342
FXUS64 KEPZ 020433
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1033 PM MDT WED APR 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1024 PM MDT WED APR 1 2026
- WARM TEMPERATURES AND QUIETER WEATHER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT,
BRINGING SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR
THIS WEEKEND AND THE START OF NEXT WEEK.
- SOME MOISTURE PUSHING IN FROM THE EAST MAY BRING SHOWERS TO THE
AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1024 PM MDT WED APR 1 2026
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS MOVED EAST OF THE AREA, WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES NOW ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL PERSIST
CLOSE TO THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
QUIET AND WARM WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT BECOMES A LITTLE MORE AMPLIFIED AS THE NEXT
TROUGH MOVES WELL TO OUR NORTH. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL DROP IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY NIGHT, WITH NO PRECIP OR
STRONG WINDS EXPECTED...JUST A SHIFT TO NORTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW
FRIDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING TO SLIGHTLY BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS SATURDAY,
AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR NORMAL.
SOME LIMITED MOISTURE FROM THE GULF COAST WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH
INTO THE AREA ON THE EASTERLY FLOW LATE SUNDAY, WITH SOME LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1024 PM MDT WED APR 1 2026
CLEARING SKIES THROUGH THE NIGHT, WITH JUST SOME HIGH CLOUDS NEAR
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH. WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS TOMORROW MAY BRIEFLY GUST AROUND 20 KNOTS LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1055 AM MDT WED APR 1 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LOW-MODERATE FOR THE REST OF THE
WORKWEEK. A STORM SYSTEM PASSES TO THE NORTH TODAY, BRINGING A
LOW CHANCE OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY FOR AREA MTNS. RAINFALL
WILL BE LIGHT; AROUND 0.25" FOR THE SACS, <0.05" ELSEWHERE. WINDS
BECOME BREEZY TO LOW-END WINDY THIS AFTERNOON, SHIFTING SW TO W
BEHIND THE PACIFIC FRONT. THE RAIN CHANCES AND ADDED MOISTURE FROM
THE SYSTEM WILL LIMIT FIRE WX CONCERNS THIS AFTERNOON. MIN RHS
WILL BE ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS TODAY. FOR THU, DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST, BUT WINDS RETURN TO MODESTLY BREEZY
LEVELS, RESULTING IN ELEVATED FIRE WX. CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH FRI WITH CONTINUED BREEZINESS. A COLD FRONT
SHIFTS WINDS E FOR SAT BEFORE MOISTURE LEVELS INCREASE EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH LOW RAIN CHANCES SUN-TUE. TEMPERATURES COOL TO NEAR
NORMAL TODAY, WARMING A FEW DEGREES FOR THU/FRI.
MIN RHS RANGE FROM 20-30% TODAY IN LOWLANDS, 30-50% MTNS; THEN
8-20% THROUGH FRI. VENTILATION WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT
THROUGH FRI.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 54 82 57 84 / 10 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 52 80 56 82 / 10 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 45 79 49 80 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 45 79 48 81 / 10 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 34 57 41 58 / 20 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 45 80 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 39 70 44 72 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 44 81 47 82 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 40 77 43 79 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 52 81 56 84 / 10 0 0 0
DELL CITY 45 82 47 85 / 10 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 49 87 54 89 / 10 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 43 75 47 77 / 10 0 0 0
FABENS 52 84 56 88 / 10 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 49 80 52 83 / 10 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 52 81 57 82 / 10 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 40 80 42 82 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 42 82 44 85 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 48 83 53 83 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 44 79 48 82 / 10 0 0 0
MAYHILL 36 72 43 73 / 20 0 0 0
MESCALERO 34 68 38 69 / 20 0 0 0
TIMBERON 34 66 38 68 / 20 0 0 0
WINSTON 33 73 37 73 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 41 79 45 80 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 38 80 41 81 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 30 70 31 72 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 38 74 41 75 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 37 76 39 81 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 33 72 34 75 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 42 74 44 76 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 44 80 45 81 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 44 80 46 81 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 44 80 47 81 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 44 74 46 76 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...25-HARDIMAN
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