261  
FWUS41 KBTV 150910  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
408 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2026  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW CL FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 0 15 45 75 80 85 85 90 70 70 85 85 90 85 70 70  
TEMPERATURE 5 12 19 17 13 14 15 15 16 20 26 27 24 25 24 26 27  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 13 28 24  
WIND DIR N NE E S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 4 3 3 4 6 10 11 12 12 12 11 11 13 13 13 13 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 5 20 30 10 10 5 5 30 30 40 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.06  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.10 0.03 0.08  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.8  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.3 0.3 0.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 11  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 75 80 80 85 90 80 65 70 55 65 70 80 75 80 80 65  
TEMPERATURE 30 28 26 19 27 22 20 20 26 21 19 19 25 23 21 19 22 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 19 29 18 28 18 28 18 24  
WIND DIR SW W W N N E E SE S S SE SE SE SE S W NW W  
WIND (MPH) 6 8 6 5 4 17 17 14 12 16 14 14 12 17 17 14 13 19  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 0 10 50 70 60 40 40 30 20 30 50 60 60 40 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 40 70 90 90 90 95 90 80 80 85 95 90 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 9 17 18 16 13 14 15 16 18 21 23 24 23 23 23 25 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 18 13 24 23  
WIND DIR N N SE S S S S SW SW S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 11 9 9 11 11 13 14 13 13 14 13 14 17 18 18 17 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 20 0 0 0 0 30 30 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.15 0.03 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.9 0.3 0.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 14 14 13 13 13 13 12  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 70 80 80 90 85 80 60 70 65 70 75 85 80 85 80 60  
TEMPERATURE 27 24 21 16 22 19 19 20 22 20 17 18 22 21 20 16 17 14  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 16 24 18 25 16 24 15 19  
WIND DIR W W W SW SE E E SE S SW S SE SE S SW NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 12 16 13 10 11 11 11 9 8 9 9 9 9 11 12 11 10 13  
WIND GUST (MPH) 31  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 20 60 80 50 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 11 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 35 65 85 90 90 90 80 75 80 85 90 85 80 80 90  
TEMPERATURE 9 19 23 21 16 17 18 18 19 24 28 28 26 25 25 27 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 15 28 25  
WIND DIR N NE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 3 4 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 30 20 0 0 0 0 30 30 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.14 0.03 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.7 0.3 0.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 11 11 10  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 75 80 80 85 85 75 55 65 60 65 70 80 75 80 75 60  
TEMPERATURE 31 27 23 17 27 22 21 21 27 23 18 19 27 24 22 17 21 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 17 27 19 29 17 27 17 22  
WIND DIR W W W SE SE E E SE S S S SE SE S SW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 6 5 4 3 6 8 8 5 5 6 5 5 6 9 9 8 9 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 20 60 70 40 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 30 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 10 15 35 65 90 95 95 90 90 75 80 85 90 90 80 75 90  
TEMPERATURE 7 14 19 19 16 17 19 19 22 25 28 29 27 27 26 29 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 14 29 25  
WIND DIR N E E SE S S SW SW SW S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 6 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 13 11  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 20 5 5 0 0 20 20 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.11 0.03 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.4  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.5 0.3 0.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 12 12 12 12 12 12 10  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 70 80 80 90 85 85 60 65 75 65 70 80 80 85 75 65  
TEMPERATURE 30 28 25 18 25 22 20 19 26 23 20 19 25 25 22 17 20 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 17 26 17 28 17 26 16 23  
WIND DIR W W W SW E E E E SE S S SE SE S SW W W W  
WIND (MPH) 10 12 10 5 8 16 14 12 10 12 11 11 10 16 16 14 12 18  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 20 60 70 50 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 35 65 85 90 90 95 85 70 75 80 90 85 85 85 80  
TEMPERATURE 10 17 19 20 15 17 17 18 19 22 25 26 25 25 24 26 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 15 26 24  
WIND DIR N NE SE S S S SW SW SW S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 8 5 5 5 6 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 13 14 14 13 10  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 5 20 40 20 5 5 0 0 30 30 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.13 0.02 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.6 0.2 0.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 14 14 14 14 15 15 14 14 13 13 12 12 12 12 10  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 60 70 75 85 75 70 55 60 55 60 70 75 70 75 75 55  
TEMPERATURE 31 27 23 18 25 22 22 21 26 23 19 20 25 24 23 18 21 17  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 17 27 20 28 18 27 18 22  
WIND DIR W W W W E E E SE S SW SW SE SE S W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 8 10 9 5 6 9 9 8 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 9 9 12  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 20 60 80 50 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 25 40 70 90 95 95 95 90 80 80 90 95 90 85 90 90  
TEMPERATURE 9 19 20 18 14 15 16 17 18 22 25 25 23 23 24 25 26  
MAX/MIN TEMP 20 14 25 23  
WIND DIR N NE SE S S S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 6 6 8 9 8 8 9 8 9 10 10 10 10 8  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 20 0 0 0 0 30 30 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.02  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.16 0.03 0.06  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.9 0.3 0.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 13 13 13 13 12 12 11  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 80 75 80 80 95 90 85 65 75 70 75 75 85 85 85 80 65  
TEMPERATURE 29 25 21 16 23 20 20 20 24 21 17 18 24 22 20 16 18 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 16 24 19 26 16 24 16 20  
WIND DIR W W W S SE E E SE S SW SE SE SE SE SW NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 8 9 8 5 6 11 11 9 8 10 10 9 9 12 12 11 11 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 20 60 80 40 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 11 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)  
 
DATE SUNDAY 02/15/26 MONDAY 02/16/26  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 5 10 35 60 85 85 90 90 85 70 75 85 90 80 80 80 80  
TEMPERATURE 10 18 23 20 15 16 17 18 19 23 28 28 26 26 26 27 29  
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 15 29 25  
WIND DIR N NE SE S S SW S SW SW S S S S S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 2 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 2  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 20 40 20 0 0 0 0 30 30 40 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
HIGH END QPF 0.00 0.13 0.02 0.05  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0  
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 1.7 0.2 0.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 12 12 12 12 11 11 10  
 
DATE TUE 02/17/26 WED 02/18/26 THU 02/19/26 FRI 02/20/26 SAT 02/21/26  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK BK OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV BK  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 65 55 70 75 85 75 70 55 60 55 60 70 75 70 75 75 55  
TEMPERATURE 34 28 24 19 28 23 23 22 29 24 20 20 28 25 23 19 24 19  
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 18 29 20 30 19 29 18 25  
WIND DIR W W W W E E E SE S SW SW SE SE S W NW W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 2 2 1 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 5 4 4 4 6 6  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 0 0 20 60 80 50 30 30 20 20 30 50 50 50 40 50 30  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
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