829
FXUS64 KEPZ 261803
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1103 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1059 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
- A COUPLE OF BITTERLY COLD MORNINGS MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 918 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
QUIET CONDITIONS TONIGHT BUT WE ARE SEEING SOME PATCHY FREEZING
FOG STARTING TO DEVELOP IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS AND HUDSPETH
COUNTY. MODELS CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
BEFORE BURNING OFF TOMORROW SOON AFTER SUNRISE. MAY NEED TO EXPAND
THE FREEZING FOG ADVISORY DOWN INTO THE TULAROSA BASIN.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE BORDERLAND COOL FOR MONDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 10-30 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE BITTERLY
COLD WITH ALL LOCATIONS DIPPING BELOW FREEZING. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS WILL BE EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WHERE WIND CHILLS DIP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
THEREAFTER, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN ON A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
WORK WEEK. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRY AND PUSH IN
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING, KEEPING TEMPERATURES GENERALLY THE
SAME, MAYBE A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1059 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THIS MORNING'S FOG HAS MOSTLY DISSIPATED, WITH LOW CLOUDS QUICKLY
ERRODING, AND JUST THIN CIRRUS MOVING OVER FROM THE WEST. CIGS
WILL BE 250. VSBY BACK TO 10SM OR GREATER. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD. SLIGHT RISK OF PATCHY FOG AFT 10Z
TONIGHT, BUT MAINLY OVER AREAS EAST OF THE TERMINALS OVER THE
TULAROSA BASIN, PORTIONS OF THE TX RIO GRANDE VALLEY. VSBY SHOULD
STAY VFR AND UNRESTRICTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 440 AM MST MON JAN 26 2026
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT HAS EJECTED INTO THE GREAT
PLAINS, ESTABLISHING A REGIME OF NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE
BORDERLAND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR QUIETER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL
THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS TO OUR WEST. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD
ARE GENERALLY LIGHT, WHICH WILL HELP ATTRIBUTE TO POOR
VENTILATION MOST AREAS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENTS TO VENT RATES WILL FAVOR THE GILA TOWARD THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK. THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL USHER IN DRIER AIR,
ESPECIALLY TO THE GILA AND LOCALIZED PORTIONS OF THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS, WHICH WILL DIP NEAR AND BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ELSEWHERE WILL SEE MINRH WELL ABOVE 20
PERCENT WITH GOOD TO EXCELLENT RECOVERY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 27 51 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 21 46 24 49 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 24 51 26 53 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 16 48 21 51 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 15 37 20 39 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 26 51 29 54 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 25 53 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 26 55 28 57 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 24 54 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 30 51 32 54 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 13 41 13 44 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 24 54 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 23 42 27 46 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 24 52 24 56 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 25 51 26 54 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 26 50 29 53 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 19 51 20 54 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 23 56 23 58 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 28 54 29 56 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 18 44 20 48 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 16 50 22 53 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 14 46 21 49 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 16 43 24 45 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 18 52 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 26 54 29 56 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 19 52 21 55 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 22 54 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 23 54 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 21 59 24 61 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 24 56 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 27 52 31 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 24 54 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 23 52 24 56 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 24 55 28 57 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 29 54 34 55 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR EAST
SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
BELOW 7500 FEET.
FORECASTER...14-BIRD
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