524
FXUS61 KALY 251721
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
121 PM EDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE.
KEY MESSAGES
1) CONTINUED HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING UNTIL
THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A ~1035 MB AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED OVER THE REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST BY LATER TODAY. SUBSIDENCE FROM THE HIGH WILL PROVIDE
CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS, SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT WINDS AND
SEASONABLE CONDITIONS TODAY. TONIGHT WILL BE SEASONABLE CHILLY
AGAIN WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. ON MON, A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM SE CANADA WILL PUSH SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. JUST A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS MAY OCCUR IN THE W. ADIRONDACKS, OTHERWISE THE
FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH DRY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE ABLE TO WARM
INTO THE MID 60S IN MANY VALLEY AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE DAY, WITH GUSTS OF
15-20 MPH DEVELOPING IN SPOTS. A COLDER AIR MASS WILL FILTER IN
MON NIGHT THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. IT WILL BE DRY THOUGH, AS ANOTHER AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS SOUTH/EAST ON THU,
A MILDER S/SW FLOW WILL RESULTS IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER
MOISTURE-STARVED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH ON FRI,
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES DON'T LOOK AS COLD BEHIND THIS FRONT.
AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
THROUGH 18Z/MON...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE UPCOMING TAF PERIOD. THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE WHETHER ANY VALLEY FOG DRIFTS INTO SOME OF THE TAF SITES
TONIGHT. WILL MAINTAIN PREVIOUS FOG MENTIONS AT KALB/KGFL
THOUGH WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE TONIGHT MAY BE MORE W/SW
VERSUS N/NE FROM PREVIOUS DAYS WHICH MAY DRIFT ANY FOG AWAY FROM
THE TERMINAL, ESPECIALLY AT KALB. VARIABLE WINDS AT 5 KT OR
LESS THIS AFTERNOON BECOME CALM TONIGHT, THEN IN VARIOUS
DIRECTIONS MONDAY MORNING AT 4-8 KT.
OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.
DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...33
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