469
FXUS64 KEPZ 141650
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
950 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 945 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE FIXED ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST. TEMPERATURES A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-
JANUARY WITH LOWLAND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID SIXTIES.
- FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARRIVES TODAY, SHIFTING WINDS TO THE EAST WITH
MINIMAL CHANGES TO TEMPERATURE AND BREEZY WINDS ON THE WEST
SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS. LIGHTER WINDS EXPECTED FOR THE REST
OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 945 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
OUR QUIET WEATHER LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE START OF
NEXT WEEK. WE ARE CURRENTLY CAUGHT BETWEEN TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS, A
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND A
BLOCKING PATTERN, DOMINATING BY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE, ALONG THE
WEST COAST. WE FIND OUR REGION BETWEEN THOSE SYSTEMS WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO GIVE US A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW. AT THE SURFACE TODAY, A
WEAK "COLD" FRONT WAS PUSHING FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE AREA.
ABOUT THE ONLY EFFECT WE WILL SEE FROM THE FRONT WILL BE SOME LOW
END GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE LITTLE TO NO
TEMPERATURE DIFFERENCE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT. OUR HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 8
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. THEN AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK, WE MAY SEE
SOME MODESTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. WITH THE DRY NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT, WE WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO SEE MUCH IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS
LET ALONE PRECIPITATION. FOR NEXT WEEK, WE MAY SEE A CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION, BUT FOR NOW WE LOOK DRY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT
MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 945 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND THAT WILL
SWING OUR WINDS AROUND TO THE EAST AND MAY GIVE US SEVERAL HOURS
OF LOW END GUSTY WINDS. FOR TONIGHT, THE WINDS WILL GO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AND THOSE LIGHT WINDS WILL CARRY OVER INTO MUCH OF
THURSDAY. WE COULD SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME TODAY,
BUT GENERALLY OUR CEILINGS WILL BE UNLIMITED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.FIRE WEATHER 945 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
GENERALLY QUIET FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FOR
TODAY, A WEAK COLD FRONT WAS PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA AND THAT
WILL GIVE US SOME LOW END GUSTY EAST WINDS, ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST
SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS. THOSE WINDS WILL DROP OFF AND WE WILL
SEE GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND. MIN RH'S
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25% IN THE LOWLANDS TO
20 TO 30% IN AREA MOUNTAINS. WITH THE LIGHTER WINDS AFTER TODAY,
VENT RATES WILL STRUGGLE, STAYING IN THE POOR TO FAIR RANGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 36 64 36 65 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 34 62 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 30 60 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 30 61 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 24 43 26 44 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 33 63 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 31 60 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 32 63 30 65 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 29 62 28 64 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 39 63 37 64 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 27 65 26 60 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 33 67 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 35 57 34 57 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 32 65 31 65 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 32 61 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 37 63 38 63 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 29 61 28 63 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 29 65 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 32 62 33 64 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 32 60 30 61 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 29 60 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 26 54 27 55 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 26 53 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 24 60 26 59 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 33 64 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 28 61 28 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 27 60 28 62 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 29 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 28 65 26 67 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 29 62 27 64 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 33 60 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 29 63 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 28 61 29 64 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 29 63 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 36 60 38 62 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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