163  
FNUS74 KEPZ 132031  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX D2 PILES...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
131 PM MST FRI FEB 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MST ON FEBRUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
FOR SATURDAY, DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST AFTER TODAY'S  
RAINFALL. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT 5 TO 10 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST  
THROUGH THE DAY AS CLOUDS CLEAR OUT. VENTILATION WILL BE GOOD  
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS. OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERIES WILL BE NEAR 100 PERCENT FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AS VERY LIGHT  
DRAINAGE FLOW TAKES OVER FROM THE NORTHEAST. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS  
ARE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY WITH HIGH CLOUDS PASSING OVERHEAD.  
VENTILATION IS FORECAST TO BE FAIR TO GOOD FOR SUNDAY. WINDS WILL  
BEGIN TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY WITH BREEZY TO WINDY  
AFTERNOONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDWEEK, ALTHOUGH THERE IS A LOW CHANCE  
OF RAIN AROUND TUESDAY. VENTILATION IMPROVES TO EXCELLENT BY THE  
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (84100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 44 44 8 8 8 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............26 23 27 35 42 47 53 55 56 57 56 54  
RH..............100 100 100 96 73 56 39 34 30 25 25 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.9 1.1 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.2 4.7 4.9 4.8 4.5 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NW NW NW NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 18 21 21 21 21 20 20 18 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 13 42 56 67 75 84 84 82 72 52  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 3 3 2 2 2 14 14 14 31 31 31  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 40 34 31 30 29 27 24 22 20 19 19  
RH..............40 52 64 72 72 75 78 88 92 96 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7 7 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 9 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 9 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (70500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........42 42 42 32 32 32 25 25 25 19 19 19  
WEATHER COV.....NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........NONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONENONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............20 22 25 34 46 56 61 63 63 64 63 59  
RH..............96 88 81 58 40 29 23 21 20 18 18 21  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.1 3.7 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 8 13 16 18 20 20 20 18 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 1 3 12 24 37 52 64 71 68 58 46  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD FR FR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
TUESDAY  
 
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ARONSON  
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602641.1/EPZ  
.DELDT 02/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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