226
FNUS54 KMAF 151840
FWFMAF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WEST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
140 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2026
DISCUSSION
THE HUMID AND RAINY PATTERN WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM
TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND KEEPS MIN RH ABOVE CRITICAL 15%, GOOD TO
EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY, AND MOSTLY LIGHT 20-FT HUMID,
SOUTHEAST WINDS. THIS MAINTAINS LOW ERCS BELOW THE 50TH PERCENTILE
AND LOW FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES SHIFT OVER
THE WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT
LOW FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO STAY IN THE FORECAST AS
MIN RH BELOW CRITICAL, GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY, AND LIGHT 20-FT
WINDS. FIRE STARTS FROM LIGHTNING AND STRONG, ERRATIC WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE, BUT GOOD FUEL MOISTURE WILL LIMIT SPREADING OF ANY
FLAMES.
FOR POINT-SPECIFIC FORECASTS PLEASE SEE THE POINT FIRE WEATHER
MATRIX PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE MIDLAND/ODESSA NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE.
NMZ116-160915-
SACRAMENTO FOOTHILLS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1240 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 10 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-2) 85 (-1) 59 85
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+2) 28 (-1) 91 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 10 LGT/VAR SE 10 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 E 9 S 5 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 23 16 18 10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6800 6170
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 11 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 74800 61700
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
NMZ117-160915-
CHAVES PLAINS-
1240 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-2) 90 (-2) 62 89
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+6) 28 (+3) 96 32
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 11 LGT/VAR SE 11 S 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 7 SE 6 S 8 S 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 17 12 17 12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7250 6570
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79750 78840
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ118-160915-
EDDY PLAINS-
1240 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-2) 88 (-3) 63 89
RH % (24H TREND) 92 (+4) 37 (+3) 95 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 12 LGT/VAR SE 12 SE 6
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 E 7 SE 8 SE 7
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 15 16 11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5520 6560
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 10 SE 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55200 72160
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
NMZ119-160915-
LEA-
1240 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 20 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (-2) 84 (-4) 61 84
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+4) 41 (+5) 99 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 11 LGT/VAR SE 11 SE 7
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 5 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8
WIND 10000 FT MSL 18 18 17 17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5090 5500
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 11 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 55990 71500
VENT CATEGORY FAIR GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TXZ270-271-160915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-
GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NATIONAL PARK AND
PINE SPRINGS
140 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2026 /1240 PM MDT WED JUL 15 2026/
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 20 20 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-2) 82 (+1) 58 82
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-6) 38 (0) 90 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 11 NE 5 E 9 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 6 E 9 SE 5 SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 16 12 17 4
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5170 5280
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) E 11 SE 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 56870 47520
VENT CATEGORY FAIR FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ272-273-275>282-160915-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-EASTERN CULBERSON-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-MARFA PLATEAU-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-
DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF VAN HORN, MARFA, FORT DAVIS, ALPINE,
BIG BEND NATIONAL PARK, PANTHER JUNCTION, MARATHON, CHISOS BASIN,
PRESIDIO, LAJITAS, AND CASTOLON
140 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 10 50 20 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-3) 86 (+1) 59 86
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+3) 41 (-4) 98 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) E 8 LGT/VAR SE 7 SE 5
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 SE 5 SE 6
WIND 10000 FT MSL 14 10 21 13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4570 5050
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 10 SE 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45700 50500
VENT CATEGORY FAIR FAIR
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
ABOVE 15 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-160915-
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-LOVING-
WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-
TERRELL-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SEMINOLE, LAMESA, GAIL, SNYDER, ANDREWS,
STANTON, BIG SPRING, COLORADO CITY, MENTONE, KERMIT, ODESSA,
MIDLAND, GARDEN CITY, MONAHANS, CRANE, MCCAMEY, RANKIN, BIG LAKE,
FORT STOCKTON, DRYDEN, SANDERSON, AND PECOS
140 PM CDT WED JUL 15 2026
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 40 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-2) 84 (-1) 64 85
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+4) 54 (+2) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SE 8 SE 5 SE 9 SE 9
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 8 SE 7 SE 10
WIND 10000 FT MSL 19 20 25 18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3920 4150
TRANSPORT WND (KTS) SE 16 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62720 70550
VENT CATEGORY GOOD GOOD
RFTI 0 0 0 0
RFTI CATEGORY NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 15 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page