514
FXUS64 KMAF 290640
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
140 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 140 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
- A WARMING TREND BEGINS TODAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY.
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE AHEAD WITH A COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY.
- INCREASED SHOWER/STORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WILL
ACCOMPANY ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
SUBTLE RIDGING IS EVIDENT OVER WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE, A SURFACE TROUGH IS EVIDENT IN THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. THE COOL-DOWN FOLLOWING FRIDAY'S FRONT EFFECTIVELY ENDS
TODAY. HIGHS SHOOT BACK INTO THE LOW-TO-MID 80S AREAWIDE BY THIS
AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE, SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME BREEZY (GENERALLY 15-20
MPH SUSTAINED) IN THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS-PECOS
THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE TROUGH. LOW TEMPERATURES ALSO
WARM MONDAY MORNING RELATIVE TO THIS MORNING AS MOISTURE INCREASES
AND WINDS REMAIN BREEZY OVERNIGHT. MOST LOCATIONS BOTTOM OUT IN THE
MID-TO-UPPER 50S, WITH MID-TO-UPPER 40S IN TYPICAL COOL SPOTS. HIGHS
INCH UP A COUPLE OF DEGREES MONDAY, AND BREEZY WINDS CONTINUE FOR
THE EASTERN BASIN AND LOWER TRANS-PECOS. MUCH OF THE AREA TOPS OUT
IN THE MID-TO-UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S MONDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF LOW
(10%) SHOWER CHANCES FOR FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BIG BEND, THE
SHORT TERM PERIOD REMAINS DRY OVERALL.
SPRANG
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 140 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
BREEZY (15-20 MPH) SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE PERMIAN BASIN
AND TRANS PECOS THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY NIGHT. THESE THE RESULT OF A
LEE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS DOWN TO JUST WEST
OF THE BIG BEND. TEMPERATURES MONDAY NIGHT SETTLE INTO THE 50S TO
LOW 60S. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH DEEPENS
OVERNIGHT MONDAY AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE PLAINS. BY TUESDAY
MORNING, A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO DROP DOWN THROUGH THE PLAINS. BREEZY
WEST WINDS DEVELOP OVER OUR REGION AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING FRONT
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN/NEAR THE GUADALUPE/
DELAWARE MOUNTAINS TUESDAY EVENING. DOWNSLOPE FLOW PUSHES TUESDAY'S
HIGHS INTO THE 90S FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN, TRANS PECOS, AND AREAS
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. THOSE ELSEWHERE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE UPPER
80S. GIVEN WARM, DRY, AND BREEZY WINDS, TUESDAY LOOKS TO BE OUR NEXT
DAY TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT SWEEPS INTO OUR REGION LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT WILL DEPEND ON FRONTAL
TIMING, WITH THOSE BEHIND THE FRONT FALLING TO THE 50S, AND THOSE
AHEAD OF IT DIPPING TO THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS WILL AGAIN BE GUSTY
OVER THE GUADALUPE/DELAWARES, DAVIS MOUNTAINS, AND SURROUNDING
PLAINS WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES LARGELY WARM INTO THE 80S WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON, DESPITE THE COLD FRONT. RAIN CHANCES ENTER THE FORECAST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR
THE COLD FRONT DIGS INTO OUR REGION. THIS SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER MUCH OF THE REGION. THIS
TROUGH DEPARTS THURSDAY, BUT ANOTHER ONE BEGINS TO APPROACH LATE
FRIDAY. ELEVATED WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR BOTH THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY, ALONG WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S, THEN 80S/90S RESPECTIVELY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO PUSH INTO OUR REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY, DROPPING SATURDAY'S HIGHS BACK INTO THE 70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY WINDS
PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 85 57 89 60 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 88 53 92 58 / 0 0 10 10
DRYDEN 84 56 88 59 / 0 0 10 0
FORT STOCKTON 88 57 92 62 / 0 0 10 0
GUADALUPE PASS 78 58 82 57 / 0 0 10 0
HOBBS 85 50 90 54 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 82 44 85 48 / 0 0 10 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 85 56 89 60 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 84 56 89 61 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 87 54 92 58 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...13
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