109
FNUS51 KALY 151019
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND HIGHER ELEVATION WET SNOW
SHOWERS TO THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH RAIN MIXING WITH AND
CHANGING TO WET SNOW THIS AFTERNOON IN LOWER ELEVATIONS FOR A
BRIEF PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING BECOME STRONG
AND GUSTY (25-35MPH) OUT OF THE WEST AND NORTHWEST LATE THIS
MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT MARCHES EASTWARD WITH
GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING TONIGHT. LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN
GREENS TONIGHT. WHILE WE TURN DRIER TOMORROW BUT ADDITIONAL
CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS RETURN ON SATURDAY.
NYZ206-152130-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-6) -2 (-30) 21
RH % (24H TREND) 70 (-4) 91 (-9) 55
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 7 G33
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 6 G25 W 6 G33 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.04 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4320 3660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 82080 65880
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 6 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-152130-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-4) 4 (-30) 27
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-8) 82 (-18) 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 G35
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G28 W 10 G35 W 6 G35
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 5 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4720 3750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 W 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94400 75000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-152130-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 10 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-4) 11 (-24) 30
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (-12) 74 (-25) 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G28 W 10 G41
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 9 G28 W 9 G41 W 6 G41
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5640 4140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 25 W 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 124080 86940
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-152130-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SNOW SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-5) 6 (-26) 27
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (-8) 76 (-24) 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G27 W 9 G39
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 G27 W 9 G36 W 6 G39
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5090 3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 23 W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101800 89700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-152130-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-3) 8 (-27) 25
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (+3) 89 (-10) 46
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 11 G37
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 G27 W 10 G37 W 7 G37
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.15 0.05 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4400 3650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 92400 83950
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 5 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-152130-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-4) 5 (-27) 23
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (+4) 94 (-6) 49
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 G37
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G25 W 7 G35 W 5 G37
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4040 3620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88880 94120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 7 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-152130-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-3) 11 (-24) 26
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-6) 84 (-16) 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 6 G33
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 5 G23 W 6 G31 LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END 6 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4370 3710
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 87400 81620
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-152130-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-4) 9 (-25) 25
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-1) 79 (-20) 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 5 G28 W 17 G47
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 10 G28 W 13 G46 W 9 G47
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4480 3750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 107520 108750
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 4
MAX LVORI LATE 5 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-152130-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-4) 11 (-24) 27
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (+4) 76 (-24) 40
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 12 G46
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 G27 W 9 G46 W 7 G46
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4740 3910
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 24 W 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 99540 105570
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3
MAX LVORI LATE 6 4 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-152130-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-4) 14 (-22) 30
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (-5) 68 (-31) 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR W 10 G35
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 8 G25 W 8 G34 W 6 G35
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5030 3940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 115690 90620
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 4 3
MAX LVORI LATE 5 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-152130-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
519 AM EST THU JAN 15 2026
TODAY TONIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-5) 15 (-22) 31
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (-12) 63 (-37) 35
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) SW 5 G25 W 11 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) SW 9 G25 W 8 G31 W 7 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4910 3770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 28 W 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 117840 90480
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 3 3
MAX LVORI LATE 4 3 2
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 18.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW.
LOWS AROUND 13. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 7. HIGHS
AROUND 15. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 2. HIGHS AROUND 16.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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