791
FXUS64 KEPZ 280435
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1035 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1016 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL RUN NEAR SEASONAL
AVERAGES.
- SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS SUNDAY AND MONDAY, LIMITED
MOSTLY TO WESTERN NEW MEXICO.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 80S NEXT WEEK IN THE
LOWLANDS WITH BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1016 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
OVERALL, LITTLE TO NO CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGES WITH A
FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN SETTING UP OVER THE REGION DURING THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
THIS EVENING, WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN NM, WITH
WINDS DECREASING GRADUALLY ELSEWHERE. FOR SATURDAY, QUIET AND FAIR
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL SETTLE IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE WITH HIGHS TOPPING
OUT IN THE LOW 60S.
HEADING INTO SUNDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN
DOMINATING THE WEATHER AND GIVING THE RECORD BREAKING HEAT WILL MOVE
EAST. AS IT DOES SO, MOISTURE WILL BE PULLED NORTH OUT OF MEXICO
ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE. AS
A RESULT MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN NM, PROMOTING AN
INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES DURING THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY TIMEFRAME. AS
OF NOW, RAIN CHANCES LOOK MINIMAL WITH POPS TOPPING OUT BETWEEN THE
15-30 PERCENT RANGE FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE. MODEST AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY WILL ACCOMPANY THE INCREASE IN
MOISTURE, WHICH WILL LEAD TO SLIGHT CHANCES (20-30 PERCENT) OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THEREAFTER, A MORE SPRING-LIKE PATTERN WILL SET UP
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH CONFIDENCE INCREASING THAT WE
WILL SEE A RETURN OF BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1016 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN BREEZY
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS, OUT OF THE EAST AT 10-15 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KNOTS. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE
DURING THE MORNING HOURS, BECOMING LESS THAN 10 KNOTS BY 10Z.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT 5-10 KNOTS ON SATURDAY. SKIES SKC TO FEW
DURING THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1215 PM MDT FRI MAR 27 2026
A COLD FRONT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING AND THAT HAS
FLIPPED OUR WINDS AROUND TO THE EAST. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS LOOK
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS, BUT WILL SLOW THIS
EVENING. WE COULD SEE CONTINUED ELEVATED WINDS WEST OF THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TONIGHT. MIN RH'S ON SATURDAY WILL BE A HIGHER
DUE TO THE COOLER AIR. MIN RH'S ON SATURDAY WILL BE AT OR ABOVE
20% ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WEEKEND WILL SEE LESS WINDS, BUT THE MIN
RH'S ON SUNDAY WILL DROP BACK INTO THE TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEST
OF THE RIO GRANDE ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD
PRODUCE SOME DRY LIGHTNING. WE WILL SEE BREEZY TO WINDY WEST WINDS
MOST AFTERNOONS NEXT WEEK. WE COULD APPROACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 44 74 51 86 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 36 69 45 83 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 40 70 47 83 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 37 72 46 84 / 0 0 0 10
CLOUDCROFT 24 55 38 65 / 0 0 0 10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 42 71 50 84 / 0 0 0 10
SILVER CITY 37 67 46 79 / 0 0 0 10
DEMING 41 73 47 86 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 42 70 46 84 / 0 0 0 10
WEST EL PASO METRO 45 73 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 36 71 42 86 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 40 78 49 91 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 38 68 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 42 76 50 88 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 42 71 48 84 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 43 73 52 86 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 37 72 44 86 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 39 74 45 88 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 44 73 50 86 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 40 71 46 83 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 28 69 42 77 / 0 0 0 10
MESCALERO 27 65 39 76 / 0 0 0 10
TIMBERON 28 60 40 73 / 0 0 0 10
WINSTON 29 67 37 77 / 0 0 0 10
HILLSBORO 38 70 47 83 / 0 0 0 10
SPACEPORT 35 71 42 85 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 34 70 42 79 / 0 0 0 10
HURLEY 35 68 44 81 / 0 0 0 10
CLIFF 39 75 44 86 / 0 0 0 10
MULE CREEK 39 73 45 82 / 0 0 0 10
FAYWOOD 37 68 47 80 / 0 0 0 10
ANIMAS 43 73 47 84 / 0 0 0 10
HACHITA 40 70 46 84 / 0 0 0 10
ANTELOPE WELLS 42 73 49 84 / 0 0 0 10
CLOVERDALE 41 70 52 80 / 0 0 0 20
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...38-ROGERS
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