667
FXUS64 KMAF 240616
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
116 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 115 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
- HOT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH RECORD HEAT
POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.
- THE PROLONGED PERIOD OF HOT TEMPERATURES COULD RESULT IN HEAT
RELATED ILLNESSES. BE SURE TO STAY HYDRATED AND TAKE FREQUENT
BREAKS IN AIR CONDITIONING OR THE SHADE IF POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 115 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
WE WILL REACH THE PEAK OF THIS HEATWAVE TODAY AS THE UPPER HIGH
CENTERS DIRECTLY OVER THE REGION. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE A
BIT HIGH GIVEN 850 MB TEMPS OF 30-34C. WITH THAT SAID, IT WILL STILL
BE DANGEROUSLY HOT WITH ALMOST ALL LOCATIONS ABOVE 100 DEGREES. THE
WARMEST TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NE PERMIAN BASIN AND
ALONG THE PECOS RIVER WHERE HIGHS WILL BE 105-109 DEGREES. THE HEAT
ADVISORY WAS EXPANDED TO INCLUDE MOST OF THE PERMIAN BASIN AND ALL
OF SE NM. THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR TODAY AT MIDLAND IS 103
DEGREES, WHICH WAS SET IN 1936 AND THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE WE WILL AT
LEAST TIE, IF NOT BREAK THAT RECORD.
VERY LITTLE CHANGES TUESDAY AS THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY BEGINS TO
SLIDE WEST. TEMPERATURES MAY COME DOWN A DEGREE, BUT WE WILL BE AT
DAY 8 IN A ROW OF 100 DEGREE TEMPERATURES SO THE HEAT IS REALLY
WEARING DOWN FOLKS. HEAT ADVISORIES ARE LIKELY TO BE EXTENDED GIVEN
THIS CONCERN.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 115 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
THE UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO SHIFT WEST AND CENTERS OVER THE AZ/NM
STATE LINE BY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL PLACE OUR REGION IN NW FLOW ALOFT
AND OPEN THE DOOR FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE OFF THE NM MOUNTAINS AND
INTO OUR AREA LATE IN THE DAY. SCATTERED STORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE
THURSDAY BEFORE THE RIDGE MOVES BACK OVERHEAD AND SUBSIDENCE
INCREASES. HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE, BUT HIGHS LOOK TO STAY JUST
UNDER 100 FOR MOST LOCATIONS THURSDAY/FRIDAY. HOTTER CONDITIONS
RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1019 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS IN WEAK RETURN FLOW, W/A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS. A FEW HIGH-BASED CU ARE ANTICIPATED BEGINNING
LATE MONDAY MORNING INVOF KHOB. CONVECTIVE TEMPS ELSEWHERE LOOK
TOO HIGH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 106 76 105 75 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 105 75 104 74 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 104 74 103 75 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 103 74 102 74 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 96 72 97 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 104 72 103 71 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 97 64 97 63 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 103 76 102 76 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 104 77 102 76 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 106 76 104 76 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-DAWSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-HOWARD-MARTIN-
MIDLAND-MITCHELL-SCURRY-WINKLER.
NM...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR CENTRAL LEA-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN
LEA.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...99
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