384  
FWUS41 KBTV 161339  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
838 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 90 90 95 95 95 95 85  
TEMPERATURE 26 25 22 23 23 23 23 22 20 22 22 22 23 24 23 21  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 21 24 21  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 18 19 24 26 28 27 27 25 24 23 21 23 23 21 20 16  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 41 40 40 42 40 39  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 90 80 70 70 70 60 70 60 60 60 60 50 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.30 0.29 0.24 0.21 0.18 0.09 0.04  
12 HOUR QPF 0.44 0.53 0.39 0.13  
LOW END QPF 0.14 0.08 0.03  
HIGH END QPF 0.64 0.47 0.16  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.4 4.8 4.8 3.8 3.3 2.8 1.5 0.7  
12 HOUR SNOW 6.2 8.6 6.1 2.2  
LOW END SNOW 2.6 1.3 0.4  
HIGH END SNOW 10.3 7.3 2.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK SC OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 80 60 55 50 75 75 70 85 90 90 90 95 95 90 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 24 23 21 21 27 23 21 20 30 29 28 28 37 33 30 28 32 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 20 28 19 31 27 38 28 32  
WIND DIR W W W W W SE SE SE S SE SE SE S S SW W NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 13 10 6 5 4 5 5 5 4 6 9 10 9 13 13 11 10 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 5 5 10 10 20 20 20 30 50 80 80 70 60 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 15 14 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 95 95 95 95 90 85 80 85 80 85 85 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 19 15 13 15 15 14 15 14 14 15 15 17 18 17 17 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 14 17 16  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 40 39 42 48 48 47 47 42 41 36 39 46 43 39 36 32  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 60 70 60 50 40 40 40 30 30 40 40 30 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.07 0.04 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.13 0.11 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.07 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.18 0.13 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 2.1 1.8 0.4  
LOW END SNOW 1.1 0.4 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 3.0 2.2 0.7  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 60 50 40 55 80 75 70 90 95 95 90 95 100 90 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 17 15 14 14 22 19 18 17 26 26 25 26 32 27 24 21 25 23  
MAX/MIN TEMP 18 13 23 16 27 25 33 21 25  
WIND DIR W W W NW W SE S S S S S S S SW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 20 20 16 10 5 8 9 6 4 8 12 13 11 21 23 20 13 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 10 10 20 20 20 50 80 80 60 50 50 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 95 95 90 85 80 85 85 85 90 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 22 22 18 19 18 17 17 17 18 20 20 20 20 19 19 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 17 21 18  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 24 23 25 25 25 25 25 23 20 19 20 20 18 16 16 14  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 43 44 46 44 42 44 42 41 39 40 40 40 36 36  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 60 70 60 50 50 50 50 30 40 40 40 30 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.11 0.07 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.08 0.04 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.18 0.10 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.2  
LOW END SNOW 1.4 0.6 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 3.1 1.6 0.9  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 65 55 50 40 55 80 75 70 85 90 95 90 95 95 90 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 22 19 17 16 27 22 19 18 31 29 28 28 35 31 29 27 30 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 15 28 17 32 27 36 27 30  
WIND DIR W W W W W SE S S S S S S S SW W W W NW  
WIND (MPH) 11 9 5 5 4 2 3 3 3 2 4 5 6 9 9 9 8 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 50 80 80 60 50 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 95 95 90 85 80 75 75 85 85 85 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 21 19 17 19 19 18 19 18 18 18 17 18 20 20 20 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 18 20 18  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W NW W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 29 29 34 39 39 36 36 32 29 27 32 37 34 29 28 24  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 80 80 80 60 50 40 40 40 30 40 40 40 30 20 20  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.09 0.08 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.07 0.04 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.25 0.12 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.1 1.5 1.3 0.5  
LOW END SNOW 1.2 0.4 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 4.4 1.9 0.9  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 18 18 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK BK SC BK OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 65 55 55 40 60 75 75 65 90 90 95 90 95 95 90 80 85  
TEMPERATURE 20 19 17 17 26 22 19 18 29 28 27 27 35 30 27 24 28 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 22 16 27 17 30 26 36 24 28  
WIND DIR W W W SW W S S S S S S S S SW W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 16 17 12 9 5 5 5 5 3 5 9 10 9 17 17 14 10 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 10 20 30 50 80 80 60 50 40 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 95 90 95 80 80 75 70 70 70 65 70 70 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 23 21 19 20 19 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 21 19 20 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 18 21 18  
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 27 25 29 37 39 37 37 33 29 25 29 33 29 27 26 20  
WIND GUST (MPH) 42 47 42  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 60 60 50 40 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.04 0.01 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.12 0.06 0.03  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.5 0.1 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 1.0 0.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 50 45 35 50 75 75 70 85 90 90 90 90 95 85 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 22 19 17 16 27 23 21 20 29 28 28 28 35 31 28 26 29 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 15 28 19 30 27 36 26 29  
WIND DIR W W W W SW W SW SW S S S S S SW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 13 13 10 6 4 5 5 5 4 5 9 9 9 16 17 14 10 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 50 80 80 60 50 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 95 95 95 90 85 80 85 80 85 85 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 21 18 16 17 17 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 16 19 18  
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 28 29 29 33 33 32 31 28 27 25 27 28 25 21 20 18  
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 49 49 51 50 49 49 46 49 44 47 49 47 42 42 35  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 70 70 70 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 40 40 30 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.19 0.12 0.10 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.07 0.03 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.19 0.12 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 2.0 1.7 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 1.2 0.5 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 3.2 2.0 0.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 65 60 50 45 55 80 75 75 90 95 95 95 95 100 90 85 85  
TEMPERATURE 20 17 16 15 25 21 19 18 28 28 27 28 33 29 26 24 28 25  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 14 26 17 29 27 34 24 28  
WIND DIR W W W NW W SE S S S S SE S S SW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 14 12 10 6 5 4 5 4 4 5 6 8 8 13 13 11 10 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 10 10 20 20 20 50 80 80 60 50 50 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 11/16/25 MONDAY 11/17/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 95 90 90 80 85 80 70 75 70 65 70 70 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 25 24 21 22 20 19 20 19 22 23 22 21 21 20 21 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 19 24 20  
WIND DIR W W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 18 16 18 20 23 23 24 20 18 14 16 17 16 16 14 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 37 37 43 44 44 44 41 40 36 36 41 41 37 36 29  
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 60 60 50 40 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 10 5  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.00  
LOW END QPF 0.05 0.01 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.13 0.06 0.04  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0  
12 HOUR SNOW 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.1  
LOW END SNOW 0.6 0.2 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 2.1 1.1 0.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 17 17 17 17 16 16 16 16 16 16 17 17 16 16 16  
 
DATE TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25 SAT 11/22/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 50 45 45 40 50 75 70 70 85 90 90 90 90 95 85 75 80  
TEMPERATURE 25 21 18 17 30 25 22 21 32 30 29 29 36 33 31 29 32 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 26 16 31 20 33 28 37 29 32  
WIND DIR W W W W W W SW SW S S S S S SW W NW W NW  
WIND (MPH) 9 5 3 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 6 8 8 8 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 50 80 80 60 50 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S R R S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 15 14 13 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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