289
FNUS54 KMAF 161914
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
214 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED CLOUDS AND COOLER THAN AVERAGE HIGHS WITH MEDIUM TO
HIGH (45% TO 70%) SHOWER/STORM CHANCES OVER EASTERN PARTS OF THE
AREA LATE THIS WEEK AND WESTERN PARTS OF THE AREA THIS WEEKEND
MAINTAIN ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE. ALONG WITH RELATIVELY
LIGHT 20-FT WINDS BELOW 20 MILES PER HOUR, GOOD TO EXCELLENT
OVERNIGHT RECOVERY, AND MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL 15%, THIS KEEPS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS LOW. LATER IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, RAIN CHANCES DECREASE AND HIGHS WARM CLOSER TO AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR, SLOWLY INCREASING ERCS. HOWEVER, LIGHT 20-FT
WINDS AND MIN RH STAYING ABOVE CRITICAL WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LOW. FIRE
STARTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC
WINDS, BUT GOOD FUEL MOISTURE IS LIKELY TO LIMIT ANY SPREADING OF
FLAMES.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-170915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
114 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 30 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-1) 86 (+3) 61 87
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+1) 30 (-2) 82 31
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 LGT/VAR S 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SE 6 LGT/VAR SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 6 13 8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6520 7390
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 9 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 58680 73900
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ117-170915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
114 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-1) 91 (+2) 63 92
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+5) 29 (-2) 92 29
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 S 7 S 9 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 S 7 S 8 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 9 18 8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8050 8770
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88550 96470
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ118-170915-
EDDY PLAINS-
114 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-3) 91 (+3) 66 92
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+4) 33 (-7) 90 33
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SE 6 SE 10 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SE 6 SE 8 SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 9 11 6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7590 7810
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83490 78100
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ119-170915-
LEA-
114 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 10 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-2) 86 (+1) 62 88
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+4) 39 (-5) 97 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 SE 7 SE 10 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SE 7 S 8 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 13 15 7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6520 7390
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 12 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 78240 88680
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-170915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
214 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026 /114 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2026/
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 60 20 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-1) 85 (+5) 61 85
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-9) 35 (-7) 82 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 LGT/VAR SE 6 SW 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 SE 5 S 6 S 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 10 6 8 8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5690 6650
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 8 SW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45520 59850
VENT CATEGORY FAIR FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-170915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
214 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 40 30 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-5) 89 (+6) 61 90
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+5) 36 (-10) 94 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 SE 5 SE 7 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 6 SE 5 S 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 11 17 14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5610 5840
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 56100 58400
VENT CATEGORY FAIR FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-170915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
214 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 10 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-2) 87 (+4) 66 90
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 47 (-9) 96 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 SE 9 SE 10 S 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 9 S 7 S 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 22 35 18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4660 5240
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 18 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 83880 94320
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
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