010
FXUS61 KALY 022317
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
717 PM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
UPDATED KEY MESSAGE 1 AND FOLLOWING DISCUSSION TO SAY THAT
SHOWERS HAVE COME TO AND END FOR THE REGION WITH THE COLD FRONT
NOW HAVING MOVED OFF TO OUR SOUTHEAST.
KEY MESSAGES
1) A COLD FRONT WILL BRING GRADUALLY COOLING TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT.
2) A MOSTLY DRY AND SEASONABLE WEEKEND IS EXPECTED. A STRONG
COLD FRONT BRINGS BREEZY AND EVEN COOLER WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR VALLEY FROST AT NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SE OF THE AREA TONIGHT. COOLER AND
LESS HUMID CONDITIONS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION TONIGHT, WITH
A NW BREEZE BEHIND THE FRONT. LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE MUCH COOLER
RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S IN THE W. ADIRONDACKS TO LOWER 50S IN
THE HUDSON VALLEY.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST ACROSS THE AREA ON SAT, PROVIDING DRY
CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES. DRY WEATHER
SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF SUN, WITH JUST A LOW CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS WELL SOUTH/EAST OF ALBANY SUN EVENING/NIGHT ASSOCIATED
WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE TRACKING EAST OFF THE COAST, AND ALSO
NORTH/WEST OF ALBANY ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH LIMITED MOISTURE. IT WILL TURN
BREEZY ON MON, WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH NW
WINDS GUSTING 20-30 MPH. WHILE IT WILL BE CHILLY MON NIGHT, WITH
HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED TO OUR WEST A PERSISTENT BREEZE SHOULD
PREVENT FROST IN VALLEY AREAS. THERE LOOKS TO BE A BETTER
CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD FROST IN LOWER ELEVATIONS TUE NIGHT, AS THE
HIGH MOVES OVERHEAD WITH LIGHT WINDS/CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.
FROST ADVISORIES AND/OR FREEZE WARNINGS MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED
IN AREAS WHERE THE GROWING SEASON IS STILL ACTIVE.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...FLYING CONDITIONS ARE VFR AT ALL TERMINALS AS
OF 7:15 PM EDT, AND SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
SOME SCT TO OCCASIONALLY BKN MID-LEVEL CLOUDS 4500-6000 FT
EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT, DIMINISHING IN
COVERAGE AFTER 06Z. FROM THEN FORWARD, JUST A FEW MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS EXPECTED TOMORROW EVENING UNDER MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. ONLY
THING TO WATCH IS THAT WE CAN'T RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FOG/MIST
LATE TONIGHT IF WINDS BECOME CALM, BUT RIGHT NOW EXPECTING A
LIGHT N/NE WIND THERE THROUGH THE NIGHT THAT SHOULD PREVENT FOG
FORMATION. OTHER TERMINALS WILL SEE N/NW WIND SHIFTING TO N/NE
LATER TONIGHT AT 4-8 KT, WITH SOME GUSTS TO 15-20 KT POSSIBLE AT
ALB/PSF THROUGH THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE TAF PERIOD. ALL
TERMINALS SEE 5-10 KT WINDS FROM THE N/NE CONTINUING THE DAY
TOMORROW.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
TUESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07/35
AVIATION...35
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page