305
FNUS51 KALY 171930
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
DISCUSSION
*SPS FOR ELEVATED RISK OF FIRE SPREAD IN EFFECT FOR THE HUDSON
VALLEY AND CATSKILLS TODAY*
RH VALUES LOW AS 15-25% THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE LOWEST RH
VALUES IN THE UPPER HUDSON VALLEY. WINDS ARE NOT AS STRONG AS
THE PAST FEW DAYS, BUT GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH HAVE BEEN COMMON
THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE STATE PARTNERS IN CT AND MA HAVE
CONFIRMED THAT FUELS ARE NOT YET RECEPTIVE, THE NYS DEC HAS
CONFIRMED THAT FUELS IN THE HUDSON VALLEY AND CATSKILLS HAVE
DRIED OUT ENOUGH FROM THE RAINFALL EARLIER IN THE WEEK TO
WARRANT AND SPS FOR TODAY. WE HAVE ALSO COORDINATED WITH BTV TO
DETERMINE THAT AN SPS WILL NOT BE NEEDED FOR SOUTHERN VT BASED
ON THE FACT THAT THIS ARE SAW MORE UPSLOPE PRECIP YESTERDAY.
WINDS SHOULD QUICKLY BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET THIS
EVENING, WITH RH VALUES RECOVERING TO 60-80% OVERNIGHT.
ON FRIDAY, MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD NOT BE AS LOW AS THURSDAY
WITH 30-45% EXPECTED. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE INCREASING DURING
THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH DEVELOPING, BUT THE
STRONGEST GUSTS MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATER IN THE DAY WHEN RH
VALUES ARE BEGINNING TO RECOVER. ADDITIONALLY, THERE COULD BE A
FEW SHOWERS AROUND FRIDAY AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-90.
THEREFORE, IT APPEARS CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE QUITE AS CONDUCIVE
FOR FIRE SPREAD COMPARED TO TODAY.
NYZ206-180800-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 24 (-5) 63 (+16) 50 67
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-7) 38 (+11) 90 66
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 9 G24 S 8 G23 W 10 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.13
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 7
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4590 5570
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 105570 161530
ADI EARLY 12 POOR 54 GEN GOOD 24 FAIR 39 FAIR
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 80 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 83 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-180800-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-8) 65 (+11) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (+9) 33 (+12) 84 52
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G24 S 9 G28 S 9 G27 SW 12 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4420 5800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 23 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 88400 168200
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 50 GEN GOOD 26 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 78 GOOD 14 GEN POOR 98 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 3 4
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-180800-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 66 (+9) 50 79
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-1) 34 (+12) 83 48
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G25 S 10 G29 S 9 G28 SW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6010
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 112640 132220
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 67 GOOD 31 FAIR 58 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 90 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 96 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-180800-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 29 (-2) 64 (+12) 49 76
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (-7) 37 (+13) 84 50
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 10 G32 S 10 G31 W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4740 5940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 118500 166320
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 64 GOOD 34 FAIR 67 GOOD
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 99 GOOD 17 GEN POOR 100 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 3 3 3 3
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-180800-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+12) 51 75
RH % (24H TREND) 76 (-1) 31 (+10) 77 52
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G33
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 6 G26 S 9 G29 S 10 G31 SW 11 G33
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07
PRECIP DURATION 0 0 2
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 9 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4330 5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 32
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86600 144760
ADI EARLY 23 FAIR 61 GOOD 27 FAIR 38 FAIR
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 80 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 86 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-180800-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 25 (-5) 62 (+12) 48 72
RH % (24H TREND) 78 (-3) 32 (+10) 82 55
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 5 G26 SW 8 G26 S 9 G27 W 10 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
PRECIP DURATION 0 0 2
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 7 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 9 PM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5080 5970
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 36
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106680 185070
ADI EARLY 16 GEN POOR 62 GOOD 27 FAIR 54 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 95 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 123 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-180800-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 10 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 64 (+9) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (+7) 29 (+10) 80 47
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 6 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 7 G25 S 8 G25 W 8 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
PRECIP DURATION 0 1 2
PRECIP BEGIN 4 PM CONTINUING 6 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5120 6030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 102400 174870
ADI EARLY 15 GEN POOR 61 GOOD 27 FAIR 67 GOOD
ADI LATE 3 VERY POOR 108 VERY GOOD13 GEN POOR 137 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 4 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 4 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-180800-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 27 (-7) 62 (+11) 49 74
RH % (24H TREND) 72 (-5) 31 (+6) 79 48
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G31
20FTWND-PM(MPH) W 8 G28 SW 10 G29 S 11 G29 W 11 G31
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
PRECIP DURATION 2
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4340 4870
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 91140 121750
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 61 GOOD 26 FAIR 35 FAIR
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 81 GOOD 20 GEN POOR 91 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 3
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 3 1
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-180800-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 28 (-7) 63 (+10) 49 76
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-10) 32 (+9) 82 49
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G29
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G26 S 10 G29 S 10 G28 SW 11 G29
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4620 4540
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 101640 99880
ADI EARLY 31 FAIR 66 GOOD 28 FAIR 55 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 93 GOOD 19 GEN POOR 85 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-180800-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 30 (-5) 64 (+8) 48 78
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-11) 32 (+11) 85 48
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 9 G28
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G23 S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 10 G28
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4710 5170
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 W 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 98910 134420
ADI EARLY 14 GEN POOR 69 GOOD 30 FAIR 76 GOOD
ADI LATE 5 VERY POOR 94 GOOD 16 GEN POOR 106 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 4 1
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-180800-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
329 PM EDT THU APR 17 2025
TONIGHT FRI FRI NIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 31 (-4) 65 (+6) 49 80
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (-10) 33 (+12) 87 47
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 8 G27
20FTWND-PM(MPH) NW 5 G19 S 9 G27 S 9 G26 SW 11 G27
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM
PRECIP END CONTINUING
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4770 4900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 95400 122500
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 70 GOOD 27 FAIR 73 GOOD
ADI LATE 4 VERY POOR 93 GOOD 13 GEN POOR 113 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 2 3 2 4
MAX LVORI LATE 3 1 5 1
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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