274  
FNUS51 KBUF 041434  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2024  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEAK TROUGH WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE REGION TODAY. WHILE THIS  
FEATURE MAY PRODUCE A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS, MUCH OF THE TIME WILL BE  
RAIN FREE. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE FROM THE OHIO  
VALLEY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT THROUGH  
SUNDAY, BRINGING A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE REGION. THE RAIN  
WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST  
SUNDAY, BEFORE ENDING ENTIRELY SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN  
BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY WITH A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER.  
 
NYZ201-042000-  
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-  
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 90 90  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 70 48 66  
AM WIND (MPH) SE 6 S 13  
PM WIND (MPH) SE 8 SE 9 S 12  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.15 0.36  
PRECIP DURATION 2 5 11  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 5 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 45 100 66  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 1  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4980 70 2550  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SE 18 SE 19 S 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 89640 1330 51000  
DISPERSION INDEX 90 1 51  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ200-042000-  
SOUTHERN TIER-  
1033 AM EDT SAT MAY 4 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT SUN  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 90 90  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 67 47 65  
AM WIND (MPH) S 8 S 16  
PM WIND (MPH) S 11 S 13 S 13  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.19 0.15  
PRECIP DURATION 2 7 8  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 1 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 49 100 63  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 2  
LAL 1 1 4  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 3730 70 2700  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 19 S 27 S 19  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 70870 1890 51300  
DISPERSION INDEX 71 2 51  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS  
AROUND 50.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
 
WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND MONDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND TUESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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