282  
FNUS71 KBGM 190643  
FWSBGM  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EALES 5 AND 6...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY  
243 AM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY, WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES  
IN THE MID- TO LOW-40S HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GENERALLY  
PRECIPITATION-FREE, WITH EXCEPTION OF THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO  
SEVERE STORMS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED, WITH THE  
GENERAL TIMEFRAME OF LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.  
WINDS WILL SHIFT BETWEEN SW AND W, WITH GUSTS PICKING UP IN THE  
AFTERNOON. FOR WEDNESDAY, A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH  
THE AREA. RAIN SHOWERS, STORMS, AND SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL  
ACCOMPANY, AND EXPECTED STARTING IN THE LATE MORNING AND INTO THE  
AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RH VALUES EXPECTED IN THE LOW 50S.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................39 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 112 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........39 30 21 32 35 33 27 51 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 78 81 83 85 85 86 86 85  
RH..............60 54 49 48 45 45 43 43 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 21 24 24 25 26 26 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 3.3 4.3 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.7 4.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 18 21 23 24 24 24 24 23  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............39 61 80 95 106 110 112 107 93  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................65 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........54 45 30 38 22 30 46 30 36 24 24 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............84 83 81 79 77 75 74 72 71 70 70 70  
RH..............46 48 51 54 56 60 59 66 68 71 71 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.9 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 16 13 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12  
LVORI...........1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............65 33 8 1 3 8 8 8 8 7 6 8  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 18 PERCENT EARLY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 8 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE MORNING INCREASING TO 18 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE MORNING INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT INCREASING  
TO 72 PERCENT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING  
TO 88 PERCENT DECREASING TO 63 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 46 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................13 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 58 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........25 27 67 87  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CWR.............0 10 50 80  
TEMP............68 73 79 72  
RH..............73 64 56 68  
20 FT WIND......W 12G20 W 13G22 W 14G23 NW 12G22  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2400 3600 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 15 W 16 NW 18  
LVORI...........3 1 1 3  
ADI.............13 41 54 39  
 

 
FORECASTER...LARDEO  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613994.0/BGM  
.DELDT 05/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PMCELHENNY@TNC.ORG  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page
The Nexlab PA Page Main Text Page