550
FNUS51 KALY 171848
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
DISCUSSION
*SPS FOR ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD IN EFFECT FOR THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND CATSKILLS TODAY*
TODAY, RH VALUES DROP AS LOW AS 20-30% THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE
LOWEST RH VALUES IN THE HUDSON VALLEY. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS
STRONG AS THE PAST FEW DAYS, BUT GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION, WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS
TO NEAR 30 MPH POSSIBLE AROUND THE CAPITAL DISTRICT THIS
AFTERNOON. WHILE STATE PARTNERS IN CT AND MA HAVE CONFIRMED THAT
FUELS ARE NOT YET RECEPTIVE, THE NYS DEC HAS CONFIRMED THAT
FUELS IN THE HUDSON VALLEY AND CATSKILLS HAVE DRIED OUT ENOUGH
FROM THE RAINFALL EARLIER IN THE WEEK TO WARRANT AND SPS FOR
TODAY. WE HAVE ALSO COORDINATED WITH BTV TO DETERMINE THAT AN
SPS WILL NOT BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN VT BASED ON THE FACT THAT
THIS ARE SAW MORE UPSLOPE PRECIP YESTERDAY. WINDS SHOULD QUICKLY
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, WITH RH
VALUES RECOVERING TO 60-80% OVERNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY, MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD NOT BE AS LOW AS THURSDAY
WITH 30-45% EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING
THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 15-25 MPH DEVELOPING, BUT THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY WHEN RH
VALUES ARE BEGINNING TO RECOVER. ADDITIONALLY, THERE COULD BE A
FEW SHOWERS AROUND FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-90.
THEREFORE, IT APPEARS CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS CONDUCIVE
FOR FIRE SPREAD COMPARED TO THURSDAY.
NYZ206-180800-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (-5) 63 (+16) 50 67
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-7) 38 (+11) 90 71
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G24 S 8 G23 W 10 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 1 3 11
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4590 5570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 105570 161530
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 55 GEN GOOD 20 GEN POOR 39 FAIR
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 81 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 78 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 4 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 6 5
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-180800-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-8) 65 (+11) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+9) 33 (+12) 88 59
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G24 S 9 G28 S 9 G27 SW 12 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 6
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4420 5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 23 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88400 168200
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 50 GEN GOOD 14 GEN POOR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 79 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 91 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-180800-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 66 (+9) 50 79
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 34 (+12) 85 51
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G25 S 10 G29 S 9 G28 SW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 3
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112640 132220
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 67 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 56 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 90 GOOD 12 POOR 93 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-180800-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-2) 64 (+12) 49 76
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (-7) 37 (+13) 84 54
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 10 G32 S 10 G31 W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 4
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4740 5940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 118500 166320
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 64 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 66 GOOD
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 94 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 106 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 4 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 5 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-180800-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+12) 51 75
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 31 (+10) 80 57
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 6 G26 S 9 G29 S 10 G31 SW 11 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 4
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4330 5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86600 144760
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 61 GOOD 20 GEN POOR 38 FAIR
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 81 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 86 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-180800-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-5) 62 (+12) 48 72
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-3) 32 (+10) 84 60
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G26 SW 8 G26 S 9 G27 W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 11 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5080 5970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106680 185070
ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 62 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 98 GOOD 16 GEN POOR 115 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-180800-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+9) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+7) 29 (+10) 87 53
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G25 S 8 G25 W 8 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 102400 174870
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 61 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 67 GOOD
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 121 VERY GOOD12 POOR 153 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 4 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-180800-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 62 (+11) 49 74
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (-5) 31 (+6) 81 55
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 8 G28 SW 10 G29 S 11 G29 W 11 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4340 4870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91140 121750
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 61 GOOD 21 FAIR 34 FAIR
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 85 GOOD 18 GEN POOR 95 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 4 3
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-180800-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 63 (+10) 49 76
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-10) 32 (+9) 85 55
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G26 S 10 G29 S 10 G28 SW 11 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4620 4540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101640 99880
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 66 GOOD 20 GEN POOR 51 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 91 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 86 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 5 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-180800-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-5) 64 (+8) 48 78
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-11) 32 (+11) 88 53
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 10 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4710 5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98910 134420
ADI EARLY 14 GEN POOR 69 GOOD 16 GEN POOR 63 GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 91 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 105 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 6 3
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-180800-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
247 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-4) 65 (+6) 49 80
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-10) 33 (+12) 89 50
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4770 4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 122500
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 70 GOOD 15 GEN POOR 72 GOOD
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 89 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 108 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 3 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 2 6 3
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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