883
FNUS51 KALY 141850
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
DISCUSSION
COOL WEATHER, PERIODS OF SHOWERS, AND LIGHT WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TOMORROW WILL MITIGATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THIS
TIME. WE DRY OUT SATURDAY WITH TEMPERATURES SURGING ABOVE NORMAL,
BUT LIGHT WINDS AND WET FUELS SHOULD ALSO MITIGATE CONCERNS FOR
FIRE SPREAD. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK, TEMPERATURES REMAIN WELL
ABOVE NORMAL, BUT A LACK OF PROLONGED DRY PERIODS IN BETWEEN WET
DAYS SHOULD CONTINUE TO KEEP RISK OF FIRE SPREAD LOW.
NYZ206-150815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-3) 63 (+12) 39 74
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 57 (-13) 93 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 6 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 9 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4330 5550
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17320 94350
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 7
MAX LVORI LATE 10 4 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-150815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 70 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-5) 65 (+10) 43 77
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 58 (-20) 95 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 SW 5 G21
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 10 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.04 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 12 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3430 6860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30870 109760
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 7 8
MAX LVORI LATE 9 5 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-150815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-7) 64 (+6) 42 79
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+2) 59 (-10) 97 34
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 LGT/VAR SW 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4390 6890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39510 103350
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 9 7 8
MAX LVORI LATE 8 5 8 8
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-150815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-8) 60 (+5) 41 76
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+1) 60 (-8) 96 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 G19 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 G19 LGT/VAR SW 7 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3990 6240
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39900 93600
ADI EARLY 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 5 8 7
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-150815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 70 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-7) 61 (+7) 44 75
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 61 (-23) 95 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 8 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.29 0.05 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 11 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3170 5270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 13 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34870 89590
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 8
MAX LVORI LATE 8 6 9 8
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-150815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 70 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-5) 57 (+5) 42 74
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 71 (-19) 99 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 5 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.38 0.06 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 10 3
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2620 5990
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 W 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28820 101830
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-150815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 80 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-3) 59 (+4) 42 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 70 (-18) 98 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.49 0.07 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 11 4
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 1 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2410 6080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 13 W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 26510 91200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-150815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 50 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-7) 59 (+6) 42 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 67 (-18) 98 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 8 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2580 5490
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 12 SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25800 93330
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 9 7 9 9
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-150815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-7) 60 (+4) 42 76
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 67 (-11) 99 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SW 7 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2910 5720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29100 91520
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-150815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-7) 60 (0) 42 77
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 65 (-7) 98 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 5 G17 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR N 6 G17 LGT/VAR SW 8 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3590 6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 12 W 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35900 91500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 10 8 10 9
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-150815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
250 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 20 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-7) 63 (+1) 43 78
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+3) 62 (-11) 97 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR N 7 LGT/VAR SW 9 G18
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM
PRECIP END 10 PM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3850 6160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42350 98560
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 10 10
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS WARM. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page