223  
FNUS51 KBUF 301733  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2022  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WELL NORTHWEST OF OUR REGION TODAY,  
BRINGING ANOTHER PERIOD OF RAIN. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP  
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY, WITH VERY GUSTY WINDS AS  
COLDER AIR POURS BACK INTO THE REGION. THE COLD AIR WILL SET THE  
STAGE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF  
LAKE ONTARIO AND LAKE ERIE THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-302100-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 0 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN NONE NONE  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 26 37  
AM WIND (MPH) S 16 W 19  
PM WIND (MPH) W 20 W 19 W 15  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.57 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 62 77 55  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5240 70 4470  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 39 W 40 W 31  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 204360 2800 138570  
DISPERSION INDEX 204 3 139  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-302100-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 90 60  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW SNOW SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 23 32  
AM WIND (MPH) S 16 W 16  
PM WIND (MPH) W 17 W 17 W 13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.71 0.23 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 10 12 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 68 88 58  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5400 70 5050  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 37 W 30 W 30  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 199800 2100 151500  
DISPERSION INDEX 200 2 152  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-302100-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 30 0  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 26 37  
AM WIND (MPH) S 19 W 19  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 18 W 17 W 16  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.41 0.05 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 9 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 7 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 4 AM  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 59 82 51  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5190 70 5040  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 39 W 36 W 37  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 202410 2520 186480  
DISPERSION INDEX 202 3 186  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-302100-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
1233 PM EST WED NOV 30 2022  
 
TODAY TONIGHT THU  
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 100 80 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SNOW  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 25 37  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 19 W 17  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 18 W 16 W 14  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.99 0.23 0.16  
PRECIP DURATION 11 12 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 58 91 48  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4510 70 6220  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 34 W 34 W 33  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 153340 2380 205260  
DISPERSION INDEX 153 2 205  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE MID 20S.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.    
SATURDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
 
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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