706
FNUS51 KALY 161829
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
DISCUSSION
LITTLE CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH MOST
AREAS SEEING AT LEAST SOME RAIN LAST NIGHT, AND UP TO AN INCH FOR
SOUTHERN AREAS WHERE IT HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN DRIEST. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT FOR MOST OF THE REGION, WITH SOME
LINGERING SHOWERS TOMORROW SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL
DISTRICT. MINIMUM RH VALUES TOMORROW AND SATURDAY SHOULD REMAIN
ABOVE 45-55%, ALTHOUGH SOUTHERLY WINDS SATURDAY COULD GUST UP TO
25 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY, A WIDESPREAD HALF INCH OR MORE OF RAIN
IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. THEREFORE, WHILE RH VALUES MONDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND 30% WITH WIND GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH,
THIS WETTING RAIN SHOULD HELP PREVENT CONCERNS FOR FIRE SPREAD.
LIGHTER WINDS BUT DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE-WED NEXT WEEK.
NYZ206-170815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-5) 65 (-7) 45 71
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 56 (-10) 95 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G19 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 10 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.34 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 6 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 2 PM
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5030 5770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7 S 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30180 138480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 4 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-3) 69 (-8) 46 72
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (0) 54 (-3) 96 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G21 N 6 G17 LGT/VAR S 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.25 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 9 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4820 6240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 48200 124800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 4 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-4) 73 (-10) 51 71
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-1) 52 (+5) 96 51
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G24
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G20 N 5 LGT/VAR S 8 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5430 5640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 59730 78960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 5 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-5) 71 (-8) 49 69
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-1) 54 (+6) 96 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G23 N 5 LGT/VAR S 8 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM 7 AM
PRECIP END 5 AM 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5520 4750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60720 76000
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (-4) 68 (-8) 49 70
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+2) 58 (0) 90 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G25
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G19 N 6 G17 LGT/VAR SE 9 G25
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3690 5820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 9 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29520 93120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 6 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 7 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-4) 67 (-7) 46 65
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 63 (+5) 98 58
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G19 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 7 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4660 5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SE 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41940 86100
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 8 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 5 9 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-1) 71 (-7) 49 65
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-2) 59 (+8) 96 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 9 AM
PRECIP END 5 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4510 4930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 SE 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45100 69020
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (-3) 69 (-8) 48 67
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (0) 57 (+5) 95 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NW 5 E 6 G23
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G18 N 6 LGT/VAR SE 9 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3740 5220
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SE 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33660 73080
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 6 7
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-2) 71 (-9) 50 69
RH % (24H TREND) 95 (-3) 56 (+6) 97 52
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR E 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G18 NW 5 LGT/VAR SE 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3910 5050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SE 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35190 60600
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-1) 73 (-10) 51 69
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-3) 54 (+8) 98 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G17 NW 5 LGT/VAR SE 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 10 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING 8 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4590 4930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 SE 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45900 39440
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 6 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
229 PM EDT THU APR 16 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 40 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (-2) 75 (-10) 52 69
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-3) 54 (+12) 95 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 NW 5 LGT/VAR SE 7
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM 10 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 2 AM CONTINUING 8 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4530 4640
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 SE 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45300 32480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 6 8
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
MONDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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