384
FNUS74 KEPZ 292132
FWSEPZ
SPOT FORECAST FOR PARADISE...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
332 PM MDT THU MAY 29 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY (THU) WILL ROLL OVER INTO THE NIGHT
WITH MILD OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND POOR RECOVERIES AROUND 30 PERCENT.
A EAST PUSH OF MOISTURE WILL LIKELY STOP SHORT OF THE FIRE, KEEPING THE
AREA DRY AGAIN FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE WARMER THAN
NORMAL, AND AFTERNOON RH WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER-SINGLE DIGITS. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHTER, AND VARIABLE. THE WILDCARD FOR TOMORROW WILL BE SLIGHT
CHANCES FOR ISOLATED, HIGH-BASED STORMS, WHICH COULD PRODUCE DRY-LIGHTNING.
SLIGHT DROPS IN TEMPERATURES, AND RISES IN RH WILL FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND,
WITH MINOR INCREASES IN MOISTURE AND SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY. THEN VARIABLE AND TERRAIN
DOMINANT AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15100 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 7
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (75700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........23 26 26 54 51 51
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE S CHC S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............50 62 74 79 81 79
RH..............30 21 14 10 9 10
20 FT WIND......W 4 S 3 S 3 NE 6 N 5 N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 13 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1700 13100 13100 15100 15100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 6 W 7 W 7 NW 6 NW 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 71 71 76 76
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 11 TO
16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........62 62 58 62 62 45
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC NONE NONE NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0
TEMP............77 68 62 60 56 52
RH..............11 18 27 31 40 52
20 FT WIND......E 4 E 4 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (FT)....13300 13300 400 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 7 S 11 S 11 SW 16 SW 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..53 53 4 4 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (82300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........40 39 44 59
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 40 40
TEMP............51 63 78 76
RH..............54 32 16 20
20 FT WIND......S 2G8 S 3G12 SE 5G15 S 5G15
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 2200 11900 9200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 9 S 7 S 11
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 11 82 81
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR GOOD GOOD
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
6 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
FORECASTER...BIRD
REQUESTED BY...GILA T3 IMT - PLANS CHIEF (T)
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2514733.4/EPZ
.DELDT 05/29/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DONAVAN_ALBERT@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page