138
FNUS51 KALY 081841
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
DISCUSSION
FOR THIS AFTERNOON, WESTERLY WINDS WILL GUST 20-30 MPH ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REGION. RH WILL LARGELY REMAIN > 40%, ALTHOUGH
LOCALIZED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MID HUDSON
VALLEY AND WESTERN CT WHERE RH VALUES OF 30-40% MAY OCCUR. WHILE
IT HAS BEEN DRY ACROSS THE REGION (AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-90)
OVER THE PAST WEEK, KBDI VALUES HERE REMAIN FAIRLY LOW AND THERE
HAS BEEN LESS LEAF DROP COMPARED TO AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN. GIVEN THIS AND THE FACT THAT THIS LOOKS LIKE A
FAIRLY LIMITED AREA WITH THE LOWER RH, WE DO NOT THINK AN SPS IS
NEEDED TODAY.
WESTERLY WINDS ON FRIDAY REMAIN BREEZY WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH. THE
MID HUDSON VALLEY COULD SEE RH DROP TO 35-40%, BUT RH SHOULD REMAIN
> 40% FOR THE REST OF THE REGION. LIGHT WINDS AND RH > 40% EXPECTED
AREA-WIDE SATURDAY, WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SUNDAY INTO
EARLY MONDAY.
NYZ206-090815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-9) 57 (-1) 32 60
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 55 (-6) 100 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G31 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G28 W 10 G31 W 5 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5690 4210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 130870 33680
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 4 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-090815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-8) 62 (-1) 36 63
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 46 (-1) 100 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G28 W 12 G28 W 5 G25 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6920 4530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 152240 31710
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-090815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-9) 68 (+1) 40 66
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 39 (-4) 100 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G28 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6890 4260
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 24 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 144690 25560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-090815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-9) 64 (+1) 38 65
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 40 (-4) 100 41
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 6 G26 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 5 G24 NW 11 G26 W 5 G21 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6660 4370
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 25 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 146520 30590
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-090815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-7) 60 (-1) 38 60
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 48 (-5) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G27 W 11 G28 W 6 G26 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6210 3490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 124200 31410
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-090815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-5) 59 (-1) 36 59
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 52 (-4) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G28 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G31 W 11 G28 W 6 G26 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5630 4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 28 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 135120 46200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 3 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-090815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-3) 63 (-1) 38 63
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 43 (-4) 100 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR W 10 G27 W 5 G23 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6240 4450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 28 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 149760 48950
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-090815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-6) 61 (-1) 39 61
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 47 (-4) 100 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 9 G32 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 G31 W 14 G32 W 9 G28 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5690 3350
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 29 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 142250 36850
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-090815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-9) 64 (-1) 40 63
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 44 (0) 100 47
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 5 G31 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 11 G31 W 5 G26 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6180 3540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 28 NW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 148320 38940
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 9
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-090815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-8) 66 (-2) 42 65
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 39 (+1) 100 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G31 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6470 3820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 25 NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 142340 34380
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 9 10
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-090815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
241 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-4) 67 (-2) 43 66
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 40 (-1) 100 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G27 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 6420 3920
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 23 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 128400 31360
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 10
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
COLUMBUS DAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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