027
FNUS51 KBUF 210533
FWFBUF
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1233 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024
DISCUSSION
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF
RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS, WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS WESTERN NY
THIS EVENING. THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. A COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN
SPIN ACROSS THE NORTHEAST US THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, PRODUCING
PERIODS OF COLD RAIN AND WET SNOW. LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL SEE LITTLE
OR NO ACCUMULATION, BUT HIGHER TERRAIN MAY SEE MINOR TO MODERATE
SLUSHY ACCUMULATIONS THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY. SOMEWHAT DRIER
WEATHER WILL RETURN SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA.
NYZ201-210900-
LAKE ONTARIO PLAINS-
1233 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024
OVERNIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 90 100 90
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN RAIN
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 45 34 46
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 10
PM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR N 5 NE 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.20 0.37 0.52 0.20
PRECIP DURATION 6 12 12 8
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 65 100 66
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 4900 70 5540
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) S 21 NW 6 N 10 NE 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 29400 700 116340
DISPERSION INDEX 0 29 1 116
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ200-210900-
SOUTHERN TIER-
1233 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024
OVERNIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%) 90 80 90 90
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SHOWERS SNOW/RAIN SNOW/RAIN
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 43 31 42
AM WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10
PM WIND (MPH) NW 5 NW 8 N 9
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.10 0.48 0.38
PRECIP DURATION 4 5 12 11
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%) 100 60 100 70
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3 3
LAL 1 1 1 1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL) 6030 4250
TRANSPORT WIND (KT) SW 12 W 8 NW 18 N 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 0 48240 0 72250
DISPERSION INDEX 0 48 0 72
REMARKS...NONE.
EXTENDED FORECAST
FRIDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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