548  
FXUS63 KGID 090521  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
1221 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- SPRINKLES THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
- HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
AND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
- THIS WARMTH AND CONTINUED DRYNESS WILL LEAD TO LATE-SEASON  
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR PARTS OF THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS  
NEXT WEEK. SEE THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION BELOW FOR MORE  
SPECIFICS.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 355 PM CDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
DIURNALLY-DRIVEN SPOTTY RAIN SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER PARTS  
OF THE AREA. THE HIGHEST COVERAGE EXISTS JUST SOUTHWEST OF THE  
FORECAST AREA, AND THERE ACTUALLY HAVE BEEN A FEW LIGHTNING  
STRIKES IN THAT AREA. EVEN SO, THE LACK OF INSTABILITY AND WEAK  
LIFT WILL KEEP COVERAGE PRETTY LIMITED OVER OUR AREA, AND MOST  
AREAS WILL BE LUCKY TO SEE SPRINKLES...AT BEST. THIS ACTIVITY  
SHOULD DIMINISH AROUND OR SLIGHTLY AFTER SUNSET.  
 
SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT AND WINDS WILL GO LIGHT/VARIABLE. AS  
SUCH, PATCHY RADIATION FOG CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN LOW-LYING  
AREAS. THAT SAID, THE HREF MEMBERS APPEAR MORE FAVORABLE TO OUR  
SOUTHEAST (WHERE THEY'VE SEEN MORE RAINFALL RECENTLY).  
 
RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS A SURFACE RIDGE OF  
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. UNDER CLEAR SKIES,  
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA. A VERY  
PLEASANT "SUMMER-LIKE" DAY!  
 
SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR, WITH SLIGHTLY BREEZIER SOUTHERLY WINDS  
AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN  
CONUS. SOME AREAS MAY ALREADY THREATEN 90 DEGREES, AND THE  
LATEST NBM SHOWS A 20-50% CHANCE FOR EXCEEDING 90 DEGREES FOR  
AREAS NORTH OF I-80.  
 
AS RIDGING CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD, GUSTIER SOUTHERLY  
WINDS ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY (SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH  
WITH GUSTS 30-40 MPH). TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 80S EACH DAY  
AND COULD PUSH WELL INTO THE 90S FOR SOME AREAS (ESPECIALLY  
TUESDAY).  
 
THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT  
THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS HIGHLIGHT  
AREAS TO OUR NORTH WITH THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE ANY "MEANINGFUL"  
RAIN. IN FACT, BASED ON THE 12Z EPS, THERE IS A 50-80% CHANCE  
FOR MOST OF OUR AREA TO SEEN ZERO MEASURABLE RAIN THROUGH  
THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1217 AM CDT FRI MAY 9 2025  
 
FOR KGRI/KEAR AIRPORTS:  
 
SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLEAR THROUGHOUT THE DAYLIGHT HOURS  
WITH JUST SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS MOVING IN AFTER SUNSET  
THIS EVENING. THE WIND WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGHOUT THE DAY,  
RATHER VARIABLE THIS MORNING AND THEN PRIMARILY OUT OF THE NORTH  
THIS AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO SOUTHEASTERLY DURING THE LATE  
EVENING HOURS. THIS IS A HIGH CONFIDENCE VFR TAF PERIOD.  
 
 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...MANGELS  
AVIATION...WESELY  
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