957
FNUS71 KALY 170959
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR STOP 2 SOUTH STUMP FIELD...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
559 AM EDT THU APR 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
*SPS FOR ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD IN EFFECT FOR THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND CATSKILLS TODAY*
THIS MORNING STARTS OFF CHILLY, BUT TEMPERATURES RISE THROUGH THE
40S AND 50S BY LATE THIS MORNING WITH AN AFTERNOON HIGH IN THE MID
50S. SKIES BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RH VALUES
DROP AS LOW AS 20-30% THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG AS
THE PAST FEW DAYS, BUT GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF
THE REGION, WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH POSSIBLE
AROUND THE CAPITAL DISTRICT. THE NYS DEC HAS CONFIRMED THAT FUELS
IN THE HUDSON VALLEY HAVE DRIED OUT ENOUGH FROM THE RAINFALL EARLIER
IN THE WEEK TO WARRANT AN SPS FOR TODAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............25 DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 21
TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (105200
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........21 25 30 22 14 6 5 4 2 3 3 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............37 37 38 40 43 46 48 51 53 54 55 55
DEWPOINT........27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 19 18 18
RH..............67 64 59 52 45 38 34 29 26 25 23 23
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 10 12 14 15 15 15 15 15 14
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 18 21 23 25 25 26 26 25 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.3 4.9 5.3 5.6 6.0 6.0 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 14 16 18 21 22 22 22 23 23 22
LVORI...........3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 17 28 44 61 78 90 100 106 114 115 105
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............20 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (74400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 6 7 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 49 46 43 41 38 36 33 32 30 29 29
DEWPOINT........18 19 20 21 22 23 24 24 24 23 22 22
RH..............26 30 35 41 46 54 61 69 72 75 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..12 9 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 10 8 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 12 9 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..74 36 5 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............23 INCREASING TO 38.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 26 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 24 31 38 44 51 59 68 76 77 77 78
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20
TEMP............29 31 36 42 47 53 57 60 62 63 63 63
DEWPOINT........22 24 25 27 28 30 31 33 34 36 38 39
RH..............76 74 64 54 48 41 37 35 35 36 38 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 7 8 10 12 13 13 13
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 7 9 13 16 21 23 24 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 9 14 17 20 21 22 24 26 26
LVORI...........4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 3 10 21 31 40 47 52 58 60 57
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD FR
FORECASTER...MAIN
REQUESTED BY...T PARKER SCHUERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510821.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TSCHUERMAN@NPS.GOV,MBOSS@NPS.GOV,MGRISMER@NPS.GOV
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