953  
FNUS74 KEPZ 242122  
FWSEPZ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RX D2 PILES...GILA NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM  
222 PM MST SAT JAN 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON JANUARY 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD. ON SUNDAY COOL  
TEMPERATURES WILL SETTLE IN WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. MIN  
RH VALUES WILL DROP TO 20 TO 25 PERCENT WITH LIGHT AFTERNOON WINDS AT 6  
TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH OUT OF THE NORTHWEST. SMOKE VENTILATION  
RATES WILL START OFF POOR IN THE MORNING, BECOMING GOOD DURING THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCES OF MORNING SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE 0900. SIMILAR  
WEATHER CONDITIONS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH VENT RATES TRENDING TO POOR ON  
MONDAY, AND THEN BECOMING GOOD ON TUESDAY.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10-20 PERCENT EARLY, THEN 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 39-43 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS AND LIGHT AT LESS THAN 5 MPH AND GENERALLY VARIABLE  
IN DIRECTION DURING THE MORNING. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST  
AT 6-11 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (35400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (77700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........41 31 1 2 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....SCHC SCHC NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............15 24 33 40 42 37  
RH..............100 74 41 27 23 28  
20 FT WIND......NW 5 NW 5 NW 6 NW 8 NW 8 NW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 11 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1700 2400 4400 4400 4900 4900  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 21 N 21 N 20 N 20 NW 18 NW 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 45 71 71 78 78  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD GOOD GOOD  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 5-10 DEGREES.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS, LESS THAN 4 MPH, VARIABLE IN DIRECTION.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 2 5 5 7  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 19 18 17 13 9  
RH..............37 59 56 56 64 69  
20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 3 NW 2 NW 2 NW 2 N 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 800 800 800 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 NW 12 N 16 N 16 N 14 N 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 12 12 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....BETWEEN 44-48 DEGREES.  
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS OF 3-6 MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000-35000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (MST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........8 6 7 18  
WEATHER COV.....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........NONE NONE NONE NONE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............7 19 42 46  
RH..............76 51 19 17  
20 FT WIND......N 2G6 NE 2G6 SE 2G8 S 2G8  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1300 3700 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 10 E 8 S 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 12 23 18  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 8. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. VENT RATES WILL  
BE FAIR.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 11. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. VENT RATES WILL  
BE POOR.   
THURSDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 16. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS VENT RATES WILL  
BE POOR.  
 
 
FORECASTER...ROGERS  
REQUESTED BY...NMSDC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600910.2/EPZ  
.DELDT 01/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN.SEITZINGER@USDA.GOV,NMSDC@FIRENET.GOV  
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