037
FWUS41 KBTV 181722
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1221 PM EST THU DEC 18 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 45 40 70 90 95 90 100 100 75 90 85 85 80 45
TEMPERATURE 31 28 28 30 35 38 41 44 44 29 23 22 15 12 14
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 26 44 10
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 20 21 21 25 28 33 36 33 24 18 21 24 32 32 29
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 44 47 55 59 58 43 41 49 49
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 5 30 50 90 100 100 30 90 70 60 40 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.15 0.56 0.35 0.05 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.17 0.91 0.06
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.42 0.02
HIGH END QPF 0.44 1.16 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.9 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.2 1.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.4
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 5.2 1.6
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 18 18 21 21 18
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER SC OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 85 90 80 75 75 70 70 45 40 50 75 85 90 85 75 50 50
TEMPERATURE 17 22 26 27 23 17 13 9 10 8 7 9 17 23 23 19 16 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 22 28 8 11 5 24 15 19
WIND DIR SW S S SW W W NW NW NW W S SE S S W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 6 14 19 17 20 25 24 19 12 8 8 10 11 13 13 14 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 36
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 60 70 60 40 40 20 10 10 10 30 60 80 80 60 30 20 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 14 11 13 16 20 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 45 65 85 90 95 100 100 90 85 90 90 85 70 40
TEMPERATURE 30 28 28 29 34 37 39 40 28 19 12 9 2 3 5
MAX/MIN TEMP 30 25 40 2
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW S S S W W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 46 52 51 60 69 73 79 70 28 29 48 48 73 72 64
WIND GUST (MPH) 69 79 86 93 100 93 92 90
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 60 90 100 100 70 30 70 60 30 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.62 0.76 0.17 0.06 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.79 0.93 0.07
LOW END QPF 0.19 0.27 0.02
HIGH END QPF 1.03 1.18 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.3
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 5.8 1.5
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 14 14 19 19 20 20 15
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 80 75 85 75 65 30 45 65 85 85 90 90 75 40 50
TEMPERATURE 13 16 20 19 13 10 7 2 4 3 3 6 12 20 20 13 11 7
MAX/MIN TEMP 23 13 19 2 6 1 21 11 13
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W NW NW W W SW S S SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 26 33 34 37 46 40 28 17 17 14 16 14 26 29 26 17 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 60 40 30 10 5 5 10 5 30 70 70 50 30 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 12 14 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 55 75 85 95 100 100 90 85 85 90 85 75 40
TEMPERATURE 33 28 29 30 35 39 41 43 30 23 17 14 6 5 7
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 27 43 4
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 35 43 43 49 51 57 52 51 27 25 20 21 42 44 42
WIND GUST (MPH) 70 43 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 50 90 100 100 70 20 70 50 20 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.58 0.72 0.15 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.72 0.87 0.04
LOW END QPF 0.18 0.22 0.02
HIGH END QPF 0.91 1.07 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.7
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.5 0.3
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 5.7 1.5
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 15 15 20 20 20 20 15
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 75 75 80 75 65 35 45 60 85 85 90 85 75 40 50
TEMPERATURE 17 20 24 23 18 13 8 3 8 5 5 8 18 23 23 17 16 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 18 23 2 10 3 23 13 17
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W NW NW W W SW S S SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 10 13 16 16 20 16 12 10 6 5 5 8 11 13 11 9 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 31 33 35 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 50 40 20 10 5 5 10 5 20 70 70 50 30 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 11 14 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 60 85 65 80 85 100 100 90 75 85 90 85 75 45
TEMPERATURE 35 35 35 33 37 41 42 43 31 22 15 13 5 4 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 31 43 4
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S S S W W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 42 52 48 57 65 69 81 72 34 35 36 39 73 70 56
WIND GUST (MPH) 75 87 102 95 92 87
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 5 40 80 100 100 70 20 70 60 20 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.28 0.49 0.14 0.04 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.31 0.63 0.05
LOW END QPF 0.10 0.23 0.02
HIGH END QPF 0.55 1.12 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.7 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.8
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.3
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 4.8 1.6
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 13 13 18 18 20 20 15
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV BK OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV SC BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 90 80 70 85 75 70 40 45 60 85 85 90 90 80 45 50
TEMPERATURE 16 20 25 23 17 13 10 4 7 6 6 11 17 23 23 16 14 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 27 17 23 4 9 4 24 13 16
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W W W W W SW S S SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 19 27 25 25 35 29 20 12 14 11 11 11 21 23 18 11 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 40 50 40 30 20 5 5 10 5 30 70 80 60 40 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 11 14 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 55 55 85 90 95 100 100 90 65 70 85 75 60 35
TEMPERATURE 33 29 28 30 35 38 41 43 32 24 18 15 7 7 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 26 43 7
WIND DIR S SW SW S S S S S W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 35 41 41 54 63 66 63 49 26 27 33 35 62 66 63
WIND GUST (MPH) 71 84 66 84
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 50 90 100 100 70 20 70 60 30 10 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.61 0.86 0.13 0.01 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.76 0.99 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.17 0.27 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.95 1.12 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.1
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 4.3 1.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 12 12 18 18 19 19 15
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 85 85 80 70 75 70 55 25 40 60 85 85 85 80 70 35 50
TEMPERATURE 17 19 23 23 18 13 10 5 9 6 6 9 16 22 23 17 16 9
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 18 23 5 10 4 22 14 17
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W NW NW W W SW S S SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 21 26 25 24 32 27 20 11 12 11 11 10 19 20 17 10 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 50 40 30 10 5 5 10 5 30 70 70 50 30 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 11 14 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 45 60 85 90 95 100 100 90 85 85 90 85 75 45
TEMPERATURE 31 28 28 29 35 37 41 42 29 21 14 10 3 3 6
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 26 42 2
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW S S S W W W W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 39 49 48 57 65 73 70 57 28 27 26 27 63 63 58
WIND GUST (MPH) 75 82 92 88 75 50 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 60 90 100 100 70 30 70 60 30 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.66 0.79 0.17 0.05 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.84 0.96 0.06
LOW END QPF 0.19 0.26 0.02
HIGH END QPF 1.03 1.17 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.4 1.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.3
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 6.1 1.7
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 15 15 19 19 20 20 15
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 60 85 90 80 80 80 80 65 35 45 65 85 90 90 90 80 40 50
TEMPERATURE 15 18 22 20 15 11 7 2 6 4 4 7 14 20 22 15 13 8
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 15 20 2 7 2 21 12 15
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W NW NW W W SW S S SW W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 8 14 18 19 21 26 23 16 11 10 9 9 10 14 17 14 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 36 37 40 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 60 40 20 10 5 5 10 5 30 70 70 50 30 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.04
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 13 11 14 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE THURSDAY 12/18/25 FRIDAY 12/19/25
TIME (LT) 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07
7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A
CLOUD COVER BK SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 65 40 70 85 90 95 100 100 90 70 80 80 75 60 30
TEMPERATURE 33 27 27 28 36 39 42 44 34 27 21 18 10 9 10
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 25 44 9
WIND DIR S SW S S S S S S W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 13 11 11 17 20 24 26 25 14 16 17 19 29 28 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 46 43 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 5 10 60 90 100 100 70 20 70 50 20 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.53 0.73 0.13 0.01 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.66 0.86 0.02
LOW END QPF 0.17 0.26 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.81 1.11 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.3
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.2
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 4.5 1.1
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 13 18 18 19 19 14
DATE SAT 12/20/25 SUN 12/21/25 MON 12/22/25 TUE 12/23/25 WED 12/24/25
TIME (LT) 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19 01 07 13 19
1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P 1A 7A 1P 7P
CLOUD COVER BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK FW SC BK OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 80 85 75 70 75 65 50 25 35 55 80 85 85 75 65 35 45
TEMPERATURE 20 21 24 25 21 15 10 5 12 7 7 10 19 23 24 18 19 11
MAX/MIN TEMP 25 19 25 5 12 5 24 14 19
WIND DIR SW S SW SW W W NW NW W W SW S S SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 5 9 12 13 13 14 13 10 6 4 3 4 5 8 10 9 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 26 33 33 33 35 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 40 50 40 30 10 5 5 10 5 20 70 70 50 30 20 10 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.03
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 12 11 13 18 21 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page