682
FXUS61 KALY 100123
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
923 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
SYNOPSIS
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BRING SOME
CLOUDS AND PERHAPS A FEW SHOWERS TO AREAS MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST
OF ALBANY LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES THROUGH
AT LEAST FRIDAY.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE:
- CLOUDIER FORECAST WEDNESDAY FOR AREAS MAINLY SOUTH/EAST OF
ALBANY ALONG WITH A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE (20-30%).
DISCUSSION:
UPDATE...AS OF 9:20 PM EDT
QUICK UPDATE TO TEMPERATURES TO
REFLECT THE FACT THAT TEMPERATURES RADIATIVELY COOLING QUICKER
THAN EXPECTED IN SOME OF THE OUTLYING AREAS, WHILE MANY VALLEY
AREAS THAT HAVE NOT YET FULLY DECOUPLED REMAIN A COUPLE DEGREES
WARMER THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. GIVEN THAT FOG/MIST HAS
ALREADY BEEN OBSERVED AT KGFL AND MANY PLACES ARE SEEING TEMPS
APPROACH THE RESPECTIVE DEW POINTS, HAVE ALSO ADDED MORE PATCHY
FOG INTO THE GRIDS TONIGHT. WHILE MORE CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS OUT SOUTHERN HANDFUL OF COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT, CLEAR
SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT TO CALM WINDS FOR MOST AREAS SHOULD
PROMOTE SEVERAL MORE HOURS OF FAVORABLE RADIATIONAL COOLING
CONDITIONS, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S FOR MANY HIGH
TERRAIN AREAS, WITH MID TO UPPER 40S FOR MOST OF THE REST OF THE
REGION. OTHER THAN THESE ADJUSTMENTS, PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS
IN GOOD SHAPE WITH MORE DETAILS BELOW...
PREVIOUS
GENERALLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF LATE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, AS A WAVE OF
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. SOME LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTH AND WEST OF THIS PASSING
LOW, WITH CLOUDS AND SPOTTY LIGHT SHOWERS/SPRINKLES POSSIBLY
EXTENDING AS FAR NORTH AND WEST AS THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND
LITCHFIELD HILLS AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. SOME OF THESE
SHOWERS COULD EVEN EXTEND AS FAR NORTH AND WEST AS THE CAPITAL
REGION, BERKSHIRES AND SCHOHARIE COUNTY DURING THE MID TO LATE
MORNING HOURS BEFORE ULTIMATELY DECREASING IN COVERAGE DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SO, A CLOUDIER FORECAST FOR TOMORROW FOR
AREAS FROM ALBANY SOUTH AND EAST, ALONG WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR
A FEW SHOWERS (MAINLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS).
ANOTHER COOL NIGHT TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE 40S FOR MANY AREAS
WITH SOME MID/UPPER 30S POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
ADIRONDACKS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE WARMEST
ACROSS THE MOHAWK AND UPPER HUDSON VALLEYS WHERE MORE SUNSHINE
IS EXPECTED, WITH HIGHS REACHING 70-75. COOLER TO THE SOUTH AND
EAST HIGH HIGH TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70.
FOG DEVELOPMENT MAY BE A BIT GREATER IN COVERAGE FOR AREAS SOUTH
OF I-90 WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO SLIGHTLY GREATER BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE/LESS DAYTIME MIXING ON WEDNESDAY.
GENERALLY DRY FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING, DESPITE A
COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHWARD THURSDAY. AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COULD BRING A FEW SHOWERS
LATE SATURDAY INTO MONDAY, ALTHOUGH THERE REMAINS UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK/EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THEREFORE EXPECTED COVERAGE OF
SHOWERS. OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL, WITH DAYTIME HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 60S AND 70S, AND
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER/MID 50S.
AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY...AS OF 7:25 PM EDT, FLYING CONDITIONS
REMAIN VFR AT ALL TERMINALS. ADJUSTED TIMING OF FOG/MIST AT GFL
SEVERAL HOURS EARLIER FROM PREVIOUS TAF ISSUANCE BASED ON LATEST
OBSERVATIONS AND TIMING OF FOG DEVELOPMENT LAST NIGHT. ALSO
EXPECTING SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT AT PSF AFTER 06Z, ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH AS LAST NIGHT GIVEN INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINDS TO BEGIN TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY LATE TONIGHT. AT ALB, ONCE AGAIN WATCHING THE POTENTIAL
FOR A VERY BRIEF PERIOD OF SOME FOG TO DRIFT OVERHEAD LATE
TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW. NO FOG EXPECTED AT POU, ALTHOUGH
A COUPLE LIGHT SHOWERS CAN'T BE RULED OUT THERE TOMORROW
MORNING. STILL EXPECTING MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITHIN ANY
SHOWERS. OTHERWISE, FOG DISSIPATES BY 12Z. PREVAILING VFR
CONDITIONS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY, WITH SCT MID AND HIGH
CLOUDS AT ALB/GFL AND BKN TO OVC MID-LEVEL CLOUDS AT POU/PSF
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASE TO 4-8 KT FROM THE E/NE
TOMORROW.
OUTLOOK...
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
SYNOPSIS...GANT/KL
DISCUSSION...KL/MAIN
AVIATION...MAIN
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