797  
FXUS63 KOAX 212314  
AFDOAX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE  
514 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- THE COLD AIR WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEK,  
WITH HIGHS IN THE 20S AND 30S. WIND CHILLS COULD DIP TO -5 TO  
-15 SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS.  
 
- A MID-WEEK STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING OUR NEXT OPPORTUNITY FOR  
PRECIPITATION, WITH A 20-40% CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026  
 
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY...  
 
A WEAKENING SHORTWAVE PASSED TO OUR SOUTH LAST NIGHT, BRINGING LIGHT  
SNOWFALL TO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS. VERY FEW FLAKES MANAGED TO  
ACTUALLY REACH THE SURFACE OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA, AFTER SUCCUMBING  
TO DRY AIR. LOW TEMPERATURES DIPPED INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER  
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA, AND TEENS OVER SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHWEST  
IOWA.  
 
PEEKS OF SUNSHINE TODAY AND CLEAR SKIES SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY SHOULD  
CONTINUE TO HELP GRADUALLY EAT AWAY AT SOME OF OUR SNOW COVER.  
HOWEVER, THE HIGH ALBEDO OF THE REMAINING SNOW WILL ALSO WORK  
AGAINST TEMPERATURES, DRAGGING HIGHS DOWN INTO THE 20S. THE CLEAR  
NIGHT SKIES ALSO WON'T DO US ANY FAVORS, AS LOWS ARE FORECAST TO  
BOTTOM OUT AROUND +5 TO +10 SUNDAY MORNING, AND -5 TO +5 ON MONDAY  
MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY SUNDAY, WITH A  
FEW GUSTS UP TO 20 TO 30 MPH MIXING DOWN. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES  
COMBINED WITH THE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE -5 TO -15  
BOTH MORNINGS.  
 
TUESDAY AND BEYOND...  
 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE ROCKIES TODAY  
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE RETURN OF DRY  
WEATHER AND THE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THAT WE'VE BECOME  
ACCUSTOMED TO. HIGHS WILL TRANSITION FROM THE 20S/30S ON MONDAY TO  
THE 40S AND 50S BY MID-WEEK. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY PREVAIL  
OVER LOCATIONS WITH LINGERING SNOWCOVER. BUT, PRESUMABLY, THIS  
SHOULD MELT OFF THE MAJORITY OF OUR SNOW PACK BY THE END OF THE  
WEEK.  
 
THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO FLATTEN OUT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY, AS A  
SHORTWAVE RIPPLES THROUGH. THIS FEATURE COULD BRING US A SMALL  
CHANCE (20-40%) FOR RAIN AND SNOW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY  
THURSDAY. OTHERWISE, NORTHWESTERLY FLOW SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES  
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 512 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHWEST WINDS  
WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS LAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. SKIES CLEAR  
OVERNIGHT ALONGSIDE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS.  
 
 
   
OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NE...NONE.  
IA...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...KG  
AVIATION...CHEHAK  
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