730  
FNUS54 KMAF 211930  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
230 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED UNTIL LATE WEEK, BUT RECENT WETTING RAINS  
MAINTAINING LOW ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE, MIN RH ABOVE  
CRITICAL 15%, AND GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL ALL KEEP FIRE  
WEATHER CONDITIONS AT A MINIMUM. RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY THE END OF  
THE WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF OUR AREA, CONTINUING  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS COOLER TEMPERATURES ALSO FILTER IN.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-220915-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
130 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+1) 76 (-1) 53 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+4) 33 (-7) 89 40  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 LGT/VAR SE 12 S 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 11 S 6 S 11  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 22 33 30  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3950 4670  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 16 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63200 70050  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-220915-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
130 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+1) 81 (0) 55 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 30 (-10) 99 42  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 LGT/VAR SE 13 S 9  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 11 S 9 S 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 24 32 27  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4220 4520  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 17 S 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 71740 76840  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND  
15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND  
70. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-220915-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
130 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+1) 82 (0) 57 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+2) 32 (-9) 95 38  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 LGT/VAR SE 14 SE 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 10 SE 9 SE 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 23 27 25  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3780 4260  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 16 SE 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60480 68160  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-220915-  
LEA-  
130 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (0) 81 (0) 56 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (-3) 30 (-12) 100 44  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 SE 5 SE 13 SE 13  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SE 12 SE 10 SE 16  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 10 22 31 23  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3950 4000  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 16 S 19  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63200 76000  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-220915-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
230 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026 /130 PM MDT WED OCT 21 2026/  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-2) 77 (+2) 54 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+9) 33 (-7) 78 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 E 5 E 10 SE 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NE 5 E 8 E 5 SE 11  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 19 26 21  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3910 6010  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 13 S 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50830 78130  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID  
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
40 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-220915-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
230 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (-2) 84 (+3) 55 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+3) 25 (-13) 96 30  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 7 LGT/VAR E 9 SE 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 8 SE 6 SE 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 20 25 20  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4240 4730  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 13 SE 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55120 70950  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-220915-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
230 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-1) 84 (+2) 59 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-3) 27 (-13) 98 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 LGT/VAR SE 10 SE 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 10 SE 8 SE 15  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 11 18 22 22  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4090 4740  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 16 S 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 65440 94800  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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