581
FXUS64 KEPZ 140419
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
919 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 857 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS THIS WEEK WITH HIGH PRESSURE FIXED ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST. TEMPERATURES A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-
JANUARY WITH LOWLAND HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID SIXTIES.
- FRONTAL BOUNDARY ARRIVES WEDNESDAY MORNING, SHIFTING WINDS TO
THE EAST WITH MINIMAL CHANGES TO TEMPERATURE AND BREEZY WINDS
ON THE WEST SLOPES OF AREA MOUNTAINS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 857 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
BACKDOOR FRONT ARRIVES EARLY WED AM, SHIFTING WINDS E-NE WITH
BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR WEST SLOPES, ESPECIALLY THE SACS AND HUECOS.
GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED IN THOSE FAVORED AREAS AND ARE
MODELED BY MANY CAMS, SO THE WIND GRIDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD
FROM THE NBM. THE BREEZY WINDS SPREAD WESTWARD ALONG THE I-10
CORRIDOR DURING THE DAY, GUSTING TO 25-30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
FROM THE EAST. VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPS ARE FORECAST TODAY.
WINDS RELAX WED NIGHT, STAYING MOSTLY LIGHT FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK AS AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGING HOLDS OVER THE WEST COAST AND DEEP
TROUGHING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. FAIR SKIES, NEAR-ZERO
PRECIP CHANCES, AND MILD TEMPERATURES (HIGHS ABOUT 5 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL) PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE STARTS TO
BREAK DOWN AND TRANSLATE EASTWARD WITH SIGNIFICANT MODEL
UNCERTAINTY ABOUT WHAT HAPPENS AFTER THAT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 857 PM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN
AOB 8KTS TONIGHT BEFORE LOW-LEVEL WINDS INCREASE WED MORNING FROM
THE NORTHEAST BEHIND A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LLWS CAN BE SEEN AFTER
SUNRISE FOR KELP AND KDMN WITH SOME GUSTS DURING THE DAY TO 20KTS
AS WINDS SHIFT E. WINDS SUBSIDE AFTER 0Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 924 AM MST TUE JAN 13 2026
WE WON'T HAVE ANY PRECIPITATION CHANCES OVER THE NEXT WEEK AND WE
WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO SEE ANY CLOUDS THROUGH WEEKEND. MIN RH'S
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE NEAR 20% IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE
30'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. FOR THE WEEKEND WE WILL BE A LITTLE DRIER
WITH MIN RH'S IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS AND IN THE
MID TO UPPER 20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. THE WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT
WILL BE LIGHT, THEN ON WEDNESDAY A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE REGION WHICH MAY GIVE US A FEW HOURS OF LOW END
BREEZY EAST WINDS. THEN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND
WE WILL HAVE A RETURN OF OUR LIGHT WINDS. VENT RATES WILL RANGE
FROM FAIR TO GOOD ON WEDNESDAY AND FROM POOR TO FAIR ON THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 36 64 36 64 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 32 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 32 60 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 29 61 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 26 42 25 43 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 34 60 33 63 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 32 57 31 60 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 31 62 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 28 60 30 62 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 36 63 38 62 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 26 62 27 65 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 30 65 32 67 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 34 56 35 57 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 30 64 32 65 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 30 62 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 37 62 38 62 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 27 61 29 61 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 30 63 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 32 62 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 30 61 32 60 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 29 51 28 60 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 28 54 26 55 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 27 51 25 52 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 26 55 24 60 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 34 59 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 30 61 28 61 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 27 58 27 60 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 29 59 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 27 65 28 65 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 29 61 28 62 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 34 58 33 60 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 30 61 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 27 59 29 61 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 29 60 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 36 56 35 60 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...39-ARONSON
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