764
FNUS54 KMAF 231802
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
102 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
DISCUSSION
MIN RH BELOW CRITICAL 15% WEST OF THE DRYLINE AND MARGINAL ALONG
AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE FROM EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN INTO TERRELL
COUNTY, ALONG WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY RETURN BY TUESDAY,
AFTER MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL 15% APART FROM THE PRESIDIO VALLEY
TODAY. THIS ALONG WITH FUEL ERCS BACK INTO THE 90TH TO 96TH
PERCENTILE AND ABOVE WILL ALLOW ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, DESPITE
20-FT WINDS LARGELY REMAINING BELOW 20 MILES PER HOUR. 20-FT WINDS
ABOVE 20 MILES PER HOUR OVER THE GUADALUPES INTO SOUTHERN
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND LOWER TRANS PECOS ALLOW FOR INCREASED
RFTIS THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY WITH BREEZY 20-FT WINDS
INCREASING ABOVE 20 MILES PER HOUR OVER THE AREA OVERLAYING
CONTINUED EXTREMELY DRY FUELS YIELD RFTIS AT LEAST 4 TO 5 OVER
HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO INTO PERMIAN BASIN AND
THEREFORE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MUCH
COOLER WEATHER REDUCES FIRE RISK BY BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-240915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1202 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+6) 89 (+17) 56 93
RH % (24H TREND) 42 (-13) 6 (-13) 18 7
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 W 13 W 13 W 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 W 9 W 10 S 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 37 29 21 23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 9630 11440
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 173340 160160
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 0 3 4 2
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ117-240915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1202 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (0) 95 (+21) 51 97
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (+9) 7 (-14) 37 7
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 W 7 SW 9 NW 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 NW 5 W 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 10000 FT MSL 32 33 24 23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11700 11140
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 14 W 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 163800 122540
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 1 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL ELEVATED NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ118-240915-
EDDY PLAINS-
1202 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-1) 95 (+20) 53 98
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (+13) 7 (-17) 35 8
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 7 SW 11 NW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 W 6 SW 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 30 12 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10800 10070
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 12 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 129600 100700
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 2 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL ELEVATED NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ119-240915-
LEA-
1202 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+1) 94 (+20) 51 96
RH % (24H TREND) 73 (+13) 7 (-16) 53 7
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 7 SW 9 SW 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 W 8 S 6 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 31 22 21
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11260 11330
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 13 SW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 146380 135960
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 1 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL ELEVATED NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-240915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
102 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026 /1202 PM MDT MON MAR 23 2026/
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+4) 87 (+19) 56 91
RH % (24H TREND) 49 (-4) 7 (-17) 14 7
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 16 SW 14 W 17 W 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 10 W 15 W 9 SW 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 26 21 7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7680 8770
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 20 W 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 153600 114010
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD
RFTI 1 5 5 2
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED CRITICAL CRITICAL ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
BREEZY, CLEAR. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 15 TO
25 MPH.
SATURDAY
BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-240915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
102 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-3) 94 (+14) 54 97
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (+16) 6 (-14) 31 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 SW 7 W 8 SW 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) N 5 SW 9 W 5 S 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 23 18 18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10790 10020
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 14 SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 151060 110220
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 2 2 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-240915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
102 PM CDT MON MAR 23 2026
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-1) 95 (+18) 54 98
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (+20) 8 (-16) 66 7
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 S 7 S 11 S 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SW 8 S 9 SE 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 27 28 20 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8490 6860
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 15 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 127350 116620
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 1 2
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
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