206
FNUS71 KBGM 221634
FWSBGM
SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 236 GRASS...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1234 PM EDT MON APR 22 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A RATHER DRY DAY TODAY (MONDAY), WITH RH VALUES DROPPING TO
AROUND 25 PERCENT, INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING A MODEST
INCREASE IN MOISTURE TO THE REGION ON TUESDAY, ALONG WITH WARMER
TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE 60S, WITH RH VALUES
DROPPING INTO THE MID-30S. WINDS WILL BE ON THE BREEZY SIDE IN
THE AFTERNOON, GUSTING 25 TO 30 MPH AT TIMES. RAIN SHOWERS WILL
ARRIVE TUESDAY NIGHT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MIN 34.
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0
LAL.............1
TEMP............34
RH..............61
20 FT WIND DIR..S
20 FT WIND SPD..6
20 FT WIND GUST.9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8
LVORI...........3
ADI.............4
HAINES INDEX....4
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 21 TO
26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 122 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........22 27 31 28 25 22 21 21 20 25 30 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............35 35 41 46 50 53 55 58 59 59 60 60
RH..............61 61 59 49 46 43 41 40 37 37 37 36
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 12 14 16 16 16 18 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 13 17 23 25 26 26 29 30 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.6 6.1 6.4 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 15 18 21 22 23 23 25 26 26
LVORI...........3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............3 5 13 33 58 80 90 96 100 113 122 118
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 3 AM, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 3
AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH IN
THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................88 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).........47 75 88 94
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 70
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............59 51 48 44
RH..............40 56 68 83
20 FT WIND......SW 17G28 S 14G20 S 12G18 S 9G14
MIX HGT (FT)....4400 300 900 800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 16 S 16 S 17
LVORI...........1 3 3 4
ADI.............88 6 14 14
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................74 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 16 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 18
TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................19 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 71 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY (%).........88 73 72
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
CWR.............70 70 0
LAL.............1 1 1
TEMP............44 46 48
RH..............93 89 77
20 FT WIND......SW 12G17 W 15G23 NW 18G28
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2200 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 NW 18 NW 21
LVORI...........5 4 3
ADI.............19 39 53
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN WILLIAMSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411749.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIANWILLI@PA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page