168
FXUS64 KEPZ 271139
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
439 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 421 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
- ANOTHER COLD MORNING TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. PATCHY MORNING FOG TUESDAY OVER HUDSPETH AND OTERO
COUNTIES.
- DRY CONDITIONS, SEASONALLY COOL TEMPERATURES, AND LIGHT WINDS
TO PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1006 PM MST MON JAN 26 2026
A NICE QUIET INTERLUDE IS SETTING UP AFTER OUR BUSY WEEKEND. IN
THE SHORT TERM, ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IN STORE ACROSS THE CWA, WITH
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES EAST OF THE RG VALLEY. SATELLITE SHOWS
STRATUS/FOG CONTINUING OVER PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH AND SOUTHEAST
OTERO COUNTIES. SOME OF THIS IS LEFT OVER FROM THIS MORNING. HRRR
SHOWS SATURATED AIR CONTINUING IN THIS AREA OVER SEVERAL INCHES OF
SNOWFALL COVER. HRRR VISIBILITY FIELD ALSO SHOWING VERY LOW
VISIBILITIES IN THIS AREA. SO HAVE ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
FOR PORTIONS OF HUDSPETH COUNTY FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY MORNING.
LARGER PICTURE AND LONGER TERM...RIDGING CURRENTLY BUILDING ALONG
THE WEST COAST WILL FLATTEN OUT INTO ZONAL FLOW BY WEDNESDAY AS A
WEAK TROUGH CUTS THROUGH. FEATURE SHOULD HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT, WITH
JUST A FEW HIGHER CLOUDS AND MAYBE AN AFTERNOON BREEZE. RIDGE THEN
REBUILDS OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST BY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE BOTTOM LINE WITH ALL OF THIS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND IS DRY WITH
NO CHANCE OF RAIN, VERY FEW CLOUDS, AND TEMPERATURES MODERATING
BACK TO NEAR NORMAL BY THURSDAY AND BEYOND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 421 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN
AOB 6KTS WITH SOME VARIABILITY. SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS CLEAR OUT FROM
WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING. NO FOG EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AM.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 421 AM MST TUE JAN 27 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY EXCEPT FOR FWZ113 WHERE MODEST NW
WINDS EXPECTED. LIGHT WINDS PERSIST THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH A WEAK
COLD FRONT MOVING IN ON THURSDAY, SHIFTING WINDS TO NORTHERLY
DURING THE DAY. NO CHANCE FOR PRECIP THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD
TO EXCELLENT, EXCEPT FWZ110 WHERE THEY WILL BE POOR TO GOOD. ERCS
ARE NOW NEAR RECORD LOWS FOR PERCENTILE AFTER THE RECENT
RAIN/SNOW. TEMPS MODERATE CLOSER TO NORMAL INTO THE WEEKEND.
MIN RHS RANGE FROM 25-50% THROUGH THU OUTSIDE OF FWZ110 WHICH IS
10-20%. VENT RATES WILL BE MOSTLY POOR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 29 56 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 25 49 30 50 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 25 54 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 20 52 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 21 41 24 43 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 28 56 33 58 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 29 54 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 27 57 32 62 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 25 57 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 32 54 36 57 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 14 44 19 49 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 25 58 32 58 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 28 46 32 48 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 25 57 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 27 54 31 57 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 29 52 33 56 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 17 54 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 20 58 28 62 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 28 56 33 60 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 15 48 25 51 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 22 54 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 21 50 24 51 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 23 46 27 48 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 22 54 26 55 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 30 57 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 19 55 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 22 56 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 27 55 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 21 61 25 64 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 19 58 22 61 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 30 54 35 58 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 25 57 33 61 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 25 55 31 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 27 57 35 62 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 34 56 40 59 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR SALT BASIN.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR NORTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR EAST
SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET.
FORECASTER...39-ARONSON
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