205
FXUS64 KMAF 040521
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1221 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN THROUGH
THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS DEFINE THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER
RIDGE HOVERS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE RIDGE IN QUESTION IS
CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR THE AZ/NM BORDER. SINKING AIR ALOFT KEEPS
RAINFALL OUT OF THE FORECAST AREAWIDE. TUESDAY'S HIGHS WILL BE
SIMILAR TO TODAY'S, REACHING THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S. LOWS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT COOL INTO THE MID 60S TO MID 70S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 130 PM CDT MON AUG 3 2026
THE CENTER OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTS TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION BY MIDWEEK, WHERE IT SHALL MEANDER THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. EACH AFTERNOON WILL FEATURE HIGHS MAINLY IN THE UPPER
90S, WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT NEAR/ALONG THE RIVER VALLEYS. MEANWHILE,
OVERNIGHT LOWS SHALL SETTLE INTO THE MID 60S/70S. MOST LOCATIONS
LOOK TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD. MODELS INDICATE A FEW
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES MAY ROUND THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE LATE
THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THESE COULD BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS
OR STORMS TO PORTIONS OF OUR REGION, MAINLY FAVORING THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. HOWEVER, WE SHALL SEE WHAT BECOMES OF THESE IMPULSES AS
WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BREEZY
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10-15 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY
OVERNIGHT. GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS RETURN DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 101 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 102 73 100 73 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 99 75 98 74 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 99 72 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 95 67 92 68 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 100 70 98 70 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 95 63 93 64 / 0 0 10 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 99 73 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 98 73 97 73 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 100 73 99 73 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...55
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