775  
FNUS54 KMAF 091807  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
107 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DUE TO GREENUP FROM FUELS TRANSITIONING, ERCS ABOVE THE 50TH TO  
70TH PERCENTILE WILL BE SLOW TO BUILD BACK OVER THE AREA THIS  
WEEKEND, KEEPING FIRE RISK BELOW CRITICAL CATEGORIES. ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE STILL FORECAST OVER SOUTHEAST NEW  
MEXICO, NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN, AND UPPER TRANS PECOS INTO THE  
BIG BEND DUE TO MIN RH BELOW CRITICAL 15%, ESPECIALLY TOMORROW  
WHEN NORTHERLY 20-FT WINDS AT LEAST 20 MILES PER HOUR DEVELOP OVER  
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SPREAD INTO THE BIG BEND AS A COLD FRONT  
MOVES THROUGH. LIGHTER UPSLOPE 20-FT WINDS FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK  
WILL LIMIT FIRE RISK, WHILE ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW  
ERCS TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE 50TH TO 70TH PERCENTILE AND ABOVE.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-100915-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1207 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+4) 78 (-9) 49 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (+8) 17 (+8) 91 22  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 9 N 16 NE 11 SE 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 NE 15 E 7 SE 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 33 33 17 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6490 6150  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) N 25 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 162250 92250  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT GOOD  
RFTI 2 3 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED NEAR CRIT NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND  
90. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-100915-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1207 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+5) 83 (-10) 48 84  
RH % (24H TREND) 53 (+15) 24 (+15) 100 21  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 7 N 19 NE 11 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) NW 6 NE 17 E 5 S 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 26 11 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8620 5350  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) N 26 S 14  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 224120 74900  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT GOOD  
RFTI 1 1 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-100915-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1207 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+4) 88 (-7) 52 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+11) 20 (+10) 94 26  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 N 17 NE 13 E 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 N 18 E 7 SE 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 28 29 15 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7880 5040  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) N 27 SE 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 212760 65520  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT GOOD  
RFTI 0 3 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NEAR CRIT NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-100915-  
LEA-  
1207 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+3) 85 (-8) 47 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (+18) 28 (+19) 100 23  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 N 13 NE 15 E 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 NE 19 E 9 SE 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 31 22 20 11  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6170 5720  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) N 25 SE 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 154250 57200  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT FAIR  
RFTI 1 2 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-100915-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
107 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026 /1207 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2026/  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+3) 83 (0) 53 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 27 (-9) 15 (+5) 79 27  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 7 NW 9 NE 18 E 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 NE 14 E 20 E 9  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 21 24 21 15  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8960 4670  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) N 17 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 152320 93400  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-100915-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
107 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (0) 98 (+8) 54 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (+15) 7 (-3) 90 22  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 SW 7 NE 18 NE 14  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 NW 9 NE 18 E 10  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 24 26 26  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 13800 5700  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 18 E 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 248400 114000  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 1 2 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL ELEVATED ELEVATED NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-100915-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
107 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2026  
 
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+4) 95 (+2) 55 83  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+26) 15 (0) 97 25  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SW 10 NE 15 NE 7  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 N 14 NE 9 E 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 26 29 19  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7910 5980  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) NW 23 E 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 181930 77740  
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page
Main Text Page