502
FNUS51 KALY 131847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
DISCUSSION
WARM AND MUGGY TODAY WITH A SLOWLY APPROACHING COLD FRONT
RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY NORTH
AND WEST OF THE CAPITAL DISTRICT BEFORE MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN
AND STORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAIN AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS ARRIVE
EARLY THIS EVENING. OUR FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ADVANCE
EASTWARD THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL AREAS OF
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLOODING
IS THE PRIMARY CONCERN BEFORE CONFIDENCE INCREASES FOR ANOTHER
PERIOD OF DANGEROUS HEAT FOR THE MIDDLE TO END OF THIS WEEK.
NYZ206-140800-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 40 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-3) 81 (+1) 59 86
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 64 (-10) 98 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.42 0.12 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4380 7820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30660 46920
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 8 8
MAX LVORI LATE 10 5 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-140800-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 50 50 30 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-1) 84 (0) 62 90
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+2) 73 (+3) 100 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.27 0.22 0.07 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4330 8410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34640 50460
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 8 8
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-140800-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 70 70 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 70 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-2) 85 (+1) 65 89
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 75 (+6) 100 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.42 0.25 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3570 5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32130 28700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-140800-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 70 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 70 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (-3) 81 (+2) 61 85
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 78 (+3) 100 57
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.35 0.17 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3810 5160
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30480 25800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-140800-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 70 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 70 40 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-2) 81 (-2) 64 87
RH % (24H TREND) 99 (+5) 76 (+11) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.29 0.13 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3040 5890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24320 35340
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 9 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-140800-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 70 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 70 50 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (0) 79 (-1) 63 86
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 81 (+11) 100 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.28 0.12 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 4 1
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3400 6710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30600 46970
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 7 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-140800-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 70 50 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 70 50 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+2) 83 (0) 66 89
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (0) 79 (+11) 100 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.42 0.19 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3090 7010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 27810 49070
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 10 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-140800-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 70 70 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 70 70 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-1) 82 (0) 65 87
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (0) 72 (+9) 100 47
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.22 0.13 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 9 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3110 5750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 W 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31100 40250
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 8 9 9
MAX LVORI LATE 8 5 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-140800-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 70 70 20
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 70 70 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (0) 83 (-1) 66 87
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+4) 74 (+9) 100 53
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 SW 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.24 0.17 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 1
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3570 5320
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 12 W 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35700 31920
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 9 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 9 6 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-140800-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 60 30
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 70 60 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (+1) 83 (0) 67 86
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 77 (+6) 100 61
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.07 0.15 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2 4 2
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3170 4930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 W 6
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28530 24650
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-140800-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
246 PM EDT SUN JUL 13 2025
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 60 40
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 70 60 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+2) 84 (+1) 68 85
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+1) 78 (+3) 100 68
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) S 5 S 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.11 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 2 3 2
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2910 4830
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 SW 7
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23280 28980
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 10 6 10 5
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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