365
FXUS61 KAKQ 311949
AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
249 PM EST SAT JAN 31 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
CHANGES TO WINTER HEADLINES, SEE DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGE 1.
COASTAL FLOOD WATCHES UPGRADED TO COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS FOR
SUNDAY MORNING'S HIGH TIDE CYCLE. EXTREME COLD WATCH UPGRADED TO
A WARNING IN THE SOUTHEAST, CONVERTED TO COLD WEATHER ADVISORY
ELSEWHERE. MINOR CHANGES TO SNOWFALL TOTAL FORECAST, PRIMARILY
LOWERING TOTALS ON THE NORTHWEST EDGE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A STRONG WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL, BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW DUE TO STRONG WINDS, COASTAL FLOODING, AND MAJOR MARINE
IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS ACROSS SOUTH AND
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THERE WILL BE A VERY SHARP
GRADIENT IN TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, SOUTHEAST OF THE US-360
CORRIDOR.
2) WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, KEEPING LOCALIZED IMPACTS (I.E ICY ROADS) IN PLACE. THE
COLDEST AIR WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. AN EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE HAMPTON ROADS AREA AND A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
3) MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF HAMPTON ROADS
AND NE NC. HAVE CONVERTED THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO A WARNING,
WITH THE WORST (MAJOR) TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED AT VA
BEACH/EASTERN CURRITUCK, WITH (LOW-END) MODERATE FLOODING
EXPECTED AT SEWELL'S PT/KIPTOPEKE.
DISCUSSION
AS OF 935 AM EST SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGE 1...A STRONG WINTER STORM IMPACTS THE REGION TODAY.
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL, BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
DUE TO STRONG WINDS, COASTAL FLOODING, AND MAJOR MARINE IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED. THE HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS ACROSS SOUTH AND
SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THERE WILL BE A VERY SHARP
GRADIENT IN TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS, SOUTHEAST OF THE US-360
CORRIDOR.
MADE SIGNIFICANT ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING AFTER
REVIEWING CURRENT CONDITIONS/RADAR TRENDS AND THE 6/12Z MODEL
GUIDANCE. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN LOWERED FOR MUCH OF THE
WESTERN AND NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE AREA. WINTER STORM WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH WINTER STORM ADVISORIES ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL VA AS WELL AS WESTERN TIDEWATER/WESTERN HAMPTON ROADS.
FIRST, THERE IS A TON OF DRY AIR TO OUR NORTH AND NORTHWEST.
CURRENTLY AT AKQ (WAKEFIELD), THE DEWPOINT IS 3F AND AT OFP
(ASHLAND) IT IS -2F. ANY PRECIPITATION WILL NEED TO OVERCOME
THIS DRY, ARCTIC AIRMASS. ALSO BELIEVE WE MAY BE TRYING TO
DOWNSLOPE THE INCREDIBLY DRY AND COLD AIR, LOCATED OVER THE OHIO
VALLEY, ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND BLUE RIDGE...FURTHER DRYING
OUT THE LOCAL AIRMASS. THE LATEST 12Z HIGH-RES MODEL GUIDANCE
IS ALSO SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER, ESPECIALLY NORTH/NORTHWEST, WITH
CERTAIN SOLUTIONS EVEN STRUGGLING TO BRING MUCH MORE THAN AN
INCH PAST THE VA/NC BORDER. STILL THINK THERE WILL BE A DECENT
SNOWFALL 4-8"+ FOR MANY AREAS ACROSS SOUTHSIDE HAMPTON ROADS
INTO OUR NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES. THERE MAY EVEN BE
A "JACKPOT" OF 5-10"+ FROM FAR SOUTHERN VIRGINIA BEACH DOWN
INTO CURRITUCK COUNTY, NC. NORTHWEST OF THESE LOCATIONS, THERE
WILL BE A VERY SHARP GRADIENT IN SNOW AMOUNTS, AND IT IS NOT OUT
OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITIES THAT PLACES SUCH AS WAKEFIELD AND
WILLIAMSBURG (AND NORTHWEST) MAY NOT SEE MUCH MORE THAN A
DUSTING. DIDN'T GO QUITE THIS LOW WITH THE FORECAST, BUT WOULD
NOT BE SHOCKED. THOUGHT ABOUT CANCELING THE FAR NORTHERN TIER
OF WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES, BUT WE ARE CONCERNED THAT EVEN A
DUSTING OF SNOW COMBINED WITH THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES COULD
RESULT IN TRAVEL IMPACTS.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION: THE FORECAST IS SOMEHOW NOT MUCH CLEARER
SINCE YESTERDAY'S PACKAGE DESPITE THE STORM BEING PRACTICALLY ON
OUR DOORSTEP. THE 00Z SUITE OF CAMS HAVE THROWN SOME DOUBT INTO
THE MIX BY LARGELY SHOWING MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS AND THEREFORE
MUCH LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS. FOR WHAT IT'S WORTH, THE NAM3K ACTUALLY
CAME IN WITH NO SNOW FOR ANY OF OUR AREA. THE HRRR WAS NOT
NEARLY AS EXTREME, BUT KEPT MEASURABLE SNOW CONFINED TO
SOUTHSIDE HAMPTON ROADS AND NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. IT IS TRUE
THAT THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF DRY AIR IN PLACE, BUT THE MOISTURE
BROUGHT IN BY THE SFC LOW AND THE SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH THE STRONG FORCING FROM THE UPPER LOW
AND THE FGEN BAND NW OF THE SFC LOW, SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO
OVERCOME THAT. DO NOT WANT TO COMPLETELY DISREGARD THESE
SOLUTIONS, BUT THE LACK OF CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN ALONG
WITH THE LACK OF SUPPORT FROM THE PATTERN DO NOT YIELD MUCH
CONFIDENCE. ON THE OTHER HAND, THE GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES
HAVE BEEN MORE OR LESS CONSISTENT FOR THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS AND
DO MAKE SENSE WITH THE PATTERN. THEREFORE, THE FORECAST LEANS A
LOT INTO THOSE SOLUTIONS FOR THE PRECIP TIMING AND QPF. BECAUSE
OF THE DRY, COLD AIR, THE SLR IS SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN THE
10:1 THAT THE ENSEMBLES USE, SO THE SNOW AMOUNTS DON'T
NECESSARILY MATCH. THE RESULT WAS A SNOWFALL TOTAL FORECAST THAT
ISN'T TERRIBLY DIFFERENT THAN THE LAST COUPLE OF PACKAGES. THE
MAIN DIFFERENCE IS TRIMMING DOWN TOTALS ON THE WESTERN AND
NORTHERN EDGE TO ACCOUNT FOR THE TIGHT GRADIENT THAT IS
EXPECTED. STILL THINKING 8-10" (LOCALLY TO 12") IN THE FAR
SOUTHEAST, 6-8" FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHSIDE HAMPTON ROADS AND
INTERIOR NE NC, TAPERING TO 4-6" FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER
PENINSULAS DOWN THROUGH SOUTHAMPTON AND WEST TO MECKLENBURG.
SNOW TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY TAPER OFF NORTHWEST FROM
THERE. BY THE TIME YOU GET TO THE RIC METRO, 0.5-1.5" IS
FORECAST. ANYWHERE NW OF THERE WOULD BE LITTLE TO NO SNOW. AS
FOR TIMING, NOT TOO MANY CHANGES THERE. STILL THINKING THE
OVERRUNNING MOISTURE WILL SATURATE THE COLUMN EARLY THIS MORNING
AND BRING LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTH. SNOW IS LARGELY CONFINED
TO SOUTH OF US-460 FOR MOST OF THE MORNING, THEN PROGRESSING
NORTH TOWARD THE I-64 CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. SNOW THEN
FOCUSES IN ON AREAS CLOSER TO THE COAST OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING
SNOW TO COME TO AN END FROM W TO E BEFORE SUNRISE SUNDAY. WINTER
STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVYS REMAIN UNCHANGED.
WHILE CONFIDENCE IN SNOWFALL TOTALS ISN'T EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH, ONE
THING THAT HAS REMAINED CONSISTENT AND HAS HIGH CONFIDENCE IS THE
THREAT OF HIGH WINDS DUE TO THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND
PROJECTED STRENGTH OF THE LOW. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE DAY WITH GUSTS AROUND 25-30MPH INLAND AND 30-
40MPH CLOSER TO THE COAST (HIGHEST SE). WINDS REALLY GET GOING
TONIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING, THOUGH. WINDS GUSTS RAMP UP TO 45
TO 60MPH CLOSE TO THE COAST AND 30-45MPH INLAND. WIND HEADLINES ARE
UNCHANGED- A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE COASTAL ZONES, AS WELL AS
HAMPTON/POQUOSON AND MATHEWS AND A WIND ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF THE
VA TIDEWATER, INTERIOR NE NC, AND THE LOWER MD EASTERN SHORE. THIS
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
FOR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. THERE WAS SOME DISCUSSION IN REGARDS TO
BLIZZARD HEADLINES, BUT ULTIMATELY THE CONFIDENCE IS STILL NOT THERE
WITH REGARD TO SNOW RATES/AMOUNTS. INSTEAD, WE ARE MESSAGING
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND TO AVOID TRAVEL IN THE WINTER STORM WARNING.
KEY MESSAGE 2...WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES REMAIN THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK, KEEPING LOCALIZED IMPACTS (I.E ICY ROADS) IN
PLACE. THE COLDEST AIR WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. AN EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE HAMPTON ROADS AREA AND A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.
TODAY WILL BE EXCEPTIONALLY COLD FOR THE LOCAL AREA, WITH HIGHS ONLY
IN THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR MOST (POSSIBLY STAYING IN THE TEENS NW).
WINDS CHILLS WILL BE NEAR ZERO ACROSS THE NORTH AND 5-10 DEGREES TO
THE SOUTH. WHILE THERE MAY BE A FEW HOURS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY
WHERE WIND CHILLS ARE ABOVE CRITERIA, IT WAS DECIDED TO KEEP THE
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE DAY ON SATURDAY DUE
TO THE ANOMALOUS COLD. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. MINIMUM WINDS CHILLS WILL BE ZERO TO 5
BELOW. DID DECIDE TO GO AHEAD AND UPGRADE THE EXTREME COLD WATCH TO
A WARNING FOR HAMPTON ROADS (INCLUDING PORTIONS OF MIDDLE PENINSULA
AND SOUTHAMPTON/SURRY COUNTIES) AND NE NC WHERE THE CRITERIA FOR A
WARNING IS ZERO. IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE REST OF THE AREA WILL
QUITE REACH THEIR CRITERIA (5 BELOW) FOR MORE THAN PERHAPS AN HOUR
OR SO, SO WENT WITH AN EXTENSION OF THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
THESE ZONES.
KEY MESSAGE 3...MODERATE TO LOCALLY MAJOR TIDAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED WITH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE EARLY SUNDAY, PRIMARILY
ACROSS SOUTHSIDE HAMPTON ROADS AND THE ATLANTIC COAST OF NE NC.
DEEPENING SFC LOW PRESSURE WILL BE PUSHING FARTHER OFF THE NC
AND VA COAST EARLY SUNDAY, WITH STRONG N WINDS BECOMING NNW.
THIS WIND DIRECTION AS THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE APPROACHES FAVORS THE
GREATEST IMPACTS ON THE ATLANTIC FACING PORTIONS OF VA BEACH
AND CURRITUCK NC AND THESE AREAS (AS WELL AS NORTHAMPTON VA FOR
KIPTOPEKE). HAVE CONVERTED THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO A WARNING,
WITH THE WORST (MAJOR) TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED AT VA
BEACH/EASTERN CURRITUCK, WITH (LOW-END) MODERATE FLOODING
EXPECTED AT SEWELL'S PT/KIPTOPEKE. MINOR FLOODING IS LIKELY INTO
THE LOWER JAMES AND UP THE ATLANTIC COAST TO OCEAN CITY, MD.
HAVE ISSUED COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR THIS. DID NOT INCLUDE
JAMES CITY/SURRY IN THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY GIVEN THAT THE
HIGH TIDE HERE IS LATER SUN AFTER WINDS BECOME MORE NNW AND HAVE
JAMESTOWN/YORKTOWN CRESTING A FEW TENTHS BELOW MINOR FLOOD
STAGE. WELL UP THE BAY, WATER LEVELS WILL BE MUCH LOWER DUE TO
THE STRONG N WINDS.
AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
AS OF 245 PM EST SATURDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS TO BEGIN THE 18Z TAF PERIOD,
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE COASTAL CAROLINAS UP TO THE KECG
TERMINAL AND VICINITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW WILL
MOVE UP INTO THE KORF/KPHF TERMINALS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
LESSER IMPACTS EXPECTED AT KRIC AND KSBY, BUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF
LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 22Z AND 03Z/5PM AND 10 PM EST.
AT THIS TIME, PERIODS WITH +SN AND IFR VSBYS ARE MOST LIKELY,
ALONG WITH ELEVATED TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS, AT ORF AND ECG
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE TERMINALS, AND WILL PEAK LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING, BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING TOMORROW AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. CAN EXPECT GUSTS OF 40 KT+ CLOSER TO THE COAST WITH
INLAND TERMINALS LIKELY TO SEE GUSTS TO AROUND 30 KT. HAVE
MAINTAINED BLSN AT ECG AS WINDS START TO INCREASE THIS
EVENING/TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK: WINDS BECOME NW SUNDAY AND REMAIN ELEVATED BUT FLIGHT
RESTRICTIONS SHOULD DROP OFF AS SN ENDS (THOUGH BLSN MAY REMAIN AN
ISSUE INTO SUN AFTN). OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLEAR WITH GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING WINDS INTO MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.
MARINE
AS OF 225 AM EST SATURDAY...
KEY MESSAGES:
- RAMP UP SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT TODAY AS CONDITIONS
BEGIN TO DETERIORATE AHEAD OF THE MAIN STORM.
- CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN HIGH-END GALE TO STORM CONDITIONS THIS
WEEKEND AS A STRONG COASTAL LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE CAROLINAS. STORM
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE MARINE AREA.
- FREEZING SPRAY AND HIGH SEAS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS WELL. A
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAY, LOWER
JAMES, AND NORTHERN TWO COASTAL ZONES FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, WHEN ACCRETION RATES COULD REACH 2 CM/HOUR FOR A FEW HOURS.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS, RIDGING DOWN INTO
THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC EARLY THIS MORNING. COASTAL LOW PRESSURE
HAS BEGUN TO DEVELOP EAST OF SC/GA. NE WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 15-20
KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT.
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DETERIORATE TODAY BEFORE RAPIDLY
DETERIORATING TONIGHT AS THE LOW IS STILL PROGGED TO DEEPEN TO A
VERY IMPRESSIVE 970-980MB AS IT TRACKS NNE TO A POSITION 100-200
MILES EAST OF THE VA/NC COAST BY SUNDAY MORNING. NE WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20-30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON, AND THE
RAMP UP SCAS REMAIN AS IS. VERY DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING N THEN NNW AND
INCREASING TO 30-40 KT NORTH/35-45 KT SOUTH, WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO
STORM FORCE (FORECAST GUSTS ARE UP TO ~55 KT). PEAK WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 1 AM AND NOON. WHILE THERE IS A LOT OF
VARIANCE IN THE GUIDANCE WITH RESPECT TO SNOW TOTALS, THERE STILL
ARE MODERATE TO HIGH (40-90%...HIGHEST SOUTH) PROBABILITIES FOR
STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OVER THE LOWER CHES BAY AND COASTAL WATERS.
THEREFORE, STORM AND GALE WARNINGS REMAIN AS IS AND RUN FROM TONIGHT
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WILL STILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS IN THE UPPER BAY AND LOWER JAMES RIVER
WHERE GALE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE WAS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO UPGRADE TO STORM WARNINGS ATTM. IN ADDITION, LIGHT
FREEZING SPRAY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEN, AS WINDS
PICK UP AND CAA ENSUES WITH TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE UPPER TEENS-20F,
MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE BAY, LOWER
JAMES, AND NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS FROM TONIGHT-SUN AM. LIGHT TO
MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SE VA/NE NC COASTAL
WATERS DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. THE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING
REMAINS UNCHANGED, BUT HAVE ADDED FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORIES FOR THE
RIVERS AND SOUTHERN THREE COASTAL ZONES FROM 1 AM-1 PM SUNDAY (SAME
TIMEFRAME AS THE WARNINGS).
SEAS BUILD TO 8-12 FT ACROSS THE NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS AND 10-15+
FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS (HIGHEST ACROSS THE NC
COASTAL WATERS) GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS. HIGH SURF ADVISORIES HAVE
BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL WATERS FROM LATE TODAY/TONIGHT THROUGH SUN
NIGHT. LOCALIZED BEACH/DUNE EROSION IS ALSO POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY,
GIVEN THE HIGH PROBABILITY FOR SNOW (POTENTIALLY HEAVY), PERIODS OF
ZERO VISIBILITY REMAIN LIKELY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS
LATE TODAY INTO SUN AM. WINDS BECOME NW BEHIND THE LOW AND GRADUALLY
DIMINISH MON. SUB-ADVISORY WINDS RETURN MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER ROUND OF SCAS IS POSSIBLE ON
THU/FRI BEHIND ANOTHER COLD FRONT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT MAY CROSS
THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND, BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-END SCAS
AND/OR GALES.
CLIMATE
RECORD LOW MAX TEMPERATURES FOR SAT JAN 31:
- RIC: 23 (1948)
- ORF: 25 (1936)
- SBY: 24 (2019)
- ECG: 29 (1965)
DAILY RECORD SNOWFALL FOR SAT JAN 31 AND SUN FEB 1:
- DATE: SAT JAN 31 SUN FEB 1
- RIC: 7.0" (1948) 3.1" (1948)
- ORF: 4.0" (1980) 4.0" (1910)
- SBY: 4.0" (2010) 4.0" (1962)
- ECG: 5.0" (1980) 7.0" (1948)
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ021>025.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
MDZ022>025.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR MDZ023>025.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
MDZ024-025.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
MDZ025.
NC...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NCZ012>017-
030>032-102.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NCZ012>017-
030>032-102.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
NCZ014>016-031-032.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY
FOR NCZ017-102.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR NCZ102.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR NCZ102.
VA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ048-
060>062-064>069-075>083-085-087-088-509>522.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ099.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
VAZ099.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR
VAZ099-100.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ084-086-089-
090-092-093-095>100-523>525.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ092-093-
095>098-100-524-525.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ084-
086-089-090-092-093-095>100-523>525.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
VAZ077-078-084-085-093-096-097-523-524.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY
FOR VAZ095-098>100.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR VAZ098.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ060-
065>068-079>086-088>090-513>516-518-520-523.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY
FOR VAZ086-525.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ087.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 3 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ093-
096-524-525.
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR VAZ095-
097-098-100.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
ANZ630>637-656-658.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ630.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ630>632-634-638-650-652.
STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ631>634.
GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ635>637.
FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ635>637-654-656-658.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ638.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ638.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ650-
652-654.
STORM WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ650-652-654.
STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
ANZ656-658.
DISCUSSION...AJB/AC/ERI
AVIATION...MAM/RHR/NB
MARINE...ERI
CLIMATE...LKB
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