208
FXUS64 KMAF 071905
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
105 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 105 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
- WARMING TREND THROUGH MUCH OF THE EXTENDED BEFORE A FRONT
ARRIVES LATE IN THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAIN NEAR-ZERO THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 105 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS LOOK RATHER PEDESTRIAN. WV IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON SHOWS THE TROUGH HAS CLEARED WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO, LEAVING DRY, NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION.
MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT HAS MADE IT TO THE BIG BEND AREA,
BUT HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON STILL LOOK TO AVERAGE A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE
CLIMATOLOGY.
TONIGHT, SURFACE WINDS VEER BACK AROUND TO LIGHT RETURN FLOW. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES WILL WORK IN TANDEM W/THESE LIGHT WINDS TO PROMOTE
EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING, BUT OVERNIGHT MINIMUMS WILL REMAIN A
DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE NORMAL.
MONDAY, A WARMING TREND BEGINS AS THICKNESSES INCREASE, ADDING A
COUPLE OF DEGREES TO TODAY'S HIGHS.
MONDAY NIGHT, RADIATIONAL COOLING KICKS IN AGAIN, BUT OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD BE A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE TONIGHT'S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 105 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE AN UPTICK TUESDAY AS HIGHS WARM INTO THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSING OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LEE TROUGH ON THE FRONT RANGE.
THIS SPURS BREEZY WINDS OUT OF THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY IN THE GUADALUPES/ DELAWARES. LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT COOL INTO THE 40S. A COLD FRONT NOSES INTO OUR NORTHERN
COUNTIES WEDNESDAY BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE LATER IN THE DAY. DESPITE
THE FRONT, WEDNESDAY'S HIGHS TOP OUT IN THE 70S FOR MOST (80S NEAR
THE RIO GRANDE). TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT DIP INTO THE 40S AND
50S WHILE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE PASSING OVER THE ROCKIES BEGINS TO SET
THE STAGE FOR OUR NEXT COLD FRONT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, THURSDAY'S
HIGHS LOOK TO BE THE WARMEST IN THE FORECAST, REACHING INTO THE 70S
AND 80S. CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT HAVE TRENDED DOWNWARD FOR THIS
UPCOMING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, WITH MANY REACHING THE 50S. HOWEVER,
THERE CONTINUES TO BE A WIDE SPREAD REGARDING FRIDAY'S TEMPERATURES
WITHIN MODELS DUE TO FRONTAL TIMING AND STRENGTH. NO RAINFALL IS IN
THE FORECAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1048 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
VFR/CAVU CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS AS LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS VEER TO SOUTH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 32 65 35 70 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 32 66 33 71 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 38 65 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 37 69 38 74 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 35 58 37 60 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 32 63 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 27 63 29 66 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 35 63 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 35 63 36 68 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 32 65 31 71 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...99
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