224  
FNUS51 KBUF 220833  
FWFBUF  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
433 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A FEW LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTHEAST OF THE  
LAKES TODAY. OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL BE DRY. LOW  
PRESSURE PASSING BY TO THE NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS TUESDAY, FOLLOWED BY LAKE EFFECT RAIN  
AND SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS TEMPERATURES DROP  
TO BELOW NORMAL AGAIN FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.  
 
NYZ001-002-010-011-222100-  
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-  
433 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 39 51  
AM WIND (MPH) S 7 SW 5  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 9 S 5 W 10  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.11  
PRECIP DURATION 2 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 1 AM CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 51 95 64  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 3  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5330 0 4250  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 19 SW 16 W 22  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101270 0 93500  
DISPERSION INDEX 101 0 94  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ012-019>021-085-222100-  
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-  
433 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 30 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 49 38 47  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 7 SW 6  
PM WIND (MPH) SW 9 SW 6 W 10  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.14  
PRECIP DURATION 2 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 43 99 66  
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3  
LAL 1 1 3  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4760 0 4720  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) W 20 SW 17 NW 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95200 0 118000  
DISPERSION INDEX 95 0 118  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ003>005-013-014-222100-  
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-  
433 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 0 0 70  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 50 39 52  
AM WIND (MPH) SW 7 SW 6  
PM WIND (MPH) S 7 S 5 W 8  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.11  
PRECIP DURATION 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 46 95 64  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 3  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 5420 0 2540  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 14 SW 14 W 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 75880 0 63500  
DISPERSION INDEX 76 0 64  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ006>008-222100-  
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-  
433 AM EDT MON OCT 22 2018  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP CHC (%) 30 30 80  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS  
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 34 50  
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5  
PM WIND (MPH) S 6 S 5 LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.18  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 9  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 4 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%) 60 96 69  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
LAL 1 1 3  
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4160 0 2660  
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 15 SW 14 W 13  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62400 0 34580  
DISPERSION INDEX 62 0 35  
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED FORECAST
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW  
SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS  
IN THE LOWER 40S.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 40.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.  
 
WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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