593
FNUS54 KMAF 160659
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
159 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND THE
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS...
DISCUSSION
MIN RHS REMAIN BELOW 15% FOR MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, TEMPERATURES STAY ABOVE NORMAL, AND FUELS CONTINUE TO DRY.
BREEZY WINDS ALLOW ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL CONDITIONS TO ONCE
AGAIN DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE AREA (PARTICULARLY SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS) TODAY. ELEVATED TO NEAR-CRITICAL
CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, APPROACHING CRITICAL
CONDITIONS SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. MIN
RHS IMPROVE BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
CHANCES RETURN TO THE REGION.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-162130-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1259 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 91 (+5) 56 (-5) 87
RH % (24H TREND) 4 (-7) 22 (+5) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 13 SW 15 W 12
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 14 SW 11 SW 19
WIND 10000 FT MSL 22 44 33
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11080 10300
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 27 W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 299160 309000
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 8 8 7
RFTI CATEGORY EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ117-162130-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1259 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 55 (-4) 94
RH % (24H TREND) 4 (-8) 25 (-4) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 6 SW 15 SW 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 SW 7 SW 17
WIND 10000 FT MSL 19 38 27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12590 12380
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 22 SW 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 276980 334260
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 7 8 7
RFTI CATEGORY EXTREME EXTREME EXTREME
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ118-162130-
EDDY PLAINS-
1259 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (+3) 58 (-5) 95
RH % (24H TREND) 5 (-8) 32 (-2) 6
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 SW 13 SW 12
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 16 SW 8 SW 19
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 34 27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10830 11310
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 22 W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 238260 294060
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 6 7 6
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL EXTREME CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ119-162130-
LEA-
1259 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 97 (+3) 57 (-3) 95
RH % (24H TREND) 5 (-7) 74 (+13) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 8 SW 13 SW 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 15 S 9 SW 16
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 34 28
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 12330 11600
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 23 SW 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 283590 313200
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 6 6 6
RFTI CATEGORY CRITICAL CRITICAL CRITICAL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-162130-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
159 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026 /1259 AM MDT SAT MAY 16 2026/
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 87 (+3) 58 (-5) 86
RH % (24H TREND) 5 (-11) 20 (-3) 5
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 14 SW 12 W 15
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 16 W 12 W 17
WIND 10000 FT MSL 25 36 31
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8140 11030
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 27 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 219780 275750
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 8 8 4
RFTI CATEGORY EXTREME EXTREME NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-162130-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
159 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 98 (+5) 59 (-6) 97
RH % (24H TREND) 4 (-10) 55 (+16) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 SW 8 W 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 W 6 SW 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 20 23 22
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 10600 11500
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) W 19 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 201400 230000
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 4 3 2
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT ELEVATED
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-162130-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
159 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 63 (-4) 98
RH % (24H TREND) 5 (-14) 90 (+25) 4
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 S 13 SW 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 11 S 12 SW 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 21 28 21
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 11220 11940
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SW 20 SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 224400 262680
VENT CATEGORY EXCELLENT EXCELLENT
RFTI 4 4 4
RFTI CATEGORY NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT NEAR CRIT
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page