134  
FWUS41 KBTV 150749  
AVGBTV  
 
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT  
248 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2025  
 
   
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 55 60 90 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 95 95 100 95 95 90  
TEMPERATURE 23 26 29 29 27 27 31 35 31 28 25 23 23 23 23 23 22  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 27 31 22  
WIND DIR NW W W S S SE S SW W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 4 3 3 5 9 12 12 12 13 16 17 19 20 21 21 21 20  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 34 37 39 39 40 37  
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 10 70 100 100 90 80 70 90 80 90 100 100 80 80  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.49 0.25 0.13 0.10 0.11 0.08  
12 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.74 0.23 0.19  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.35 0.07 0.04  
HIGH END QPF 0.21 0.98 0.33 0.32  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.6 2.0 1.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.7 3.3  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7  
HIGH END SNOW 0.3 1.9 5.4 5.6  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 9 9 2 2 3 3 9 9 16 16 18 18 18 18 17  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 95 85 85 85 85 70 65 75 75 75 75 85 90 90 90 95  
TEMPERATURE 23 23 23 22 26 24 23 23 27 23 21 20 30 27 26 25 34 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 22 26 22 28 19 31 24 35  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW SW SE S S SE SE S S  
WIND (MPH) 18 18 16 12 11 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 6 9 10 8 12  
WIND GUST (MPH) 37 35  
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 30 30 20 20 20 20 10 20 20 20 20 30 50 70 80 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S R S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.24 0.05  
12 HOUR SNOW 3.9 0.8  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 16 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 50 85 85 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 95 90 80  
TEMPERATURE 18 25 28 27 23 27 30 32 25 21 17 15 15 16 15 16 15  
MAX/MIN TEMP 29 23 25 14  
WIND DIR NW W W SW SW S SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 8 4 5 8 17 18 18 33 40 37 39 41 46 46 43 42 40  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 90 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 70 60 70 60 40  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z Z Z S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.55 0.16 0.14 0.04 0.02 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.71 0.18 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.33 0.05 0.02  
HIGH END QPF 0.22 0.72 0.21 0.10  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 2.5 0.7  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.8  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.08 0.22 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 4 4 2 2 5 5 13 13 18 18 19 19 18 18 18  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 85 90 80 75 80 80 60 60 75 75 80 80 90 100 90 90 95  
TEMPERATURE 15 17 16 16 18 16 16 16 21 19 17 17 25 24 24 24 29 28  
MAX/MIN TEMP 18 16 18 15 22 16 26 23 30  
WIND DIR NW W W W W W W W W NW NW S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 35 37 31 24 16 18 14 12 8 10 10 8 4 9 12 13 10 20  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 50 70 70 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 55 85 80 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 95 90 85  
TEMPERATURE 19 27 30 30 25 29 32 34 29 27 23 21 19 19 18 18 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 25 29 18  
WIND DIR NW SW SW S S S SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 3 3 4 4 5 6 8 20 26 26 26 31 31 31 29 29 27  
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 48 47 44  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 100 100 90 90 90 80 80 70 70 70 70 60 50  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z Z R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.51 0.17 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.68 0.15 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.32 0.05 0.02  
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.68 0.21 0.12  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 2.0 0.7  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.4  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.8 3.0 2.1  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.08 0.20 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 3 3 1 1 5 5 12 12 18 18 19 19 18 18 18  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 80 80 80 75 65 65 75 75 80 80 90 95 90 90 95  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 19 19 23 20 18 18 25 21 18 17 30 27 26 25 33 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 19 23 17 26 16 31 24 34  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 23 16 13 11 9 8 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 6 8  
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 35  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 50 70 70 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 17 16 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 55 80 85 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 95 95 90  
TEMPERATURE 20 26 31 30 25 30 34 34 27 24 21 17 18 19 19 19 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 25 27 18  
WIND DIR NW W SW SW SW S SW W W W W W NW W NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 5 3 3 4 10 12 13 27 33 32 32 36 39 39 36 35 33  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 20 90 100 90 90 90 80 70 70 70 70 70 60 50  
PRECIP TYPE S Z Z R R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.08 0.43 0.19 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.62 0.16 0.05  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.31 0.06 0.02  
HIGH END QPF 0.22 0.68 0.21 0.13  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.1 2.2 0.8  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.5  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.04 0.14 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 5 5 1 1 4 4 12 12 18 18 19 19 18 18 18  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 90 90 85 75 85 80 70 60 75 75 80 75 90 95 90 85 95  
TEMPERATURE 19 20 19 19 21 19 19 19 24 21 19 18 29 27 25 25 31 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 19 21 18 25 17 30 24 32  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 28 28 24 17 12 13 10 9 5 8 5 5 3 5 9 10 6 14  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 30 20 10 5 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 60 70 80 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 17 17 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 85 90 100 100 95 90 90 90 85 90 90 95 90 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 18 26 29 29 25 28 31 34 29 26 22 21 20 19 18 19 18  
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 25 29 18  
WIND DIR NW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 5 13 14 13 25 29 29 28 33 37 39 36 35 33  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 90 100 80 80 80 70 60 70 60 50 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z Z R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.10 0.48 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.55 0.09 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.28 0.04 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.55 0.14 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.5  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.3  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.06 0.19 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 4 4 1 1 4 4 11 11 17 17 19 19 18 18 17  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV BK BK OV BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 70 75 75 65 70 70 55 60 65 70 75 75 85 95 90 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 20 20 19 19 23 20 18 18 25 22 20 19 29 27 26 26 32 31  
MAX/MIN TEMP 21 19 23 17 26 18 30 25 33  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W SW S SW S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 26 25 21 17 10 12 10 8 5 6 6 5 4 6 9 9 6 13  
WIND GUST (MPH)  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 50 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 17 16 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 55 85 85 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 95 90 85  
TEMPERATURE 19 27 29 29 24 27 30 33 27 24 20 18 18 17 17 17 16  
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 24 27 16  
WIND DIR NW W SW S S S SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
WIND (MPH) 5 3 4 5 10 10 10 24 31 31 32 33 35 34 33 33 32  
WIND GUST (MPH) 43 55 54 51 51 49  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 90 100 90 90 90 80 70 70 70 70 70 60 50  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z Z R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.16 0.56 0.16 0.12 0.04 0.02 0.02  
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.72 0.16 0.04  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.34 0.05 0.02  
HIGH END QPF 0.23 0.74 0.22 0.12  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.3  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2 2.3 0.7  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.2  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.9  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.08 0.22 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 4 4 1 1 5 5 13 13 18 18 19 19 18 18 18  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 90 80 80 80 80 60 65 75 75 80 80 90 100 90 90 95  
TEMPERATURE 17 18 18 18 21 19 18 18 23 20 18 17 27 26 25 25 30 30  
MAX/MIN TEMP 19 18 21 17 24 16 28 24 31  
WIND DIR NW W W W W W W W W NW N S S S S S S S  
WIND (MPH) 28 21 18 13 11 11 9 8 5 5 5 5 4 5 8 8 6 11  
WIND GUST (MPH) 41  
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20 30 50 70 70 70  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 17 16 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 
   
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
 
 
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25  
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07  
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A  
 
CLOUD COVER SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 50 85 85 100 100 95 90 90 90 85 85 90 90 90 85 75  
TEMPERATURE 20 27 30 31 27 28 31 35 31 30 27 23 21 21 20 20 20  
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 27 31 20  
WIND DIR N S SW S SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 4 5 5 5 11 14 16 16 17 19 20 20 19 19  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 34 35 34 36 41 42 41 41 37  
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 30 90 100 80 80 80 70 70 70 60 50 50 50 40  
PRECIP TYPE Z Z Z Z R S S S S S S S S S  
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.11 0.52 0.07 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.01  
12 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.59 0.09 0.03  
LOW END QPF 0.00 0.29 0.04 0.01  
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.59 0.14 0.07  
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.5  
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1  
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.4  
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.06 0.21 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 13 4 4 1 1 3 3 11 11 17 17 18 18 18 18 17  
 
DATE MON 11/17/25 TUE 11/18/25 WED 11/19/25 THU 11/20/25 FRI 11/21/25  
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19  
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P  
 
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV  
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 70 75 70 70 70 70 55 60 65 65 70 75 85 95 90 85 90  
TEMPERATURE 23 22 21 21 25 22 20 19 28 24 21 20 32 29 28 27 34 32  
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 20 26 18 29 19 33 26 35  
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W NW W SW S SW S S S SW  
WIND (MPH) 14 13 11 10 6 5 3 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 3 4 5 5  
WIND GUST (MPH) 33 35 28  
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 20 30 50 70 70 60  
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S R S  
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.00  
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.0  
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00  
SNOW RATIO (:1) 17 16 16 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM  
 

 
 
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---  
 
CODE TYPE  
T THUNDERSTORMS  
R RAIN  
S SNOW  
I SLEET  
Z FREEZING RAIN  
 
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