871  
FNUS54 KMAF 171902  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
202 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF  
NEXT WEEK. RECENT RAINFALL HAS KEPT ERCS BELOW THE 50TH  
PERCENTILE ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS IN THE  
FORECAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS WEST OF  
THE PECOS RIVER. ALONG WITH RAIN CHANCES, 20-FT WINDS GENERALLY  
REMAIN LIGHT AND MINRH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE CRITICAL  
THRESHOLDS. DESPITE RAIN CHANCES DIMINISHING BY WEDNESDAY AND  
AFTERNOON HIGHS INCREASING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK, GOOD FUEL  
MOISTURE SHALL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-180930-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
102 PM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 40 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (0) 86 (+3) 61 86  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (0) 34 (-5) 85 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 SW 6 LGT/VAR SE 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 15 14 14 6  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5690 7240  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 11 S 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62590 72400  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ117-180930-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
102 PM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-1) 91 (+2) 63 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+9) 33 (-2) 92 32  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 S 6 S 8 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 S 7 LGT/VAR S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 12 15 9  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6570 8770  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72270 96470  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS AROUND 100.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ118-180930-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
102 PM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 30 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (0) 92 (+3) 66 92  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+1) 36 (-2) 88 36  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 S 5 S 8 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 S 6 S 5 S 6  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 12 17 13 8  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6310 8040  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 10 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63100 88440  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 102.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
NMZ119-180930-  
LEA-  
102 PM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 40 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (0) 88 (+2) 63 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+1) 40 (-3) 94 40  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 S 6 S 8 S 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 S 7 S 5 S 7  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 12 15 10  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6620 7430  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 11  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 72820 81730  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 100.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ270-271-180930-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
202 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026 /102 PM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026/  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 50 70  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+1) 85 (+5) 61 85  
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-11) 38 (-2) 83 41  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 6 SW 6 S 5 W 5  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 7 15 10 14  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5750 6070  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 11 SW 10  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63250 60700  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-180930-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
202 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 20 70  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-1) 91 (+6) 62 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (0) 36 (-7) 91 38  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 6 LGT/VAR SE 5 LGT/VAR  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 5 LGT/VAR S 5  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 14 15 16  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5790 6090  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 11 S 9  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 63690 54810  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD FAIR  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-180930-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
202 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-1) 90 (+5) 67 91  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-1) 44 (-10) 91 42  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 S 8 S 8 S 6  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 S 8 S 5 S 8  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 16 25 17  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5800 5580  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 18 S 15  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 104400 83700  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 101.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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