197  
FXUS63 KGID 180021  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
721 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
   
..AVIATION UPDATE
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- WINDY SATURDAY WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND A COLD FRONT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST AS HIGH AS 40 TO 45 MPH.  
 
- WHILE MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, AN ISOLATED  
SHOWER OR SPRINKLE WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH OF HIGHWAY 92  
(CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED OUT FARTHER SOUTH)  
 
- TEMPERATURES MAY DIP SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING LATE SATURDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING MAINLY IN OUR FAR NORTH/WEST-  
CENTRAL NEBRASKA FORECAST AREA, WITH AT LEAST PATCHY FROST  
ALSO POSSIBLE IN MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF MAINLY OUR NEBRASKA  
FORECAST AREA. A FREEZE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE  
COUNTIES MOST LIKELY TO FREEZE AND LATER FORECASTS WILL  
LIKELY NEED TO CONSIDER A FROST ADVISORY FOR SEVERAL MORE  
COUNTIES.  
 
- NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER  
ANTICIPATED SUNDAY ONWARDS, WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS  
POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
CLEAR SKIES AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES PERSISTED ACROSS THE  
REGION THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED EAST  
INTO PORTIONS OF MISSOURI AND IOWA. EXPECT THIS PLEASANT WEATHER  
TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS, WITH A SEASONABLY MILD NIGHT  
IN STORE FOR THE REGION.  
 
LOOKING UPSTREAM OF THE LOCAL AREA, THE COLD FRONT ACROSS  
MONTANA AND WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST  
OVER THE NEXT 18 HOURS, BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES  
AND VERY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO THE REGION SATURDAY. WHILE  
MOISTURE IS LIMITED WITH THIS FRONT, MODELS HINT A FEW LIGHT  
SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES COULD BE SQUEEZED OUT ACROSS OUR FAR NORTH  
TOMORROW AFTERNOON, PRIMARILY IMPACTING AREAS NORTH OF HIGHWAY  
92 ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. BY FAR, THE BIGGEST IMPACT OF  
THE FRONT WILL BE THE SURGING NORTHWEST WINDS THAT WILL OVERTAKE  
THE AREA DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. LATEST HRRR HAS WINDS  
GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35-40KTS BY MID-MORNING...WITH A WINDY  
AFTERNOON IN STORE FOR THE REGION.  
 
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THEN SETTLES IN BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS  
THE HIGH PLAINS LATE THE DAY, WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY  
EARLY EVENING, WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS  
SUGGESTING TEMPERATURES SHOULD RAPIDLY DROP OFF DURING THE  
EVENING HOURS...WITH SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES EVEN POSSIBLE  
ACROSS NORTHERN/WESTERN AREAS THAT WILL BE CLOSER TO THE AREA OF  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. GIVEN THE INCREASING CONFIDENCE OF AT  
LEAST WIDESPREAD FROST, WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH  
FOR THE PARTS OF THE AREA MOST LIKELY TO SEE FREEZING  
TEMPERATURES, BUT FULLY RECOGNIZE A FROST ADVISORY WILL  
EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FURTHER EAST OF THESE COUNTIES GIVEN THE  
SET-UP.  
 
AS WINDS THEN SHIFT AND BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY ON SUNDAY, EXPECT  
A WARMER AIRMASS TO QUICKLY ADVECT BACK ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA,  
RESULTING IN TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE  
NORMAL SUNDAY AFTERNOON. YET ANOTHER MAINLY DRY "COLD FRONT" IS  
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA AGAIN ON MONDAY, BUT AGAIN, THE MAIN  
IMPACT LOCALLY WILL BE THE STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS IN ITS WAKE AS  
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY CONTINUE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL  
TO START THE WORK WEEK. THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK CONTINUES TO  
LOOK DRY WITH A SEE-SAW OF TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES AROUND  
CLIMATOLOGY AS WEST NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ALOFT AND THE NEXT  
UPPER LEVEL LOW SLIDES MAINLY SOUTH OF THE AREA NEXT FRIDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 720 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2025  
 
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:  
- GENERAL OVERVIEW:  
ALTHOUGH AT LEAST A FEW HOURS OF LOW-END VFR CEILING IS EXPECTED  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON, CONFIDENCE IS OVERALL-HIGH IN VFR  
CEILING/VISIBILITY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD, WITH BY FAR THE MAIN  
CONCERN BEING MODERATELY-STRONG NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS FROM LATE  
SATURDAY MORNING ONWARD (GUSTS AT LEAST 30-35KT). ALTHOUGH  
FAIRLY UNLIKELY, A FEW ROGUE SPRINKLES CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM  
MID-MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY (TOO LOW OF  
LIKELIHOOD/LOW IMPACT TO INCLUDE IN TAFS).  
 
- CEILING DETAILS:  
ALTHOUGH STARTING OFF PRISTINELY CLEAR THIS EVENING, MID-HIGH  
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BE ON A STEADY INCREASE OVERNIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY MORNING. THE MAIN WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR LOWER-END  
VFR CLOUDS WILL FOCUS 18-22Z...DURING WHICH TIME A CEILING  
PERHAPS AS LOW AS AROUND 4,500 K FT. COULD MATERIALIZE.  
 
- WIND DETAILS:  
LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES (AROUND 6KT OR LESS) WILL  
PREVAIL OVERNIGHT. AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY, SPEEDS WILL GRADUALLY  
INCREASE AS DIRECTION BECOMES MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND A  
PASSING COLD FRONT...WITH AN ABRUPT INCREASE IN SPEEDS 16-18Z  
PREVAILING AT LEAST 20-25KT/GUSTS AT LEAST 30-35KT. THESE  
MODERATELY-STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THE  
AFTERNOON BEFORE STARTING TO SUBSIDE SLIGHTLY VERY LATE IN THE  
PERIOD.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...FREEZE WATCH FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR  
NEZ039-040-046-060-061-072-073-082.  
KS...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...ROSSI  
AVIATION...PFANNKUCH  
 
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