730
FXUS61 KALY 192300
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
700 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN
NEW ENGLAND WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE WEEK,
WHILE A NOR'EASTER MEANDERS WELL OFFSHORE.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY BE POSITIONED
ACROSS SE CANADA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, BEFORE SHIFTING
SOUTH/EAST DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST CONUS OVER THE WEEKEND.
MEANWHILE, A NOR'EASTER POSITIONED OFF THE N. CAROLINA COAST
WILL SLOWLY MEANDER E/NE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH NO
IMMEDIATE IMPACTS TO EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS EXPECTED TO TIGHTEN ON TUE, SO
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH
DEVELOPING. OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT, WITH
PLENTY OF CLEAR SKIES UPCOMING. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL, WITH LOWS AVERAGING SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL MOST NIGHTS
WITH A DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. THERE WILL ALSO LIKELY BE PATCHY
FOG IN FAVORED SHELTERED VALLEY AND NEAR BODIES OF WATER SOME
NIGHTS, ESPECIALLY DURING PERIODS WHEN WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER.
AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY...FLYING CONDITIONS ARE VFR AT ALL TERMINALS
AS OF 7:00 PM EDT. FOR POU/PSF, VFR CONDITIONS WITH MAINLY CLEAR
SKIES EXPECTED THROUGH THE ENTIRE TAF PERIOD. FOR GFL, SOME PATCHY
RADIATION FOG/MIST MAY DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING, BUT LIGHT N/NE
WINDS THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT MAY HELP DISSIPATE FOG PRIOR
TO SUNRISE. IF FOG DEVELOPS, IFR OR LOWER VSBYS/CIGS POSSIBLE.
FOR ALB, LIGHT N/NE WIND DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT COULD ADVECT
ANY FOG THAT FORMS OVER THE MOHAWK RIVER TOWARDS THE AIRPORT.
LOW CONFIDENCE IF THIS WILL HAPPEN, SO WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS
IN THE TAF. OUTSIDE OF ANY BRIEF FOG/MIST OVERNIGHT, ALB/GFL
ALSO SEE PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES.
WINDS START OFF THE NIGHT LIGHT AND VARIABLE, BUT INCREASE TO 3-6 KT
FROM THE N/NE THE SECOND HALF OF THE NIGHT. BY MID-MORNING, N/NE
WINDS INCREASE TO CLOSER TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS TO 15-20 KT (LOCALLY
STRONGER AT ALB/GFL) THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. GUSTS
DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET, BUT 5-10 KT N/NW WINDS PERSIST THROUGH THE
END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
OUTLOOK...
TUESDAY NIGHT TO SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...35
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