956
FXUS61 KALY 251047
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
647 AM EDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) CONTINUED HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING UNTIL
THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A ~1035 MB AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED OVER THE REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST BY LATER TODAY. SUBSIDENCE FROM THE HIGH WILL PROVIDE
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS, SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND
SEASONABLE CONDITIONS TODAY. TONIGHT WILL BE SEASONABLE CHILLY
AGAIN WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. ON MON, A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM SE CANADA WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. JUST A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE W. ADIRONDACKS, OTHERWISE THE
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH DRY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABLE TO WARM
INTO THE MID 60S IN MANY VALLEY AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE DAY, WITH GUSTS OF
15-20 MPH DEVELOPING IN SPOTS. A COLDER AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN
MON NIGHT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. IT WILL BE DRY THOUGH, AS ANOTHER AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS SOUTH/EAST ON THU,
A MILDER S/SW FLOW WILL RESULTS IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER
MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH ON FRI,
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES DON'T LOOK AS COLD BEHIND THIS FRONT.
AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
THROUGH 12Z MONDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE MAINLY EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE REGION AND A CONTINUED DRY AIR MASS IN PLACE. HOWEVER,
SIMILAR TO EARLY YESTERDAY MORNING, PATCHY FOG MAY DRIFT OVER
KALB FROM THE MOHAWK RIVER DUE TO A N-NE FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE.
WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF TEMPO FOR LIFR CONDITIONS AT KALB
THROUGH 13Z. ONCE ANY FOG DISSIPATES, VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL. FOG MAY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT ALONG THE MOHAWK/HUDSON
RIVERS AS A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS NORTH/EAST INTO OUR AREA. LOW
CONFIDENCE WHETHER FOG WILL DRIFT OVER ANY TERMINALS THOUGH.
BEST CHANCE APPEARS TO BE AT KALB/KGFL. WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE
CALM, BECOMING VARIABLE AROUND 3-5 KT BY THIS AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...07
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