915
FXUS64 KEPZ 070022
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
522 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 457 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
- NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS, TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES, AND A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
OUR PERSISTENT QUIET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST IS MAINTAINING A
BLOCKING PATTERN THAT WILL KEEP WEATHER SYSTEMS WELL NORTH OF THE
LOCAL AREA. A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WITH SUNNY SKIES AND ZERO CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
THROUGH TO NEXT WEEKEND. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY WILL
GRADUALLY GET WARMER THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS BY MID WEEK. WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE,
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE COLDER SIDE AS
A RESULT OF RADIATIVE COOLING PROCESSES NEAR THE GROUND DUE TO
LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES. DURING THE DAY,
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE BREEZY CATEGORY WITH STRONGER
WINDS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 457 PM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH WITHIN AN HOUR OF SUNSET, BUT WILL
REMAIN STEADY ALOFT OVER ELP, RESULTING IN LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR OF
ABOUT 30 KNOTS AT 2,000 FEET BETWEEN 00Z AND 03Z. GUIDANCE
INDICATES THE STRONGER WINDS INCREASE IN INTENSITY SLIGHTLY AND
DROP IN ALTITUDE TO AROUND 800 FT AGL AFTER 03Z. WIND DIRECTION
WILL 280-290. LLWS LOOKS TO DIMINISH QUICKLY BETWEEN 07-08Z.
LLWS IS NOT EXPECTED AT ANY OTHER TERMINALS.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED,
WITH LIGHT NNW TO NNE WINDS THROUGH SUNDAY, AND WITHOUT THE
AFTERNOON GUSTINESS WE SAW TODAY (SAT).
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
LOW FIRE DANGER THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD. MIN RH VALUES WILL STAY
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH VALUES OF 20-30% IN THE LOWLANDS
AND 30-40% IN THE MOUNTAINS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS
OF CRITICAL MIN RHS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, MOSTLY ON EAST FACING SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS. THE BREEZIEST
DAY OF THE WEEK WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WINDS OUT OF
THE WEST GENERALLY 5-15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. EACH DAY AFTER
THAT WILL HAVE LIGHTER WINDS AT 5-10 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST WITH NO RAIN IN SIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL
LEANING ABOVE AVERAGE EACH DAY, PEAKING AT 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 64 36 64 37 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 61 30 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 60 30 60 30 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 60 30 62 31 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 41 23 44 25 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 59 32 59 32 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 59 32 61 32 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 64 30 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 61 29 63 30 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 63 38 63 37 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 64 27 64 26 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 68 33 68 33 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 57 34 57 35 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 65 32 65 32 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 62 32 62 32 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 62 38 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 61 24 62 24 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 64 28 64 28 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 64 34 64 33 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 59 29 59 29 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 55 27 58 30 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 52 25 55 27 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 52 24 54 26 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 56 22 59 23 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 61 33 61 34 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 59 26 61 27 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 59 26 62 25 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 60 30 62 30 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 64 25 66 25 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 61 25 63 25 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 59 33 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 63 30 65 31 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 62 29 64 30 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 64 32 64 32 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 60 36 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...25-HARDIMAN
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