322
FXUS61 KGYX 140520
AFDGYX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1220 AM EST WED JAN 14 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
LITTLE CHANGES NEEDED TO THIS FORECAST PACKAGE AS THE GOING
FORECAST LOOKS GOOD. IN THE SHORT TERM, HAVE ADDED FOG FOR LATER
TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AM. OTHERWISE, AT LEAST IN THE SHORT TERM
LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AM BUT IT
WILL BE RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
KEY MESSAGES
1. LOW PRESSURE BRINGS MAINLY LIGHT RAIN TO THE AREA THIS EVENING
INTO THURSDAY. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT, BUT SLICK TRAVEL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN NH AND THE WESTERN ME MOUNTAINS, WHERE
PRECIPITATION TYPE IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SNOW, ESPECIALLY AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
2. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW, BUT SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION AND IMPACTS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WINDS
CHILLS BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
A SLOW-MOVING CLOSED LOW WILL APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
AND TONIGHT WITH A DRYSLOT ARRIVING THURSDAY MORNING. FORCING
FOR ASCENT PROBABLY WON'T BE STRONG ENOUGH YET FOR ANYTHING BUT
A FEW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DURING THE EVENING
MOISTURE AND LIFT INCREASES SO LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD. TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUPPORT MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS
NORTHERN NH AND THE WESTERN ME MOUNTAINS (WHERE SLIPPERY TRAVEL
IS POSSIBLE) AND RAIN EVERYWHERE ELSE. THE DRYSLOT ARRIVES
THURSDAY MORNING EFFECTIVELY SHUTTING OFF ANY STEADY
PERCEPTION BESIDES SOME DRIZZLE. WITH DEWPOINT VALUES RISING TO
ABOVE FREEZING LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY THE CHANCES OF FOG,
POSSIBLY LOCALLY DENSE, WILL INCREASE.
TEMPERATURES DROP ON INCREASING WINDS LATER THURS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION...
THURSDAY NIGHT, A LOW PUSHES AWAY FROM NEW ENGLAND, ALLOWING FOR
SOME WRAPAROUND SNOW SHOWERS NORTH OF THE MOUNTAINS. BY FRIDAY
MORNING, A 500MB TROUGH WILL QUICKLY SWING THROUGH THE REGION. THE
TROUGH'S QUICK PROCESSION WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO BE QUITE
CHILLY ON FRIDAY, WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW 0F WIND
CHILLS.
WARMER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE ON SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES IN
FROM BEHIND. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO MAKE IT UP INTO THE UPPER 30S. BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK, COLD AIR GRADUALLY WORKS BACK INTO THE AREA.
AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH THURSDAY...MVFR RESTRICTIONS COULD LINGER IN THE
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. MVFR TO IFR RESTRICTIONS
LIKELY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY IN RAIN, MOUNTAIN SNOW, FOG AND
POSSIBLE DRIZZLE. WINDS MAY GUSTS UP TO 25 KT OUT OF THE WEST
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
OUTLOOK:
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY: MOSTLY VFR, BUT A LOW (20%) CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS FRI NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MAY CAUSE BRIEF RESTRICTIONS.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY: LIGHT SNOW WITH IFR TO MVFR RESTRICTIONS
POSSIBLE.
MARINE
THROUGH THURSDAY...SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE DIMINISHING TONIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE
AGAIN THURSDAY WITH HIGHER END SCA GUSTS LIKELY.
THURSDAY NIGHT-TUES...WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT A FEW GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. SCA
CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY BUT MAY BRIEFLY FALL BELOW
CRITERIA AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN. ADDITIONAL PERIODS
OF SCA CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURES/FRONTS APPROACH AND CROSS THROUGH
NEW ENGLAND. 4-6FT SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ150-152-
154.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ151-153.
DISCUSSION...COMBS/EKSTER/PALMER
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