961
FXUS61 KALY 062024
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
424 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025
SYNOPSIS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE EXITED THE REGION WITH MAINLY DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN WILL
THEN OVERSPREAD AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, A PROLONGED
STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER, ALONG WITH COOLER AND LESS HUMID
CONDITIONS, IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE:
- THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT HAS ENDED.
UPDATE
AS OF 420 PM EDT, THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS ENDED
AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS ADVANCED TO THE
EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS ALSO ALLOWED
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH TO BE CANCELED. MAINLY DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING UNDER A
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN BACK INTO THE 50S
AND 60S FOLLOWING THE RAIN AND STORMS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHWRS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS SFC LOW NOW
LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE
NEARLY STALLED FRONT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHWRS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EARLY SUNDAY AS NEXT PIECE OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATES THROUGH
THE AREA, HOWEVER DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN BY AFTERNOON.
HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FCST AREA ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE
TO REACH THE 70 DEGREE MARK ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS,
WHILE LOW 70S DOMINATE THROUGH THE HUDSON VLY.
BEYOND THIS, HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BE IN FIRM CONTROL AS WE
START THE WORK WEEK WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND LOW HUMIDITY
PREVAILING ON MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BACK CLOSER
TO SEASONABLE LEVELS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPS REACHING
THE LOWER TO MID 70S BOTH DAYS. NEXT WEATHER FEATURE OF INTEREST
WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST. RIGHT NOW, MODELS LARGELY SHOW THIS FEATURE
PASSING AS A DRY FRONT, HOWEVER COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS LOOK TO
MAKE A RETURN BY LATE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND AS WE RESIDE IN A
POST FRONTAL AIRMASS.
AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
THROUGH 18Z/SUN...COLD FRONT IS BRINGING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE TAF SITES AND WILL DO SO UNTIL AROUND 22Z/SAT. BEST
THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES WILL BE AT KPSF/KPOU
WHERE SOME BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ALONG WITH STRONG
WINDS. AT KALB/KGFL, A STEADY LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE
RAIN WILL BRING MAINLY MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
MOVE TO THE EAST WHERE CIGS COULD IMPROVE BACK TO VFR THIS
EVENING. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG TO DEVELOP BUT NOT
ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO INCLUDE AT THIS TIME. OVERNIGHT, ANOTHER
WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE COAST WILL BRING LIGHT RAIN TO
MOST IF NOT ALL TAF SITES. WHILE VSBYS WILL MAINLY BE VFR, CIGS
COULD LOWER TO MVFR AND POSSIBLY IFR AT KPOU. WIND WILL BECOME
NORTHWESTERLY AT ALL SITES THIS AFTERNOON AT 5-10 KT THEN BECOME
LIGHT TO CALM TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. WIND WILL THEN
BECOME WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY AT 5-10 KT BY EARLY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...32/FRUGIS/RATHBUN
DISCUSSION...32/FRUGIS/RATHBUN
AVIATION...RATHBUN
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