540
FXUS61 KALY 252336
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
736 PM EDT MON MAY 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OF THIS WEEK. PATCHY FOG WAS ALSO ADDED
INTO MANY VALLEY AREAS FOR TONIGHT.
KEY MESSAGES
1) TEMPERATURES RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY BEFORE TRENDING BACK TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
LATER THIS WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND. OPPORTUNITIES FOR SHOWERS
RETURN WEDNESDAY INTO THE LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST WILL LEAD TO
IMPROVING WEATHER FOR THE REMAINDER OF MEMORIAL DAY WITH CLOUDS
BREAKING FOR SOME SUNSHINE AND TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 60S
AND 70S. FOLLOWING SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT, EVEN WARMER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY ALONG WITH DRY WEATHER. HIGHS
REACH THE 70S AND 80S ON TUESDAY.
WHILE IT WILL REMAIN WARM ON WEDNESDAY (HIGHS ONCE AGAIN IN THE
70S AND 80S), A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE AREA. WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED, THERE MAY BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND FORCING FOR SOME ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. THE GREATER COVERAGE OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT BUT RIGHT NOW LOOKS TO BE
FROM THE CAPITAL DISTRICT AND POINTS SOUTH AND EAST.
THE LATE WEEK PERIOD WILL FEATURE TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO MORE
SEASONABLE LEVELS WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES PASSING THROUGH A
DEVELOPING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BRINGING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THE SHORTWAVE ON FRIDAY
LOOKS RATHER POTENT WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR A GREATER COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS. PENDING THE TRACK OF THIS SHORTWAVE, SOME MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD FALL BUT OVERALL CONFIDENCE ON THIS AND
WHERE IS LOW. THERE LOOKS TO BE SOME OPPORTUNITIES FOR DRY
WEATHER FOR NEXT WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY, SHOULD SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE NOSE IN FROM THE WEST.
AS IS COMMON THIS TIME OF YEAR, WILL MONITOR TRENDS FOR ANY
STRONG THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL BUT RIGHT NOW THE PROBABILITY FOR
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER OVER THE NEXT WEEK IS LOW.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...SKIES HAVE GIVEN WAY TO CLEARING EARLY
THIS EVENING WITH VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. VFR FLYING
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 05/06 UTC, BUT GIVEN AMPLE
MOISTURE LEFTOVER FROM THE RECENT RAIN AND GENERALLY CLEAR
SKIES, OUR LATEST TAFS CONTINUE TO MESSAGE PATCHY FOG. THE
HIGHEST CONFIDENCE FOR IFR VIS/CIGS REMAINS AT PSF WITH IFR VIS
AND MVFR CIGS LIKELY AT GFL. WE SHOW TEMPO GROUPS FOR MVFR VIS
AT POU AND ALB FROM 07-11 UTC FROM PATCHY FOG. MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES THEN RETURN ACROSS THE TERMINALS BY 12 - 14 UTC. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT BEFORE BECOMING SOUTHERLY
BY 14 - 16 UTC SUSTAINED 5-7KTS.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. ISOLATED SHRA...TSRA.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SCATTERED SHRA...TSRA.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
FRIDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
SATURDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...31
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page