578
FXUS64 KEPZ 212316
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
416 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 334 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
- QUIET WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS.
- NEAR RECORD WARMTH THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH LOWLAND
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER EIGHTIES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 945 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
A LONGWAVE RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS,
AND IT WILL BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE WHOLE PERIOD. AN
EASTERLY PUSH WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT, BUT IT'S DIFFICULT TO CALL IT A
COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TOMORROW, AND THAT WILL BE
THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING TREND WITH WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
ON WEDNESDAY, A WEAK S/W WILL ROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE,
INCREASING BREEZES, BUT WITH NO MAJOR IMPACTS ANTICIPATED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 415 PM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SKC WITH INCREASING SCT180
BKN-OVC250 AFTER 03Z. SURFACE WINDS EAST/NORTHEAST 7-10 KNOTS
BECOMING VARIABLE AOB 7 KNOTS AFTER 03Z.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 945 AM MST SAT FEB 21 2026
WE WILL BE ENTERING A VERY WARM AND DRY PATTERN THOUGH WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. TODAY WILL BE THE COOLEST DAY,
BUT BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WE WILL BE ABOUT 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE TEENS THOUGH WINDS WILL
MAINLY STAY UNDER 10 MPH. THE WINDIEST DAYS WILL BE TOMORROW,
ESPECIALLY NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER, AND WEDNESDAY. WINDS
WILL BE CLOSE TO CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ON WEDNESDAY, BUT MIN RH
VALUES WILL BE A BIT HIGHER, GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS.
VENTING WILL BE POOR TO GOOD ON SUNDAY, DECREASING FOR MONDAY.
VENTING WILL BE GOOD FOR MOST LOCATIONS ON TUESDAY BECOMING VERY
GOOD TO EXCELLENT ON WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 38 65 37 69 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 33 60 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 32 61 32 66 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 30 62 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 22 44 25 49 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 32 61 33 67 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 32 56 33 64 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 33 64 34 69 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 37 62 37 67 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 40 64 40 69 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 30 60 29 68 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 36 67 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 34 57 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 38 66 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 35 63 35 67 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 36 62 37 67 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 28 62 29 67 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 28 64 30 70 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 36 65 37 69 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 31 60 31 66 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 23 54 27 63 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 24 54 27 60 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 28 50 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 23 54 24 62 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 31 59 33 66 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 27 61 28 67 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 26 58 28 67 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 30 59 30 65 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 28 64 30 71 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 29 62 30 68 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 33 58 35 64 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 33 64 35 69 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 34 62 34 67 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 33 64 34 68 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 37 61 37 67 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...17-HEFNER
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