674
FXUS64 KEPZ 310402
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
902 PM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 900 PM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AND INTO THE MID PORTION OF NEXT WEEK.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WARMING TO ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY EAST WINDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
AIR MIDWEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 900 PM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
AFTER THE EXCITEMENT OF ALL THE RAIN AND SNOW AND COLD
TEMPERATURES LAST WEEKEND, WE HAVE SETTLED INTO A QUIETER WEATHER
PATTERN FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS. CURRENTLY AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
ALONG THE WEST COAST IS SLOWLY PUSHING TO THE EAST INTO OUR
REGION. SATURDAY'S HIGHS WILL WARM A COUPLE OF DEGREES AND ON
SUNDAY WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES WARM ANOTHER 4 OR 5 DEGREES WITH
THE RIDGE RIDGE OVER NEW MEXICO. WITH THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE
ALOFT, IN ADDITION TO THE WARMER TEMPERATURES, WE WILL HAVE MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT SURFACE WINDS.
FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK, THE RIDGE WILL MOVE TO OUR EAST AND A
FAST, BUT WEAK SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL DASH ACROSS NEW MEXICO ON
MONDAY. THIS TROUGH WON'T HAVE ANY MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, BUT IT
WILL GIVE US SOME BREEZY AND WARM WEST WINDS WHICH WILL JUMP OUR
HIGH TEMPERATURES ANOTHER 4 OR 5 DEGREES FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MONDAY'S HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING 4 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. FOR TUESDAY, WE WILL HAVE A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A
WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BACK INTO THE REGION FROM THE EAST. THE FRONT
COMES IN A LITTLE LATE ON TUESDAY, SO THE AFTERNOON HIGHS FOR
TUESDAY WILL ONLY DROP A FEW DEGREES, BUT WE WILL SEE A LITTLE
BIGGER DROP IN TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH TEMPERATURES
ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL RUN A LITTLE ABOVE AVERAGE WEST OF
THE RIO GRANDE AND A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE EAST OF THE RIVER. WE
WILL STAY DRY FOR THE END OF THE COMING WEEK, WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES RUNNING AT OR A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 900 PM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
WE WILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING (AND BEYOND).
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO HELP
KEEP OUR CEILINGS UNLIMITED TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. AT THE
SURFACE OUR WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT AND THE LIGHT
WINS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 145 PM MST FRI JAN 30 2026
MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM TO NEAR-SEASONAL ON SATURDAY, THEN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL
ON SUNDAY, BUT WE'LL STILL SEE RATHER COLD NIGHTS IN VALLEY
LOCATIONS, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 20 TO 40 PERCENT, HIGHEST IN THE
EASTERN LOWLANDS. A FEW SPOTS IN SW NEW MEXICO COULD DROP BRIEFLY
INTO THE UPPER-10S THIS WEEKEND.
UNFAVORABLE VENT RATES WILL RETURN THIS WEEKEND, WITH MAX
VENTILATION DROPPING BELOW 30,000 KNOT-FEET IN THE GILA, AND EVEN
LOWER IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SACRAMENTOS ON SATURDAY. BUT
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS WARMER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE
AND MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 33 61 35 65 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 29 56 31 59 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 29 57 31 61 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 27 56 29 61 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 21 38 25 46 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 32 59 33 62 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 30 57 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 30 61 32 64 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 28 60 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 36 60 37 63 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 24 54 25 57 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 31 64 33 67 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 32 54 35 57 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 30 62 33 66 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 29 59 31 62 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 34 58 36 62 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 26 59 28 62 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 27 61 29 65 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 31 60 34 63 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 27 56 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 24 54 28 59 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 22 49 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 24 46 28 52 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 23 57 26 58 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 32 59 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 25 59 27 62 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 27 59 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 28 58 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 27 64 29 68 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 28 62 30 65 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 32 57 34 59 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 28 61 30 64 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 27 59 29 62 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 29 61 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 34 58 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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