085
FXUS61 KALY 171809
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
209 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED WIND/WIND GUSTS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY,
AND LOWERED SATURDAY AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS SLIGHTLY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) GUSTY WINDS DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY, ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY,
MIXING WITH/CHANGING TO SNOW ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN SUNDAY.
2) HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY THROUGH
EARLY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING MONDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW
LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN DEPARTING RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, GREATEST WITHIN
THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY, SW ADIRONDACKS, AND HIGHER TERRAIN
AREAS OF THE TACONICS/SOUTHERN VT. WINDS THEN SHIFT INTO THE
WEST/NORTHWEST WITH/BEHIND COLD FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH
SIMILAR WIND GUSTS (25-35 MPH) EXPECTED, STRONGEST/MOST
PERSISTENT WITHIN THE MOHAWK VALLEY/CAPITAL REGION AND
BERKSHIRES.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST
SATURDAY EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
MORNING. AS COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION, PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY CHANGE TO SNOW FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET, WHERE SOME
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ON COLDER SURFACES.
EVEN IN VALLEY AREAS, SOME SNOW COULD MIX IN AT TIMES BEFORE
SHOWERS TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY, BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH
THE 40S FOR MOST VALLEY AREAS AND 30S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS,
WITH BRISK WINDS MAKING IT FEEL EVEN COLDER (WIND CHILLS MAINLY
IN THE 30S DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AND UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S
AT NIGHT). OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD DROP BELOW FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT, AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD
20S ARE EXPECTED WITH EVEN SOME TEENS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.
AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT, THOUGH
SOME BRIEF MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH ~ 20Z/FRI AT KPOU
AND KPSF. A FEW SHOWERS MAY ALSO IMPACT KPOU DURING THIS TIME.
LATER TONIGHT, AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP AND
EXPAND WESTWARD, PRODUCING MVFR/VFR CIGS. AT KPSF, MVFR/IFR CIGS
ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT, AND SOME PATCHY DRIZZLE COULD ALSO
PRODUCE MVFR/IFR VSBYS. MVFR CIGS SHOULD LIFT AND BECOME VFR
BETWEEN 13Z-15Z/SAT EXCEPT KPSF, WHERE MVFR CIGS MAY LINGER INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. WINDY WITH GUSTS TO 32 KTS. LIKELY SHRA.
SUNDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. DEFINITE SHRA.
SUNDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24/31
AVIATION...24/23
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