358
FXUS64 KEPZ 061747
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1047 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
- NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS, TYPICAL AFTERNOON BREEZES, AND A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR THIS WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
OUR PERSISTENT QUIET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE JUST OFF THE WEST COAST IS MAINTAINING A
BLOCKING PATTERN THAT WILL KEEP WEATHER SYSTEMS WELL NORTH OF THE
LOCAL AREA. A NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WITH SUNNY SKIES AND ZERO CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
THROUGH TO NEXT WEEKEND. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAY WILL
GRADUALLY GET WARMER THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S ACROSS THE LOWLANDS BY MID WEEK. WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE,
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE COLDER SIDE AS
A RESULT OF RADIATIVE COOLING PROCESSES NEAR THE GROUND DUE TO
LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND LOW HUMIDITIES. DURING THE DAY,
SURFACE WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE BREEZY CATEGORY WITH STRONGER
WINDS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH SKC SKIES. BREEZY WEST SOUTHWEST
WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE PEAK OF THE WINDS
BEING MID AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY 15-18G25-28KT. SOME
LINGERING BREEZINESS EXPECTED AFTER SUNSET BUT WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH UNDER 10 KNOTS LATER IN THE EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1014 AM MST SAT DEC 6 2025
LOW FIRE DANGER THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD. MIN RH VALUES WILL STAY
ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS WITH VALUES OF 20-30% IN THE LOWLANDS
AND 30-40% IN THE MOUNTAINS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED LOCATIONS
OF CRITICAL MIN RHS EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY, MOSTLY ON EAST FACING SLOPES OF MOUNTAINS. THE BREEZIEST
DAY OF THE WEEK WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WINDS OUT OF
THE WEST GENERALLY 5-15 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. EACH DAY AFTER
THAT WILL HAVE LIGHTER WINDS AT 5-10 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST WITH NO RAIN IN SIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL
LEANING ABOVE AVERAGE EACH DAY, PEAKING AT 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL BY THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 40 64 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 35 61 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 33 60 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 32 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 23 41 23 44 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 34 59 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 32 59 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 32 64 30 64 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 30 61 29 63 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 41 63 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 30 64 27 64 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 38 68 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 37 57 34 57 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 36 65 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 35 62 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 40 62 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 27 61 24 62 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 32 64 28 64 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 38 64 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 31 59 29 59 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 28 55 27 58 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 25 52 25 55 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 25 52 24 54 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 23 56 22 59 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 35 61 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 29 59 26 61 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 25 59 26 62 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 30 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 25 64 25 66 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 25 61 25 63 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 34 59 33 60 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 33 63 30 65 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 32 62 29 64 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 35 64 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 37 60 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...04-LUNDEEN
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