727
FNUS51 KALY 110639
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
DISCUSSION
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS...WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY INTO
TONIGHT WITH MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE A HALF INCH OR MORE OF
RAIN. MONDAY LOOKS DRY, BUT RECENT RAIN AND RH VALUES >40-50%
SHOULD PREVENT ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. TUESDAY, NORTHERS AREAS
LIKELY SEE ADDITIONAL SHOWERS. WHILE SOUTHERN AREAS REMAIN DRY AND
SOMEWHAT BREEZY (GUSTS TO 15-20 MPH POSSIBLE), MINIMUM RH VALUES
STILL LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE 40-50% AGAIN DUE TO HIGHER DEW POINTS.
SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR AREA LIKELY SEES AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THEN, DRIER AND BREEZY WEATHER
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
NYZ206-112015-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+1) 43 (+6) 66
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (+23) 100 (+6) 68
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.35 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 9
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2410 3570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31330 39270
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-112015-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (0) 44 (+8) 70
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+23) 100 (+4) 67
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 G18 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.50 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 9
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2780 3790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36140 34110
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-112015-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (-4) 46 (+3) 70
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+28) 100 (+3) 68
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 G19 LGT/VAR NW 5 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.59 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 9
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2600 3870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33800 54180
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-112015-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-6) 45 (+1) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+37) 100 (+6) 68
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 G21 E 5 G19 NW 5 G17
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.57 0.53 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 7
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1850 3630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 15 N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24050 47190
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-112015-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+2) 43 (+7) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (+16) 100 (+9) 69
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.54 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 9 0
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2730 3110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30030 31100
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 4 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-112015-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (-1) 43 (+8) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (+23) 100 (+7) 71
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.62 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2 9 0
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2490 3760
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 27390 45120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-112015-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-3) 43 (+8) 69
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (+35) 100 (+3) 64
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.63 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 9
PRECIP BEGIN 1 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2410 3820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 N 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28920 45840
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 4 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-112015-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-2) 45 (+7) 67
RH % (24H TREND) 69 (+28) 100 (+4) 68
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 E 5 NW 6
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.65 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 9
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2150 3340
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25800 43420
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 5 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-112015-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (-4) 46 (+5) 68
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (+30) 100 (+2) 69
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 G17 E 5 NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.27 0.59 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 8
PRECIP BEGIN 10 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2080 3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24960 49000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-112015-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-5) 47 (+4) 69
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (+36) 100 (+1) 69
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G18
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SE 6 G18 E 6 G18 NW 6 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.43 0.56 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 8
PRECIP BEGIN 9 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)2000 3500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24000 45500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 10 6
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-112015-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
239 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
TODAY TONIGHT COLUMBUS DAY
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (-7) 48 (+6) 70
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+37) 100 (0) 72
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR N 8 G19
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) E 7 G18 E 8 G20 N 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.45 0.47 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 6 8
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)1870 3660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 N 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22440 43920
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 10 7
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY, SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SATURDAY
WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.
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