596  
FNUS74 KMAF 171148  
FWSMAF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LUMINA 1...PRIMORIS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
648 AM CDT WED AUG 17 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LIGHT  
WINDS, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY ABOVE 30%, AND EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT  
RECOVERY. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK TO RETURN ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
REGION BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES IN.  
ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3  
TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (42000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD  
TEMP............74 77 83 88 91 91  
RH..............65 62 50 40 36 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..W N N NE NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 8 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 8 10 10  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 6 3 5  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 10 30 33 30 42  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
TEMP............92 86 79 75  
RH..............32 44 59 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 14  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 15 25  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6  
TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
TEMP............72 71 76 82  
RH..............76 80 66 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 12 9  
20 FT WIND GUST. 14 13 12  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 16 12 8  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...DEBERRY  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL ELLIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2216836.0/MAF  
.DELDT 08/17/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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