108  
FXUS63 KGID 082305  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
505 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022  
   
..AVIATION UPDATE
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)  
ISSUED AT 233 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
* THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN TRIMMED A BIT IN THE SOUTH,  
BUT STILL CONTINUES OTHER AREAS THROUGH 6 PM DUE TO CONTINUED  
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SOME LOCALIZED AREAS DENSE FOG ALSO  
RESULTING IN ICE DEPOSITION.  
 
* THE WEEKEND LOOKS ESSENTIALLY DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES  
 
* A LARGE WEATHER SYSTEM HAS BEEN WELL ADVERTISED FOR NEXT WEEK  
AND IS STILL ON PACE TO IMPACT OUR WEATHER IN POTENTIALLY  
VARIOUS WAYS.  
 
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW A DISTINCT INCREASE IN RETURNS JUST  
NORTHEAST OF THE HASTINGS AREA, ALMOST BORDERING ON A LIGHT  
FREEZING RAIN FEEL (MOSTLY THIS EVENT HAS BEEN FREEZING DRIZZLE).  
THIS SEEMS TO BE SOME RESPONSE TO ACTUAL UPPER WAVE STARTING TO  
MOVE AND ONE FINAL ROUND OF LIFT PUSHING THOUGH. ACROSS THE  
WESTERN/SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA, PATCHES OF DRIZZLE, FREEZING  
DRIZZLE AND LOCALLY DENSE FOG REMAIN. THE FOG TREND HAS IMPROVED  
THOUGH AS A LIGHT WEST WIND AND SOME SUBSIDENCE TRIES TO CUT  
EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA. WITH ALL THIS, HAVE  
CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN THE SOUTH WERE IT IS  
ABOVE FREEZING AND ADDITIONAL FREEZING ISSUES ARE UNLIKELY. THE  
ADVISORY REMAINS IN PLACE ELSEWHERE WITH SUB-FREEZING  
TEMPERATURES AND ITS POSSIBLE THE NORTH/NORTHEAST FORECAST AREA  
MAY NEED AN EXTENSION FOR A COUPLE HOURS UNTIL THE UPPER ENERGY  
CAN GET THROUGH ABOUT 8 OR 9 PM AND PRECIPITATION ACTUALLY END.  
WHILE WE DO HAVE A COUPLE OF SPOTS OF LOCALLY DENSE FOG, THE FOG  
TRENDS ARE MOVING TRANSITORY NOW IN THE SOUTH AND MOVING THROUGH.  
THEREFORE HAVE HELD OFF ON DENSE FOG ADVISORY AND JUST INCLUDED  
FOG IN THE FORECAST AND VIA A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR  
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.  
 
CLEARING WILL BE EASIEST TO COME BY IN THE SOUTH AS DRY AIR CUTS  
ACROSS THAT AREA THIS EVENING, BUT AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80  
MAY STRUGGLE CLEAR EVEN BY MORNING. THE CLOUDS GET ELONGATED IN  
A MORE EAST/WEST FASHION WITH THIS SYSTEM THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.  
IT IS STILL COLD THOUGH AND THOSE AREAS ABOVE FREEZING NOW WILL  
BOTTOM OUT BELOW FREEZING SO REFREEZING IN AREAS CURRENTLY ABOVE  
FREEZING IS LIKELY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK TO THE 40S ON  
FRIDAY SO THAT WILL MELT THE GLAZE OF ICE ACROSS THE FORECAST  
AREA.  
 
THE WEEKEND IS PRETTY MILD WITH SHORT WAVE RIDGING ALOFT MOVING  
THROUGH THE REGION. HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S WILL BE COMMONPLACE  
BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WHICH WILL BE 5-8 OR MORE DEGREES ABOVE  
NORMAL. SATURDAY MAY BE THE NICE DAY THOUGH A TAD COOLER AS  
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST WINDS PICK UP ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEATHER  
SYSTEM.  
 
BRIEFLY, THERE CONTINUES TO BE GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE GENERAL PATTERN  
THAT A LARGE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL ROLL INTO THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN  
PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY IMPACT OUR  
WEATHER FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH BOTH A WARM SIDE AND A COLD SIDE. ON  
THE WARM SIDE, MOISTURE WILL STREAM NORTH AND THE POTENTIAL FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOOKING A BIT BETTER WITH TIME...CENTERED ON  
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS IS WORTH WATCHING VERY CLOSELY WITH THE  
UNSEASONABLE WARM/MOISTURE AIR POTENTIAL. ON THE BACK, WE COULD  
SEE SOME WRAP AROUND SNOW THOUGH THE BEST SNOW POTENTIAL CONTINUES  
TO BE NORTH OF THE AREA AT THIS TIME. LOTS STILL TO COME WITH  
THIS WEATHER SYSTEM. STAY TUNED.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 451 PM CST THU DEC 8 2022  
 
FREEZING DRIZZLE IS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE AREA CURRENTLY.  
VISIBILITY SHOULD IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CEILINGS WILL  
ALSO SLOWLY IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. MVFR  
TO IFR STRATUS MAY LINGER NEAR OR JUST TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF  
GRI UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING, THOUGH.  
 
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR  
NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>085.  
 
KS...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ005-  
006.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...NOAA/NWS/MORITZ  
AVIATION...MANGELS  
 
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