472
FXUS64 KEPZ 241130
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
530 AM MDT MON AUG 24 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 525 AM MDT MON AUG 24 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD. LOWLAND HIGHS WILL RANGE
UPPER 90S TO 105, WHICH WILL APPROACH DAILY RECORDS.
- VERY LIMITED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE MOUNTAINS FOR TODAY.
DRY ELSEWHERE.
- CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 525 AM MDT MON AUG 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH SKC-FEW120/250. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THOUGH FAVORING FROM THE SOUTHEAST. SPEEDS
WILL TOP OUT GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 KNOTS WITH AN OCCASIONAL GUST
UP TO 20 KNOTS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 525 AM MDT MON AUG 24 2026
HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH AFTERNOON MIN RH VALUES DROPPING
INTO THE LOWER TO MID TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
WITH GOOD VENT CATEGORIES. IT WILL BE HOTTER FOR TUESDAY BUT
RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL START A GRADUAL INCREASE FOR THE
MOUNTAINS. BY THURSDAY, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
RETURN TO ALL AREAS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 225 PM MDT SUN AUG 23 2026
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH
VERY LOW CHANCES FOR A POP-UP SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE GILA
AND SACRAMENTOS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND MONDAY
AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE.
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP JUST BELOW 10 PERCENT IN THE
LOWLANDS THE NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS, WHILE THE FORESTED HIGH
ELEVATIONS HOLD ONTO 15 TO 25%. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.
AN UPTICK IN THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN, IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY, AND ANOTHER TICK HIGHER THURSDAY, AS THE
UPPER RIDGE DRIFTS WEST OF THE AREA AGAIN, OPENING US UP TO WEAK
DISTURBANCES ALOFT DROPPING IN FROM THE NORTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 76 104 76 103 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 68 102 67 100 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 69 103 71 102 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 73 102 72 100 / 0 0 0 10
CLOUDCROFT 56 78 56 77 / 0 10 0 40
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 72 101 73 100 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 65 96 67 95 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 70 104 71 103 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 70 102 72 102 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 76 105 77 103 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 71 104 70 102 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 75 108 74 107 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 70 98 70 96 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 73 105 73 103 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 72 103 73 103 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 76 105 76 103 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 71 103 71 103 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 71 106 72 105 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 74 104 74 103 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 70 101 70 100 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 61 91 60 89 / 0 10 0 40
MESCALERO 59 90 59 88 / 0 10 0 40
TIMBERON 59 88 58 86 / 0 0 0 30
WINSTON 63 92 64 92 / 0 0 0 20
HILLSBORO 70 100 71 100 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 69 102 70 101 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 59 93 60 93 / 0 10 0 10
HURLEY 66 99 68 98 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 68 103 69 103 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 65 99 67 99 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 68 98 70 97 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 71 103 71 103 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 70 101 70 101 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 69 101 69 101 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 67 97 68 97 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR RIO
GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...34-BROWN
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