041
FZUS61 KBUF 162102
GLFLO
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ONTARIO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
402 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ONTARIO
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.
SYNOPSIS
A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE LAKE TONIGHT. A
30.1 INCH RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TUESDAY.
AN ELONGATED 29.4 INCH LOW WILL THEN STRETCH FROM MINNESOTA TO THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY, WITH ONE PIECE OF THIS LOW PASSING
JUST SOUTH OF THE LAKE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER 29.3 INCH LOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY, THEN MOVE TO THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY NIGHT, THEN WEAKEN TO 29.7 INCHES AS IT MOVES
JUST NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY.
LOZ062-063-170400-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO SODUS BAY-
402 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026
TONIGHT
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. A CHANCE
OF RAIN THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.
TUESDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.
TUESDAY NIGHT
WEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING EAST AND
INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH
A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS BUILDING
TO 1 TO 3 FEET.
WEDNESDAY
EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. RAIN
AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN, SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET.
WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 10 FEET.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SNOW, RAIN AND
FREEZING RAIN IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.
WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY
AROUND 9 FEET.
THURSDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING EAST. A
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET
BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 10 FEET.
FRIDAY
EAST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST AND
DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS. RAIN AND SNOW. WAVES 6 TO 10 FEET
SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET.
SATURDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN DURING THE DAY, THEN A CHANCE
OF SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO
4 FEET.
LOZ064-065-170400-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
402 PM EST MON FEB 16 2026
TONIGHT
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. PATCHY
FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.
TUESDAY
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS.
TUESDAY NIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING EAST.
WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.
WEDNESDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO
20 KNOTS. SNOW, FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET
BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SNOW AND RAIN
IN THE EVENING, THEN SNOW LIKELY OVERNIGHT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET.
THURSDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING EAST 15 TO
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.
FRIDAY
EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. SNOW AND
RAIN. WAVES 3 TO 5 FEET SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.
SATURDAY
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
15 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO
3 FEET.
LOZ061-170400-
MAFOR 1622/
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 11300 11410 11420 13610 12600. A CHANCE OF RAIN
THIS EVENING. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.
ONTARIO EAST 1/2 11500 11300 11410 11510 12610 12600. A CHANCE OF
RAIN AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. WAVES 2 FEET OR LESS
TONIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET TUESDAY.
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