876  
FNUS54 KMAF 190904  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
404 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE MINIMAL THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. ELEVATED  
MOISTURE WILL MAINTAIN MIN RHS AROUND 40% AND GREATER EACH AFTERNOON  
WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT NOCTURNAL RECOVERY. WIDESPREAD RAIN  
CHANCES ALSO CONTINUE TODAY, WITH AT LEAST A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA EVERY DAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALSO LOOK TO CONTINUE THE NEXT WEEK, WITH  
A BREAK IN CLOUDY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY BEFORE THE CLOUDS  
RETURN THEREAFTER.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-200915-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
304 AM MDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
50S BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT ABOVE 6000 FEET...65-75 PERCENT  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 6000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300, THEN 2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....POOR/19000 KNOT-FT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET...47 TO 52  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........70-90 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE UPPER  
50S BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH ABOVE 6000  
FEET...NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH BELOW 6000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/84000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS AROUND  
50 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE LOWER 50S BELOW 6000 FEET. EAST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE LOWER 60S BELOW 6000 FEET.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 50S ABOVE 6000 FEET...AROUND 60 BELOW 6000 FEET. EAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-200915-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
304 AM MDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....POOR/25300 KNOT-FT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....48 TO 53.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........75-95 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 21 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/88000 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-200915-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
404 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018 /304 AM MDT FRI OCT 19 2018/  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....57 TO 62 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE UPPER  
60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...60-70  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....POOR/20300 KNOT-FT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE LOWER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........80-100 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...75-95  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...65-75  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 21 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....FAIR/52300 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID 60S ALONG THE RIO  
GRANDE. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AROUND 70 ALONG THE RIO  
GRANDE. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER 70S ALONG THE  
RIO GRANDE. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-200915-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
404 AM CDT FRI OCT 19 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................2.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....POOR/15600 KNOT-FT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........80-100 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE MID 60S.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/63300 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
TUESDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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