571
FXUS63 KGID 281718
AFDGID
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1118 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 50S THIS AFTERNOON WILL DROP THROUGH
FRIDAY BACK TO THE TEENS TO MID 20S.
- OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN THURSDAY AND SUNDAY LOOK MORE LIKELY
TO DEPOSIT AT LEAST A FEW TENTHS OF SNOW ACROSS AROUND 30-70%
OF THE AREA WITH A 10-30% CHANGE FOR AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF
A LINE FROM VALLEY TO POLK COUNTIES RECEIVING AT LEAST 1" OF
SNOWFALL.
- OVERNIGHT LOWS FRIDAY NIGHT WILL DROP NEAR AND INTO THE
NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS (AS LOW AS 0 TO -6 DEGREES) WITH WIND
CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS -10 TO -20 DEGREES POSSIBLE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 337 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
A PLEASANT WINTER DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY AS HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. HIGHS MIGHT EVEN REACH THE LOW 50S ACROSS A
FEW PLACES WEST OF HWY-183 (45-80% CHANCES). IN ADDITION TO THE
NEAR TO JUST ABOVE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES, LIGHT WINDS SHOULD NOT
BLOW GREATER THAN 10MPH TODAY. THOUGH DIRECTIONS MAY BE VARIABLE AT
TIMES AMONG A WEAK SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT, DIRECTIONS SHOULD
STEER EASTERLY BY THE EVENING. CLOUDS MOVING IN FOR THE SECOND HALF
OF THE DAY WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF A MULTI-DAY TREND WHERE CLOUD
COVERAGE WILL OVERPOWER THE NUMBER OF BREAKS FOR THE SUN TO SHINE
THROUGH.
PRECIPITATION-WISE, LIGHT SNOW COULD BECOME POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY WITH OCCASIONAL BURSTS OF SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE
THROUGH SATURDAY. AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT WILL STIR UP
SCATTERED AREAS OF SNOW SHOWERS, LIKELY DROPPING DOWN AND INTO A
MAJORITY OF THE AREA BETWEEN MAINLY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
AS WELL AS THE PERIOD SATURDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. THE WIDE WINDOW OF
PROBABILITIES ARE DUE TO INCONSISTENT TIMING AND COVERAGE OF THESE
SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN THE HIGH-RES CAMS (NARROWER AND MORE DEFINED
PEAK AMOUNTS OF SNOW) AND THE DETERMINISTIC 6Z GFS/ECMWF RUNS (MORE
WIDESPREAD SNOW COVERAGE WITH LOW-END AMOUNTS).
DESPITE THE EXTENDED PERIOD THAT LIGHT SNOW MAY BE POSSIBLE, AMOUNTS
MAY STILL HAVE A HARD TIME ACCUMULATING MORE THAN A FEW TENTS UP TO
JUST OVER 1" OF SNOW ACROSS ISOLATED NORTHEASTERLY LYING LOCATIONS.
CHANCES FOR AREAS SEEING AT LEAST A 0.1" OF SNOW RANGE FROM 40-50%
FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF I-80 UP TO 60-70% FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF I-
80. FOR LOCATIONS FALLING ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM VALLEY
TO POLK COUNTIES, THE LATEST FORECAST PROBS ONLY SHOW VALUES BETWEEN
10-30% FOR THESE AREAS TO REACH OR EXCEED 1".
BEYOND THE SNOW CHANCES NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK, TEMPERATURES WILL
ALSO DROP WITH HIGHS HEADING TOWARD THE TEENS TO 20S WITH OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT (0 TO -6
DEGREES. WIND CHILL VALUES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING MAY
DROP AS LOW AS -10 TO -20 DEGREES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 215 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
LIGHT WINDS AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT
IN THE MOST PLEASANT DAY OF THE WEEK ON WEDNESDAY. A SHORTWAVE
AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT THEN PUSHES IN COLDER AIR INTO THE
AREA FOR THURSDAY, ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW. THIS SNOW COULD
ACTUALLY MOVE INTO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BEFORE SUNRISE
THURSDAY. THEN PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW CONTINUE OFF AND ON
THROUGH FRIDAY IN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PATTERN. IMPACTS FROM
THE SNOW ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE MINOR TO NONE. MOST AREAS
WILL ONLY SEE A DUSTING OF NEW SNOW, AND THE POTENTIAL TO SEE 1"
OR MORE IS 20-40% (HIGHEST NORTH OF I-80).
FRIDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE THE COLDEST DAY OVER THE NEXT WEEK
(HIGHS IN THE TEENS), AND WIDESPREAD SUBZERO LOW TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL NOT
BE OVERLY STRONG, BUT MAY STILL RESULT IN WIND CHILLS IN THE -15
TO -20 DEGREE RANGE FOR AT LEAST SHORT PERIODS EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY, BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW (FAVORING
NORTHEASTERN ZONES). AGAIN, MOST AREAS WILL LIKELY ONLY SEE A
DUSTING OF ADDITIONAL SNOW.
GLOBAL ENSEMBLES DIFFER ON THE SPEED OF THE WARMUP, BUT
GENERALLY AGREE IN A WARMING TREND FOR NEXT WEEK. THERE ARE SOME
HINTS FOR PRECIPITATION THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK (FEB 3-5), BUT
THE OVERALL THREAT REMAINS LOW.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1115 AM CST WED JAN 28 2026
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:
VFR CONDITIONS FAVORED THROUGH TAF PERIOD.
AROUND SUNRISE ON THURSDAY, SNOW BECOMES POSSIBLE FIRST AT KGRI
THEN KEAR. SNOW RATES LOOK TO BE LIGHT KEEPING VISIBILITY VFR
OR ABOVE, BUT BRIEFLY MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE IN SNOW.
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TAF PERIOD. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WINDS SHIFT TO THE EAST THIS EVENING, AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS MOVE IN
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING IN OVERNIGHT-
THURSDAY MORNING.
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
UPDATE...STUMP
DISCUSSION...MANGELS
AVIATION...DAVIS
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