414
FNUS51 KALY 111924
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
DISCUSSION
AFTER A BENEFICIAL RAINFALL SUNDAY, MONDAY BRINGS A BRIEF BREAK
IN THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES. THEN, A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH RAIN
SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER IN THE AFTERNOON
TUESDAY. THEN LOW CHANCES THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THURSDAY MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON LOOKING TO BE THE DRIEST. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE FOR THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AS A
COLDER AIR MASS ABOVE THE SURFACE ARRIVES BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
TEMPERATURES COULD BE 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MIDDLE
OF OCTOBER, WITH THE FIRST SNOWFLAKES IN THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS
IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. BREEZY
CONDITIONS RETURN AS WELL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
NYZ206-120815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 40 90
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+7) 66 (+8) 49 65
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 72 (+3) 100 87
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.22 0.00 0.02 0.23
PRECIP DURATION 7 1 9
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3200 2520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 13 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35200 40320
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-120815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 30 80
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+9) 71 (+12) 49 67
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 67 (-9) 100 85
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.00 0.01 0.16
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 9
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 2 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3340 2660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33400 42560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-120815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+4) 71 (+13) 50 71
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 68 (-19) 100 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 LGT/VAR S 7 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 8 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3550 2890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 46150 43350
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-120815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+3) 70 (+16) 48 69
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 69 (-16) 100 74
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 5 LGT/VAR S 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3260 2680
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45640 40200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-120815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 70
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+8) 67 (+8) 48 66
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 71 (+2) 100 81
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.11
PRECIP DURATION 8 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2730 2400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 27300 36000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-120815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 30 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+8) 67 (+11) 46 62
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 72 (-7) 100 91
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.41 0.00 0.01 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 3 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3220 2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 14 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 38640 30940
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-120815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 40 60
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+9) 72 (+14) 47 63
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 65 (-18) 100 90
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.06
PRECIP DURATION 8 1 5
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 3 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3450 2050
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44850 28700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-120815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+6) 67 (+11) 48 66
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 70 (-11) 100 78
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G20
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 6 LGT/VAR S 8 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 8 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2530 2110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35420 29540
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-120815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+6) 69 (+12) 50 68
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 71 (-15) 100 80
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 6 LGT/VAR S 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 8 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2760 2290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 17 S 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 41400 34350
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-120815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+5) 70 (+13) 50 68
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 69 (-19) 100 79
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 5 G17 NW 6 G17 LGT/VAR S 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 8 AM
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3230 2290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 45220 32060
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-120815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
324 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (+7) 71 (+13) 51 68
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 72 (-22) 100 83
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 G18 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 7 G19 NW 6 G18 LGT/VAR S 7 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3360 2210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 16 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 47040 26520
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH.
SUNDAY
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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