893
FXUS61 KALY 212341
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
741 PM EDT WED OCT 21 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
AS OF THIS AFTERNOON, THE PREVIOUSLY LABELED "NOR'EASTER" HAS
BEEN NAMED SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE. HOWEVER, THE
EXPECTATION FOR NO LOCALLY SUSTAINED IMPACTS REMAINS STEADY.
KEY MESSAGES
1) DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS
EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY.
BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE MID-HUDSON VALLEY CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON WITH WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH, THEN
DECREASE NEAR AND AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT. SUBTROPICAL STORM
JOSEPHINE OUT IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
HEAD NORTH AND EAST OUT TO SEA WITH NO IMPACTS TO EASTERN NEW
YORK OR WESTERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THURSDAY. SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS
ALL TERMINALS WITH NEARBY HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING DOMINANT.
SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE, LINGERING OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST, HAS EXTENDED SOME OUTER BANDS OF HIGH CLOUDS INTO OUR
REGION, THOUGH VERY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE LIMITED THEIR COVERAGE
AND DEPTH SIGNIFICANTLY. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
NIGHT, WITH FEW TO SCT GROUPS AT 25 KFT OR GREATER EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT BEFORE
BECOMING BREEZY TOMORROW WITH JOSEPHINE SHIFTING SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH AND EAST. SUSTAINED SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM ABOUT 8-10 KT
WITH GUSTS OF ABOUT 15-25 KT. WINDS TOMORROW WILL PREVAIL OUT OF
THE NORTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.
OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
MONDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...12
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