738  
FNUS54 KMAF 281852  
FWFMAF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
152 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. MINRHS STAY WELL  
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT RECOVERY THROUGH  
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE 20-FT WINDS LARGELY REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH.  
FUELS HOVER NEAR TO BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE. ADDITIONAL WETTING  
RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST  
TEXAS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, FURTHER LIMITING THE RISK OF FIRE  
SPREAD.  
 
 
 
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER  
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE OFFICE.  
 
NMZ116-291015-  
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-  
1252 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 90 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+3) 75 (-6) 53 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+24) 61 (+32) 94 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 S 9 S 15 SW 17  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 S 14 SW 15 SW 19  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 36 31 48 46  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3020 6560  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 19 SW 31  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 57380 203360  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
30 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ117-291015-  
CHAVES PLAINS-  
1252 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 90 30  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+4) 81 (-5) 58 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (+11) 57 (+25) 95 40  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 9 S 13 SE 14 SW 10  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 10 S 15 S 11 SW 14  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 35 35 34 29  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2990 7190  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 16 SW 22  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 47840 158180  
VENT CATEGORY FAIR EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ118-291015-  
EDDY PLAINS-  
1252 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 60 10  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+3) 86 (-3) 61 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+11) 51 (+23) 89 38  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 SE 10 S 15 SW 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 9 SE 16 S 10 SW 19  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 33 33 51 48  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3860 7780  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 18 SW 26  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 69480 202280  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
NMZ119-291015-  
LEA-  
1252 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 80 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+1) 86 (-4) 61 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+16) 48 (+20) 96 34  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 S 14 S 18 SW 11  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 12 SE 18 S 13 SW 18  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 33 34 50 47  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4250 7550  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 22 SW 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 93500 188750  
VENT CATEGORY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 1  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ270-271-291015-  
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-  
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND  
PINE SPRINGS  
152 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026 /1252 PM MDT MON SEP 28 2026/  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 50 60 20  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-2) 79 (-1) 55 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+36) 51 (+22) 93 44  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 7 S 10 SW 12 W 20  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 S 15 SW 15 W 20  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 24 35 60 44  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5130 6890  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 27 W 36  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 138510 248040  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ272-273-275>282-291015-  
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-  
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-  
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-  
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,  
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,  
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON  
152 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 50 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-2) 93 (+5) 62 90  
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+20) 32 (+2) 86 31  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 SE 9 S 12 SW 8  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 8 S 15 S 9 SW 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 35 59 34  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6210 7570  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 21 SW 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 130410 189250  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD EXCELLENT  
RFTI 0 0 0 2  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL ELEVATED  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE  
15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-291015-  
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-  
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-  
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,  
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,  
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,  
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS  
152 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 40 40  
TEMP (24H TREND) 70 (+2) 92 (-1) 68 89  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+6) 38 (+7) 91 37  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SE 13 SE 17 S 12  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 11 SE 17 S 14 SW 13  
WIND 10000 FT MSL 29 32 53 37  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5090 6750  
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) S 23 SW 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 117070 141750  
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD  
RFTI 0 0 0 0  
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TX Page
The Nexlab NM Page
Main Text Page