781
FXUS61 KOKX 041739
AFDOKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
139 PM EDT FRI SEP 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) COOLER AND MORE COMFORTABLE WEATHER SETTLES IN THROUGH THE LABOR
DAY WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SATURDAY LATE
AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
THE REGION REMAINS SANDWICHED IN BETWEEN MID AND UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND A DIGGING TROUGH ACROSS
SOUTHEAST CANADA AND NEW ENGLAND.
THE TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHEAST AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW
MEANDERS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
HELPING USHER IN A LESS HUMID AND COOLER REGIME FOR THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. WE ARE ALREADY SEEING SOME GUSTY NW WINDS ALONG WITH
FALLING DEW POINTS.
DEW POINTS FALL INTO THE LOW 60S FOR SATURDAY, AND INTO THE 50S FOR
SUNDAY. THIS WILL OFFER A MUCH LESS MUGGY AND MORE COMFORTABLE FEEL
TO THE AIR THIS WEEKEND.
THE COLD POOL ALOFT AND CYCLONIC FLOW COULD HELP TO INSTIGATE SOME
SHOWER ACTIVITY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. HI-RES
CAMS SHOWING COVERAGE MAINLY EAST OF NYC, HOWEVER CAN NOT RULE OUT A
FEW SHOWERS FURTHER WEST. THE HIGHS POPS SEEMS TO BE CONCENTRATED
ACROSS SOUTHERN CT. NOT ALL LOCATIONS WILL SEE WET WEATHER.
SATURDAY WILL BE THE WARMER DAY OF THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. A FEW MID 80S WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NYC.
SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY BOTH FEATURE DRY CONDITIONS AND DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. A FEW LOWER 80S WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON MONDAY NEAR THE NYC METRO.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
FAIRLY QUIET CONDITIONS BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
VFR. NW/N WINDS 10-15KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KT THIS
AFTERNOON. NW-NNW WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING. WINDS BEGIN TO
SHIFT MORE NE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
NY METRO (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF UNCERTAINTY...
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE ONLY OCCASIONAL AND MAY END AN HOUR
OR TWO EARLIER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL
NORTH OR RIGHT OF 310 MAGNETIC, BUT COULD PREVAIL SOUTH OF 310
FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AT KEWR.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: MAINLY VFR.
DETAILED INFORMATION, INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT
FORECASTS, CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ZNY/N90
MARINE
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR 25-34 KT WIND GUSTS AND 5-8FT SEAS
TOWARDS THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK AHEAD OF AND BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
RIP CURRENTS:
A LACK OF SIGNIFICANT WIND OR SWELL WILL LEAD TO A LOW RIP
CURRENT RISK BOTH TODAY AND SATURDAY.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BC
AVIATION...MW
MARINE...BC
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