695
FNUS71 KALY 301616
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR MAD TOM/WESTERN BROMLEY RXS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1216 PM EDT WED APR 30 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
COOLER AND DRIER AIR RETURNS THIS AFTERNOON BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE
IN THE DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES LOWER TO 25 TO 40 PERCENT
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. GIVEN THE MISALIGNMENT BETWEEN THE
LOWEST RH (AFTERNOON) AND STRONGEST WINDS (MORNING) AND
FOLLOWING A SOAKING RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS ON TUESDAY, WE
COLLABORATED WITH THE NYS DEC AND DECIDED TO HOLD OFF ON ANY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR ENHANCED FIRE SPREAD TODAY.
FOLLOWING COORDINATION WITH WFO BOX, A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BERKSHIRE AND LITCHFIELD COUNTIES, WHERE
LITTLE RAINFALL OCCURRED.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY, BUT WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 15 MPH. ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD LIMIT ADDITIONAL
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............28.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............1.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........6 2 4 5 7 11
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 50 52 54 55 54
DEWPOINT........30 30 28 27 27 26
RH..............46 42 37 35 33 33
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 13 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.24 23 21 20 20 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 21 20 20 18 17
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1
VRATE KT-FT/1K..42 45 47 50 50 46
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............24 DECREASING TO 21 AFTER 3 AM.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (0 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 18 23 28 33 28 23 19 16 13 10 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 49 46 42 38 36 35 34 33 31 30 30
DEWPOINT........26 26 25 24 24 23 23 23 23 22 21 21
RH..............35 37 42 49 55 57 59 61 61 64 64 63
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 6 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 15 14 13 13 12 12 10 9 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 16 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............23 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (23300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 8 9 9 10 29 34 39 45 47 50 53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 33 36 41 47 52 55 58 60 61 62 62
DEWPOINT........21 22 23 23 24 23 23 23 24 25 26 27
RH..............64 59 54 47 36 32 29 26 25 25 25 26
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SE S S S S SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 6 8 9 10 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 1 2 6 10 15 19 22 23 23 20 17
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WASULA
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT GOULDING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2512408.0/ALY
.DELDT 04/30/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT.A.GOULDING@USDA.GOV,MARTINA.BARNES@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.MATTRIX@USDA.GOV,ERIC.HUGHES@USDA.GOV,KEITH.SARGENT@USDA.GOV
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