596
FNUS74 KMAF 171148
FWSMAF
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUMINA 1...PRIMORIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
648 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2022
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT
WINDS, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 30%, AND EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT
RECOVERY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES IN.
ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3
TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (42000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD
TEMP............74 77 83 88 91 91
RH..............65 62 50 40 36 34
20 FT WIND DIR..W N N NE NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 8 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 8 10 10
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 6 3 5
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 10 30 33 30 42
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25
MPH OVERNIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............92 86 79 75
RH..............32 44 59 70
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 15 25
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP............72 71 76 82
RH..............76 80 66 52
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 12 9
20 FT WIND GUST. 14 13 12
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 16 12 8
FORECASTER...DEBERRY
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2216836.0/MAF
.DELDT 08/17/22
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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