027
FNUS54 KEPZ 211122
FWFEPZ
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS (30-50% COVERAGE) ACROSS WESTERN NEW
MEXICO AND GILA/LINCOLN NF THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH LOWER COVERAGE
ACROSS THE DESERT LOWLANDS. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF SUDDEN,
GUSTY WINDS, CANYON AND BURN SCAR FLOODING, AND NEW LIGHTNING
STARTS. MIN RH 30-50% WITH VERY GOOD OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY.
MOISTURE SHIFTS WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, LIMITING RAIN
CHANCES WITH MUCH MORE ISOLATED (10-20%) STORM COVERAGE OVER
MOUNTAINS. DRIER AND WARMER TREND WILL ALLOW ERCS TO INCREASE
INTO NEXT WEEKEND, BUT NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED.
...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...
...MEAN ELEVATIONS USED TO OBTAIN MIXING HEIGHTS AS FOLLOWS:
ZONE 110 - RESERVE (5900 FT)
ZONE 111 - DEMING (4300 FT)
ZONE 112 - LAS CRUCES(3900 FT)
ZONE 113 - RUIDOSO (6900 FT)
VENTILATION CATEGORIES ARE DETERMINED BY CRITERIA ESTABLISHED
BY THE STATE OF NEW MEXICO.
NMZ110-211815-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/GILA NF/APACHE NF/GLZ-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....70-75.
* BELOW 7500 FT....78-83.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....56-61 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....51-56 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..EAST 7 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...80 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (44300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....53-58.
* BELOW 7500 FT....58-63.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....86-91 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....84-89 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......60 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....81-86.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....48-53 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (90500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 58 TO 63. HIGHS 83 TO 88. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
60 TO 65. HIGHS 86 TO 91. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS 62 TO 67. HIGHS 88 TO 93. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ111-211815-
SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS/LAS CRUCES BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......FAIR (41800 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-67.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...50 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
* MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (82400 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. HIGHS
92 TO 97. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 95 TO 100. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. HIGHS
97 TO 102. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ112-211815-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY/BLM/GLZ-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (80600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-69.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 14 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
* MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (96900 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 93 TO 98. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 70. HIGHS 97 TO 102. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. HIGHS
98 TO 103. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ113-211815-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....69-74.
* BELOW 7500 FT....80-85.
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....61-66 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....42-47 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (93600 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....51-56.
* BELOW 7500 FT....59-64.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....87-92 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....74-79 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 16 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....
* ABOVE 7500 FT....72-77.
* BELOW 7500 FT....83-88.
* MIN HUMIDITY........
* ABOVE 7500 FT....51-56 PERCENT.
* BELOW 7500 FT....36-41 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (97500 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 59 TO 64. HIGHS 85 TO 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61 TO 66. HIGHS 88 TO 93. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63 TO 68. HIGHS 88 TO 93. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ055-211815-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 055
EL PASO COUNTY-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1100,
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-90.
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........41-45 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 8 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (67300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-72.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
* MIN HUMIDITY........29-31 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 13 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (78200 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS 98 TO 102. SOUTH
WINDS 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. HIGHS
100 TO 104. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
TXZ056-211815-
TEXAS FIRE WEATHER ZONE 056
HUDSPETH COUNTY-
522 AM MDT TUE JUL 21 2026
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 10 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (74300 KNOT-FT).
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTH 12 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
* 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
* 10000 FT MSL WINDS..SOUTHEAST 9 MPH.
* CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
* CHC OF PRECIP.......10 PERCENT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
* VENT CATEGORY.......GOOD (93100 KNOT-FT).
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 66 TO 71. HIGHS 92 TO 97. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. LOWS 69 TO 74. HIGHS 95 TO 100. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 71 TO 76. HIGHS 97 TO 102.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
DENNHARDT
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