965
FNUS71 KALY 141934
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH PILE BURN...GREEN MOUNTAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
234 PM EST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON JANUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW
ON THURSDAY MORNING. CHANGOVER SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 7AM AND 10AM.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WILL TURN
GUSTY OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH
TOMORROW NIGHT WITH SNOW ENDING BY FRIDAY. LARGELY UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL
CHANCES FOR RAIN AND SNOW.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 34.
RH..................100 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 75 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............30 DECREASING TO 14.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21
TO 29 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /10900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/58500 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............7.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 76 78 77 76 77 65 79 75 73 62
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN RS SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 20 10 10
TEMP............31 28 32 31 32 30 29 28 23 20 19
DEWPOINT........31 28 32 31 29 26 23 21 18 16 13
RH..............100 100 100 100 89 85 78 75 81 84 77
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 7 9 9 9 9 8 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 18 20 22 23 24 24 24 24 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 17 17 20 21 23 26 26 28 29
LVORI...........10 10 10 10 7 6 4 4 6 6 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 11 16 22 28 34 44 58 58 59 57
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 6.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............9 DECREASING TO 1.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 36
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 39 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (61000 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........67 71 60 68 76 76 76 76 75 74 73 72
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............17 15 15 14 12 11 10 9 8 7 7 6
DEWPOINT........11 9 9 8 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1
RH..............77 77 77 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 76 79
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 10 10 10 10 12 12 13 14 14 14
20 FT WIND GUST.28 29 29 29 29 30 30 31 32 33 35 36
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 30 30 30 31 32 35 37 38 39
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..61 64 72 74 73 76 80 84 87 90 90 88
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 20.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............3.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32 TO 39 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (84300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70 69 56 42 29 24 20 15 25 36 46 54
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............6 7 7 8 10 12 15 17 18 19 19 18
DEWPOINT........1 1 M M 3 M M 4 M M 5 M
RH..............79 76 79 76 73 66 61 56 53 54 54 59
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W SW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 13 13 12 12 10 9 9 8 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.37 37 35 31 28 26 25 24 22 21 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.39 38 37 35 32 29 24 21 18 16 15 14
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..84 79 72 65 57 51 45 38 33 28 24 19
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD FR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...9
REQUESTED BY...CORRY BOYLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600168.0/ALY
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORRY.BOYLE@USDA.GOV
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