009
FNUS54 KMAF 090821
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
321 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
DISCUSSION
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PERSIST DUE TO MIN RH REMAINING ABOVE
CRITICAL 15%, GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY AND LIGHT 20-FT WINDS
LARGELY BELOW 20 MILES PER HOUR, DESPITE ERCS IN THE 50TH TO 74TH
PERCENTILE AND CONTINUED VERY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES. FIRE
STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC WINDS IN ISOLATED
DAYTIME STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT OVERALL RISK OF IGNITION AND FIRE
SPREAD WILL REMAIN LOW. A WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES MID TO
LATE THIS WEEK MAY DRY OUT FUELS MORE BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND A BUMP IN RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-092115-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
221 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 93 (+2) 63 (-3) 91
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-6) 74 (+9) 26
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 E 8 N 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 N 8 SE 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 13 7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8780 7460
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 12 SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 105360 89520
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ117-092115-
CHAVES PLAINS-
221 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (+1) 66 (-3) 96
RH % (24H TREND) 20 (-3) 78 (+15) 24
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SE 8 S 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 E 8 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 10 22 12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10420 8470
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 12 S 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 125040 76230
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 100.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
100. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ118-092115-
EDDY PLAINS-
221 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (+3) 70 (-2) 97
RH % (24H TREND) 21 (-5) 68 (+6) 24
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 6 SE 8 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 8 SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 18 8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9700 9400
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97000 94000
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 100.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ119-092115-
LEA-
221 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 96 (+2) 68 (-2) 96
RH % (24H TREND) 22 (-6) 78 (+10) 25
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SE 9 S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 8 SE 7 SE 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 13 17 9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9680 10010
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 12 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 116160 100100
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND
101. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-092115-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
321 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026 /221 AM MDT WED SEP 9 2026/
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+4) 64 (-3) 90
RH % (24H TREND) 26 (-7) 68 (+4) 28
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 E 9 S 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 9 NE 10 SE 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 5 11 9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7750 8930
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 13 SE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 100750 116090
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-092115-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
321 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 65 (-5) 97
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-6) 77 (+10) 24
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 E 8 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 E 5 E 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 9 16 9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8700 9540
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 87000 95400
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-092115-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
321 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
TODAY TONIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10
TEMP (24H TREND) 99 (+2) 71 (-2) 98
RH % (24H TREND) 24 (-4) 77 (+6) 26
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SE 9 S 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 9 SE 6 SE 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 15 10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9070 9730
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 15 SE 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 136050 116760
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
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