978  
FZUS61 KBUF 180302  
GLFLO  
 
OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ONTARIO  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY  
1002 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026  
 
FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ONTARIO  
 
WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST  
1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF  
THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM.  
   
SYNOPSIS  
A 30.1 INCH RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES  
TODAY. AN ELONGATED 29.4 INCH LOW WILL STRETCH FROM MINNESOTA TO THE  
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY, WITH ONE PIECE OF THIS LOW PASSING  
JUST SOUTH OF THE LAKE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A 29.3 INCH LOW WILL DEVELOP  
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THURSDAY, THEN MOVE TO THE CENTRAL GREAT  
LAKES BY FRIDAY NIGHT, WEAKENING TO 29.7 INCHES AS IT MOVES JUST  
NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO SATURDAY. A 30.4 INCH HIGH WILL THEN SLOWLY  
BUILD EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
LOZ062-063-181000-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO SODUS BAY-  
1002 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026  
   
OVERNIGHT  
NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST  
15 TO 20 KNOTS. AREAS OF FOG. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE.  
WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS INCREASING TO 30 KNOTS.  
RAIN, FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG FROM LATE MORNING ON. WAVES 3 TO  
6 FEET BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
13 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SNOW SHOWERS  
WITH FREEZING RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF  
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. WAVES 6 TO 9 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND 11 FEET.    
THURSDAY  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET BUILDING  
TO 3 TO 5 FEET.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN  
OVERNIGHT. WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET. WAVES  
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 9 FEET.    
FRIDAY  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING WEST. RAIN DURING  
THE DAY, THEN RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES 4 TO  
7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FEET. WAVES OCCASIONALLY AROUND  
9 FEET.    
SATURDAY  
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHEAST. A  
CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN DURING THE DAY. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET.    
SUNDAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH. A CHANCE  
OF SNOW. WAVES 3 TO 6 FEET.  
 
 
 
LOZ064-065-181000-  
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE  
RIVER-  
1002 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2026  
   
OVERNIGHT  
SOUTH WINDS 10 KNOTS OR LESS BECOMING  
NORTHEAST. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS.    
WEDNESDAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN LATE  
IN THE MORNING. RAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
AREAS OF FOG IN THE AFTERNOON. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO  
4 FEET.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SNOW SHOWERS  
WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF  
FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET  
SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
THURSDAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING EAST  
15 TO 20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW OVERNIGHT. WAVES 1 TO  
3 FEET.    
FRIDAY  
EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHWEST. RAIN WITH  
SNOW LIKELY DURING THE DAY, THEN RAIN WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW  
FRIDAY NIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 2 TO 4 FEET.    
SATURDAY  
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH. A CHANCE OF  
SNOW AND RAIN DURING THE DAY, THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW SATURDAY  
NIGHT. WAVES 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO 1 TO 3 FEET.    
SUNDAY  
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS BECOMING NORTH 15 TO  
20 KNOTS. A CHANCE OF SNOW. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 3 TO  
5 FEET.  
 
 
 
LOZ061-181000-  
MAFOR 1804/  
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 11113 11110 11230 11247 12246 19243 11136 11120.  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. A CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING  
RAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET OVERNIGHT. WAVES 3 TO 6  
FEET BUILDING TO 7 TO 10 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 13 FEET  
WEDNESDAY. WAVES 5 TO 9 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 11 FEET  
WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
ONTARIO EAST 1/2 12103 11110 11120 12136 11137 11120. A CHANCE OF  
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING. WAVES 1 FOOT OR LESS  
OVERNIGHT. WAVES 1 TO 3 FEET BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FEET, AND  
OCCASIONALLY AROUND 9 FEET WEDNESDAY. WAVES 4 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING  
TO 3 TO 6 FEET, AND OCCASIONALLY AROUND 9 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING.  
 
 
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