300
FXUS64 KEPZ 260548
AFDEPZ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1048 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 918 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
- A COUPLE OF BITTERLY COLD MORNINGS MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 918 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
QUIET CONDITIONS TONIGHT BUT WE ARE SEEING SOME PATCHY FREEZING
FOG STARTING TO DEVELOP IN THE SACRAMENTO MTNS AND HUDSPETH
COUNTY. MODELS CONTINUE THIS TREND THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
BEFORE BURNING OFF TOMORROW SOON AFTER SUNRISE. MAY NEED TO EXPAND
THE FREEZING FOG ADVISORY DOWN INTO THE TULAROSA BASIN.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP THE BORDERLAND COOL FOR MONDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 10-30 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING WILL BE BITTERLY
COLD WITH ALL LOCATIONS DIPPING BELOW FREEZING. SOME OF THE
COLDEST SPOTS WILL BE EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE AND THE HIGHER
TERRAIN WHERE WIND CHILLS DIP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.
THEREAFTER, TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN ON A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
WORK WEEK. A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL TRY AND PUSH IN
THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY MORNING, KEEPING TEMPERATURES GENERALLY THE
SAME, MAYBE A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SEEN THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 435 PM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
CLEARING CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS HAS ALLOWED SOME FZFG TO
DEVELOP EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. MODELS HAVE BEEN BACK AND FORTH
HOW WIDESPREAD THIS FZFG WILL BE BUT SEEMS LIKE KELP HAS THE BEST
CHANCE NOW, KLRU POSSIBLY BEING ABLE TO SEE SOME FOG. LESS LIKELY
FOR KDMN AND NOT EXPECTING FOG FOR KTCS. FOG SHOULD BURN OFF AN
HOUR OR TWO AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW. LIGHT WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1110 AM MST SUN JAN 25 2026
THIS LATEST TWO-DAY WEATHER SYSTEM, HAS BROUGHT SUBSTANTIAL
MOISTURE TO THE REGION WITH MUCH OF THE REGION SEEING NEAR RECORD
JANUARY PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS. AS USUAL, THE GILA,
BOOTHEEL GOT THE LEAST OF IT, BUT STILL A GOOD LONG DOUSING OF
1/2 TO 1". TO THE EAST, MOST LOCATIONS GOT 1-2" OF LIQUID
EQUIVALENT. THE SACS GOT 8-15"+ OF SNOWFALL. A LOOK AT THE PSA ERC
CHARTS SHOW THAT OUR ENTIRE AREA IS NOW RECORDING ERCS AT OR
BELOW THE DAILY MINIMUMS. THIS SYSTEM IS NOW EAST OF THE REGION,
AND DRY AIR IS QUICKLY FILLING BACK IN ON NW FLOW BEHIND THE
SYSTEM. WE WILL SEE A RETURN OF MORE TYPICAL CONDITIONS, WITH
PLENTY OF SUN AND SOME HIGH CLOUDS, WIDER SWINGS IN RH, WITH
MODERATE TO LOW DAYTIME MINRH, AND GENERALLY GOOD RECOVERIES IN
THE NIGHTTIME. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE COOLER THAN NORMAL
THROUGH THE WEEK, TO TO THE NW FLOW ALOFT, AND MINOR COLD FRONT
INTRUSIONS THROUGH THE WEEK. WINDS WILL BE QUITE VARIABLE, AND
MOSTLY LIGHT TO MODERATE. A SYSTEM WILL PASS THU/FRI, BUT IT IS
LOOKING LIKE IT WILL BE DRY, AS THE MOISTURE STAYS SOUTH, AND THE
TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH QUICKLY. AREAWIDE, VENTILATION RATES LOOK
POOR FOR THE WEEK, WITH A BRIEF EXCEPTION OF OUR WESTERN AREAS ON
FRIDAY, WITH THE TROUGH PASSAGE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
EL PASO 24 46 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
SIERRA BLANCA 16 38 19 46 / 0 0 0 0
LAS CRUCES 22 45 22 52 / 0 0 0 0
ALAMOGORDO 14 39 14 48 / 0 0 0 0
CLOUDCROFT 7 27 12 37 / 0 0 0 0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES 25 45 23 53 / 0 0 0 0
SILVER CITY 21 44 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
DEMING 25 49 23 56 / 0 0 0 0
LORDSBURG 22 47 20 54 / 0 0 0 0
WEST EL PASO METRO 26 45 27 52 / 0 0 0 0
DELL CITY 7 34 8 41 / 0 0 0 0
FORT HANCOCK 20 47 21 54 / 0 0 0 0
LOMA LINDA 18 35 20 42 / 0 0 0 0
FABENS 20 47 20 53 / 0 0 0 0
SANTA TERESA 23 45 22 51 / 0 0 0 0
WHITE SANDS HQ 22 42 22 51 / 0 0 0 0
JORNADA RANGE 18 44 15 52 / 0 0 0 0
HATCH 21 49 18 56 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 27 49 25 54 / 0 0 0 0
OROGRANDE 13 38 13 44 / 0 0 0 0
MAYHILL 7 39 14 51 / 0 0 0 0
MESCALERO 7 36 12 47 / 0 0 0 0
TIMBERON 8 33 13 43 / 0 0 0 0
WINSTON 14 42 15 54 / 0 0 0 0
HILLSBORO 23 45 23 54 / 0 0 0 0
SPACEPORT 19 45 16 52 / 0 0 0 0
LAKE ROBERTS 18 46 20 56 / 0 0 0 0
HURLEY 21 46 20 55 / 0 0 0 0
CLIFF 19 52 19 60 / 0 0 0 0
MULE CREEK 20 49 20 57 / 0 0 0 0
FAYWOOD 25 44 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
ANIMAS 25 49 21 55 / 0 0 0 0
HACHITA 22 47 20 54 / 0 0 0 0
ANTELOPE WELLS 25 49 22 56 / 0 0 0 0
CLOVERDALE 29 44 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST MONDAY FOR NORTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-SOUTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY FOR NORTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-SOUTHERN
HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST MONDAY FOR OTERO MESA.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM MST MONDAY FOR OTERO MESA-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-SOUTHEAST TULAROSA
BASIN-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST MONDAY FOR EAST SLOPES
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
ABOVE 7500 FEET-WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500
FEET.
FORECASTER...37-SLUSHER
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