987
FXUS61 KALY 260531
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
131 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2025
SYNOPSIS
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOL CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS MORNING
WITH DIMINISHING SHOWERS NORTH AND EAST OF THE CAPITAL REGION. DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR MEMORIAL DAY FOR A PLEASANT AFTERNOON.
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY, AS OUR NEXT WEATHER
SYSTEM ARRIVES WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
BRINGING DAILY CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION TO END THE MONTH OF MAY.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
AS OF 131 AM EDT...SHOWERS HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE
ADIRONDACKS, LAKE REGION AND SOUTHERN VT. A FEW ARE LINGERING
OVER SOUTHERN VT, AS A SHORT-WAVE/SFC TROUGH PIVOTED AROUND THE
UPPER LOW NEAR THE NOVA SCOTIA. SOME CLEARING MAY OCCUR OVER THE
NORTHERN ZONES AND WE ADDED SOME PATCHY FOG OVER THE SOUTHERN
DACKS AND EAST OF THE SOUTHERN GREENS NEAR THE CT RIVER VALLEY.
IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH LOWS IN THE
40S WITH A FEW SPOTTY UPPER 30S OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
DRIER CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR MEMORIAL DAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE IS FINALLY MOVING IN FOR TOMORROW THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. A MIX OF SUN AND
CLOUDS TOMORROW WITH CLEARER SKIES FOR TUESDAY. WHILE LATEST
HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE IS HINTING AT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
DEVELOPING TOMORROW AFTERNOON, KEPT MENTION OF CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION BELOW 30 PERCENT AS DRIER AIR FILLS IN AND SHOWERS
COULD STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON. IF SHOWERS DO
DEVELOP, THE PRIMARY LOCATIONS FOR THEM ARE IN THE ADIRONDACKS
AND MOHAWK VALLEY. HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW AND TUESDAY RANGE
IN THE 60S AND 70S AS WE CONTINUE OUR GRADUAL RETURN TO SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES. LOW TEMPERATURES RANGE IN THE 40S AND 50S.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
DRY CONDITIONS COME TO AN END FOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW
ENGLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HEADS
EAST OUT TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING RETURNS
BRINGING ONCE AGAIN CLOUDY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS TO END THE MONTH OF
MAY. DAILY PRECIPITATION CHANCES (50%) CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF
THIS WEEK AS OUR UPPER LEVEL ATMOSPHERE PATTERN RETURNS UNSETTLED.
STAY TUNED WITH LATEST FORECAST UPDATES ON IF WE END THE MONTH
SEEING PRECIPITATION FOR EVERY SATURDAY IN MAY, ESPECIALLY HERE IN
THE ALBANY AREA, AS LATEST PROBABILITIES FOR SEEING AT LEAST 0.01
INCHES IS BETWEEN 15 AND 30 PERCENT. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED BY LATEST ENSEMBLE FORECAST MODEL GUIDANCES
TO REMAIN SEASONAL WITH HIGHS RANGING IN THE 60S AND 70S THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK. LOW TEMPERATURES ALSO REMAIN SEASONAL IN THE 50S
WITH HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS IN THE 40S.
AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...EXPECTING PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THIS TAF WITH WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS
THE REGION. EARLY THIS MORNING, A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR FOG/MIST MAY
DEVELOP AT KGFL/KPSF WHERE CLOUDS ARE ABLE TO CLEAR. THIS WILL BURN
OFF BY 26/13Z. LIGHT & VARIABLE WINDS INITIALLY WILL INCREASE OUT OF
THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 5 KTS BY MID MORNING, AND WILL BECOME
LIGHT & VARIABLE AGAIN THIS EVENING.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
THURSDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
THURSDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
FRIDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...WASULA/WEBB
NEAR TERM...WASULA
SHORT TERM...WEBB
LONG TERM...WEBB
AVIATION...SPECK
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page