572
FXUS63 KGID 271759
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1159 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAKE ITS
WAYS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...SPREADING SOME LIGHT SNOW OR
FLURRIES ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH SOME
SPRINKLES AND LIGHT RAIN IN SPOTS THIS AFTERNOON. ALREADY SEEING
SOME RETURNS IN RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA
WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND EXPECT THEM TO REACH THE LOCAL AREA AROUND
DAYBREAK. THAT SAID...DO NOT EXPECT MORE THAN A TENTH OR SO OF AN
INCH OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WITH ONLY
AROUND ONE HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF LIQUID PRECIPITATION ACROSS
AREAS THAT ARE ABLE TO MEASURE. THE MAIN IMPACT TODAY WILL BE THE
CLOUDY SKIES...SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR A BLUSTERY LATE FEBRUARY DAY.
A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY IMPACT NORTHEASTERN
NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT MAIN IMPACT LOCALLY WILL JUST BE
A FEW PASSING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO NUDGE ITS WAY ACROSS THE PLAINS FROM
THE WEST ON FRIDAY...STARTING A PERIOD OF WARMER WEATHER ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. WHILE FRIDAY WILL STILL BE FAIRLY MILD...EXPECT
POTENTIALLY UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY...WITH
HIGHS FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL
AREA. WITH THESE WARMER TEMPS AND BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS...COULD SEE A NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY AS HIGHLIGHTED
IN THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST THIS MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE OF
CRITICAL CONDITIONS IS VERY LOW...AND INCLUDED NO MENTION IN THE
HWO THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE FAIRLY
NICE DAYS ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A FEW CLOUDS AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER TEMPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTH.
WHILE THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A MAJOR WEATHER MAKER FOR THE
LOCAL AREA...DO EXPECT SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO START THE NEW WEEK
WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW RETURNING BY MONDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS. THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES RETURN
TO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON
ONWARD WITH VERY SMALL CHANCES FOR PRECIP THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MORE ACTIVE WEST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THE
NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW...THEN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...SHOULD LIFT
INTO THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...BUT THE FOCUS WILL BE TO
OUR EAST AND LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT LOCALLY IS EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020
SIGNIFICANT WX: MVFR CIGS TODAY
THIS AFTN: CIGS WILL BORDERLINE VFR TO MVFR, WITH BEST CHC FOR
MVFR AT EAR. EXPECT SOME PASSING SNW SHWRS, ESP AT EAR, NEXT FEW
HRS. NW WINDS WILL INCR THIS AFTN WITH GUSTS 20-25KT BETWEEN
19-22Z. CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
TONIGHT - FRI AM: SHOULD REMAIN VFR AS STRATOCU WILL DECR NEAR
SUNSET. WILL SEE A WAVE OR TWO OF MID TO HIGH CLDS, ESP LATE
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRI AM WITH A DISTURBANCE, BUT APPEARS CIGS
SHOULD REMAIN AOA 5K FT. WILL SEE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SFC INCR
BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE, WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME LLWS FOR A FEW
HRS AT EAR 15-17Z FRI. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE WNW TO NW AT
8-13KT. CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
SHORT TERM...ROSSI
LONG TERM...ROSSI
AVIATION...THIES
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