474
FNUS51 KALY 161903
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
DISCUSSION
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY WITH A FEW AREAS OF SHOWERS
TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAINLY NORTH/WEST OF
ALBANY. AFTER RH LEVELS REBOUND TO 80 TO 100 PERCENT TONIGHT,
MINIMUM RH VALUES DROP TO 30-40% AGAIN, WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO
WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. WELL
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK, WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING
TUESDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON WEDNESDAY.
NYZ206-170830-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (+8) 75 (+2) 46 84
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+2) 38 (-2) 86 42
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G20 W 6 G23 LGT/VAR SW 5 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5750 5820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 103500 98940
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 5 6
MAX LVORI LATE 9 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170830-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+9) 83 (+6) 48 83
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-3) 32 (-5) 82 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 G25 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 G23 W 9 G25 LGT/VAR S 7 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 12 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7040 5610
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 126720 84150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170830-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+12) 87 (+9) 52 85
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-4) 35 (-1) 83 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G20 W 7 G25 LGT/VAR S 6 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6720 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 107520 84000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170830-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+9) 83 (+8) 52 84
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+2) 37 (-1) 81 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G21 W 6 G21 LGT/VAR S 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6560 5760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 20 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 111520 86400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 8 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170830-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+8) 80 (+6) 49 83
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-4) 37 (-2) 77 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 G27 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 7 G25 W 9 G27 LGT/VAR SW 6 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM
PRECIP END 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6280 4660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 125600 69900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170830-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+8) 77 (+6) 47 81
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (-4) 37 (-1) 81 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 G26 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G26 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM
PRECIP END 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6720 5260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 147840 78900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 7 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170830-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+11) 80 (+5) 47 81
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-9) 34 (-1) 86 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 5 G25 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 7010 5010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 147210 75150
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 7 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 6 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170830-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+10) 80 (+6) 49 82
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-8) 35 (-1) 78 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G24 W 10 G28 NW 5 G24 S 7 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5600 4650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 117600 65100
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170830-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+11) 84 (+8) 51 81
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (-10) 36 (0) 79 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 6 G21 W 7 G25 LGT/VAR S 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5810 4390
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 21 SW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 104580 61460
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170830-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+11) 85 (+8) 53 80
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-13) 36 (0) 78 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G19 W 6 G21 LGT/VAR S 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6110 4020
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 18 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97760 52260
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170830-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
303 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2026
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+11) 86 (+9) 55 78
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-12) 37 (0) 79 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G19 W 6 G19 LGT/VAR S 6 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6090 3630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 18 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 97440 43560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 6 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 5 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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