383
FNUS71 KALY 300938
FWSALY
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAFAYETTEVILLE RX...NYS DEC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
538 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
TODAY STARTS OFF WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S WITH
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES AT THE BURN SITE. TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE
UPPER 50S BY NOON, WITH A HIGH OF AROUND 65 THIS AFTERNOON. RH
VALUES OF AROUND 60-70% EARLY THIS MORNING DROP THROUGH THE
MORNING TO AROUND 40% BY NOON TODAY. RH VALUES BOTTOM OUT AT
35-40% DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10-12 KT WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 KT BY NOON TODAY AND WILL INITIALLY BE FROM THE S/SW.
WINDS VEER TO THE SW BY THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON, INCREASING TO
12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 25 MPH. THESE STRONGER WINDS
ARE EXPECTED FROM ABOUT 3-5 PM AT THE BURN SITE. WINDS SHOULD
BEGIN TO DIMINISH BACK TO AROUND 10-12 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO
15-20 MPH AFTER 5-6 PM. SMOKE DISPERSION SHOULD BE EXCELLENT THIS
AFTERNOON. MUCH OF TODAY WILL BE RAIN-FREE, BUT A FEW ISOLATED,
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS 7-10 PM THIS EVENING.
THE BURN SITE IS EXPECTED TO SEE BETWEEN A TENTH AND A QUARTER OF
AN INCH OF RAIN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............30 INCREASING TO 38.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (96600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57 49 41 52 63 74 74 74 74 75 76 77
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............40 40 41 45 49 54 58 61 64 65 65 64
DEWPOINT........28 30 32 32 33 32 34 36 37 38 39 40
RH..............62 67 70 60 54 43 40 39 37 37 38 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16
20 FT WIND GUST.14 16 17 18 21 23 24 25 26 28 28 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.7 2.4 3.1 4.1 4.0 3.7 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 15 16 18 18 20 22 26 28 28 23
LVORI...........4 6 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 6 10 13 24 27 41 59 94 97 88 53
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............44 INCREASING TO 48 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........72 66 61 63 65 67 66 64 63 71 73 77
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 20 30 30 40 40 60 60 60
TEMP............62 60 58 57 56 55 54 53 53 52 52 52
DEWPOINT........42 44 45 46 47 47 48 48 49 48 49 49
RH..............48 55 62 67 72 74 80 83 86 86 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.22 17 14 13 13 13 12 12 10 10 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 15 13 13 12 12 12 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........2 2 3 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 12 6 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52 INCREASING TO 56 LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (47000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15 INCHES.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 80 82 83 83 84 83 83 82 80 78 76
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50 40 40 40 40
TEMP............52 52 53 55 57 60 62 63 65 67 68 69
DEWPOINT........50 50 51 52 54 55 56 56 56 56 57 57
RH..............93 93 93 90 90 84 81 78 73 68 68 66
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 20
LVORI...........8 8 8 7 7 6 6 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 7 13 19 25 30 35 42 47 46
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...35
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN SLADE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608154.1/ALY
.DELDT 03/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KEVIN.SLADE@DEC.NY.GOV
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