836
FNUS51 KBUF 142034
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
433 PM EDT WED APR 14 2021
DISCUSSION
CALM WEATHER IN PLACE TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE LATER TONIGHT, LASTING THROUGH THE
END OF THE WORK WEEK WHEN A LARGE STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE THE WESTERN COUNTIES WILL LIKELY
RECEIVE A QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION, A
STEADY RAIN COULD PRODUCE IN EXCESS OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL FOR
PARTS OF THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION, ALONG WITH SOME
ACCUMULATING HIGHER ELEVATION WET SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT.
NYZ001-002-010-011-150900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
433 PM EDT WED APR 14 2021
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 50 60 60 70
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 47 35 48
AM WIND (MPH) W 6 W 7
PM WIND (MPH) SW 6 W 10 W 7 W 8
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 1 6 8 5
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 87 56 96 56
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 7010 70 4460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 12 W 17 SW 15 NW 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 840 119170 1050 71360
DISPERSION INDEX 1 119 1 71
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ012-019>021-085-150900-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
433 PM EDT WED APR 14 2021
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 60 70 70
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 45 31 44
AM WIND (MPH) W 6 W 8
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 W 7 W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.10
PRECIP DURATION 1 4 7 9
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 87 48 100 58
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 7980 70 4720
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) NW 10 W 19 W 14 W 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 700 151620 980 99120
DISPERSION INDEX 1 152 1 99
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ003>005-013-014-150900-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
433 PM EDT WED APR 14 2021
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 70 50 70
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 48 35 48
AM WIND (MPH) W 6 W 6
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR W 9 W 6 NW 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.12 0.04 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 1 9 2 5
PRECIP BEGIN 3 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 82 50 99 55
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 8760 70 5610
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) NW 8 W 16 W 12 NW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 560 140160 840 100980
DISPERSION INDEX 1 140 1 101
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ006>008-150900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
433 PM EDT WED APR 14 2021
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 40 90 80 70
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN SNOW/RAIN
MIN/MAX TEMP 41 47 32 48
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR NW 5
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.38 0.26 0.12
PRECIP DURATION 1 10 12 7
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 91 62 99 58
HAINES INDEX 4 2 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 70 4240 70 5290
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 8 W 12 SW 9 N 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 560 50880 630 63480
DISPERSION INDEX 1 51 1 63
REMARKS...NONE.
EXTENDED FORECAST
FRIDAY NIGHT
CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.
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