556  
FXUS61 KAKQ 150742  
AFDAKQ  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
342 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO NEW ENGLAND TODAY, REMAINING IN PLACE  
THROUGH MID-WEEK. A COASTAL LOW APPROACHES THE REGION TODAY,  
LINGERING THROUGH MID-WEEK. THIS LOW WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN,  
COOLER TEMPERATURES, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA FROM  
LATER TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A BRIEF WARMUP IS EXPECTED BY LATE  
WEEK BEFORE A RETURN TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES BY EARLY  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/  
 
AS OF 330 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
- WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH  
SOUTH TO EASTERN CURRITUCK FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY  
TUESDAY MORNING.  
 
- RAIN PUSHES INLAND BEGINNING FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT.  
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS SE VA/NE NC  
TONIGHT.  
 
LATEST ANALYSIS DEPICTED A ~1008MB LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA  
COAST AND A 1027MB HIGH CENTERED OVER SE CANADA, RIDGING SOUTH INTO  
THE LOCAL AREA. ALOFT, THERE WAS A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE  
SOUTHEAST COAST WITH A TALL/SKINNY RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE MS  
VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND CANADA. TEMPS AS OF 150 AM RANGED  
FROM THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S INLAND WITH LOWER 70S ALONG THE  
COAST. SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR EXCEPT FOR SOME HIGH CLOUDS BUILDING  
INTO SE VA/NE NC. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH THIS  
MORNING. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE CLEARING, SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE  
EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS INLAND AREAS. MORNING LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S TO AROUND 60F INLAND (LOCALLY MID 50S) AND UPPER 60S TO AROUND  
70F ALONG THE COAST ARE EXPECTED. HIGHS TODAY IN THE 70S ARE  
EXPECTED WITH UPPER 70S NORTH AND MID (LOCALLY LOWER) 70S SOUTH.  
 
THE COASTAL LOW OFFSHORE SLOWLY MOVES NW TODAY, PUSHING RAIN BANDS  
ONSHORE BEGINNING LATE THIS MORNING AND SPREADING INLAND THROUGH THE  
DAY. POPS INCREASE TO 50-80% ACROSS FAR SE VA/NE NC THIS AFTERNOON,  
INCREASING TO 60-90% ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA (30-50% ACROSS FAR  
NORTHERN AREAS) TONIGHT. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT  
AS THE FGEN ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW INTENSIFIES. AS SUCH,  
EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT OF GENERALLY 1-2" ACROSS NE  
NC, 0.5-1" ACROSS SE VA, AND <0.5" NW OF RICHMOND WITH LOCALLY  
HEAVIER TOTALS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FA. GIVEN  
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND TRAINING OF SHOWERS, WPC HAS PLACED  
A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS FAR SE VA/NE NC FOR  
TODAY/TONIGHT. ADDITIONALLY, GIVEN THE ENHANCED FGEN NORTH OF THE  
LOW ALLOWING FOR A BELT OF ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL WINDS AND NEAR 70F DEW  
POINTS ALONG THE COAST, SPC HAS PLACED A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE  
STORMS ACROSS FAR SE VA/NE NC FOR TONIGHT WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING  
A QUICK, SPIN-UP TORNADO. WILL NOTE THAT WHILE THE TORNADO  
THREAT IS LOW GIVEN WEAK INSTABILITY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A  
STABLE SURFACE LAYER, ELEVATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT  
ACROSS MAINLY SE VA/NE NC.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH PRESSURE  
TO THE NORTH AND THE COASTAL LOW TIGHTENS OVER THE AREA TODAY  
INTO TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW NE WINDS TO INCREASE TO 10-15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25 MPH INLAND AND 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
45 MPH ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AS SUCH,  
WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR EASTERN CURRITUCK COUNTY  
FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 6 AM TUE, AND FOR NORFOLK,  
PORTSMOUTH, AND VIRGINIA BEACH FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 10  
AM TUE.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/  
 
AS OF 330 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS  
OF THE AREA WITH STORM TOTAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-3"+  
POSSIBLE.  
 
- BREEZY NE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25-30 MPH INLAND AND UP TO  
30-45 MPH ALONG THE COAST CONTINUE TUESDAY.  
 
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE COASTAL  
LOW MOVING INTO E NC BY EARLY TUE MORNING AND BECOMING NEARLY  
STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE SLOWLY MOVING NE WED. WHILE  
CONFIDENCE IS NOW HIGH ON THE GENERAL TRACK OF THE LOW, THE EXACT  
LOCATION OF THE CENTER WILL MATTER WITH RESPECT TO THE HEAVY RAIN  
AND FLOODING POTENTIAL GIVEN THAT IT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ON TUE  
UNDERNEATH AN UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW ALOFT. WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO  
MODERATE RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA TUE INTO TUE NIGHT.  
HOWEVER, 00Z CAMS AND HREF SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWATH OF  
HEAVY RAIN JUST TO THE NW OF THE CENTER OF THE LOW. TRAINING SHOWERS  
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL RATES LASTING FOR SEVERAL HOURS IN DURATION ARE  
THE MAIN CONCERN, PARTICULARLY GIVEN THE STATIONARY ASPECT OF THE  
SURFACE LOW. THE 00Z HREF 48 HOUR PMM (PROBABILITY-MATCHED MEAN)  
SHOWS THE POTENTIAL FOR 2-4" ACROSS SE VA/NE NC BUT A CORRIDOR OF 5-  
10" OF RAIN ACROSS E NC. THIS IS CONCERNING GIVEN PWS OF 1.8-2.0"  
AND THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SUPPORT INCLUDING THE ENHANCED PRESSURE  
GRADIENT TO THE NW OF THE LOW GIVEN HIGH PRESSURE TO THE N AS WELL  
AS BEING LOCATED UNDERNEATH A CLOSED LOW ALOFT. SEVERAL 00Z CAMS  
ALSO SHOWED THE POTENTIAL FOR A SWATH OF UP TO 5-7"+ OF RAIN. WHILE  
THE GENERAL CONSENSUS IS FOR THE HEAVIEST RAIN TO FALL JUST TO  
THE SOUTH OF THE LOCAL AREA, A SLIGHT SHIFT NORTH IN THE  
POSITION OF THE LOW WOULD PLACE THAT POTENTIAL OVER NE NC AND  
POTENTIALLY SE VA. AS SUCH, WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR  
THE MODEL TRENDS TODAY AND MAY NEED TO ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH EVEN  
THOUGH ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN VERY DRY. WPC HAS PLACED  
THE SE HALF OF THE FA UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL ON TUE FOR NOW TO ACCOUNT FOR THE LOCALIZED FLOODING  
POTENTIAL.  
 
THE COASTAL LOW WEAKENS ON WED WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF UP  
TO ~0.5" POSSIBLE. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-3" (LOCALLY  
HIGHER) ACROSS SE VA/NE NC AND 0.5-1.5" ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE  
AREA ARE EXPECTED WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING >1" OF RAIN. THE  
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND CLOUDS WILL ALSO KEEP TEMPS COOL TUE AND  
WED WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT,  
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S FARTHER EAST, AND MID TO POTENTIALLY  
UPPER 70S ACROSS FAR SE VA/NE NC ON TUE. RICHMOND MAY SEE HIGHS  
NEAR THE DAILY RECORD LOW MAXIMUM VALUE ON TUE (SEE CLIMATE  
SECTION BELOW FOR MORE INFORMATION). TEMPS WILL REMAIN COOL ON  
WED WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE 60S INLAND  
(GENERALLY UPPER 60S ARE FORECAST) AND LOW- MID 70S ACROSS  
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA WITH UPPER 70S POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SE  
VA/NE NC. ADDITIONALLY, BREEZY NE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25-30  
MPH INLAND AND UP TO 30-45 MPH ALONG THE COAST CONTINUE TUESDAY  
WITH WIND ADVISORIES CONTINUING ACROSS NORFOLK, PORTSMOUTH, AND  
VIRGINIA BEACH THROUGH 10 AM TUE. WINDS BECOME N/NE AND DIMINISH  
TO 5-10 MPH WED AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND THE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS  
NEW ENGLAND MOVES OFFSHORE, WEAKENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/  
 
AS OF 340 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
- LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA THURSDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS.  
 
- A WARMUP IS EXPECTED BY LATE WEEK WITH COOLER WEATHER  
RETURNING NEXT WEEKEND.  
 
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WASHES OUT ACROSS THE REGION THU WITH THE  
COASTAL LOW WEAKENING AS IT LIFTS NE. HOWEVER, CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE OR  
LIGHT RAIN LINGER INTO THU WITH SOME CLEARING SKIES POSSIBLE IN THE  
LATE AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT WARMER ON  
THU WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S FOR MOST (LOCALLY MID 70S ARE  
POSSIBLE). THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MOVES INTO THE EAST COAST FRI INTO  
SAT WITH A WARMUP EXPECTED ON FRI WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S  
POSSIBLE. A STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SE INTO NEW ENGLAND  
NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CAD POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING.  
AS SUCH, COOLER WEATHER RETURNS WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S SAT  
THROUGH MON.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/  
 
AS OF 205 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
LATEST ANALYSIS DEPICTED A ~1008MB LOW PRESSURE OFF THE  
CAROLINA COAST AND A 1027MB HIGH CENTERED OVER SE CANADA,  
RIDGING SOUTH INTO THE LOCAL AREA. SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR  
EARLY THIS MORNING APART FROM SOME HIGH CLOUDS BUILDING INTO SE  
VA/NE NC. GIVEN THE CLEARING, SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE INLAND  
EARLY THIS MORNING, HOWEVER, THE FOG SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM THE  
LOCAL TERMINALS. CLOUDS INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING FROM SOUTH  
TO NORTH WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED FROM LATE MORNING  
THROUGH THE 06Z TAF PERIOD. THE COASTAL LOW OFFSHORE WILL SLOWLY  
MOVE NW TODAY, ALLOWING FOR CIGS TO GRADUALLY LOWER TO MVFR AT  
ECG BY ~15Z AND ORF BY 23-00Z. CIGS CONTINUE TO LOWER OVERNIGHT  
WITH IFR CIGS POSSIBLE AT ECG AFTER ~3Z TUE AND MVFR CIGS UP TO  
PHF BY THE SAME TIMEFRAME. LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO  
MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS FAR SE VA/NE NC LATER THIS MORNING INTO  
THIS AFTERNOON, SPREADING INLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. RAIN COULD BE  
LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT WITH IFR VIS POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE,  
NNE WINDS WERE LIGHT ACROSS MOST OF THE TERMINALS AND ~10 KT AT  
ECG EARLY THIS MORNING. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME NE 10-15 KT WITH  
GUSTS UP TO 20 KT INLAND AND ~20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO ~30 KT AT  
ECG AND AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH  
TONIGHT.  
 
THE COASTAL LOW PUSHES INTO EASTERN NC TONIGHT AND LINGERS INTO  
MIDWEEK, LEADING TO INCREASED CLOUDS, WIDESPREAD RAIN, AND A  
PROLONGED PERIOD OF REDUCED CIGS AND VIS ACROSS ALL AREA  
TERMINALS. CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVE THURSDAY, WITH DRY AND  
VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING BY FRIDAY.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
AS OF 330 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
KEY MESSAGES:  
 
- MARINE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE LATER TODAY AND ESPECIALLY  
TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST DEEPENS AS IT  
TRACKS TOWARD THE MARINE AREA. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR  
ALL OCEAN ZONES, THE BAY SOUTH OF WINDMILL POINT, AND THE  
LOWER JAMES RIVER. NE WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25-30 KT WITH  
FREQUENT GUSTS TO 35-40 KT FROM LATER TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.  
 
- A HIGH RIP RISK REMAINS IN PLACE FOR THE SOUTHERN BEACHES  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH A MODERATE RIP RISK ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN BEACHES TODAY. THE RIP RISK INCREASES TO HIGH ACROSS  
THE NORTHERN BEACHES ON TUESDAY.  
 
- WINDS SLOWLY DECREASE FROM LATE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS  
THE LOW FILLS IN.  
 
LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST,  
WITH ~1028MB HIGH PRESSURE OVER SE CANADA AND THE NE CONUS. NE WINDS  
HAVE INCREASED TO ~15 KT N/20 KT S AS THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THESE TWO  
FEATURES IS GRADUALLY STARTING TO TIGHTEN.  
 
MARINE CONDITIONS STILL LOOK TO DETERIORATE QUICKLY FROM SOUTH TO  
NORTH TODAY, AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT, AS THE WEAK LOW OFF THE  
CAROLINA COAST DEEPENS AND LIFTS N TOWARD THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.  
THE LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE INLAND OVER EASTERN NC ON TUESDAY AND  
GRADUALLY WEAKEN/FILL IN AS IT BECOMES VERTICALLY STACKED FROM LATE  
TUE-WED AS IT TRACKS NEAR/OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. THE 15/00Z SUITE  
OF GUIDANCE CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH POTENTIAL FOR GALE FORCE GUSTS  
ACROSS THE OCEAN/LOWER BAY. TIMING LOOKS A BIT LATER THAN WAS  
DEPICTED BY THE 12Z/14 GUIDANCE, AND HAVE PUSHED BACK THE START TIME  
OF THE GALE WARNINGS FOR THE SE VA COASTAL WATERS BY 3-6 HOURS.  
WINDS INCREASE TO 25-30 KT ACROSS THE OCEAN, MIDDLE/LOWER BAY, LOWER  
JAMES, AND CURRITUCK SOUND BY THIS EVENING/TONIGHT. WINDS MAY EVEN  
BE JUST ABOVE 30 KT FOR A FEW HOURS SOUTH OF CAPE CHARLES TONIGHT-  
TUE AM, WHERE PROBS FOR SUSTAINED GALES ARE ~20% BETWEEN 4-10 AM  
TUESDAY. AS SUCH, HAVE EXPANDED THE GALE WARNINGS TO INCLUDE THE BAY  
S OF WINDMILL PT AND ALL OCEAN ZONES. WILL KEEP SCAS FOR THE  
NORTHERNMOST BAY ZONE AND UPPER RIVERS WHERE LOCAL WIND PROBS FOR  
34+ KT WIND GUSTS ARE NO HIGHER THAN 20-35%. WIND GUSTS DECREASE  
BELOW GALE FORCE ACROSS THE NC COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY ON TUE  
BUT LIKELY REMAIN 25-30 KT WITH 30-40 KT GUSTS FARTHER NORTH BEFORE  
DROPPING TO HIGH-END SCA LEVELS BY TUE EVENING-EARLY TUE NIGHT. WILL  
RUN GALE HEADLINES FOR THE BAY, VA/MD COASTAL WATERS, AND LOWER  
JAMES RIVER THROUGH LATE TUESDAY TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  
 
WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH FROM TUESDAY EVENING  
INTO WEDNESDAY, AS THE VERTICALLY-STACKED LOW TRACKS OVER THE MARINE  
AREA (RESULTING IN A SLACKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT). SUB-SCA WINDS  
ARE THEN EXPECTED LATE THIS WEEK. WITH THE INCREASING NE WINDS, SEAS  
WILL BUILD TO 8-11 FT BY TONIGHT/TUE WITH 3-6 FT WAVES ON THE BAY  
(POTENTIALLY TO ~7 FT AT THE MOUTH OF THE BAY). HIGH SURF ADVISORIES  
HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE VA COAST AND THE NE NC OUTER BANKS FROM  
LATE THIS EVENING-TUESDAY. THE HIGH RIP RISK WILL CONTINUE FOR THE  
SOUTHERN BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. THE RIP RISK IS  
MODERATE ACROSS THE NORTHERN BEACHES TODAY, INCREASING TO HIGH ON  
TUE/WED.  
 
 
   
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING  
 
AS OF 330 AM EDT MONDAY...  
 
WITH THE INCREASING NE WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS MON NIGHT-TUE, TIDAL  
ANOMALIES ACROSS THE LOWER BAY AND SE VA/NE NC COAST ARE EXPECTED  
INCREASE BY 1-1.5 FT. ANOMALIES ACROSS THE UPPER BAY WON'T INCREASE  
AS MUCH (ESPECIALLY ON THE E SIDE OF THE BAY GIVEN THE NE WIND).  
THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ANOTHER ROUND OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING  
ACROSS THE TIDAL POTOMAC/RAPPAHANNOCK/YORK/JAMES, MIDDLE/LOWER BAY,  
AND SE VA/NE NC COAST. ETSS SHOWS SOLID TO HIGH-END MINOR FLOODING  
ACROSS MOST OF THESE LOCATIONS, WITH PEAK WATER LEVELS OCCURRING  
DURING THE TUESDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. THERE IS INCREASING  
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE FLOODING TUESDAY EVENING ALONG THE TIDAL  
JAMES, SOUTHERN SHORE OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY, AND SE VA COAST. WITH  
THE INCREASE IN WINDS, ETSS IS NOW A FEW TENTHS ABOVE MODERATE IN  
THESE LOCATIONS DURING THE TUE EVENING HIGH TIDE. ALSO, THE 50TH  
PERCENTILE IS NOW JUST ABOVE THE 4.5 FT MLLW THRESHOLD AT JAMESTOWN  
WITH THE 90TH PERCENTILE RIGHT AROUND THE MAJOR FLOOD THRESHOLD OF  
5.0 FT MLLW. THESE PERCENTILES FROM THE P-ETSS SEEM REASONABLE GIVEN  
THE FORECAST WINDS/SYNOPTIC PATTERN. AS SUCH, CONFIDENCE IN MODERATE  
FLOODING HAS INCREASED ENOUGH TO ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM  
JAMESTOWN TO NORFOLK/VA BEACH FOR THAT TUESDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE  
CYCLE. AREAS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE WATCH ARE EXPECTED TO SEE  
SOLID TO HIGH END MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TUESDAY EVENING.  
 
GIVEN THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING (MAINLY LOW-END MINOR) BEGINS WITH  
THE HIGH TIDE THIS AFTN/EVENING FROM LEWISETTA TO NORFOLK/VA BEACH,  
HAVE ISSUED COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR THESE LOCATIONS STARTING  
TODAY (AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUE). HAVE ALSO ISSUED AN ADVISORY FOR  
EASTERN CURRITUCK JUST FOR TODAY (AS WATER LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO  
CREST BELOW MINOR THERE TONIGHT WITH THE LOWER ASTRONOMICAL TIDE).  
ADDITIONAL ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED JUST FOR TUESDAY FOR THE  
ATLANTIC COAST OF THE EASTERN SHORE, BUT DID NOT ISSUE THEM WITH THE  
OVERNIGHT FORECAST PACKAGE GIVEN THAT WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO  
CREST BELOW MINOR FLOOD STAGE TODAY/TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
CLIMATE  
 
RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES:  
 
9/16 9/17  
RIC 65/1959 61/2011  
ORF 64/1963 65/1986  
SBY 59/1963 63/1924  
ECG 66/1963 65/2011  
 
 
   
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
MD...NONE.  
NC...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EDT  
THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ102.  
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
NCZ102.  
WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
NCZ102.  
VA...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
VAZ098.  
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 AM EDT  
WEDNESDAY FOR VAZ075>078-085-521-522.  
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT  
TUESDAY FOR VAZ083-084-086-518-520-523.  
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2 PM EDT  
TUESDAY FOR VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.  
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE  
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR VAZ089-090-093-096-524-525.  
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
VAZ095-097-098.  
WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
VAZ095-098.  
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY  
EVENING FOR VAZ095-097-098.  
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY  
FOR VAZ099-100.  
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ630.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR ANZ631.  
GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
ANZ631-650-652.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ632-  
634.  
GALE WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
ANZ632-634-638.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ633-  
658.  
GALE WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR  
ANZ633-658.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ635>637.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR ANZ638.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EDT  
TONIGHT FOR ANZ650-652.  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR ANZ654-656.  
GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ654-  
656.  
 
 
 
 
 
SYNOPSIS...RMM  
NEAR TERM...RMM  
SHORT TERM...RMM  
LONG TERM...RMM  
AVIATION...RMM  
MARINE...ERI  
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...  
CLIMATE...  
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