985  
FNUS51 KALY 210903  
FWFALY  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN  
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL BEGINS TONIGHT THAT  
CONTINUES INTO THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. IN THE SOUTHEAST AND  
CENTRAL CATSKILLS AND SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS, RAIN TRANSITIONS  
OVER TO SNOW THURSDAY EVENING. BY SATURDAY MORNING, MOST  
LOCATIONS BECOME DRY WITH A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS IN THE  
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS, CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST CATSKILLS AS OUR  
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD. COOL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE  
THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.  
 
NYZ206-212100-  
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,  
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SNOW/RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-15) 31 (-6) 41  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (+30) 100 (+4) 68  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 8 G24  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 5 G18 NE 6 G27 E 6 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.66 0.57 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 12 11 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2220 4350  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 9 SE 25  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17760 95700  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 2 3  
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 12 POOR 54 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 18 GEN POOR 58 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ207-212100-  
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,  
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-7) 33 (-5) 44  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (+13) 100 (+5) 62  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR E 8 G24  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 7 G21 NE 9 G29 E 6 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.65 0.47 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 12 10 3  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2170 5030  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 10 SE 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19530 85510  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 14 GEN POOR 42 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 17 GEN POOR 17 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ208-212100-  
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,  
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,  
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-11) 31 (-10) 42  
RH % (24H TREND) 73 (+19) 100 (+5) 70  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 8 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) N 6 G19 N 8 G25 SE 6 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.81 0.59 0.08  
PRECIP DURATION 12 11 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2460 4990  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 12 SE 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24600 84830  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3  
ADI EARLY 17 GEN POOR 13 GEN POOR 46 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 18 GEN POOR 17 GEN POOR 50 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 6 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ209-212100-  
CATSKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SNOW/RAIN SNOW/RAIN SNOW SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 70  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-14) 28 (-9) 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (+33) 100 (+3) 79  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G24  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) N 5 G19 N 6 G27 SE 6 G24  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.87 0.79 0.16  
PRECIP DURATION 12 12 7  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2480 3460  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 12 SE 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24800 58820  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 12 POOR 34 FAIR  
ADI LATE 16 GEN POOR 11 POOR 38 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 7 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 6 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ036-212100-  
SOUTHERN TACONICS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-11) 33 (-6) 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (+23) 97 (+5) 66  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) E 7 G31 SE 8 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 8 G31 E 10 G34 E 6 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.46 0.39 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 9 9 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2720 4590  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 15 SE 23  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35360 91800  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 57 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 28 FAIR 21 FAIR 62 GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ037-212100-  
SOUTHERN GREENS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,  
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (-13) 30 (-7) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (+34) 100 (+3) 74  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) E 8 G32 SE 7 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 9 G32 E 10 G34 E 5 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.72 0.77 0.10  
PRECIP DURATION 9 10 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2570 4610  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 20 SE 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43690 78370  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 21 FAIR 40 FAIR  
ADI LATE 29 FAIR 22 FAIR 48 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ038-212100-  
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,  
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-10) 33 (-4) 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (+31) 99 (0) 66  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G20  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 6 G23 NE 7 G26 LGT/VAR  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.59 0.52 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 9 10 3  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2280 4850  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 SE 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31920 67900  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
ADI EARLY 25 FAIR 16 GEN POOR 40 FAIR  
ADI LATE 28 FAIR 18 GEN POOR 44 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 6 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
MAZ001-212100-  
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,  
AND NORTH ADAMS  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 90 60  
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (-15) 30 (-9) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+42) 100 (+6) 70  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) E 9 G29 SE 8 G23  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) E 9 G29 E 11 G34 SE 6 G23  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.71 0.54 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 12 9 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2720 4410  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 18 SE 22  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43520 83790  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 21 FAIR 49 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 32 FAIR 22 FAIR 59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
MAZ025-212100-  
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,  
AND SOUTH EGREMONT  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 90 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (-15) 30 (-9) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (+44) 100 (+4) 75  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) E 7 G27 SE 8 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 9 G27 E 9 G29 SE 6 G21  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.75 0.46 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 12 8 4  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2460 4720  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 SE 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34440 84960  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 29 FAIR 20 GEN POOR 48 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 30 FAIR 21 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
CTZ001-212100-  
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 80 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (-14) 30 (-10) 42  
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (+43) 100 (+3) 73  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 7 G24 S 7 G19  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 8 G24 E 9 G25 SE 6 G19  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.77 0.44 0.07  
PRECIP DURATION 12 8 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2310 4520  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 16 SE 18  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32340 72320  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 2 3 3  
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 18 GEN POOR 43 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 29 FAIR 22 FAIR 48 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
CTZ013-212100-  
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,  
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON  
402 AM EST THU NOV 21 2024  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE RAIN SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 80 50  
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (-13) 32 (-9) 43  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+44) 100 (+4) 71  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) NE 8 G24 S 6 G18  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NE 9 G24 E 8 G23 SE 5 G18  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.74 0.38 0.06  
PRECIP DURATION 11 7 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2150 4300  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 17 S 16  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32250 60200  
LAL 1 1 1  
HAINES INDEX 3 3 4  
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 17 GEN POOR 43 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 31 FAIR 22 FAIR 45 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.   
MONDAY
 
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN  
THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS  
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS  
15 TO 20 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO  
30 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.  
 

 
 
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