816
FNUS71 KALY 171421
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD CEMETERY B...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1021 AM EDT THU APR 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
*SPS FOR ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD IN EFFECT FOR THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND CATSKILLS TODAY*
TODAY, RH VALUES DROP AS LOW AS 20-30% THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE
LOWEST RH VALUES IN THE HUDSON VALLEY. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS
STRONG AS THE PAST FEW DAYS, BUT GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION, WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS TO NEAR
30 MPH POSSIBLE AROUND THE CAPITAL DISTRICT TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
WHILE STATE PARTNERS IN CT AND MA HAVE CONFIRMED THAT FUELS ARE
NOT YET RECEPTIVE, THE NYS DEC HAS CONFIRMED THAT FUELS IN THE
HUDSON VALLEY AND CATSKILLS HAVE DRIED OUT ENOUGH FROM THE
RAINFALL EARLIER IN THE WEEK TO WARRANT AND SPS FOR TODAY. WE
HAVE ALSO COORDINATED WITH BTV TO DETERMINE THAT AN SPS WILL NOT
BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN VT BASED ON THE FACT THAT THIS ARE SAW
MORE UPSLOPE PRECIP YESTERDAY. WINDS THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD
QUICKLY BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET, WITH RH VALUES
RECOVERING TO 60-80% OVERNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY, MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD NOT BE AS LOW AS THURSDAY
WITH 30-45% EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING
THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH DEVELOPING, BUT THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY WHEN RH
VALUES ARE BEGINNING TO RECOVER. ADDITIONALLY, THERE COULD BE A
FEW SHOWERS AROUND FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-90.
THEREFORE, IT APPEARS CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS CONDUCIVE
FOR FIRE SPREAD COMPARED TO THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............18 DECREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85000 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............1.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............13 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 22 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (88800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............23 INCREASING TO 33.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
FORECASTER...JPV
REQUESTED BY...KEITH SARGENT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510883.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.HUGHES@USDA.GOV,KEITH.SARGENT@USDA.GOV
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