753
FXUS64 KEPZ 261730
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1130 AM MDT TUE MAY 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY, WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RAIN IN AREA MOUNTAINS.
- DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP THE AREA MOSTLY DRY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. OTERO AND HUDSPETH COUNTIES COULD
SEE THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE WORK WEEK DUE TO MOISTURE FROM
THE EAST.
- WE WILL FINISH OUT MAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RUNNING A FEW
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE EACH DAY THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1130 AM MDT TUE MAY 26 2026
DRIER AIR HAS SETTLED INTO OUR AREA, BRINGING WITH IT CLEAR SKIES
AND NEAR-TO-SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE AREA ON
TUESDAY, THOUGH THERE WILL BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR A CHANCE OF
SPOTTY SHOWERS IN EASTERN OTERO AND NORTHEASTERN HUDSPETH
COUNTIES. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL KEEP US DRY THROUGHOUT THE WEEK, THOUGH LURKING MOISTURE TO
OUR EAST WILL GIVE THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN HUDSPETH
COUNTY A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL STAY BETWEEN THE MID
80S TO THE LOW 90S AS WE TRANSITION FROM MAY TO JUNE, STILL NEAR-
TO- SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND EL PASO
COUNTY WILL HOVER AROUND 10-20% FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE
MOISTURE TO OUR EAST IS WORTH KEEPING AN EYE ON, AS THOUGH THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP IT EAST OF THE FRANKLINS, THERE
WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN INTRUSION OF MOISTURE IN THE LOWER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY NEXT MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM MDT TUE MAY 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH SKC-FEW120. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LIGHT, TOPPING OUT AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 KNOTS.
DIRECTION WILL BE FROM THE SW (230-250). AN ISO TSRA/SHRA CANNOT
BE RULED OUT BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z FOR ALL BUT DMN, BUT PROBABILITY
OF OCCURRENCE IS LESS THAN 20%. MAIN IMPACT WOULD BE GUSTY WINDS
AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1130 AM MDT TUE MAY 26 2026
DRIER AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE AREA. FOR TODAY, IT WILL
MAINLY BE FOR AREAS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE WITH SINGLE-DIGIT RH
VALUES. EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE, ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL STICK AROUND
FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH IN TO
COVER ALMOST THE ENTIRETY OF THE CWA FOR WEDNESDAY, WITH SINGLE
DIGIT AFTERNOON RH VALUES. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LINGER FOR A LOW
CHANCE FOR STORMS IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. WE WILL REPEAT THIS
PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL TOP OUT EACH
AFTERNOON AROUND 10 MPH. VENT RATES WILL GENERALLY BE VERY GOOD TO
EXCELLENT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 60 89 64 92 / 10 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 53 83 57 87 / 10 0 0 10
LAS CRUCES 52 86 55 89 / 10 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 55 85 58 89 / 10 0 0 20
CLOUDCROFT 40 64 43 67 / 10 0 0 30
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 54 84 56 87 / 10 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 49 79 51 81 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 53 89 54 91 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 54 86 55 88 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 60 88 63 91 / 10 0 0 0
DELL CITY 53 86 55 89 / 10 0 0 10
FORT HANCOCK 59 91 62 95 / 10 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 54 81 58 84 / 10 0 0 10
FABENS 57 90 60 94 / 10 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 55 86 57 90 / 10 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 61 86 65 90 / 10 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 52 85 55 89 / 10 0 0 0
HATCH 52 88 55 91 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 59 89 59 91 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 54 84 57 88 / 10 0 0 10
MAYHILL 43 75 47 77 / 10 10 0 30
MESCALERO 44 75 46 78 / 10 0 0 30
TIMBERON 42 71 45 74 / 10 0 0 20
WINSTON 43 77 45 80 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 53 82 55 85 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 50 84 52 88 / 10 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 43 80 45 82 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 47 82 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 48 86 50 89 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 48 81 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 50 80 52 84 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 54 86 55 88 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 54 86 55 88 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 54 87 54 87 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 52 80 53 81 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...ZOTTER / BROWN
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