053
FNUS51 KALY 111843
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
DISCUSSION
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHTER TODAY WITH WIND GUSTS 20 MPH OR LESS. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 40 AND 55 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
50 TO 60 PERCENT ON SATURDAY. SHOWERS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY.
LOCALIZED DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL REGION
ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD
PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. IT WILL BE A MOSTLY DRY START TO NEXT WEEK
WITH RH VALUES DROPPING BETWEEN 50 AND 60 PERCENT ON MONDAY AND
BETWEEN 50 AND 65 PERCENT ON TUESDAY WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
ON MONDAY. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ARRIVES MID TO LATE
NEXT WEEK.
NYZ206-120815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-9) 75 (+9) 57 75
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 54 (+6) 100 72
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR W 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4960 3340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 64480 40080
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 4 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-120815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-11) 77 (+6) 57 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 51 (+8) 100 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 S 6 G20 SW 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.15
PRECIP DURATION 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3900 3310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42900 29790
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-120815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-11) 78 (+5) 59 79
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 53 (+6) 100 72
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 S 5 G19 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.32
PRECIP DURATION 4 5
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4660 3630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46600 25410
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-120815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-7) 74 (+5) 56 77
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+5) 56 (+7) 100 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 S 5 G19 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.29
PRECIP DURATION 4 3
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4160 3370
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45760 26960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 4 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-120815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 80 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-7) 76 (+8) 57 76
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+5) 49 (+1) 100 75
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 G21 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.29
PRECIP DURATION 4 5
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3950 2340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39500 21060
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-120815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-7) 74 (+9) 54 74
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+5) 52 (+1) 100 81
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.25
PRECIP DURATION 2 5
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4260 2520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42600 25200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-120815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 70 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-9) 75 (+5) 56 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 53 (+9) 100 80
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.24
PRECIP DURATION 2 4
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4110 2440
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45210 19520
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-120815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 50 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-8) 75 (+8) 56 75
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+6) 48 (-4) 100 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 S 5 G20 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.37
PRECIP DURATION 1 7
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4110 2260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45210 20340
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-120815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-8) 76 (+7) 58 76
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+9) 50 (+1) 100 75
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.36
PRECIP DURATION 2 6
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4120 2260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41200 18080
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-120815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-10) 76 (+4) 60 77
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+15) 51 (+5) 100 77
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.33
PRECIP DURATION 2 7
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4260 2410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42600 21690
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-120815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
243 PM EDT FRI SEP 11 2026
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 60 90
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-11) 76 (+3) 60 77
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+18) 56 (+10) 100 84
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.38
PRECIP DURATION 2 7
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4110 2120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36990 16960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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