375
FXUS64 KEPZ 150007
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
507 PM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 333 PM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
- COLD FRONT HAS ARRIVED THIS MORNING, DROPPING TEMPERATURES
ABOUT 8 TO 15 DEGREES SUNDAY AND MONDAY. GUSTY EAST WINDS UP TO
35 MPH ALONG WEST SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR RECORD HIGHS AGAIN BY MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 954 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
DRY AND QUIET WEATHER WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH NEXT
WEEK. A LOCAL AREA IS CURRENTLY UNDER A TRANSITORY SHORT WAVE
RIDGE ALOFT WHILE A SURFACE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED ACROSS THE AREA
FROM EAST TO WEST. THE FRONT HAS LOWERED TEMPERATURES BACK CLOSER
TO NORMAL FOR TODAY AND GENERATED GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE
WEST SLOPES THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH TO LESS
THAN 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON EVENING, BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE ON
MONDAY.
MILD WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY WITH UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE SHIFTING EASTWARD, ALLOWING A DRY UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS QUICK MOVING
TROUGH WILL INCREASE HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY, BUT WILL NOT BE ABLE TO PULL UP ENOUGH MOISTURE TO
PRODUCE ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE LOCAL AREA.
A STEADY NORTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WILL FILL IN BEHIND THE
TROUGH KEEPING THE LOCAL AREA WEATHER PATTERN DRY AND MILD THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. DAY TIME TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO
WELL ABOVE NORMAL VALUES BY TUESDAY, PEAKING AT NEAR RECORD VALUES
AROUND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SKIES FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SOME OCCASIONAL VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDINESS. WINDS WILL BE MOSTLY LIGHT AND UNDER 10 MPH, EXCEPT IN
THE AFTERNOON WHEN SOME LIGHT BREEZINESS CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 PM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH INCREASING SCT180 BKN250. SURFACE
WINDS EAST/SOUTHEAST 7-10 KNOTS TIL 03Z, THEN VARIABLE AOB 7
KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 954 AM MST SUN DEC 14 2025
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A
COLD FRONT PUSHED INTO THE AREA WITH WINDS E-NE WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH ALONG WEST SLOPES. WINDS SUBSIDE DURING THE
DAY AND THIS EVENING. COOLER TEMPS TODAY WILL RESULT IN HIGHER
RHS DURING THE DAY. NO PRECIP IS FORECAST WITH ONLY VARIABLE
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO ABOUT 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY MIDWEEK AS LIGHT WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES PREVAIL.
FUELS HAVE TRENDED DRIER THAN NORMAL FOR MID-DEC DUE TO THE DRY
PATTERN AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THIS WEEK. MIN RHS RANGE FROM
25-45% THROUGH MON, 15-25% IN FWZ110; THEN 12-25% BY WED. VENT
RATES WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 38 64 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 32 59 36 63 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 34 60 33 65 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 31 62 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 29 49 29 47 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 35 61 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 37 62 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 35 64 32 70 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 37 64 32 67 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 40 61 39 66 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 28 60 30 69 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 36 66 37 70 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 34 57 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 36 64 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 36 60 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 39 62 40 67 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 28 62 26 65 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 33 64 31 69 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 38 62 35 70 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 31 59 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 32 64 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 30 59 31 58 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 28 55 29 57 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 27 60 27 64 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 37 62 37 68 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 31 62 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 32 65 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 34 62 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 31 69 28 71 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 31 67 28 68 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 37 61 36 67 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 34 64 34 69 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 34 62 32 68 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 34 64 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 39 65 42 66 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...17-HEFNER
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