128
FXUS64 KEPZ 282332
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
532 PM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 530 PM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
- WARM CONDITIONS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH PLENTY OF HIGH CLOUDS.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS FOR SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO MONDAY
AFTERNOON THEN AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY.
- BREEZY CONDITIONS RETURN MIDWEEK, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS EACH
AFTERNOON TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
AFTER YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT AND GUSTY WINDS, TODAY WE GET TO
ENJOY COOLER TEMPERATURES (NEAR AVERAGE) AND MUCH LESS WINDS. ON
SUNDAY THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT HAS CONTROLLED OUR WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE PUSHING TO THE EAST. AT THE SURFACE OUR WINDS WILL COME
AROUND TO THE WEST AND WE WILL SEE A DECENT WARM UP. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL BE RUNNING AROUND 10 TO 12 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE. LATE ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY A LITTLE MOISTURE WILL
MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH. THIS MOISTURE WILL GIVE US A
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN MAINLY IN AREA MOUNTAINS. WE COULD SEE A
FEW DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL. MONDAY'S HIGHS WILL RUN A COUPLE OF
DEGREES WARMER THAN SUNDAY'S HIGHS.
FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WE WILL SEE A ZONAL (WEST TO EAST) FLOW
ALOFT. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN,
ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY, AGAIN MAINLY CONFINED TO AREA MOUNTAINS.
OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE BOTH DAYS. OUR WINDS WILL BE BREEZY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
LITTLE WINDY ON WEDNESDAY AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH DASHES ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WE WILL BE DRIER,
WITH CONTINUED BREEZY OR LOW END WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE
AFTERNOON. OUR HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL STILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 530 PM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
VMC THROUGH FORECAST PERIOD UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SKIES
SCT-BKN250 TONIGHT, THEN SCT-BKN200 TOMORROW. SURFACE WINDS LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, THEN SOUTHEAST 110-150 AT 05 TO 10 KNOTS
ON SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1100 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2026
WE WILL SEE QUIETER FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY AS COOLER AIR
AND MIN RH'S ABOVE 20% WILL BE THE RULE. BUT IT WON'T LAST LONG,
AS SUNDAY WILL SEE WINDS COME BACK AROUND TO THE WEST (BUT NOT
STRONG) AND MIN RH'S WILL DROP BACK INTO THE TEENS IN THE LOWLANDS
AND IN THE 20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS. FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK, WE WILL
HAVE A ZONAL (WEST TO EAST) WIND FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL GIVE US
BREEZY TO WINDY (BUT NOT TOO WINDY) CONDITIONS EACH AFTERNOON. WE
WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY, MAINLY IN AREA MOUNTAINS. THE MOISTURE WILL HELP KEEP
MIN RH'S UP A LITTLE BUT BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THE DRIER AIR WILL
WIN OUT AND WE WILL SEE MIN RH'S WELL DOWN INTO THE TEENS IN THE
LOWLANDS AND IN THE UPPER TEENS OR LOWER 20'S IN AREA MOUNTAINS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 51 86 57 89 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 45 82 51 85 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 46 83 52 85 / 0 0 0 10
ALAMOGORDO 46 84 51 86 / 0 0 0 10
CLOUDCROFT 38 65 44 64 / 0 10 0 10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 49 84 56 84 / 0 10 0 20
SILVER CITY 46 79 52 77 / 0 10 10 30
DEMING 48 86 53 87 / 0 0 0 20
LORDSBURG 46 83 52 82 / 0 10 10 30
WEST EL PASO METRO 54 85 58 87 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 41 86 49 90 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 49 89 52 92 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 49 80 54 82 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 49 87 54 90 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 49 83 52 86 / 0 0 0 10
WHITE SANDS HQ 52 86 58 88 / 0 0 0 10
JORNADA RANGE 44 85 49 87 / 0 0 0 10
HATCH 45 88 49 89 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBUS 50 86 58 87 / 0 0 0 10
OROGRANDE 46 83 51 85 / 0 0 0 10
MAYHILL 43 78 48 78 / 0 10 0 10
MESCALERO 38 76 44 76 / 0 10 0 20
TIMBERON 40 72 46 74 / 0 10 0 10
WINSTON 38 78 44 75 / 0 10 10 30
HILLSBORO 48 83 54 82 / 0 10 10 20
SPACEPORT 43 84 48 85 / 0 0 0 10
LAKE ROBERTS 43 80 47 77 / 0 10 10 40
HURLEY 44 81 49 80 / 0 10 10 20
CLIFF 44 86 49 83 / 0 10 10 30
MULE CREEK 44 82 51 78 / 0 10 10 40
FAYWOOD 47 81 53 80 / 0 10 10 20
ANIMAS 48 85 53 82 / 0 10 10 30
HACHITA 46 83 52 82 / 0 0 0 30
ANTELOPE WELLS 49 84 54 82 / 0 10 10 40
CLOVERDALE 53 80 54 77 / 0 20 20 50
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...30-DENNHARDT
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