259
FXUS64 KEPZ 162350
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
450 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 449 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
- DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD WITH NO RAIN CHANCES
INTO THE CHRISTMAS HOLIDAY.
- WE WILL HAVE WARMER TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY,
THEN EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
LOWLAND HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID SEVENTIES WILL BE NEAR DAILY
RECORDS FOR MID DECEMBER.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 945 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
THE UL S/W TROUGH THAT BROUGHT US CLOUDS YESTERDAY IS EXITING
INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING. BEHIND IT, NW FLOW WILL
RESUME, BRINGING BACK OUR MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES, AND LIGHT WINDS. A FEW RECORDS WILL ALMOST CERTAINLY
FALL FOR THE WEEK AHEAD. THE NW FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL BY
THIS WEEKEND BEFORE THE PACIFIC RIDGE VERY SLOWLY STARTS
TRANSLATING EAST. BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE RIDGE AXIS WILL BE
ALIGNED OVER NM AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES SHAPE OVER THE
PACIFIC. PERHAPS BY THE LAST WEEK OF DECEMBER OR FIRST WEEK OF JANUARY,
OUR STREAK OF WARM, DRY, TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL BREAK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 449 PM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
QUIET WEATHER WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CEILINGS WILL BE UNLIMITED TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH AND THEN
LIGHT AGAIN BUT FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 937 AM MST TUE DEC 16 2025
THE NEXT FIVE DAYS WILL FEATURE NEAR RECORD WARMTH, SUNNY OR
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS. MIN RH VALUES WILL
DIP WELL INTO THE TEENS EACH AFTERNOON. WINDS THROUGHOUT THE
PERIOD WILL BE VERY LIGHT, TOPPING OUT UNDER 10 MPH FOR MOST
LOCATIONS. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP VENT RATES POOR IN THE LOWLANDS
WITH FAIR TO GOOD IN THE MOUNTAINS, ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN GILA
WHERE WINDS WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 69 41 71 42 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 64 39 68 38 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 66 36 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 66 35 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 50 34 51 34 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 66 41 66 40 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 65 38 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 72 37 71 36 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 67 35 69 37 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 66 43 69 44 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 69 31 71 32 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 71 39 74 39 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 61 41 64 42 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 69 38 72 38 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 66 36 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 68 43 70 45 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 66 33 68 34 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 71 35 71 35 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 71 43 72 40 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 64 34 67 37 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 65 40 65 38 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 61 35 61 36 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 58 33 61 33 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 66 37 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 69 42 68 42 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 66 34 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 66 34 68 35 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 68 36 68 37 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 70 32 72 33 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 67 33 69 35 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 67 41 67 41 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 71 38 71 39 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 70 37 70 36 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 72 38 73 39 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 66 42 68 44 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
FORECASTER...15-BRICE
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