587  
FNUS51 KBTV 230820  
FWFBTV  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL/NORTHERN VERMONT AND  
NORTHERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
   
..NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY, THEN RAIN AND COOL WEDNESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. THE CORE OF THE LOWEST  
DEWPOINTS WILL HAPPEN THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER,  
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE WILL WARM US INTO THE 60S AND ALLOW FOR LARGE  
DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS. VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK HAVE NOT  
RECEIVED A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN IN 3 DAYS, BUT SEVERAL LOCATIONS  
HAVE AT LEAST OBSERVED MORE THAN A QUARTER INCH IN THE LAST 5  
DAYS. THE MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER  
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, BUT STILL LIKELY TO DIP INTO THE 20 PERCENT  
RANGE. PARTS OF THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY STAY ABOVE 30 PERCENT  
DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY INCOMING MOISTURE ARRIVES. BASED ON OUR  
LOCAL RED FLAG CRITERIA, WE ARE EXPECTED TO HIT RED FLAG  
CONDITIONS (25+ MPH WINDS AND RH BELOW 30%) LATE THIS MORNING INTO  
THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, FUELS REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY MOIST TO  
PROHIBIT THE ISSUANCE OF A RED FLAG WARNING. NEVERTHELESS, FINE  
FUELS SUCH AS LEAF LITTER AND TWIGS ARE SUFFICIENTLY DRY TO START  
A FEW BRUSH FIRES.  
 
RAIN WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. A SHARP COLD FRONT WILL  
DIVE SOUTHWARDS, AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL FROM THE 50S DOWN INTO  
THE 30S BY MIDDAY. WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN, FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO POSE ANY CONCERN ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
VTZ030-232130-  
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF VERMONT-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURLINGTON, SHELBURNE, MIDDLEBURY,  
VERGENNES, ST. ALBANS, SWANTON, ENOSBURG FALLS, AND BRISTOL  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 64 45 47  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 13 G28 SW 9 G25  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 16 G31 S 14 G27 N 15 G33  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.28  
PRECIP DURATION 3 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 25 91 48  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 6980 5880  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 29 N 26  
VENTILATION RATE 202420 152880  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ033-035-232130-  
NORTHERN TACONICS-LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY NORTH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FAIR HAVEN, RUTLAND, DANBY, SPRINGFIELD,  
WHITE RIVER JUNCTION, AND WOODSTOCK  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 43 49  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 6 G19 S 6  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 13 G24 S 11 G23 NW 13 G31  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 1 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 24 85 52  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 6980 4130  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 N 28  
VENTILATION RATE 167520 115640  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ034-232130-  
SOUTH CENTRAL GREENS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RIPTON, EAST WALLINGFORD, KILLINGTON,  
BETHEL, AND LUDLOW  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 41 45  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 8 G21 SW 8 G20  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 14 G26 S 13 G26 NW 15 G33  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.22  
PRECIP DURATION 1 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 25 90 53  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 7060 3760  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 NW 29  
VENTILATION RATE 176500 109040  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ032-232130-  
CENTRAL VERMONT-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF RICHMOND, UNDERHILL, JOHNSON, STOWE,  
MONTPELIER, WAITSFIELD, STARKSBORO, BRADFORD, RANDOLPH,  
AND ST. JOHNSBURY  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 61 42 45  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 9 G25 S 6  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 14 G27 S 12 G27 NW 13 G31  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.25  
PRECIP DURATION 2 10  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 24 89 49  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 7100 4890  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 N 29  
VENTILATION RATE 184600 141810  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ031-232130-  
NORTHEAST KINGDOM-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DERBY, NEWPORT, ISLAND POND, LUNENBURG,  
AND HARDWICK  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 41 43  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 9 G24 S 6  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 14 G26 S 12 G25 NW 12 G28  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.29  
PRECIP DURATION 3 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 10 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
HUMIDITY (%) 25 91 48  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 7430 5120  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 N 29  
VENTILATION RATE 208040 148480  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ205-232130-  
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF NEW YORK-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CHAMPLAIN, PLATTSBURGH, PORT HENRY,  
TICONDEROGA, AND SCHROON LAKE  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 70 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 63 43 45  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 10 G27 SW 7 G26  
20FTWND PM(MPH) S 16 G29 S 12 G26 N 14 G31  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.07 0.22  
PRECIP DURATION 4 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 25 96 45  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 8240 5960  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 N 24  
VENTILATION RATE 238960 143040  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ204-232130-  
ADIRONDACK HIGH PEAKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LAKE PLACID, KEENE, MOUNT VAN HOEVENBERG,  
NEWCOMB, AND WILMINGTON  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 80 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 60 41 42  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SW 11 G27 W 8 G19  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SW 16 G31 SW 14 G31 NW 13 G28  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.11 0.23  
PRECIP DURATION 5 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 27 97 51  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 7270 5070  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 30 N 25  
VENTILATION RATE 218100 126750  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ203-232130-  
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF STAR LAKE, TUPPER LAKE, PAULS SMITHS,  
AND WANAKENA  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 90 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 62 38 42  
20FTWND AM(MPH) SW 13 G27 W 9 G21  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SW 18 G31 SW 12 G27 N 12 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.24 0.26  
PRECIP DURATION 7 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 5 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 26 100 42  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 8090 5310  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 32 N 22  
VENTILATION RATE 258880 116820  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ202-232130-  
ST. LAWRENCE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MASSENA, NORFOLK, FORT COVINGTON, MALONE,  
OGDENSBURG, POTSDAM, BRASHER FALLS, AND GOUVERNEUR  
420 AM EDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 100 100  
PRECIP TYPE NONE RAIN SNOW/RAIN  
MAX/MIN TEMP 65 36 43  
20FTWND AM(MPH) S 14 G28 NW 10 G25  
20FTWND PM(MPH) SW 18 G33 SW 13 G28 N 13 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.33 0.23  
PRECIP DURATION 8 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 3 PM  
HUMIDITY (%) 27 98 33  
HAINES INDEX 5 4 4  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HGT 8380 5830  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 33 N 21  
VENTILATION RATE 276540 122430  
KBDI <=200 <=200 <=200  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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