164
FNUS54 KMAF 100703
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
203 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
DISCUSSION
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST DUE TO MIN RH REMAINING ABOVE
CRITICAL 15%, GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY AND LIGHT 20-FT WINDS
LARGELY BELOW 20 MILES PER HOUR, DESPITE ERCS IN THE 50TH TO 74TH
PERCENTILE AND CONTINUED VERY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES. FIRE
STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC WINDS IN ISOLATED
DAYTIME STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT OVERALL RISK OF IGNITION AND FIRE
SPREAD WILL REMAIN LOW. A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES THROUGH
THE WEEKEND MAY DRY OUT FUELS MORE BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
A BUMP IN RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-102115-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
103 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 0 10
TEMP (24H TREND) 92 (+2) 62 (-4) 95
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (0) 67 (+1) 13
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 SW 7 SW 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 W 6 SW 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 8 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7950 11340
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 10 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79500 147420
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ117-102115-
CHAVES PLAINS-
103 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 10 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (+2) 65 (-4) 101
RH % (24H TREND) 21 (-1) 73 (+6) 12
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 S 9 S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 8 S 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 13 17 16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9700 12980
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 10 SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97000 181720
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ118-102115-
EDDY PLAINS-
103 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (+2) 70 (-3) 101
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-3) 66 (+4) 17
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 S 7 S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 7 S 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 10 16 10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9440 11540
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 10 S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94400 126940
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND
102. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ119-102115-
LEA-
103 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+2) 67 (-3) 99
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-1) 78 (+9) 17
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SE 9 S 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SE 9 S 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 19 15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9320 11520
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 12 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 111840 149760
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-102115-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
203 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2026 /103 AM MDT THU SEP 10 2026/
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 90 (+4) 64 (-4) 93
RH % (24H TREND) 27 (-4) 66 (+1) 23
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 9 NE 9 SW 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 NE 10 SW 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 7 15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6930 9680
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 14 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97020 125840
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-102115-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
203 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 10
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 65 (-5) 99
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-3) 72 (+6) 21
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 E 6 SW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 NE 5 SW 5
WIND 10000 FT MSL 11 11 12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7900 10170
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 10 SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79000 101700
VENT CATEGORY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-102115-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
203 AM CDT THU SEP 10 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (0) 70 (-3) 100
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-2) 75 (+4) 21
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 7 SE 8 S 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 7 S 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 16 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8850 10030
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 14 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 123900 140420
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
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