821
FXUS61 KALY 142058
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
358 PM EST THU NOV 14 2024
SYNOPSIS
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH
TEMPERATURES TRENDING BACK TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES THIS
WEEKEND. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/
DRY WEATHER CONTINUES INTO THIS EVENING. DENSE CIRRUS CLOUDS
HAVE OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. NOT MUCH
CHANGE EXPECTED IN THE NEAR TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY
FALL NOW THAT WE ARE PAST THE TIME OF MAXIMUM HEATING.
SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER IS THE MAIN STORY. NO RAIN EXPECTED
DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TONIGHT WILL
ACT LIKE A BLANKET AND KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING AS LOW AS
LAST NIGHT. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE FORECAST ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH VERY DRY HUMIDITY LEVELS AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH
WILL FURTHER ENHANCE OUR FIRE WEATHER THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN SEASONABLE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL IS STILL NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WITH JUST SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY AS A MOISTURE-STARVED SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS QUEBEC
WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE REGION. SOME
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH
MONDAY. FAIR WEATHER SHOULD RETURNS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE NOSES IN FROM CANADA.
MODELS DIVERGE ENOUGH BY THURSDAY WHERE FASTER SOLUTIONS BRING
RAIN TO THE AREA BY THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE UPPER LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL U.S. SLOWER
SOLUTIONS KEEP THE AREA DRY THROUGH THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY DROPPING TO
NEAR SEASONABLE DURING THE REST OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
THROUGH 18Z/FRI...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH ONLY
SCT TO BKN HIGH CLOUDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH ABOUT
12Z FRIDAY. FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS SHOULD SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AT 5
TO 10 KNOTS WITH SOME GUSTS TO 15 KTS.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
MONDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FIRE WEATHER
RED FLAG WARNING FOR FRIDAY FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT, BERKSHIRE
COUNTY MA AND LITCHFIELD COUNTY CT.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR EASTERN NY ON SATURDAY.
A NORTHWESTERLY BREEZE WILL PICK UP ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH
GUSTS IN SOME SPOTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH AND RH VALUES
LOWERING TO 25 TO 40 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS MAY THEREFORE BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REGION.
WHILE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY,
A WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON FOR NYZ208-209.
MA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR MAZ001-025.
VT...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR VTZ036>038.
SYNOPSIS...SND
NEAR TERM...SND
SHORT TERM...SND
LONG TERM...SND
AVIATION...SND
FIRE WEATHER...SND
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page