056
FXUS61 KALY 070200
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1000 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2025
SYNOPSIS
A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN WILL THEN OVERSPREAD AREAS MAINLY ALONG
AND EAST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, A PROLONGED STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER, ALONG
WITH COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS, IS EXPECTED SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
PATCHY FOG CONTINUES TO DEVELOP TONIGHT ACROSS AREAS THAT SAW
RAINFALL TODAY. INCREASED PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS BASED ON LATEST RADAR SCANS, SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS, AND LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE. THE
REST OF THE FORECAST IS DOING WELL AND ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT. SEE
THE DISCUSSION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHWRS CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS SFC LOW NOW
LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA LIFTS NORTH ALONG THE
NEARLY STALLED FRONT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHWRS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EARLY SUNDAY AS NEXT PIECE OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROTATES THROUGH
THE AREA, HOWEVER DRIER CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN BY AFTERNOON.
HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FCST AREA ON SUNDAY WILL STRUGGLE
TO REACH THE 70 DEGREE MARK ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS,
WHILE LOW 70S DOMINATE THROUGH THE HUDSON VLY.
BEYOND THIS, HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BE IN FIRM CONTROL AS WE
START THE WORK WEEK WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND LOW HUMIDITY
PREVAILING ON MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BACK CLOSER
TO SEASONABLE LEVELS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPS REACHING
THE LOWER TO MID 70S BOTH DAYS. NEXT WEATHER FEATURE OF INTEREST
WILL ARRIVE THURSDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SAGS SOUTH ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST. RIGHT NOW, MODELS LARGELY SHOW THIS FEATURE
PASSING AS A DRY FRONT, HOWEVER COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS LOOK TO
MAKE A RETURN BY LATE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND AS WE RESIDE IN A
POST FRONTAL AIRMASS.
AVIATION /02Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
WE START THE TAF PERIOD WITH VFR CONDITIONS AT KPOU, KPSF, AND
KALB. CONFIDENCE HAS INCREASED FOR PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT AT
KGFL THROUGH 13Z WITH CONDITIONS FLUCTUATING BETWEEN
LIFR/IFR/MVFR. FOR KPOU AND KPSF, CONTINUED MENTION OF LIGHT
RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY BETWEEN 09Z AND 13Z. FOR KPSF, CONFIDENCE
HAS ALSO INCREASED FOR PERIODS OF PATCHY FOG/MIST THROUGH 13Z
WHERE CONDITIONS FLUCTUATE BETWEEN MVFR/IFR/LIFR. FOR KALB,
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN FOG DEVELOPMENT AND RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY SO
KEPT MENTION IN PROB30 GROUP FOR RAIN SHOWER ACTIVITY BETWEEN
09Z AND 12Z FOR MVFR CONDITIONS. BY 18Z, VFR CONDITIONS RETURN
FOR ALL TAF SITES. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE
18Z TIMEFRAME WHEN WINDS INCREASE TO BETWEEN 5 AND 10 KNOTS
BETWEEN 18Z AND 21Z THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
UPDATE...WEBB
SYNOPSIS...32/FRUGIS
DISCUSSION...32/FRUGIS/RATHBUN
AVIATION...WEBB
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