265
FNUS71 KALY 060424
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPY OUTLET FIRE...NYS DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1224 AM EDT MON OCT 6 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON OCTOBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY
WITH A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY AND WARM AFTERNOONS. AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS TO THE REGION FOR TUESDAY, WITH
PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS FOR LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
BEHIND THE FRONT, COOLER, DRIER AND LESS HUMID AIR WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (62800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 15 19 16 26 19 14 21 17 26 18
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 48 57 66 71 74 76 77 78 77 76
DEWPOINT........46 48 51 51 51 51 51 51 50 50 51
RH..............100 100 80 58 49 44 42 40 37 39 42
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 7 9 10 12 12 12 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.2 3.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.8 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 8 12 12 12 14 13 14 15 13
LVORI...........8 8 6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 6 16 22 30 52 52 57 63 43
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........16 5 6 6 7 8 25 36 39 15 15 24
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 66 61 59 58 56 55 54 54 52 52 51
DEWPOINT........51 53 54 54 54 54 53 53 53 52 52 51
RH..............49 63 78 83 86 93 93 96 96 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 7 6 5 5 6 6 6 5 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 9 12 10 10 9 10 9 10
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 6 6 6 6 7 8 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............51 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (43900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.22 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........24 27 51 51 51 51 63 74 86 87 88 89
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG RNF RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 30 50 60 60 70 80
TEMP............50 50 52 58 64 69 71 72 71 71 70 68
DEWPOINT........50 50 52 56 57 57 57 58 58 58 59 59
RH..............100 100 100 93 78 66 61 61 63 63 68 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 12 13 14 16 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 10 13 15 15 15 15 16 17 18
LVORI...........10 10 10 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 5 11 19 28 35 40 42 44 42 37
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR
FORECASTER...KL
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW FLYNN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523009.0/ALY
.DELDT 10/06/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RAYBROOK.DISPATCH@DEC.NY.GOV
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