808
FXUS64 KEPZ 081734
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1134 AM MDT MON JUN 8 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1135 AM MDT MON JUN 8 2026
- DRIER AND HOTTER MONDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MANY LOWLAND
AREAS EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES. HEAT ADVISORIES MAY BE NECESSARY
FOR THE LOWLANDS MIDWEEK.
- MOISTURE WILL OCCASIONALLY SEEP IN FROM THE EAST, GIVING THE
SACRAMENTO MTNS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY COULD PRODUCE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1135 AM MDT MON JUN 8 2026
TRIPLE DIGIT TEMPERATURES MAKE THEIR PRESENCE FELT TODAY AS A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS FIRMLY IN OUR REGION. DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN
THE 30S AND AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S/LOWER 100S WILL KEEP
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR OUR AREA AT OR AROUND 10%, SO IT WILL
FEEL VERY DRY FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. APART FROM SOME
LINGERING HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS, SKIES WILL BE GENERALLY SUNNY.
THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OFF OF NEW MEXICO WILL DEEPEN ON TUESDAY,
BRINGING UPPER-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO THE HIGH TERRAINS. A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE FOR THE SACRAMENTOS, BUT MOISTURE
LEVELS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW.
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, THE BORDERLAND WILL BE UNDER A
SUBTROPICAL HIGH THAT IS CENTERED OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND EVENTUALLY
MOVES OVER THE CHIHUAHUAN DESERT BY THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
BE ABOUT 4-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SUNDAY. LOWLAND
HOTSPOTS COULD REACH 105 ON TUESDAY AND/OR WEDNESDAY, SO HEAT
ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE LOWLANDS IF THE 105 DEGREE
THRESHOLD IS MET.
MOISTURE COULD MAKE ITS MUCH-NEEDED RETURN ON FRIDAY, BUT HOW WEST
THE MOISTURE WILL EXTEND IS STILL UP TO DEBATE BY THE LATEST
MODELS RUNS. ANY PERCENTAGE OF PRECIPITAION FOR THE WEEKEND
SHOULD REMAIN LOW UNTIL THE MODELS BEGIN TO ALIGN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM MDT MON JUN 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. ANY CLOUDS WILL
BE MEDIUM TO HIGH IN ALTITUDE AND WILL BE RELATIVELY SCATTERED.
VIRGA IS POSSIBLE AROUND KTCS AT 19Z THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL
BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND VARIABLE, MAYBE EXHIBITING A SOUTHERLY
FLOW.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1135 AM MDT MON JUN 8 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FOR
THIS AFTERNOON, LIGHT S-SW WINDS ARE FORECAST AS A FEW SPRINKLES
DEVELOP OVER AREA MOUNTAINS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS TO 30
MPH ARE POSSIBLE FROM THESE VIRGA SHOWERS WITH MINIMAL THREAT OF
LIGHTNING OR APPRECIABLE RAINFALL. A DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE
REGION FOR TUESDAY, BRINGING BETTER MOISTURE ALOFT AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS AND DRY LIGHTNING ARE THE
MAIN CONCERNS FOR TOMORROW, ESPECIALLY IN FWZ113. SW WINDS WILL BE
BREEZIER FOR TUESDAY, RESULTING IN ELEVATED FIRE WX AS RELATIVELY
DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST. DRIER AND SOMEWHAT BREEZY WED/THU WITH
CONTINUED ELEVATED CONDITIONS. MOISTURE INCREASES FROM THE EAST LATE
IN THE WEEK WITH BETTER RAIN/STORM CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES FALLING
TOWARDS NORMAL.
MIN RHS RANGE FROM 10-20% THROUGH TUE, THEN 7-17%. VENT RATES WILL
BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT THROUGH THU.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 78 103 78 104 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 67 97 69 99 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 70 100 68 101 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 72 99 73 101 / 0 10 10 0
CLOUDCROFT 54 77 54 79 / 0 10 10 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 68 98 68 100 / 0 10 0 0
SILVER CITY 61 91 60 92 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 68 103 68 104 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 67 98 66 98 / 10 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 76 101 75 102 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 66 100 67 103 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 74 104 75 105 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 70 94 70 95 / 0 0 10 0
FABENS 73 104 73 105 / 0 0 10 0
SANTA TERESA 72 100 71 100 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 79 100 79 102 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 71 99 69 101 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 70 102 69 104 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 73 102 74 102 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 70 98 69 99 / 0 0 10 0
MAYHILL 59 88 59 91 / 0 20 10 0
MESCALERO 58 88 58 88 / 0 10 10 0
TIMBERON 55 84 55 86 / 0 10 10 0
WINSTON 57 89 57 92 / 0 10 0 0
HILLSBORO 68 96 67 98 / 0 10 0 0
SPACEPORT 66 98 65 100 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 58 92 57 93 / 0 10 0 0
HURLEY 63 95 63 95 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 62 98 60 99 / 0 10 0 0
MULE CREEK 59 93 58 94 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 65 94 65 95 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 66 98 65 99 / 10 0 0 0
HACHITA 67 98 66 99 / 10 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 66 98 66 99 / 10 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 63 93 63 93 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...41-ZOTTER
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