128  
FNUS51 KALY 160703  
FWFALY  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN  
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL BRING  
PRECIPITATION THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY. PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN  
ADIRONDACKS, UPPER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN VERMONT WILL SEE  
FREEZING RAIN. ELSEWHERE, RAIN IS EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY, THE  
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND THE EASTERN CATSKILLS MAY GET A RUMBLE OF  
THUNDER. BEHIND THE STORM, CHILLY AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS THEN  
ARRIVE FOR SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
 
NYZ206-162100-  
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OLD FORGE, LONG LAKE, SPECULATOR, PISECO,  
NORTHVILLE, CAROGA LAKE, AND JOHNSTOWN  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 60  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 35 (0) 19 (-12) 30  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (+8) 99 (-1) 70  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 G36 NW 10 G33  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 11 G36 W 10 G35 W 9 G33  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.17 0.10 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION 9 9 6  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5120 4450  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 32 NW 28  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 143360 106800  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 7 9  
MAX LVORI LATE 6 7 5  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ207-162100-  
UPPER HUDSON VALLEY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF NORTH CREEK, GLENS FALLS,  
SARATOGA SPRINGS, CLIFTON PARK, WHITEHALL, AND CAMBRIDGE  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 30 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (+3) 23 (-9) 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (+1) 79 (-21) 55  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 13 G37 W 13 G34  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 14 G37 W 12 G37 W 13 G34  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5320 4850  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 28 NW 28  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 127680 116400  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ208-162100-  
MIDDLE HUDSON VALLEY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF AMSTERDAM, SCHENECTADY, ALBANY, TROY,  
BERLIN, BERNE, CAIRO, CATSKILL, CHATHAM, KINGSTON, POUGHKEEPSIE,  
DOVER PLAINS, ELLENVILLE, AND MONTICELLO  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 10 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+2) 25 (-12) 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (-5) 81 (-18) 52  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G41 NW 13 G36  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 16 G41 W 12 G41 NW 13 G36  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6220 6040  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 35 NW 32  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 186600 169120  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
NYZ209-162100-  
CATSKILL-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF TANNERSVILLE AND PHOENICIA  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 10  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (0) 21 (-14) 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 60 (+1) 87 (-13) 58  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G42 NW 13 G40  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 14 G42 NW 14 G44 NW 11 G40  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.09 0.03 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5880 5570  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 41 NW 36  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 211680 172670  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ036-162100-  
SOUTHERN TACONICS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNINGTON, MANCHESTER CENTER, AND POWNAL  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW SHOWERS FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 20  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (+3) 22 (-11) 35  
RH % (24H TREND) 69 (+7) 84 (-16) 59  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 14 G39 W 14 G35  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 15 G39 W 14 G41 W 13 G35  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.23 0.07 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4790 4950  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 26 NW 29  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 110170 123750  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ037-162100-  
SOUTHERN GREENS-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONDONDERRY, STRATTON,  
WOODFORD STATE PARK, AND STAMFORD  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 40 20  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 39 (+3) 20 (-11) 32  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (+12) 90 (-10) 67  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 10 G36 W 11 G36  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 10 G36 W 11 G37 W 9 G36  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.16 0.10 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)4690 4700  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 37 NW 33  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 150080 136300  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 6 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 7 6 5  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
VTZ038-162100-  
LOWER CONNECTICUT VALLEY SOUTH-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BELLOWS FALLS, BRATTLEBORO,  
GUILFORD CENTER, AND WEST BRATTLEBORO  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (+1) 24 (-10) 37  
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (+11) 82 (-18) 56  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 7 G32 W 9 G33  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 8 G32 W 8 G33 W 8 G33  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 2 AM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5040 5070  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 32 NW 31  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 141120 136890  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
MAZ001-162100-  
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF DALTON, HANCOCK, PITTSFIELD, FLORIDA,  
AND NORTH ADAMS  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE FRZ RAIN SNOW SHOWERS FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (+3) 22 (-12) 34  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (+10) 84 (-15) 61  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 16 G43 W 18 G41  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 18 G43 W 17 G43 W 15 G41  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.02 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 1 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3950 4530  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 31 NW 35  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 106650 135900  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 5 5 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
MAZ025-162100-  
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SANDISFIELD, GREAT BARRINGTON,  
AND SOUTH EGREMONT  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS FRZ RAIN  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 10  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (+3) 24 (-9) 36  
RH % (24H TREND) 64 (+6) 82 (-18) 59  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 12 G42 NW 14 G39  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 14 G42 W 14 G42 NW 13 G39  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 0  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 4 PM CONTINUING 1 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5060 4880  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 35 NW 36  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 151800 151280  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 10 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 4  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
CTZ001-162100-  
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-  
INCLUDING THE CITY OF TORRINGTON  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+3) 26 (-9) 38  
RH % (24H TREND) 61 (+6) 77 (-23) 54  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 11 G40 W 12 G35  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 14 G40 W 12 G39 NW 12 G35  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 4 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5840 5500  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 37 NW 35  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 186880 165000  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
 
CTZ013-162100-  
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF OAKVILLE, GAYLORDSVILLE, NEW MILFORD,  
TERRYVILLE, AND THOMASTON  
201 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+4) 29 (-8) 40  
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (+5) 73 (-27) 52  
WIND 20FT/EARLY(MPH) W 13 G39 W 14 G34  
WIND 20FT/LATE(MPH) W 16 G39 W 13 G39 NW 13 G34  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM  
PRECIP END 5 PM  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)5980 5470  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 36 NW 33  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 185380 158630  
ADI EARLY VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
ADI LATE VERY POOR VERY POOR VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 4 4 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
   
OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS
 
 
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.  
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab NY Page
The Nexlab VT Page
The Nexlab MA Page
The Nexlab CT Page Main Text Page