615
FNUS51 KALY 151847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION INCLUDING FREEZING RAIN FOR PARTS OF THE ADIRONDACKS,
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY
AND THE CATSKILLS MAY GET A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. BEHIND THE STORM,
CHILLY AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS THEN ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY
WITH LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS.
NYZ206-160900-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 70 70 50
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (+10) 41 (+3) 19 32
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 72 (+13) 99 65
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 10 G36 W 9 G29
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G28 W 9 G36 W 9 G31 W 9 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.62 0.13 0.07 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 9 9 11 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4990 4350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 149700 100050
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 8 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 7 5
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-160900-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 50 50 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (+8) 48 (+7) 23 39
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 61 (+6) 81 51
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 G39 W 12 G29
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G25 W 12 G39 W 10 G32 W 12 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.49 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5620 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 31 NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 151740 120000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 5 4
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-160900-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 20 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (+11) 49 (+3) 26 41
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 53 (+1) 82 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 G41 NW 12 G33
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G26 W 13 G41 W 10 G33 NW 13 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.34 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6550 6070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 37 NW 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 209600 176030
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 8 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-160900-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW/FZ RA SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 30 40 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 34 (+10) 45 (+3) 23 37
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 57 (-4) 87 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G40 NW 12 G36
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G31 NW 12 G40 W 12 G37 NW 11 G36
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.39 0.03 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5480 5660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 39 NW 37
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 186320 181120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 8 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-160900-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/RAIN SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 40 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+9) 46 (+4) 22 37
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 67 (+17) 89 52
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G37 W 13 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G27 W 13 G37 W 13 G34 W 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.54 0.03 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 4 AM CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4720 4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 28 NW 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 113280 122500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-160900-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 30 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (+8) 44 (+6) 20 34
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 74 (+18) 90 62
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 9 G35 W 10 G34
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 8 G35 W 10 G34 W 8 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.60 0.07 0.03 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4760 4880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 33 NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 138040 136640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-160900-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/RAIN SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 30 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (+9) 47 (+5) 25 38
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 63 (+11) 84 51
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 G31 W 8 G29
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G31 W 7 G31 W 7 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 3 AM CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5060 4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 32 NW 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 141680 134400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 5 4
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-160900-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW/FZ RA SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 30 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 32 (+11) 46 (+5) 22 35
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 65 (+15) 85 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 15 G42 W 17 G36
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 7 G28 W 16 G42 W 16 G36 W 15 G36
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.60 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4770 4490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 37 NW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 152640 134700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 5 5
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-160900-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW SNOW NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 20 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (+11) 47 (+4) 25 38
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 61 (+12) 86 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 G41 W 13 G35
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 G24 W 13 G41 W 12 G35 NW 12 G35
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.49 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 12 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5330 5040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 159900 156240
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-160900-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (+12) 49 (+4) 28 39
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 59 (+12) 82 52
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 10 G39 W 12 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G21 W 12 G39 W 11 G32 NW 11 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5870 5530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 37 NW 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 187840 171430
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 5 4
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-160900-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
146 PM EST SAT NOV 15 2025
TONIGHT SUN SUN NIGHT MON
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (+13) 52 (+5) 29 42
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 57 (+9) 74 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G39 W 13 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G20 W 14 G39 W 11 G31 W 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM
PRECIP END 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5960 5510
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 38 NW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 196680 165300
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 9 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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