660
FXUS61 KALY 280552
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
152 AM EDT WED OCT 28 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND WITH
THE ONLY CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ON THURSDAY NIGHT,
ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF ALBANY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES
OFF TO THE EAST TODAY ALLOWING FOR A SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY
RETURN FLOW TO RETURN TO THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
NEAR NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S TODAY
WILL TREND ABOVE NORMAL TO THE 60S TO NEAR 70 BY THURSDAY. A
SHORTWAVE TRACKING UP AND OVER THE RIDGE WILL BRING SOME MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED. THE ONLY CHANCE FOR ANY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL
BE LIMITED WITH THE BEST FORCING REMAINING WELL TO THE NORTH
ACROSS CANADA. STILL, SOME MOISTURE GETTING PICKED UP FROM THE
GREAT LAKES SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS, MAINLY FOR
AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF ALBANY. THERE IS THE CHANCE A FEW RAIN
SHOWERS MAY EXTEND EASTWARD INTO THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND SOME
POINTS SOUTH AND EAST, BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE ANY
POPS AT THIS TIME. ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND UNDER
0.10 INCHES. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS REGIONWIDE FRIDAY INTO NEXT
WEEKEND AS ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS OVERHEAD WITH
UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE BREEZY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH SOME GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH, ESPECIALLY
FROM THE MOHAWK VALLEY INTO THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND BERKSHIRES.
MODEL SPREAD INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK
LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHEN OUR NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OCCURS.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 06Z/THU...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
UPCOMING TAF PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL ARRIVE PRIOR TO DAYBREAK
AND STICK AROUND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A FEW PATCHY MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING AS
WELL. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY 4-8 KT
ON WEDNESDAY, TRENDING LIGHT TO CALM AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...33
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