668
FXUS61 KALY 242330
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
730 PM EDT SAT MAY 24 2025
SYNOPSIS
COOL, CLOUDY, AND PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES THROUGH TOMORROW.
MEMORIAL DAY IS STILL ON TRACK TO BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES RETURNING FOR A PLEASANT DAY IN
STORE. DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY WITH
INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS RETURNING FOR MIDWEEK.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/
AS OF 730 PM EDT...A LARGE AND SLOW MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW IS
NOW CENTERED OVER ATLANTIC CANADA. THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND THIS
FEATURE CONTINUES TO ALLOW FOR BROKEN STRATOCU CLOUDS, ALONG
WITH SOME PASSING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN
MAINLY FUELED BY DAYTIME HEATING, ALTHOUGH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
MAY CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, ESPECIALLY FOR NORTHERN
AREAS, AS THE CYCLONIC FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. ANY PRECIP
WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT AND TOTAL QPF WILL BE UNDER A TENTH OF AN
INCH. IT HAS BEEN BREEZY AT TIMES THROUGH THE DAY THANKS TO THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE. THE BREEZE MAY DECREASE SOMEWHAT
FOR TONIGHT, WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT IN SHELTERED AREAS, ESPECIALLY FOR SPOTS THAT SAW
RAINFALL EARLIER. OTHERWISE, IT WILL STAY FAIRLY CLOUDY INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT SHOULD RANGE IN THE 40S.
SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AND EAST TOMORROW AND
MONDAY BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS (30-
40%) THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON WHEN CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
LOWER TO LESS THAN 20 PERCENT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE
EXPECTED BETWEEN A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH WITH SHOWERS.
OTHERWISE, CLOUDY AND CALMER (WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH) CONDITIONS ARE
IN STORE FOR MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FOR
MONDAY NIGHT TO OUR WEST HELPING DIMINISH SHOWER ACTIVITY FOR THE
EVENING HOURS BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT TEMPERATURES ARE FINALLY WARMING UP WITH HIGHS
TOMORROW IN THE 60S AND FOR MONDAY IN THE 70S, EXCEPT FOR HIGHER
TERRAIN LOCATIONS WHICH SHOULD RANGE IN THE 50S AND 60S. LOW
TEMPERATURES RANGE IN THE 40S.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
DRY CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BRIEFLY RETURNS GIVING US A SMALL BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION
CHANCES DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS IS WHEN CHANCES (15 TO 30 PERCENT) FOR
PRECIPITATION RETURNS. DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES (50%)
CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK AS OUR UPPER LEVEL
ATMOSPHERE PATTERN RETURNS UNSETTLED AND DREARY END TO THE MONTH
OF MAY. HOWEVER, SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED BY LATEST
ENSEMBLE FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCES TO REMAIN SEASONAL WITH HIGHS
RANGING IN THE 60S AND 70S. LOW TEMPERATURES ALSO REMAIN
SEASONAL IN THE 50S WITH HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS IN THE 40S.
AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
CYCLONIC FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP BKN-OVC STRATOCU CLOUDS OVER
THE REGION FOR TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH CEILINGS OF 3-5 KFT. A
FEW PASSING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
AGAIN ON SUNDAY, BUT ANY PRECIP WILL BE VERY BRIEF AND HAVE ONLY
A LIMITED IMPACT ON VISIBILITY. FLYING CONDITIONS WILL
GENERALLY BE VFR FOR KGFL/KALB/KPOU AND MVFR AT KPSF, AS THE
CEILINGS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER AT THE HIGH TERRAIN SITE AT
KSPF.
WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THIS EVENING, WITH SOME GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR ALL SITES. ON SUNDAY, NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
AGAIN BE AROUND 10 KTS FOR ALL SITES.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
MEMORIAL DAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
MONDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...GANT/WEBB
NEAR TERM...FRUGIS/WEBB
SHORT TERM...WEBB
LONG TERM...WEBB
AVIATION...FRUGIS
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