475
FXUS64 KEPZ 090506
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1006 PM MST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1005 PM MST MON DEC 8 2025
- NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS, TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES, AND A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1005 PM MST MON DEC 8 2025
NO CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGES AS A QUIET WEATHER
PATTERN PERSISTS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK AND
INTO THE WEEKEND.
STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL
CONTINUE TO PROMOTE DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE BORDERLAND
REGION. ALL IN ALL, EXPECTED QUIET AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
EACH DAY WITH HIGHS BECOMING 10-17 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THURSDAY, WITH
NEAR RECORD VALUES ACROSS THE DESERT LOWLANDS. CLOUD COVERAGE WILL
BE A MINIMUM WITH INSTANCES OF HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS FROM TIME TO TIME.
WINDS EACH AFTERNOON WILL BE LIGHT TO LOW-END BREEZY, TYPICAL
DIURNAL WIND FLOW REGIME.
QUIET AND FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS WEEKEND. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE EAST DURING
THE WEEKEND TIMEFRAME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1005 PM MST MON DEC 8 2025
VMC EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SKIES SKC. WINDS LIGHT AND
VRB THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING TIMEFRAME, BECOMING SWERLY
AT 5-10 KNOTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1002 AM MST MON DEC 8 2025
WARM AND DRY FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR WILL BE THE STORY FOR THIS
WEEK AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL AND WARM TO 10-15 ABOVE NORMAL BY THU/FRI. DRY AIR AT THE
SURFACE WILL ALLOW MIN RH'S TO DROP INTO THE 15-25% RANGE DAILY
BUT WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT, MAYBE AN OCCASIONAL BREEZY DAY IN
THE MOUNTAINS. LIGHT WINDS AND STRONG MORNING INVERSIONS WILL KEEP
VENT RATES POOR TO FAIR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 67 40 69 40 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 61 35 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 64 35 65 35 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 64 37 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 46 32 49 31 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 62 37 64 39 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 63 38 67 38 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 67 34 69 35 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 64 34 68 35 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 64 40 66 41 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 67 30 66 31 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 69 36 69 36 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 57 38 61 39 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 66 34 68 36 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 63 34 65 36 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 65 43 66 43 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 63 32 66 34 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 67 34 69 34 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 67 38 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 61 33 64 34 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 62 39 57 36 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 56 33 60 33 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 56 33 57 31 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 63 34 63 33 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 66 40 65 40 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 63 33 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 64 33 67 32 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 65 36 67 36 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 67 33 72 33 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 64 34 69 34 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 64 40 65 39 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 66 37 69 36 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 65 34 68 35 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 66 36 69 37 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 64 42 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...38-ROGERS
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