559
FWUS41 KBTV 220928
AVGBTV
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
527 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2025
..SMUGGLERS NOTCH, VT (3370 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 90 60 60 55 50 45 65 65 90 90 80 75 75 85 80
TEMPERATURE 43 44 46 43 40 39 39 38 37 38 42 41 39 39 40 38 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 37 44 36
WIND DIR S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 10 8 10 9 10 12 12 13 13 12 10 8 6 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 80 70 20 20 30 20 20 50 50 80 80 60 60 50 50 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.31 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.07 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.01 0.11 0.08
LOW END QPF 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.01
HIGH END QPF 0.41 0.03 0.11 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 7
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 75 70 75 70 80 75 70 65 55 35 25 35 35 35 25 35 35
TEMPERATURE 39 36 38 33 37 35 36 32 38 31 31 29 40 33 33 29 42 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 33 37 32 38 29 41 29 43
WIND DIR W NW W W NW NW W NW NW N NE NE N N E E N NE
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 6 4 4 4 6 4 4 4 6 5 5 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 10 10 10 5 5 10 10 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S R
12 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 7 8 9 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT MARCY, NY (5,344 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 85 85 70 80 95 95 90 85 80 95 95 85 90 90 80 80
TEMPERATURE 36 36 33 32 31 31 30 29 30 31 32 32 31 30 29 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 29 33 28
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 16 19 21 24 26 27 26 24 20 18 17 14 17 14 14 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 30 30 20 20 40 50 70 70 90 90 60 60 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.07 0.10 0.05 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.22 0.05 0.17 0.06
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.22 0.05 0.17 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.5
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.6
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 5 5 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 11
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 75 65 85 80 80 60 70 60 35 30 35 25 40 25 30 45
TEMPERATURE 29 27 27 23 23 25 25 23 28 26 26 25 34 28 29 27 35 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 31 23 25 23 28 25 34 27 36
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NE NE N NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 10 13 12 12 9 9 10 9 6 8 9 9 6 9 10 10 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.3
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 11 12 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..ALGONQUIN PEAK, NY (5,114 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 90 85 65 80 95 95 90 80 80 95 95 85 90 90 85 75
TEMPERATURE 41 42 40 37 35 35 34 33 33 35 36 37 36 33 34 31 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 33 37 29
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 8 9 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 10 5 6 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 60 30 30 20 20 30 40 70 70 90 90 60 60 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.04 0.14 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.17 0.04 0.14 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 8 9
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC FW SC FW SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 75 80 70 85 80 75 60 70 60 30 25 30 25 35 25 30 40
TEMPERATURE 36 30 27 25 31 29 28 27 32 29 27 25 39 31 29 27 42 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 25 31 27 32 25 39 26 42
WIND DIR W W NW W NW NW NW NW NW N NE NE N NE NE NE E E
WIND (MPH) 6 5 5 5 6 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 40 40 30 20 20 30 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S R
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 10 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..WHITEFACE MOUNTAIN, NY (4,867 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 90 75 50 65 85 85 85 75 75 95 95 85 85 85 85 80
TEMPERATURE 39 40 37 35 35 34 33 33 33 34 35 36 35 33 32 30 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 32 36 29
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 10 14 16 20 21 20 20 18 17 16 14 11 11 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 40 10 20 30 30 60 60 60 90 90 80 80 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.08 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.18 0.02 0.12 0.04
LOW END QPF 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.18 0.03 0.12 0.07
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 9
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 80 70 80 75 75 65 65 65 35 30 35 30 35 30 30 45
TEMPERATURE 34 27 27 25 27 25 26 25 28 27 29 27 36 28 30 29 39 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 25 27 25 28 27 37 28 40
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W NW N NW N NE NE NE E NE E
WIND (MPH) 8 9 9 9 6 6 6 5 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 40 30 30 30 30 30 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 10 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.2
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 9 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..DIX MOUNTAIN, NY (4,857 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 80 70 60 70 85 90 80 80 70 90 90 75 80 80 75 75
TEMPERATURE 41 41 40 39 37 36 34 34 34 36 37 38 37 36 35 32 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 34 38 32
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 13 13 16 19 21 21 23 20 17 16 13 10 11 10 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 30 30 10 20 40 50 60 60 90 90 50 50 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.14 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.04 0.13 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.16 0.04 0.14 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 9
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 70 65 85 75 75 60 70 55 35 30 35 25 40 30 30 45
TEMPERATURE 36 32 29 27 31 29 29 27 32 29 28 26 38 31 29 28 40 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 27 31 27 32 26 38 28 41
WIND DIR W W NW W NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 9 6 6 8 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 9 8 6 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 30 20 20 10 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 9 9 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLDEN, NY (4,715 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 85 90 75 80 95 95 90 80 80 90 90 85 90 90 85 80
TEMPERATURE 39 39 36 34 32 32 31 31 31 32 33 34 33 31 31 28 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 31 34 28
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 12 14 16 17 18 18 17 17 16 16 13 9 10 9 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 30 30 20 20 40 50 70 70 90 90 60 60 70 70 60
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.09 0.04 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.20 0.06 0.16 0.05
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.20 0.06 0.16 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.5
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 4 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 10
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 80 65 90 80 80 60 75 60 35 25 35 25 40 25 30 45
TEMPERATURE 33 30 26 24 28 27 26 25 29 26 26 25 37 29 29 28 39 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 24 28 25 29 25 37 28 40
WIND DIR W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NE N NE NE NE NE E NE
WIND (MPH) 8 8 6 8 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.02
12 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.3
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 10 10 11 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
..MOUNT COLVIN, NY (4,080 FT)
DATE WEDNESDAY 10/22/25 THURSDAY 10/23/25
TIME (LT) 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08
8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 80 80 65 70 90 90 85 85 70 90 90 80 80 75 75 75
TEMPERATURE 43 44 43 42 39 38 36 37 36 38 41 40 38 37 36 36 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 36 42 34
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 3 5 8 8 8 9 10 10 9 9 8 5 4 4 3 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 40 30 30 10 10 40 50 60 60 90 90 40 40 60 60 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.01
12 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.02 0.10 0.03
LOW END QPF 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.00
HIGH END QPF 0.15 0.04 0.10 0.05
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
LOW END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
HIGH END SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 8
DATE FRI 10/24/25 SAT 10/25/25 SUN 10/26/25 MON 10/27/25 TUE 10/28/25
TIME (LT) 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20 02 08 14 20
2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P 2A 8A 2P 8P
CLOUD COVER OV OV BK BK OV OV OV BK OV BK SC SC SC FW SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 70 70 65 85 75 75 60 70 60 30 30 35 25 35 30 30 45
TEMPERATURE 39 35 30 30 37 34 31 29 38 31 29 27 41 33 30 28 43 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 30 37 29 38 26 41 28 43
WIND DIR W W NW W NW NW NW NW N N N N NE N N N NE NE
WIND (MPH) 5 3 2 4 5 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 5 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 30 30 20 20 10 20 20 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 20
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S R
12 HOUR QPF 0.03 0.01
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR ICE 0.00 0.00
SNOW RATIO (:1) 8 9 10 MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM MM
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN
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