464
FNUS54 KMAF 161915
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
215 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW. RECENT RAINS HAVE ALLOWED ERCS
TO REMAIN NEAR/BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE FOR MOST OF THE AREA.
DESPITE MINRHS NEAR/BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS,
AND OCCASIONALLY BREEZY WINDS, LOW ERCS WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS REMAIN LOW. ASIDE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT, RECOVERIES WILL
BE FAIR TO GOOD THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THIS COMING WEEKEND.
RECENT RAINFALL WAS NOT AS WIDE SPREAD AS EXPECTED, SO WILL HAVE TO
SEE IF SIGNIFICANT CURING OCCURS OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-171000-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
115 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+4) 100 (+8) 68 93
RH % (24H TREND) 40 (-40) 7 (-10) 33 16
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 7 W 16 W 15 NW 21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 11 W 17 W 20 N 15
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 35 45 40
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14850 7420
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 22 N 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 326700 192920
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 5 4 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL CRITICAL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ117-171000-
CHAVES PLAINS-
115 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+3) 107 (+10) 69 98
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-34) 6 (-11) 34 18
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 W 10 W 11 NW 18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 10 NW 16 W 12 NE 17
WIND 10000 FT MSL 26 32 44 33
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 16230 6190
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 20 N 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 324600 160940
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 5 3 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL CRITICAL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 102.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 101.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ118-171000-
EDDY PLAINS-
115 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (+4) 108 (+11) 74 103
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-30) 9 (-13) 36 17
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 9 W 13 NW 17
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 W 12 W 16 N 17
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 26 34 35
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 16490 7690
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 16 NW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 263840 184560
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 2 2 2
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 103. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 103. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 100.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
NMZ119-171000-
LEA-
115 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+5) 106 (+12) 70 101
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-26) 7 (-20) 39 18
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 10 W 10 NW 14
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 W 13 W 9 N 14
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 27 35 26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 15840 7210
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 N 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 285120 129780
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 3 2 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT ELEVATED NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 102.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 101.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TXZ270-271-171000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
215 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026 /115 PM MDT TUE JUN 16 2026/
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+2) 98 (+11) 69 95
RH % (24H TREND) 51 (-30) 11 (-11) 34 15
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 5 W 13 W 14 W 20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 W 14 W 18 NW 12
WIND 10000 FT MSL 22 30 40 24
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14370 11600
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 NW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 258660 290000
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 3 3 4
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-171000-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
215 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-1) 104 (+13) 69 104
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-12) 11 (-19) 49 13
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 5 SW 9 W 9 W 18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 W 12 W 14 NW 14
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 30 39 40
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 14570 12520
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 262260 313000
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 2 2 2
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 100.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-171000-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
215 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (+3) 108 (+14) 73 107
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-9) 9 (-24) 66 14
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 6 S 10 SW 10 W 12
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SW 10 SW 11 NW 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 29 31 25
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12010 11660
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 18 W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 216180 209880
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 0 0 1
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 102.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 102.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
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