361  
FXUS63 KGID 141931  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
231 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- THE REST OF THE WORKWEEK WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM, AND THIS  
WEEKEND WILL BE HOT!  
 
- OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK, BUT A STRAY SHOWER OR WEAK THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE  
ENTIRELY RULED OUT (MAINLY THURSDAY).  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 231 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH  
THIS WEEK. NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY (UPPER 80S AND LOW  
90S) WILL TREND WARMER THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK AND  
WILL PEAK THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES FOR THIS WEEKEND HAVE  
TRENDED A TOUCH HIGHER. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE FOR SUNDAY WHERE  
THE 50TH PERCENTILE NBM IS NEAR 100 DEGREES FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.  
HEAT INDEX VALUES DON'T LOOK TO BE "EXTREME," BUT A FEW AREAS  
COULD SEE VALUES AS HIGH AS 105.  
 
THE MODEL CONSENSUS FAVORS DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND,  
ALTHOUGH A FEW MODELS HINT AT ISOLATED CONVECTION AS MOISTURE  
AND WEAK LIFT NUDGE IN FROM THE SOUTH. THIS WOULD PRIMARILY BE  
THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH IT WOULD NOT BE IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE SOMETHING  
ISOLATED ANY DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ALL THAT BEING SAID, THE  
STRONG CONSENSUS IS FOR DRY CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR THE  
MAJORITY OF THE AREA. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES DEPICT AN 80-100% CHANCE  
FOR LESS THAN 0.10" THROUGH MONDAY. NORMAL RAINFALL DURING THIS  
PERIOD IS ROUGHLY 0.10" PER DAY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1228 PM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:  
 
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. FEW AFTERNOON  
CUMULUS WILL CLEAR OUT THIS EVENING.  
 
SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOME LIGHT/VARIABLE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...MANGELS  
AVIATION...MANGELS  
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