011  
FNUS54 KMAF 212033  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
233 PM CST MON JAN 21 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS HAVE  
RESULTED IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR WESTERN PORTIONS  
OF THE AREA, WHICH WILL CONTINUE PRIOR TO IMPROVEMENT THIS EVENING.  
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY, YIELDING COOLER, NEAR  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT. LOCALIZED ELEVATED  
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON, MAINLY  
ACROSS THE BIG BEND AREA AND STOCKTON PLATEAU WHERE RHS DROP TO  
15-20% AND BREEZY CONDITIONS PERSIST. THEREAFTER, FIRE WEATHER  
CONCERNS ARE LOW AS A SERIES OF COLD FRONTS KEEP TEMPERATURES IN  
CHECK THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE  
HOWEVER, WITH NO RAIN CURRENTLY FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS.  
 

 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER MATRIX  
PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ114-TXZ258-221645-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP AND PINE SPRINGS  
133 PM MST MON JAN 21 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 30S ABOVE 6000 FEET...33 TO 38  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-50 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 65 TO 75 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET...44 TO 49  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET, NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. BELOW 6000 FEET, NORTH WINDS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 80 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 27 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/131400 KNOT-FT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20 ABOVE 6000 FEET...IN THE LOWER 20S  
BELOW 6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........ABOVE 6000 FEET, NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
BELOW 6000 FEET, NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 TO 48 ABOVE 6000 FEET...46 TO 51 BELOW  
6000 FEET.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/62100 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
50 TO  
55 BELOW 6000 FEET. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 48 TO 53 ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
50 TO 55 BELOW  
6000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S ABOVE 6000 FEET
 
48 TO  
53 BELOW 6000 FEET. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
NMZ115-221645-  
SOUTHEAST PLAINS-  
133 PM MST MON JAN 21 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....34 TO 39.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST 10  
TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 60 TO 70 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 52.  
* 24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 80 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 26 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 20S.  
* 24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....VERY GOOD/102300 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ057-074-079>081-221645-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, ALPINE, FORT DAVIS, PRESIDIO,  
MARFA, BIG BEND NP, AND MARATHON  
233 PM CST MON JAN 21 2019 /133 PM MST MON JAN 21 2019/  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....38 TO 43 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...45 TO 50  
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-55 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...60-80  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000  
FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 55 TO 65 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....48 TO 53 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER  
70S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...15-20  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 75 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......9900 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....20 TO 25 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN THE MID  
30S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........55-75 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...50-70  
PERCENT ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000  
FEET...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE UPPER 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...IN  
THE UPPER 50S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...20 PERCENT  
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.  
* 24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 18 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/81100 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
IN  
THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE  
5000 FEET...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S ACROSS THE  
MOUNTAINS...IN THE LOWER 60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS 50 TO 55 ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
 
IN THE MID  
60S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH ABOVE 5000 FEET...  
NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH BELOW 5000 FEET. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-058>063-067>070-075-082-221645-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-  
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-  
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-TERRELL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, PECOS, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, AND SANDERSON  
233 PM CST MON JAN 21 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 40S.  
* 24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........65-85 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 61.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...WEST AROUND 80 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 37 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....26 TO 31.  
* 24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....IN THE LOWER 50S.  
* 24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
* 24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
* WIND 20FT...........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
* LAL.................1.  
* HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.  
* WIND 10000 FT MSL...NORTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.  
* TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 19 KNOTS.  
* VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/97500 KNOT-FT.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
 
   
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.    
SATURDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
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