805  
FNUS71 KBTV 251123  
FWSBTV  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TARBELLVILLE AND BEAVER MEADOWS RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
723 AM EDT THU APR 25 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (802) 658-0207, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES ARE PRESENTLY IN THE LOW TO MID 20S. RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES RECOVERED TO AROUND 75 TO 85 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS IN THE REGION YESTERDAY WERE CLOSE TO A  
TENTH OF AN INCH GIVE OR TAKE A FEW HUNDREDTHS. ABUNDANT SUNSHINE  
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO QUICKLY WARM INTO  
THE MID TO UPPER 40S. MAINLY NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED AT 5 TO 10  
MPH. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE VERY GUSTY TODAY, BUT A 15 MPH  
COULD TAKE PLACE. BASED ON THE TOPOGRAPHY, WINDS COULD TURN MORE  
NORTHERLY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON. BY NOON, RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY SHOULD BE BELOW 30 PERCENT AND WITH SLOW RECOVERY AFTER  
SUNSET.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............30 34 38 41 43 45 46 47 47  
RH..............46 38 29 26 24 22 22 22 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 10 10 10 9 9 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 16 15 15 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.4 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW N NW N NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 13 14 14 15 14 12  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............46 43 41 37 34 31 29 27 25 23 22 22  
RH..............25 29 34 40 45 51 53 57 60 65 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N NE NE E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 3.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 6 7 6 6 6 6 5 6 5 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 5 4 4 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............23 26 30 36 41 46 50 52 54 55 56 56  
RH..............65 57 51 40 34 28 25 24 23 23 22 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE NE N N NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.8 3.2 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...HAYNES  
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUGHES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2411470.5/BTV  
.DELDT 04/25/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC.HUGHES@USDA.GOV  
 
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