907
FXUS61 KALY 191727
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
127 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEK,
WHILE A NOR'EASTER MEANDERS WELL OFFSHORE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY BE POSITIONED
ACROSS SE CANADA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, BEFORE SHIFTING
SOUTH/EAST DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS OVER THE WEEKEND.
MEANWHILE, A NOR'EASTER POSITIONED OFF THE N. CAROLINA COAST
WILL SLOWLY MEANDER E/NE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH NO
IMMEDIATE IMPACTS TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN ON TUE, SO
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH
DEVELOPING. OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT, WITH
PLENTY OF CLEAR SKIES UPCOMING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL, WITH LOWS AVERAGING SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL MOST NIGHTS
WITH A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. THERE WILL ALSO LIKELY BE PATCHY
FOG IN FAVORED SHELTERED VALLEY AND NEAR BODIES OF WATER SOME
NIGHTS, ESPECIALLY DURING PERIODS WHEN WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER.
AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
WITH HIGH PRESSURE CLOSE TO THE REGION, VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN
IN PLACE FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT SURFACE
WINDS. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
TONIGHT. WHILE MOST SITES WILL REMAIN VFR, SOME RADIATIONAL FOG
WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AT KGFL DUE TO
LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS. WILL INCLUDE MENTION OF IFR FOG THERE FOR
A FEW HOURS RIGHT AROUND SUNRISE. FOR THE OTHER SITES, THERE
MAY BE ENOUGH OF A PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE NEARBY HIGH
PRESSURE AND A NOR'EASTER OFFSHORE THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TO
KEEP A LIGHT NORTHEAST BREEZE IN PLACE. THIS BREEZE, ALONG WITH
DRY LOW LEVELS, SHOULD PREVENT MUCH RADIATIONAL FOG FROM
DEVELOPING FOR THE OTHER SITES.
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY, IT WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLEAR WITH NO
PRECIPITATION AND CONTINUED VFR CONDITIONS. NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL BE 5-10 KTS FOR ALL SITES THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...27
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