595
FXUS61 KALY 172329
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
729 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
INCREASED WIND/WIND GUSTS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY,
AND LOWERED SATURDAY AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS SLIGHTLY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) GUSTY WINDS DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
SUNDAY, ALONG WITH RAIN SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY,
MIXING WITH/CHANGING TO SNOW ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN SUNDAY.
2) HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY THROUGH
EARLY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH WIDESPREAD MIN TEMPS DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING MONDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
GUSTY SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS LOW
LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN DEPARTING RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE AND APPROACHING COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS OF 25-35 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, GREATEST WITHIN
THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY, SW ADIRONDACKS, AND HIGHER TERRAIN
AREAS OF THE TACONICS/SOUTHERN VT. WINDS THEN SHIFT INTO THE
WEST/NORTHWEST WITH/BEHIND COLD FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING, WITH
SIMILAR WIND GUSTS (25-35 MPH) EXPECTED, STRONGEST/MOST
PERSISTENT WITHIN THE MOHAWK VALLEY/CAPITAL REGION AND
BERKSHIRES.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST
SATURDAY EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY
MORNING. AS COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION, PRECIPITATION WILL
LIKELY CHANGE TO SNOW FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 1500 FEET, WHERE SOME
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ON COLDER SURFACES.
EVEN IN VALLEY AREAS, SOME SNOW COULD MIX IN AT TIMES BEFORE
SHOWERS TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY, BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH BLUSTERY CONDITIONS. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL ONLY REACH
THE 40S FOR MOST VALLEY AREAS AND 30S ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS,
WITH BRISK WINDS MAKING IT FEEL EVEN COLDER (WIND CHILLS MAINLY
IN THE 30S DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS AND UPPER TEENS TO MID 20S
AT NIGHT). OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD DROP BELOW FREEZING IN MOST
AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT, AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT WHEN WIDESPREAD
20S ARE EXPECTED WITH EVEN SOME TEENS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
THROUGH 00Z/SUN...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TAF
SITES THROUGH THE UPCOMING PERIOD. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES INTO THE
OVERNIGHT WILL LEAD TO SOME PATCHY CLOUDS BETWEEN 2500-4000 FT
LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. THEREAFTER, FAIR WEATHER
CUMULUS CLOUDS ABOVE 3000 FEET AND SOME CIRRUS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY
AROUND 10 KT ON SATURDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DEVELOPING AT KALB
DURING THE AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. WINDY WITH GUSTS TO 32 KTS. LIKELY SHRA.
SUNDAY: HIGH OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. DEFINITE SHRA.
SUNDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...24/31
AVIATION...33
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