630
FXUS61 KGYX 081255
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
855 AM EDT WED APR 8 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS WINDS AND
SEAS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.
KEY MESSAGES
1. AFTER SOME LATE SEASON SNOW WE RETURN TO NEAR TO JUST BELOW
NORMAL, BUT DRY WEATHER. A BIG WARMUP IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
2. COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY, WITH TRANQUIL WEATHER EXPECTED OVER
THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
WE WILL BEGIN A GRADUAL WARMING TREND TODAY BUT KEEP THE
WEATHER DRY. THAT IS THE PRIMARY FOCUS IN THE SHORT TERM. VERY
DRY AIR MASS ALOFT SETTLES INTO THE REGION AND EVEN MODEST
MIXING SHOULD BRING DOWN THOSE DRY DEWPOINTS. FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS START TO CREEP BACK INTO THE FORECAST CONSCIOUSNESS.
BASED ON FORECAST MIXING HEIGHTS TODAY, I ANTICIPATE WIDESPREAD
SINGLE DIGIT DEWPOINTS AND MIN RH VALUES DROPPING INTO THE TEENS
FOR LARGE SWATHS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH COOLER TEMPS, LIGHT
WINDS, AND RECENT SNOW KEEPING SURFACE FUEL MOIST I DO NOT
ANTICIPATE SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. GOING INTO THU
TEMPS WARM AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY. AWAY FROM THE
COAST MIN RH VALUES SHOULD DROP TO OR BELOW 25 PERCENT, SO IF WE
CAN DRY OUT THE SURFACE FUELS IT MIGHT GET A LITTLE BUSIER. THE
NBM IS DOING A FAIR JOB FOR TODAY, BUT DEWPOINTS LOOK TOO HIGH
FOR THU, SO I WILL BE LOWERING THOSE WITH SOME MIXED DOWN
DEWPOINTS AND 5TH PERCENTILE NBM GUIDANCE. BY FRI IT WILL BE
MUCH WARMER BUT ALSO WITH SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE ADVECTION THAT
SHOULD KEEP RH VALUES IN MORE MODERATE LEVELS.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
FRIDAY NIGHT, A COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE
FRONT SHOULD BE PROGRESSIVE AND DRIER, WITH LOWER RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MORE PLAUSIBLE AT THIS TIME. ONCE THIS FRONT PASSES,
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ARRIVE FOR THE WEEKEND WITH MORE SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES LIKELY. NEXT WEEK STARTS OFF UNSETTLED WITH
MEASURABLE RAINFALL POSSIBLE FOR MONDAY.
AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...VFR EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK:
THURSDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
THURSDAY NIGHT: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. POSSIBLE AREAS OF LOW
STRATUS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST.
FRIDAY: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. POSSIBLE AREAS OF LOW
STRATUS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COAST.
FRIDAY NIGHT: RESTRICTIONS POSSIBLE DUE TO SHOWERS.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY: VFR EXPECTED.
MARINE
MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF THE BAYS THRU MORNING.
CONDITIONS REMAIN BELOW SCA THRESHOLDS UNTIL THU WHEN SOUTHERLY FLOW
INCREASES AND SOME 25 KT GUSTS RETURN. THU INTO FRI WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR MARINE FOG/STRATUS FORMATION AS MOISTURE RETURNS
NORTHWARD.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WATERS FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY. SEAS LOOK TO BE AROUND 2-5FT WITH SCA ISSUANCE UNLIKELY
DURING THIS PERIOD.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
UPDATE...COMBS
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