458
FNUS54 KMAF 221845
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
145 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE LOW THROUGH THE WEEK. MIN RHS STAY WELL
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT RECOVERY THROUGH
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WHILE 20-FT WINDS LARGELY REMAIN BELOW 20 MPH.
FUELS GENERALLY STAY NEAR OR JUST ABOVE THE 50TH PERCENTILE.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL POSE
A LOW RISK FOR FIRE STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG/GUSTY/ERRATIC
WINDS AGAIN TODAY. OTHERWISE, WETTING RAIN CHANCES INCREASE ACROSS
THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
FURTHER LIMITING THE RISK OF FIRE SPREAD.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-230915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1245 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 90 80
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-3) 70 (-9) 57 73
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 69 (+20) 100 63
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 SE 10 SE 8 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 14 S 6 S 9
WIND 10000 FT MSL 35 37 31 19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2840 3170
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 18 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51120 38040
VENT CATEGORY FAIR POOR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
NMZ117-230915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1245 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 60 90 80
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-4) 79 (-6) 59 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 55 (+10) 100 58
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 S 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 15 S 6 S 11
WIND 10000 FT MSL 31 36 43 26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4790 3670
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 19 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91010 58720
VENT CATEGORY GOOD FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
NMZ118-230915-
EDDY PLAINS-
1245 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 60 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-5) 83 (-4) 62 83
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+17) 55 (+11) 100 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 12 SE 12 SE 9 SE 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 SE 17 SE 6 SE 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 33 37 38 25
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4820 4070
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 19 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91580 52910
VENT CATEGORY GOOD FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE
15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NMZ119-230915-
LEA-
1245 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-4) 82 (-2) 61 83
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+8) 49 (-2) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 12 SE 11 SE 13 SE 10
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 8 SE 17 SE 8 S 14
WIND 10000 FT MSL 30 38 43 31
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5580 5220
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 20 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 111600 88740
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-230915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
145 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026 /1245 PM MDT TUE SEP 22 2026/
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 70 50 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-3) 74 (-4) 55 77
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+15) 63 (+15) 100 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 16 E 17 SE 7 SE 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 16 SE 12 SE 7 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 38 29 32 23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2780 3280
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 20 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55600 32800
VENT CATEGORY FAIR POOR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-230915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
145 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-7) 87 (0) 60 89
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+23) 39 (0) 98 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 15 E 12 SE 10 SE 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 13 SE 13 SE 8 SE 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 36 33 31 28
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5260 5170
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 18 SE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94680 67210
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-230915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
145 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 10 20 10
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-4) 89 (+1) 65 90
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (+14) 39 (-8) 92 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 9 SE 8 SE 10 SE 8
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 6 SE 14 SE 6 SE 12
WIND 10000 FT MSL 32 35 35 29
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6060 6650
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 20 SE 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 121200 106400
VENT CATEGORY VERY GOOD VERY GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
40 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
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