAK WINDS EXCEED 45 MPH (30 TO 60% PER THE LATEST NBM). DESPITE
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS, THE WIND SHOULD ALLOW US TO ONCE AGAIN
REACH THE UPPER 70S AND EVEN LOW 80S IN SOME AREAS.
A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA FOR SATURDAY, RESULTING IN A
WIDE RANGE IN TEMPERATURES. SOUTHEASTERN AREAS COULD ONCE AGAIN
APPROACH 80, BUT NORTHERN AREAS COULD STRUGGLE TO REACH 60.
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ALREADY IN THE MORNING, WITH
INCREASING COVERAGE IN THE AFTERNOON. A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER
CANNOT BE RULED OUT, BUT INSTABILITY IS FAR TOO MEAGER TO
SUPPORT ANY KIND OF SEVERE THREAT. AREAS MOST LIKELY TO SEE RAIN
ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT ARE NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM
PHILLIPSBURG TO GRAND ISLAND TO FULLERTON.
SUNDAY SHOULD START OFF DRY FOR MOST OF THE AREA BEFORE
ADDITIONAL RAIN MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. EXACT TIMING REMAINS
UNCERTAIN, BUT MANY AREAS, ESPECIALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 WILL
LIKELY REMAIN DRY UNTIL MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN ARRIVES SUNDAY
NIGHT AND LASTS THROUGH MONDAY. LIKE SATURDAY, A FEW RUMBLES OF
THUNDER ARE POSSIBLE, BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. IN TOTAL,
AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 ARE MOST FAVORED (30 TO 70%) TO SEE
1.00" OR MORE OF RAINFALL.
MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD DRY OUT AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTS ON
TUESDAY, BUT ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MAY BRING ANOTHER BRIEF SHOT
OF RAIN TO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK WILL BE NEAR OR STILL SLIGHTLY ABOVE OUR
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL FOR LATE OCTOBER (HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
AND 60S AND LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S AND 40S).
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1243 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
HIGH CONFIDENCE (95%) IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO
FRIDAY EVENING.
LLWS CONTINUES THROUGH SUNRISE FRIDAY. SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS
WILL THEN INCREASE, WITH AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 35 KTS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF LLWS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...MANGELS
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