216
FNUS74 KEPZ 190333
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR SEVEN SPRINGS...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
933 PM MDT WED JUN 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 MDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FOR TONIGHT, EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. FOR THURSDAY, WINDS WILL BE A BIT LIGHTER
AND MORE VARIABLE, BUT GENERALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10
MPH WITH GOOD VENTILATION. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON, WHICH MAY CREATE GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THE SITE. DUE TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW, ANY
SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP WILL POP UP ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE
SACRAMENTO'S, INCLUDING THE SITE, BEFORE DISSIPATING AROUND SUNSET.
DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE A CONCERN AS WELL THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS
WILL AGAIN BE MODESTLY BREEZY FROM THE SOUTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT
WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. LOW STORM CHANCES CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND, INCREASING NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL. WARM TEMPERATURES PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT).
TIME (MDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 66 64 63 62 61 60 59
RH..............44 48 54 60 65 70 69 69
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 12 12 12 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 23 23 23 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 14 14 14 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
JUNETEENTH
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (23100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (73500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 4 4 4 4 4 33 33 33 35 35 35
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONEARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE.... SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONESCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............59 60 67 75 77 80 80 80 78 78 77 79
RH..............60 58 47 34 31 27 28 28 29 31 32 29
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 14 14 14 17 17 17 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 1.6 4.6 8.2 10 11 11 9.2 7.2 5.2 6.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 13 23 64 74 74 64 57 47 37 47
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD FR FR PR FR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (56800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........41 41 41 31 31 31 9 9 9 8 8 8
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 77 73 69 67 66 65 63 62 61 60 59
RH..............28 30 35 42 45 48 52 54 56 60 62 64
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 22 22 22 22 22 22 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.1 4.1 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 19 19 19 19 13 13 13 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..57 47 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (46400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (110500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 5 5 4 4 4 14 14 14 28 28 28
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............58 60 66 72 76 78 79 80 81 82 83 83
RH..............67 60 50 41 36 32 29 26 24 22 20 18
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 10 10 10 12 12 12 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.7 10 10 10 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14 12 12 12 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..46 46 46 46 107 107 107 107 111 111 111 111
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
FORECASTER...ARONSON
REQUESTED BY...SEAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516226.0/EPZ
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL NMADC@FIRENET.GOV
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