895
FXUS61 KALY 081745
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
145 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
SYNOPSIS
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THIS
WEEK, WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TRENDING CLOSER TO SEASONAL
LEVELS BY MIDWEEK. AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD
BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE REGION NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES:
- PATCHY/AREAS OF FROST ACROSS SW ADIRONDACKS, EASTERN
CATSKILLS/HELDERBERGS AND SCHOHARIE COUNTY LATE TONIGHT.
DISCUSSION:
AS OF 145 PM EDT, PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION,
WITH PATCHY CLOUDS MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY
AND EASTERN CATSKILLS. TEMPS ARE GENERALLY IN THE UPPER
50S/LOWER 60S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS, AND MID/UPPER 60S IN
VALLEYS. MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY REACH AROUND 70 FOR MANY VALLEY
AREAS THIS AFTERNOON, WITH MAINLY LOWER/MID 60S ACROSS HIGHER
TERRAIN.
WITH THE COOL/DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE AND THE CORE OF HIGH
PRESSURE APPROACHING WITH LIGHT/CALM WINDS TONIGHT, TEMPS SHOULD
DROP OFF TO LEVELS AROUND 2-3F DEGREES LOWER THAN LAST NIGHT
TOWARD DAYBREAK. THIS SHOULD ALLOW MIN TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE
LOWER/MID 30S ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS, SCHOHARIE COUNTY AND
SW ADIRONDACKS, WITH PATCHY/AREAS OF FROST DEVELOPING. THE
PREVIOUS FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE EASTERN
CATSKILL REGION. SOME PATCHY FROST CAN NOT BE RULED OUT EVEN IN
SOME AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF THE FROST ADVISORY, SUCH AS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN VT, HOWEVER COVERAGE
SHOULD REMAIN MORE LIMITED IN THESE AREAS. ELSEWHERE, EXPECT MIN
TEMPS TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER/MID 40S.
MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY, WITH THE ONE CAVEAT OF SOME SHOWERS POSSIBLY EXTENDING
NORTH/WEST OF A DEVELOPING WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG OFFSHORE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH A VERY
LOW PROBABILITY (<10%) AT THIS TIME, WILL HAVE TO WATCH TRENDS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NW CT FOR POSSIBLE
INCREASE IN POPS AND CLOUD COVERAGE DURING THIS TIME FRAME.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THURSDAY, BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE AVAILABLE, WE ARE CURRENTLY
ONLY EXPECTING A WIND SHIFT AND SLIGHT COOLING TREND AS THE
FRONT PASSES. MIDWEEK HIGH TEMPS SHOULD REACH THE MID/UPPER 70S
IN VALLEYS AND LOWER 70S ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION COULD BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE REGION NEXT WEEKEND,
HOWEVER OVERALL PROBABILITY IS LOW REGARDING THE TIMING AND
OVERALL TRACK/EVOLUTION OF THIS DISTURBANCE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL, COOLER SHOULD CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS PREVAIL.
AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE PRIMARILY EXPECTED FOR THE
UPCOMING TAF CYCLE, WITH NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5-10 KTS THIS
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT & VARIABLE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. OCCASIONAL FOG/MIST WITH IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED AT KGFL FROM AROUND 07Z-11Z, WITH PRIMARILY
MVFR MIST ALSO EXPECTED AT KPSF. ANY FOG/MIST WILL DISSIPATE BY 11Z-
12Z TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR NYZ032-033-
047-051-058-063.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...GANT/KL
DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...SPECIALE
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