915
FNUS51 KALY 161847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
DISCUSSION
FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE THE NEXT DAY WITH POTENTIAL FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. BEHIND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE, NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS
COULD GUST IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH, WITH RH VALUES DROPPING INTO
THE 35-45% RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST OVERLAP OF
WINDS AND LOW RH LOOKS TO BE IN THE UPPER HUDSON VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS. SATURDAY AFTERNOON MAY FEATURE RH VALUES
IN THE 25-35% RANGE, BUT WINDS LOOK MUCH LIGHTER ON SATURDAY.
ADDITIONALLY, LITTLE TO NO APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THEREFORE, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH INCREASING
RAINFALL DEFICITS.
NYZ206-170800-
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (0) 74 (-1) 49 77
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+2) 39 (-5) 99 45
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 5190 6080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 5 W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20760 72960
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 8 2 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ207-170800-
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+1) 76 (-1) 52 81
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+1) 38 (-5) 97 43
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4620 7190
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 5 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18480 71900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 5 8
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 7 3
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ208-170800-
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (-2) 73 (-3) 54 80
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (-1) 49 (-2) 100 50
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4270 6000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 21350 48000
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 7 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
NYZ209-170800-
CATSKILL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 20 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-5) 69 (-3) 51 77
RH % (24H TREND) 94 (0) 53 (+2) 100 52
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3910 5630
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 NW 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19550 45040
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 7 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ036-170800-
SOUTHERN TACONICS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 10 0
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-1) 74 (-2) 50 78
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (-7) 40 (-5) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM
PRECIP END 2 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4640 5140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 3 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 13920 46260
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 6 5 9
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 8 3
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ037-170800-
SOUTHERN GREENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (-2) 72 (-1) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (-6) 44 (-7) 100 52
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 0
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4490 5670
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 5 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17960 56700
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 7 6 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 2 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
VTZ038-170800-
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 20 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-1) 74 (-1) 52 79
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-3) 45 (-7) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 1
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 4140 5940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 6 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20700 53460
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 6 9
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 9 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ001-170800-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,
AND NORTH ADAMS
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 30 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-3) 72 (-2) 52 77
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (-7) 45 (-5) 100 48
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3960 5090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 5 W 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 15840 50900
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 5 7 6 10
MAX LVORI LATE 6 2 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
MAZ025-170800-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,
AND SOUTH EGREMONT
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-3) 71 (-3) 53 77
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (-2) 53 (-2) 100 54
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3720 4750
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18600 42750
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 8 10
MAX LVORI LATE 7 3 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ001-170800-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-5) 71 (-3) 55 77
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+1) 62 (+7) 100 59
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 2 PM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3670 4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 6 W 9
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18350 39120
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 9 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
CTZ013-170800-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON
246 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 40 10
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (-3) 71 (-3) 56 78
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (0) 67 (+12) 100 64
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) NE 5 LGT/VAR
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR E 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00
PRECIP DURATION 0 2 2 0
PRECIP BEGIN 2 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 8 AM
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL) 3590 4650
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) E 7 NW 8
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 21540 32550
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY 6 8 10 10
MAX LVORI LATE 8 4 10 4
REMARKS...NONE.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.
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