314
FXUS61 KOKX 241430
AFDOKX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1030 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
2) FROST LIKELY INLAND, ALONG THE CONNECTICUT COAST AND ACROSS
EASTERN LONG ISLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE NORTH WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND, THEN DRIFT SOUTH ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED. HIGH PRESSURE AND
DRY CONDITIONS THEN RETURN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2
UNDER MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE,
RADIATIONAL COOLING IS EXPECTED EACH NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
FOR THE OUTLYING AREAS. TEMPERATURES EACH NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO
DROP INTO THE 30S WITH SOME 25-30 READINGS POSSIBLE WELL INLAND
AND IN PARTS OF THE LONG ISLAND PINE BARRENS.
SIMILAR TEMPERATURES TO WHAT WE HAD THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED
LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FROST ADVISORIES WILL
LIKELY BE REISSUED FOR TONIGHT ACROSS COASTAL CT, POSSIBLY
COASTAL WESTCHESTER, AND EASTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY. PATCHY FROST IS
ALSO POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF WESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY. MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR WILL SEE FROST AS WELL, BUT NO HEADLINES AS THE GROWING
SEASON HAS BEEN DEEMED OVER FOR THESE AREAS.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN SUNDAY NIGHT WILL
MEAN INTRODUCTION OF SOME SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR, SO FROST MAY BE
MORE PATCHY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY.
VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LIGHT FLOW EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A NW-SW FLOW MAY
DEVELOP FOR CITY TERMINALS LATE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON, BUT SPEEDS SHOULD BE 5-7 KT. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT.
...NY METRO (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF UNCERTAINTY...
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, SO DIRECTION
COULD VARY FROM TAF.
OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY: VFR.
DETAILED INFORMATION, INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT
FORECASTS, CAN BE FOUND AT: HTTPS:/WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ZNY/N90
MARINE
SUB-SCA CONDITIONS PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF
NEXT WEEK.
OCEAN SEAS MAY ALSO APPROACH 5 FT FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DW/MW
AVIATION...DS/JP
MARINE...MW
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