550
FNUS51 KALY 151852
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
DISCUSSION
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW WITH A HALF INCH TO 1 INCH OR MORE EXPECTED REGION-WIDE.
THIS RAIN SHOULD PREVENT ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, DESPITE GUSTY 25-35 MPH WIND GUSTS AND RH OF
35-45% SATURDAY AFTERNOON. PROLONGED STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH WINDS
EACH DAY REMAIN LIGHT.
NYZ206-160815-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (-4) 64 (+9) 25 41
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+3) 82 (+38) 100 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G31 NW 11 G28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G31 W 12 G29 NW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.39 0.63 0.07 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 4 11 2
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2510 6040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 22 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 47690 114760
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 10 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 7 9 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-160815-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 40 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (-9) 67 (+10) 32 47
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 81 (+40) 97 36
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G31 NW 11 G28
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G31 W 11 G29 NW 12 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.28 0.50 0.05 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 9 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 9 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2230 6800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31220 122400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 10 8 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 7 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-160815-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-5) 72 (+12) 36 48
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+11) 77 (+31) 99 37
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G35 NW 13 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G35 W 9 G33 NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.29 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2810 6730
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 44960 121140
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 8 4
MAX LVORI LATE 8 7 7 2
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-160815-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 80 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (0) 69 (+10) 29 44
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+11) 79 (+32) 99 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G33 NW 14 G36
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G33 W 10 G37 NW 12 G36
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.32 0.10 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 3 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 2450 5790
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 N 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 39200 115800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR 1 VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 10 9 6
MAX LVORI LATE 10 7 8 2
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-160815-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-7) 66 (+11) 32 44
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+9) 79 (+39) 100 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 13 G32 NW 11 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 11 G32 W 12 G32 NW 12 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.19 0.64 0.13 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 8 3
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1770 6250
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28320 112500
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 7 7 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-160815-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-6) 65 (+10) 30 41
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 86 (+42) 100 44
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G29 NW 11 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G29 W 11 G32 NW 10 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.68 0.12 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 8 3
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1850 5880
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29600 111720
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 9 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-160815-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 100 80 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 37 (-6) 66 (+7) 34 45
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 86 (+46) 100 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 10 G29
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G26 W 7 G31 NW 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.13 0.49 0.05 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 7 2
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1620 6130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22680 116470
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 8 8 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-160815-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (-6) 67 (+11) 36 44
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+8) 83 (+39) 100 38
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 13 G32 NW 14 G34
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 11 G32 W 13 G35 NW 14 G34
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.60 0.19 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 8 3
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 3 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1680 5740
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 NW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28560 114800
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 10 9 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-160815-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 90 100 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-3) 68 (+9) 39 45
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 82 (+37) 100 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 11 G29 NW 13 G32
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G29 W 10 G33 NW 13 G32
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.37 0.19 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 7 3
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1680 5660
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 NW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25200 113200
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 4
MAX LVORI LATE 9 8 9 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-160815-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 90 90 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-2) 69 (+7) 40 47
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 82 (+37) 100 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 10 G27 NW 13 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G27 W 8 G32 NW 13 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.28 0.17 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 6 3
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1670 5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 17 N 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25050 125400
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 8 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-160815-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
252 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 90 80 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-3) 70 (+7) 42 48
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 85 (+38) 100 39
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) S 8 G26 NW 13 G31
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G26 W 8 G29 NW 13 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.19 0.14 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 5 3
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 1590 5560
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 N 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 22260 105640
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 10 10 5
MAX LVORI LATE 9 9 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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