482
FXUS64 KEPZ 110437
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1037 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1035 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
- DRIER AND HOT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH MANY LOWLAND AREAS
EXCEEDING 100 DEGREES. HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF EL
PASO COUNTY AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.
- RETURNING MOISTURE WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH BETTER CHANCES
EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE.
- TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT LOOKS TO RETURN TO THE LOWLANDS FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1035 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL OUR WEATHER ON
THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. THURSDAY WILL BE DRY WITH WIDE SPREAD
100+ DEGREE HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE LOWLANDS. A TRICKLE OF
MOISTURE WILL TRY TO SLIP INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BUT THE RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED TO LOCATIONS EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. THE
RIDGE ALOFT WILL BE WEAKER BUT STILL AN INFLUENCE, SO IT WILL BE A
CHALLENGE TO GET MORE THAN JUST A FEW THUNDERSTORMS GOING FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FOR SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY, THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL DROP TO
OUR SOUTHWEST AND THAT WILL ALLOW A LITTLE MORE MOISTURE TO GET
INTO THE AREA. IT WON'T BE A LOT OF MOISTURE, ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY SO RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STRUGGLE. HIGH
TEMPERATURES THOSE DAYS WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES, WHICH WILL
KEEP MOST LOWLAND LOCATIONS JUST SHY OF THE TRIPLE DIGIT MARK. IT
LOOKS LIKE THE EXTENDED MODELS BUILD THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BACK
INTO NEW MEXICO FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS RIDGE POSITION
WILL DRY US OUT AND HEAT US BACK UP WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN
ABOVE 100 ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWLANDS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
WE WILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WE WILL HAVE
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT, WITH THE ONE EXCEPTION BEING KELP
WHERE WE COULD STILL SEE A WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SWING THE WINDS
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. LIKE TODAY, WE WILL
SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF LOW END GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION FOR
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. OUR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN UNLIMITED FOR
TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS
WILL BUILD UP OUT OF MEXICO EARLY TOMORROW EVENING, POTENTIALLY
GIVING US SOME HIGH CEILINGS OF BKN250.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 935 AM MDT WED JUN 10 2026
WE ARE IN A DEEP WESTERLY FLOW PATTERN, WHICH MEANS THE REGION
WILL STAY WARM AND GENERALLY DRY TODAY AND TOMORROW. FOR THE
WEEKEND, LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES WILL REINTRODUCE MOISTURE TO THE
AREA, BRINGING BACK THE CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN UP TO 7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
LOWLANDS TODAY AND TOMORROW DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
STRETCHING FROM ARIZONA TO THE GULF COAST. DRY WINDS WILL PREVAIL
FROM THE WEST TODAY AND TOMORROW FOR THE CWA, LOWERING RELATIVE
HUMIDITY PERCENTAGES FOR THE LOWLANDS DOWN TO THE LOWER
TEENS/UPPER SINGLE DIGITS. RECOVERY RHS WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE MODERATE, BETWEEN 10-20 MPH, DURING THE
AFTERNOONS, ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS, WHILE THE NIGHTS WILL BE
LIGHTER AND VARIABLE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 78 104 78 100 / 0 0 0 20
SIERRA BLANCA 69 100 69 94 / 0 0 0 40
LAS CRUCES 68 101 70 98 / 0 0 0 10
ALAMOGORDO 72 100 72 98 / 0 0 0 30
CLOUDCROFT 54 81 55 76 / 0 0 0 50
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 69 100 71 98 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 61 95 63 92 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 70 105 71 102 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 66 98 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 75 102 75 98 / 0 0 0 20
DELL CITY 69 103 69 96 / 0 0 0 30
FORT HANCOCK 75 105 75 101 / 0 0 0 40
LOMA LINDA 70 96 71 91 / 0 0 0 30
FABENS 73 105 73 101 / 0 0 0 40
SANTA TERESA 71 101 72 97 / 0 0 0 10
WHITE SANDS HQ 78 101 79 98 / 0 0 0 30
JORNADA RANGE 69 100 70 97 / 0 0 0 20
HATCH 68 104 70 101 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBUS 75 103 77 101 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 69 99 69 96 / 0 0 0 30
MAYHILL 61 93 60 84 / 0 0 10 60
MESCALERO 58 91 58 86 / 0 0 0 60
TIMBERON 57 87 57 82 / 0 0 0 40
WINSTON 59 94 61 89 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 68 98 70 96 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 64 99 66 97 / 0 0 0 10
LAKE ROBERTS 56 96 59 93 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 63 97 65 95 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 60 100 63 98 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 57 96 61 94 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 65 97 67 94 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 66 98 68 97 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 67 98 69 97 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 68 97 69 96 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 64 92 66 91 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR EASTERN/CENTRAL EL
PASO COUNTY-RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN
HUDSPETH COUNTIES-RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH
COUNTY.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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