572  
FXUS63 KGID 271759  
AFDGID  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE  
1159 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020  
   
SHORT TERM
 
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL MAKE ITS  
WAYS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...SPREADING SOME LIGHT SNOW OR  
FLURRIES ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...WITH SOME  
SPRINKLES AND LIGHT RAIN IN SPOTS THIS AFTERNOON. ALREADY SEEING  
SOME RETURNS IN RADAR IMAGERY ACROSS THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA  
WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND EXPECT THEM TO REACH THE LOCAL AREA AROUND  
DAYBREAK. THAT SAID...DO NOT EXPECT MORE THAN A TENTH OR SO OF AN  
INCH OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WITH ONLY  
AROUND ONE HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF LIQUID PRECIPITATION ACROSS  
AREAS THAT ARE ABLE TO MEASURE. THE MAIN IMPACT TODAY WILL BE THE  
CLOUDY SKIES...SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY  
WINDS...WHICH WILL MAKE FOR A BLUSTERY LATE FEBRUARY DAY.  
 
A SECONDARY UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY IMPACT NORTHEASTERN  
NEBRASKA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...BUT MAIN IMPACT LOCALLY WILL JUST BE  
A FEW PASSING CLOUDS OVERNIGHT WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES  
CONTINUING.  
   
LONG TERM
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 330 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO NUDGE ITS WAY ACROSS THE PLAINS FROM  
THE WEST ON FRIDAY...STARTING A PERIOD OF WARMER WEATHER ACROSS  
THE LOCAL AREA. WHILE FRIDAY WILL STILL BE FAIRLY MILD...EXPECT  
POTENTIALLY UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY...WITH  
HIGHS FORECAST TO CLIMB INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL  
AREA. WITH THESE WARMER TEMPS AND BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY  
WINDS...COULD SEE A NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY AS HIGHLIGHTED  
IN THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST THIS MORNING...BUT CONFIDENCE OF  
CRITICAL CONDITIONS IS VERY LOW...AND INCLUDED NO MENTION IN THE  
HWO THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...SATURDAY AND SUNDAY SHOULD BE FAIRLY  
NICE DAYS ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A FEW CLOUDS AND SLIGHTLY  
COOLER TEMPS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM AS THE  
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM  
THE NORTH.  
 
WHILE THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A MAJOR WEATHER MAKER FOR THE  
LOCAL AREA...DO EXPECT SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO START THE NEW WEEK  
WITH A CHANCE FOR SNOW RETURNING BY MONDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES  
RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE LEVELS. THEREAFTER...TEMPERATURES RETURN  
TO NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON  
ONWARD WITH VERY SMALL CHANCES FOR PRECIP THROUGH AT LEAST  
WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE MORE ACTIVE WEST NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. THE  
NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW...THEN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...SHOULD LIFT  
INTO THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...BUT THE FOCUS WILL BE TO  
OUR EAST AND LITTLE IF ANY IMPACT LOCALLY IS EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CST THU FEB 27 2020  
 
SIGNIFICANT WX: MVFR CIGS TODAY  
 
THIS AFTN: CIGS WILL BORDERLINE VFR TO MVFR, WITH BEST CHC FOR  
MVFR AT EAR. EXPECT SOME PASSING SNW SHWRS, ESP AT EAR, NEXT FEW  
HRS. NW WINDS WILL INCR THIS AFTN WITH GUSTS 20-25KT BETWEEN  
19-22Z. CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.  
 
TONIGHT - FRI AM: SHOULD REMAIN VFR AS STRATOCU WILL DECR NEAR  
SUNSET. WILL SEE A WAVE OR TWO OF MID TO HIGH CLDS, ESP LATE  
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRI AM WITH A DISTURBANCE, BUT APPEARS CIGS  
SHOULD REMAIN AOA 5K FT. WILL SEE WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SFC INCR  
BEHIND THIS DISTURBANCE, WHICH COULD RESULT IN SOME LLWS FOR A FEW  
HRS AT EAR 15-17Z FRI. OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE WNW TO NW AT  
8-13KT. CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.  
 

 
   
GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NE...NONE.  
KS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...ROSSI  
LONG TERM...ROSSI  
AVIATION...THIES  
 
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